Flash Flood Warning 13, NWS Fort Worth, TX

946 
WGUS74 KFWD 260308
FFSFWD

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1008 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

TXC237-497-260515-
/O.CON.KFWD.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-260426T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jack TX-Wise TX-
1008 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT SUNDAY 
FOR EAST CENTRAL JACK AND SOUTHWESTERN WISE COUNTIES...

At 1008 PM CDT, trained weather spotters reported flooding across 
the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain have fallen. Flash 
flooding is already occurring and several inches of water have been 
reported on roadways, especially in the town of Runaway Bay. Low 
water crossings are likely impassable.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Trained spotters reported.

IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets, and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Decatur, Bridgeport, Chico, Paradise, Lake Bridgeport, Runaway 
  Bay, Cundiff, Balsora, Wizard Wells, Crafton and Cottondale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3330 9805 3341 9792 3317 9755 3302 9781
      3316 9794

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

Stalley

723 
WGUS74 KFWD 260507
FFSFWD

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1207 AM CDT Sun Apr 26 2026

TXC237-497-260517-
/O.EXP.KFWD.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-260426T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jack TX-Wise TX-
1207 AM CDT Sun Apr 26 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1215 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING 
FOR EAST CENTRAL JACK AND SOUTHWESTERN WISE COUNTIES...

Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding of low 
lying and/or poor drainage areas may continue for a few hours until 
the water has had a chance to recede. Please continue to heed 
remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3330 9805 3341 9792 3317 9755 3302 9781
      3316 9794

$$

Langfeld

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
634 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Severe weather is possible across parts of North Texas through
  this evening with areas along and north of I-20 having the
  highest chances for storms. Very large hail, damaging winds, and
  tornadoes will all be possible.

- An unsettled pattern will continue through next week with
  additional storm chances expected across the region,
  particularly Tuesday through Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday Night)
Issued at 225 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

The primary forecast challenge through the short-term period
continues to be the convective initiation potential versus
expected storm intensity, though confidence in at least scattered
development has increased near the Red River.

A quasi-stationary boundary across North Texas will gradually
lift northward through the afternoon. Meanwhile, a surface low
will deepen across northwest Texas with a dryline extended
southward through Central Texas. This will result in a favorable
triple point configuration near the Red River by late afternoon.

Strong to locally extreme instability is expected to develop
across the region with MLCAPE values of 2500-4000 J/kg and steep
mid-level lapse rates. While large-scale ascent remains modest at
best, the approach of a shortwave trough and associated mid-level
speed max will provide sufficient forcing for thunderstorm
initiation, especially near the Red River (triple point).

The Storm Prediction Center continues to highlight areas along and
north of the Red River in a Moderate Risk, with far North Texas
residing along the southern fringe of this higher-end threat.
Widely scattered thunderstorms are now expected to develop this
afternoon into early evening, with the highest coverage near the
Red River.

Given 40-50 kts of effective bulk shear, storms will quickly
organize into intense supercells capable of producing very large
hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. The tornado threat will be
maximized near the warm front where locally enhanced low-level
shear and backed surface winds will exist.

Farther south, storm chances remain more conditional due to
lingering capping along the dryline. However, the environment
remains highly favorable, and any isolated storm that develops
will have the potential to rapidly become severe.

Through the evening hours, storms are expected to track east-
southeast along and south of the Red River. With time, some
upscale growth into clusters is expected, resulting in an
increasing threat for damaging winds as the cluster of
thunderstorms moves from northwest to southeast. Storm chances
will linger in the east through the night thanks to a slow-
moving outflow boundary that will keep ascent over our eastern-
most counties.

The surface low responsible for the development of the triple
point will linger into Sunday, once again sharpening the dryline
in the afternoon. Abundant low-level moisture will be in place,
however, a lack of forcing for ascent will keep the chance of
storm initiation low. Some CAMs hint at a few convective attempts
across Central Texas in the afternoon, however, the capping
inversion will likely prevent the updrafts from rapid growth. For
now, we'll maintain storm chances across Central Texas at 10-15%.
The odds favor a precipitation-free day for North and Central
Texas tomorrow afternoon and evening. With a dryline persisting
through the night and a shortwave moving overhead, a few isolated
storms cannot be ruled out Sunday night into Monday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 225 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

The active weather pattern will persist going into next week as
large-scale troughing continues to impact the western United
States. This will keep south to southwesterly flow in the lower-
levels, supplying continued moisture into North and Central
Texas. The dryline will once again be draped from north to south
across the region, keeping the threat of isolated thunderstorms
alive in the afternoon.

Rain chances will increase on Tuesday as a slow-moving cold front
slides south of of Oklahoma. This front will supply strong forcing
for ascent and a blossoming of showers and storms is becoming
more probable Tuesday afternoon. Instability values above 3000
J/kg and strong effective shear will increase the potential for
strong to severe storms. Exact location and timing is unclear
this far out but areas east of I-35 may have the greatest threat.

The cold front is expected to continue sliding southward by the
middle of the week, ushering in cooler temperatures areawide. High
temperatures on Wednesday will be in the upper 70s to mid 80s,
with 60s and 70s to finish out next week. Passing shortwaves will
lead to periodic rain chances each day, with an overall low severe
weather threat.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 603 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

Main concern through the near-term is potential thunderstorm
activity near the TAF sites mainly between 01-04z this evening.
While convection struggled to develop farther south on the dryline
late this afternoon, thunderstorms are underway near a triple
point in Northwest Texas and southern Oklahoma which should have a
tendency to advance ESE with time. While the potential for
thunderstorms immediately at the TAF sites remains rather low this
evening at about 10-20%, impacts due to thunderstorms nearby are
possible as one or more convective clusters is likely to encroach
on areas just north of the TAF sites at a minimum. While a brief
wind shift due to nearby outflows is possible, this scenario is
too low of a probability to formally include in the TAFs at this
point. Storms may continue to impact arrivals/departures for
eastern parts of D10 beyond 04z as convective activity advances
into East Texas tonight.

Otherwise, another round of MVFR cigs can be expected tomorrow
morning before scattering to VFR occurs by midday. Outside of any
convectively induced wind shifts at the TAF sites, a southerly
wind at 10-15 kts will prevail with a few gusts over 20 kts.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be requested across North Texas this
evening. Even if activation is not locally requested, any reports
of hazardous weather to the National Weather Service are
appreciated.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    71  91  73  93 /  20  10  10  10
Waco                71  90  71  90 /  10  10  10  10
Paris               64  85  69  87 /  80  30  20  20
Denton              67  90  71  93 /  30  10  10  10
McKinney            68  89  72  92 /  40  10  10  10
Dallas              71  93  73  93 /  30  10  10  10
Terrell             70  88  71  91 /  30  10  10  20
Corsicana           72  91  74  93 /  20  10  10  20
Temple              70  91  71  91 /  10  10  10  10
Mineral Wells       67  95  70  94 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Stalley

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
825 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0822 PM     Hail             8 NE Jacksboro          33.31N 98.05W
04/25/2026  M1.00 Inch       Jack               TX   Emergency Mngr

&&

MSS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
833 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0826 PM     Hail             2 W Runaway Bay         33.16N 97.90W
04/25/2026  E1.25 Inch       Wise               TX   Public

            Report from mPING.

&&

MSS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
843 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0836 PM     Hail             1 SW Runaway Bay        33.17N 97.88W
04/25/2026  E1.50 Inch       Wise               TX   Public

            Report from mPING.

&&

MSS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
844 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0843 PM     Hail             Runaway Bay             33.17N 97.89W
04/25/2026  M2.00 Inch       Wise               TX   Broadcast Media

&&

MSS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
851 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0849 PM     Hail             2 WNW Bridgeport        33.22N 97.78W
04/25/2026  E1.00 Inch       Wise               TX   Amateur Radio

&&

MSS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
858 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0847 PM     Hail             Runaway Bay             33.17N 97.87W
04/25/2026  M2.75 Inch       Wise               TX   Amateur Radio

&&

MSS