Severe Thunderstorm Warning 252, NWS Hastings, NE

663 
WWUS53 KGID 140705
SVSGID

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
205 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

NEC001-019-035-079-081-093-121-163-140730-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0252.000000T0000Z-260814T0730Z/
Clay NE-Adams NE-Hamilton NE-Buffalo NE-Sherman NE-Merrick NE-
Howard NE-Hall NE-
205 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 AM CDT
FOR CLAY...ADAMS...HAMILTON...NORTHEASTERN BUFFALO...SOUTHEASTERN
SHERMAN...SOUTHWESTERN MERRICK...HOWARD AND HALL COUNTIES...

At 205 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Elba to 6 miles northwest of Aurora to near
Fairfield, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

These severe storms will be near...
  Aurora, St. Paul, Harvard, Clay Center, Palmer, Chapman, 
  Marquette, Elba, Saronville, and Stockham around 210 AM CDT.
  Central City, Sutton, Hampton, Hordville, and Archer around 215 AM 
  CDT.

This includes Interstate 80 between mile markers 297 and 340.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4138 9857 4106 9784 4048 9784 4036 9856
      4068 9859 4112 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 0705Z 236DEG 49KT 4129 9866 4093 9808 4047 9812 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Schuldt

857 
WWUS53 KGID 140728
SVSGID

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
228 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

NEC001-019-035-079-081-093-121-163-140737-
/O.EXP.KGID.SV.W.0252.000000T0000Z-260814T0730Z/
Clay NE-Adams NE-Hamilton NE-Buffalo NE-Sherman NE-Merrick NE-
Howard NE-Hall NE-
228 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CLAY...ADAMS...HAMILTON...
NORTHEASTERN BUFFALO...SOUTHEASTERN SHERMAN...SOUTHWESTERN MERRICK...
HOWARD AND HALL COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 230 AM CDT...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However, gusty
winds are still possible with these thunderstorms.

&&

LAT...LON 4138 9857 4106 9784 4048 9784 4036 9856
      4068 9859 4112 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 0727Z 237DEG 55KT 4147 9830 4111 9772 4065 9776 

$$

Schuldt

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1245 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Thunderstorm concerns this evening: Although a few storms
  could sneak into far southeast portions of our forecast area
  (CWA) a bit earlier, our MAIN concern for potential severe
  storms is 9PM-1AM...primarily in our "southwestern
  quadrant"...with wind gusts up ~ 65 the main concern.

- Thunderstorm concerns Friday night into next week: Our
  forecast remains "littered" with various/intermittent (and
  mostly low confidence) rain/thunderstorm chances...with the
  overall-highest chances Friday night and especially Saturday
  night. At least spotty severe activity cannot be ruled out,
  and essentially our entire CWA is under a Marginal Risk (level
  1 of 5) Friday-Saturday.

- Limited heat concerns continue through Saturday, mainly KS: A
  Heat Advisory continues through 9 PM this evening our our
  Kansas counties. SLIGHTLY cooler temperatures arrive to that
  southern part of our area Friday-Saturday, but heat index
  could still reach 100+ degrees in some places (currently
  expected to fall short of Advisory criteria).

- Temperature overview: While highs in the low-mid 90s remain
  likely mainly in KS Friday-Saturday, the majority of our CWA
  is looking at very "typical" mid-August temperatures through
  the next week...with highs mainly 80s and lows mainly 60s.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 434 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

-- FORECAST CHANGES OF NOTE/BIG PICTURE COMMENTS/UNCERTAINTIES:
- No truly major changes to speak of versus previous issuance
  last night/early this morning. That being said, as was
  expected here 24 hours ago...high temps for especially Sunday-
  Tuesday have trended a bit warmer (and possibly not enough),
  as any highs only in the 70s would appear most favored
  possibly Sunday and mainly in our north.

- The most pressing/obvious very-short-term issue is assessing
  severe storm potential late this afternoon/especially
  evening...with our MAIN concern for a few severe storms
  (mainly with a damaging wind threat) focused 9PM-1AM and
  mainly in the southwestern quadrant of our CWA (counties
  mainly along/west of Hwy 281 and along/west of Hwy 6.

- Big picture overview of the upper air pattern through the next
  week: Our RELATIVELY consistent pattern over the next week
  (fairly consistent warm-but-not-overly hot temperatures and
  intermittent rain/thunderstorm chances) is very typical for
  this time of year when we reside along the periphery/interface
  between a large-scale upper level high/ridge centered to our
  south...and the primary upper jet stream centered to our
  north. Really the only thing that changes is the spacial
  orientation of the ridge...as these next few days we remain
  under mainly southwesterly flow aloft (upper high centered
  over the Mid-South/southeastern states)...which then
  transitions to more west-northwesterly flow especially Sunday-
  Wednesday as the upper ridge retrogrades back west into the
  Southern Plains (TX/OK) and eventually southwest (NM/AZ).

-- 7-DAY FORECAST CHRONOLOGICAL RUNDOWN (through Thurs. Aug.
 20):
- CURRENT/RECENT WEATHER SCENE:
Briefly backing up to last night/early this morning, forecasts
from 24 hours ago were fairly "spot on" that a potentially-
severe convective complex would march across our northern
counties. However, we did not necessarily anticipate a
particularly-damaging (thankfully narrow) swath of at least
70-80+ MPH winds centered roughly along a line from Arcadia-
North Loup-Greeley that caused considerable tree/power line and
some structural damage.

In the wake of last night's long-departed storm complex
(actually still ongoing over southern Indiana), today has thus
far been dry/uneventful, under variable sky cover ranging from
mainly mostly cloudy north...to partly cloudy central...to
mostly sunny south. In the mid-upper levels, water vapor
satellite and short term model data confirm that we reside under
the aforementioned west-southwesterly flow aloft, with the next
low-amplitude shortwave trough/disturbance of interest gradually
headed our way out of eastern CO.

At the surface, it's another day with a fairly big temperature
gradient across the CWA, thanks to that same sharp, quasi-
stationary front draped in west-east fashion across northern KS.
To the north of this boundary, most of our CWA is realizing
highs between the low 80s-low 90s, in the presence of
northeasterly/easterly breezes generally 10-15 MPH. However,
along and especially south of the boundary, temps in the mid-
upper 90s (and even limited 100+ extreme south) are present in
our KS counties. This same southern part of our CWA is also the
only area realizing 100+ heat index through early this
evening...with fairly widespread values of at least 100-105 and
possibly even localized up to ~ 110 (mainly Mitchell County).
As a result, a Heat Advisory continues in our KS counties until
9 PM.

- LATE THIS AFTERNOON-OVERNIGHT:
As of this writing, a few "blips" of high-based convection are
just starting to develop about 30 miles south of our extreme
southeastern CWA (Lincoln County KS area)...in an area of very
steep low-level lapse rates/deep mixing south of the sharp
surface front. Leaning on higher-res models such as HRRR, at
some point mainly 5-8 PM could at least brush up into especially
Mitchell County in our extreme southeast...possibly posing a
threat for mainly severe wind gusts.

However, of much higher confidence and concern is that
convection just getting underway over southwestern/south central
KS will accelerate northward into mainly the southwestern
quadrant of our CWA mainly 9PM-1AM, posing a risk for at least
localized severe gusts to ~ 65 MPH, and perhaps hail up to
around quarter size (hail being the lesser threat). Although we
are NOT expecting a repeat of last night's very intense/damaging
winds, these storms will have plentiful instability (at least
2000-3000 J/kg CAPE, but a limiting factor of only modest deep-
layer shear mainly no more than 30-35KT. However, higher-res
models clearly depict at least localized damaging wind
potential...especially if a robust outflow surge is able to
develop along the leading edge of this activity. While the main
severe storm threat should largely wane by 12-1 AM, our entire
CWA could see at least isolated/scattered thunderstorms through
the remainder of the night as the aforementioned mid level
shortwave disturbance tracks into our area.

In other departments tonight, while widespread clouds/convection
should keep legitimate fog at bay, winds will become lighter out
of the north-northeast late in the night, as low temps are
forecast to fall into the mid-upper 60s most areas, except low
70s far south-southeast.

- FRIDAY DAYTIME:
As the upper disturbance passes over our CWA during the morning
(possibly in the form of a very well-defined mesoscale
convective vortex/MCV), at least spotty/isolated showers and
possibly a few lingering weak thunderstorms will be possible
almost anywhere initially post-sunrise, but departing east with
time. In fact, most all of our CWA should be dry during the
afternoon, as cloudy/mostly cloudy skies give way to at least
partly cloudy skies in the afternoon. As a weak surface low
passes by to our southeast, winds will generally be light
(mainly 5-10 MPH) out of some variation of northerly. As for
high temps, most of our CWA should be at least a few degrees
cooler than today...but especially areas near/south of the KS
border (5-10 degrees cooler than today). More specifically,
highs ranging from low-mid 80s north...to mid 80s central to
upper 80s-low 90s near/south of the state line. While especially
Mitchell County KS could again reach/slightly exceed 100+ heat
index, these values should be just short of justifying another
Heat Advisory.

- FRIDAY EVENING-OVERNIGHT:
Fairly high confidence that the vast majority of our CWA remains
dry/storm-free through at least Midnight. However, the late
night hours brings yet another chance for at least
isolated/scattered storms...probably most favoring the
western/southern halves of our CWA. While very spotty severe
cannot be totally ruled out (in fact SPC has nearly our entire
CWA in a "broad brushed" Marginal Risk...this setup does not
appear as concerning as the preceding few nights. Low temps very
similar to tonight (mid 60s to low 70).

- SATURDAY-SATURDAY NIGHT:
Our "rinse and repeat" pattern continues, as while especially
the morning will likely feature lingering showers/weak storms as
the next upper disturbance departs, the afternoon and even
evening is probably dry/mostly dry as we reside "in between"
disturbances (our rain chances/PoPs are admittedly likely too
high for the afternoon-evening). However, various models
(including the RRFS) do depict a fairly good chance for more
widespread rain/thunderstorms post-midnight...again possibly
featuring at least a spotty severe threat (our entire CWA again
under a broad-brushed Marginal Risk from SPC).

Temperature-wise, highs are aimed very similar to Friday (mainly
80s in Nebraska and low-mid 90s in KS...with ONE FINAL day of
100+ heat index potential mainly in our KS counties. Lows
Saturday night mainly mid-upper 60s. |

- SUNDAY-MONDAY:
Although spotty/intermittent chances for showers/storms remain,
they are lower and less widespread than the preceding few days,
as our flow aloft turns more west-northwesterly in the wake of
the Saturday night disturbance. Still think we may be aiming a
little too cool on high temps, but they have trended up slightly
from 24 hours ago. No matter what, they will be cooler than
Saturday, with most of the CWA topping out upper 70s-mid 80s.

- TUESDAY-THURSDAY:
Obviously far too soon to dive into details, but MOST of this
time frame looks dry, despite continued/intermittent (and fairly
low...mainly 30% or lower) chances for showers/storms. Our high
temperatures again may not be aimed quite warm enough according
to some of the latest "raw" numerical guidance, but for now we
are calling for mainly 80s all three days, with any lower 90s
most favored Tuesday especially near/south of the KS line.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1215 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

A few strong storms are expected to be in the KEAR vicinity
between 6-9z and the KGRI vicinity between 7-10z. These storms
will be possible to produce strong winds as high as 30kts with
wind guts up to 45kts out of the southwest. The strong winds
should remain fairly brief (~30 minutes) before winds return
back to a northeasterly direction. Winds speeds throughout most
of the day today will remain fairly light and variable at
times. The heaviest precipitation rates and also the lowest
visibility reductions (as low as 1-3 miles) will be possible
mainly within the first hours of when the storms arrive.
Otherwise, lighter rain may take a hour to two to scatter
completely out.

As far as ceilings go, a scattered to broken deck of clouds
around 1,000-1,500ft will be expected to linger across most of
the night and morning hours (mainly through 18z). There is some
question to weather the storms may impact ceilings? There is the
possibility for these storms to break apart the low-cloud
bases, allowing VFR conditions to return to the area faster than
we suspect.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...Pfannkuch
AVIATION...Stump

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
854 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
150200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
854 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A few strong to severe storms capable of producing gusty winds in
exceedance of 60MPH, hail up up to the size of quarters amd
locally heavy rainfall, will cross through a few portions of the
area through mainly 2AM tonight. Not every location may receive
severe weather with the overall greatest potential concentrated
across north central Kansas and southwest Nebraska.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

- Several more/intermittent chances for thunderstorms over the
  coming days:
Between late Friday night and Tuesday night, there will be
several/intermittent chances for thunderstorms within various
parts of our forecast area. At least spotty/limited severe storm
activity cannot be ruled out at times, and nearly our entire area
is currently under a Marginal Risk for a few severe storms Friday
and Saturday...mainly for the evening and overnight hours.

- Limited heat concerns continue through Saturday, mainly in
  Kansas:
Although not quite as hot as previous days, portions of primarily
our Kansas counties will see afternoon heat index readings reach
or slightly exceed 100 degrees on Friday and Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to
report any possible thunderstorm wind
gusts over 50 MPH and/or hail that might occur through this
evening.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

Stump

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1206 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

KSZ005-006-NEZ072>074-082>084-140545-
Phillips KS-Smith KS-Franklin NE-Phelps NE-Kearney NE-Harlan NE-
Furnas NE-Gosper NE-
1206 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN SMITH...NORTHERN
PHILLIPS...FRANKLIN...PHELPS...SOUTHERN KEARNEY...GOSPER...
NORTHEASTERN FURNAS AND HARLAN COUNTIES THROUGH 1245 AM CDT...

At 1206 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Medicine Creek Reservoir State Recreation
Area to Hollinger to 7 miles north of Phillipsburg. Movement was
northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Arapahoe, Oxford, Orleans, Holbrook, Stamford, Edison, Hollinger,
  and Woodruff around 1210 AM CDT.
  Alma around 1215 AM CDT.
  Republican City, Naponee, Huntley, and Harlan County Dam around
  1220 AM CDT.
  Atlanta and Bloomington around 1225 AM CDT.

Other locations in the path of these storms include Holdrege,
Bertrand, Elwood, Loomis, Smithfield, Ragan, Wilcox, Johnson Lake,
Hildreth and Funk.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4035 10020 4035 10010 4044 10009 4044 9998
      4070 9998 4070 9971 4068 9959 4065 9928
      4041 9872 3999 9886 3969 9907 4000 9963
      4014 9984 4024 10019
TIME...MOT...LOC 0506Z 218DEG 49KT 4035 10031 4015 9977 3986 9933

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Mangels

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1215 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1213 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     0.1 NNW Beaver City     40.14N 99.83W
08/14/2026  M52 MPH          Furnas             NE   Mesonet

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1246 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

NEZ060-061-072>075-083>085-140630-
Franklin NE-Buffalo NE-Adams NE-Webster NE-Phelps NE-Kearney NE-
Harlan NE-Dawson NE-Gosper NE-
1246 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT FRANKLIN...WEBSTER...PHELPS...
WESTERN ADAMS...KEARNEY...NORTHEASTERN GOSPER...SOUTHERN BUFFALO...
SOUTHEASTERN DAWSON AND NORTHEASTERN HARLAN COUNTIES THROUGH 130 AM
CDT...

At 1246 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Elwood to Holdrege to 7 miles south of
Franklin. Movement was northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Franklin, Hildreth, Wilcox, Funk, Smithfield, and Johnson Lake
  around 1250 AM CDT.
  Axtell and Riverton around 1255 AM CDT.
  Lexington and Upland around 100 AM CDT.
  Minden, Elm Creek, Overton, and Inavale around 105 AM CDT.

Other locations in the path of these storms include Kearney, Odessa,
Campbell, Norman, Bladen, Riverdale, Heartwell, Cowles and Holstein.

This includes Interstate 80 between mile markers 233 and 290.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4068 9998 4100 9941 4080 9889 4070 9872
      4059 9857 4031 9827 4013 9827 4000 9864
      4000 9917 4039 9947 4059 9998
TIME...MOT...LOC 0546Z 238DEG 38KT 4063 9993 4046 9935 3999 9893

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Mangels

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
125 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

KSZ006-007-NEZ046>048-060>063-074>076-084>086-140715-
Jewell KS-Smith KS-Franklin NE-Merrick NE-Nuckolls NE-Buffalo NE-
Adams NE-Hamilton NE-Hall NE-Clay NE-Kearney NE-Sherman NE-
Webster NE-Howard NE-Dawson NE-
125 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN JEWELL...
NORTHEASTERN SMITH...WEBSTER...ADAMS...SOUTHWESTERN HAMILTON...
BUFFALO...HALL...CLAY...EASTERN FRANKLIN...NORTHERN NUCKOLLS...
KEARNEY...SHERMAN...SOUTHWESTERN MERRICK...EAST CENTRAL DAWSON AND
SOUTHERN HOWARD COUNTIES THROUGH 215 AM CDT...

At 125 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Miller to near Heartwell to 9 miles south of
Inavale. Movement was northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Gibbon, Red Cloud, Kenesaw, Bladen, Holstein, and Inavale around
  130 AM CDT.
  Shelton, Pleasanton, Roseland, and Prosser around 135 AM CDT.
  Blue Hill, Juniata, and Cowles around 140 AM CDT.
  Hastings, Wood River, Ayr, and Poole around 145 AM CDT.

Other locations in the path of these storms include Ravenna,
Litchfield, Hazard, Rosemont, Doniphan, Hansen, Alda, Lawrence, Grand
Island, Cairo, Glenvil, Trumbull, Rockville and Boelus.

This includes Interstate 80 between mile markers 264 and 327.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4097 9814 4027 9789 3984 9868 4047 9894
      4063 9918 4066 9918 4066 9923 4089 9958
      4105 9935 4105 9921 4115 9921 4136 9890
TIME...MOT...LOC 0625Z 228DEG 32KT 4093 9938 4058 9874 3997 9863

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Schuldt

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Hastings NE
127 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 W Heartwell           40.57N 98.81W
08/14/2026  M53 MPH          Kearney            NE   Mesonet

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Hastings NE
136 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     7 SSW Poole             40.89N 99.01W
08/14/2026  M63 MPH          Buffalo            NE   Public

            personal weather station.

&&