Heat Advisory 21, NWS Wichita, KS

086 
WWUS73 KICT 152352
NPWICT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wichita KS
652 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

KSZ096-098>100-160100-
/O.EXP.KICT.HT.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-260916T0000Z/
Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
Including the cities of Parsons, Sedan, Coffeyville, Chanute, Cedar
Vale, and Independence
652 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

$$

WI

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1206 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Storm chances return to central Kansas late tonight into
  Tuesday morning, with increasing probabilities Tuesday
  afternoon through Wednesday morning across much of the area.

- Marginally severe storms and localized flooding are possible on
 Tuesday and Tuesday night.

- This weeks warmup will be followed by much cooler air arriving
  on Sunday into early next week with additional chances for
  showers and storms over the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 304 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026

Isolated or widely scattered showers and storms have already
developed within the sfc trough axis across western KS. Some of this
activity could brush parts of our central KS counties through the
evening hours although the bulk of the activity is expected to
remain north and west of our area of concern. A shortwave trough
racing across the Northern Plains will drive a cold front south into
the area late tonight. This frontal boundary is progged to move
south and east across the area on Tuesday. That will result in
another hot day for areas ahead of the front which includes much of
southern and southeast KS where highs in the upper 90s/around 100
once again. Probabilities for showers and thunderstorms will
increase along and behind the front on Tuesday afternoon. PWATs over
2 inches are forecast to return to the area leading to efficient
rainfall with any storms that develop. MLCAPE of 1500+ combined with
30 knots of 0-6km shear may support some strong or marginally severe
storms although mid-lvl lapse rates appear rather marginal. This
activity could linger into the overnight hours as the LLJ noses into
south central and southeast KS with some mid-lvl waa persisting
across the area. Some showers could linger over parts of central KS
early on Wed before the heat builds back into the area during the
afternoon hours with above average temperatures anticipated.

The mid/upper ridge is expected to return on Thu-Fri bringing hot
and dry conditions to the area. A shortwave trough emerging from the
Rockies will bring increasing probabilities for showers and storms
to the area late Fri and Fri night with little relief from the heat.
Unsettled weather conditions may linger into Sat as the upper ridge
shifts eastward while a more robust shortwave trough moves over the
Northern Plains. This will eventually drive a strong cold front
southward over the area late Saturday into Sunday ushering in more
seasonable air through early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

A frontal boundary will begin to make its way across the area
later this morning and through the afternoon time frame. Winds
ahead of the front will remain breezy out of the south, with
winds turning northeasterly behind the front and gusting near
25 knots for central Kansas. LLWS will remain a concern through
12Z with this boundary nearing.

Low cigs are expected to develop behind the front in central
Kansas along with the possibility for shower activity. Impacts
from showers will be minimal and isolated, did not include in
TAFs at this time due to uncertainty of localized impacts. A few
thunderstorms may develop along and ahead of the front later in
the afternoon, most likely impacting HUT and ICT. Kept mention
of them minimal, again, due to uncertainty on timing and
placement.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 340 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026

Hot and windy conditions will result in very high fire danger
along and west of I-135 late this afternoon through the early
evening hours. Southerly winds will be sustained at around
25-30 mph with gusts around 40-45 mph.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...AMD
FIRE WEATHER...JC

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
756 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-160100-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
756 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
east central Kansas, south central Kansas and southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Isolated to widely scattered storms are possible tonight across
central Kansas. Chances for severe weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage on Tuesday
afternoon and linger into Tuesday night across much of the area. A
few strong to marginally severe storms will be possible along with
heavy rain and localized flooding.

Periodic chances for showers and storms will return late Friday
afternoon through Sunday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict