Alert archive / South Dakota / River Flood Warnings in 2026

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

June 5, 2026Brookings County, South Dakota

NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued this river flood warning at Jun 5, 2026, 6:58 AM CDT for Brookings County, South Dakota. It was in force for 71 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 5, 2026, 6:58 AM CDT (11:58 UTC)
Expired
Jun 8, 2026, 6:10 AM CDT
In force
71 hr
Issued by
NWS Sioux Falls, SD
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Brookings County, SD

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Big Sioux River near Bruce (BRCS2). The gauge peaked at 9.51 ft at Jun 6, 2026, 10:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate4681006/0506/0606/0706/0806/09
Action stage
7 ft
Minor stage
8 ft
Moderate stage
10 ft
Major stage
13 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06479770, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

989 
WGUS43 KFSD 051158
FLWFSD

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
658 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...The National Weather Service in Sioux Falls SD has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in South Dakota...

  Big Sioux River near Bruce affecting Brookings County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

The next statement will be issued by Saturday morning.

&&

SDC011-061400-
/O.NEW.KFSD.FL.W.0002.260605T1158Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRCS2.1.ER.260605T1130Z.260605T1145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
658 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Big Sioux River near Bruce.

* WHEN...From this morning until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, The lower banks on the left side of the 
  river overflow.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:45 AM CDT Friday the stage was 8.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:45 AM CDT Friday was 8.0 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Stay up to date with the latest river observations and
    forecasts at: www.water.noaa.gov

&&

               Fld    Observed          Forecasts (unknown time) 
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time   d1    d2    d3           

Big Sioux River
Bruce          8.0    8.0    Fri 6 am   MSG   MSG   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 4450 9690 4450 9684 4449 9685 4440 9689
      4433 9687 4433 9692 4442 9693


$$

Kalin
7 follow-up statements
784 
WGUS83 KFSD 051416
FLSFSD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
916 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in South 
Dakota...

  Big Sioux River near Bruce affecting Brookings County.

  Big Sioux River near Estelline affecting Hamlin and Brookings 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

The next statement will be issued by Saturday morning.

&&

SDC011-061630-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRCS2.1.ER.260605T1130Z.260605T1345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
916 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Big Sioux River near Bruce.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, The lower banks on the left side of the 
  river overflow.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 AM CDT Friday the stage was 8.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:45 AM CDT Friday was 8.2 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Stay up to date with the latest river observations and
    forecasts at: www.water.noaa.gov

&&

               Fld    Observed          Forecasts (unknown time) 
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time   d1    d2    d3           

Big Sioux River
Bruce          8.0    8.2    Fri 8 am   MSG   MSG   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 4450 9690 4450 9684 4449 9685 4440 9689
      4433 9687 4433 9692 4442 9693


$$

SDC011-057-061630-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BSES2.2.ER.260604T1633Z.260605T0945Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
916 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Big Sioux River near Estelline.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 1646.0 feet, water reaches the bottom of the bridge 
  on 192nd Street.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 1645.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 AM CDT Friday was 1646.0 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 1644.0 feet.
  - Stay up to date with the latest river observations and
    forecasts at: www.water.noaa.gov

&&

               Fld    Observed          Forecasts (unknown time) 
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time   d1    d2    d3           

Big Sioux River
Estelline      1644.0 1645.9 Fri 9 am   MSG   MSG   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 4462 9700 4463 9696 4450 9684 4450 9690


$$

Kalin
366 
WGUS83 KFSD 060408
FLSFSD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
1108 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in South 
Dakota...

  Big Sioux River near Bruce affecting Brookings County.

  Big Sioux River near Estelline affecting Hamlin and Brookings 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional forecast information is available at 
www.weather.gov/siouxfalls.

The next statement will be issued by Saturday afternoon.

&&

SDC011-061700-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRCS2.1.ER.260605T1130Z.260606T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1108 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Big Sioux River near Bruce.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 9.5 feet, The right bank overflows, flooding 
  agricultural lands for as much as 1/4 mile.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:45 PM CDT Friday the stage was 9.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:45 PM CDT Friday was 9.1 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Stay up to date with the latest river observations and
    forecasts at: www.water.noaa.gov

&&

               Fld    Observed          Forecasts (unknown time) 
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time   d1    d2    d3           

Big Sioux River
Bruce          8.0    9.1    Fri 10 pm  MSG   MSG   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 4450 9690 4450 9684 4449 9685 4440 9689
      4433 9687 4433 9692 4442 9693


$$

SDC011-057-061700-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BSES2.2.ER.260604T1633Z.260605T0945Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1108 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Big Sioux River near Estelline.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 1645.5 feet, widespread flooding of agricultural 
  lands begins.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 1645.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:00 PM CDT Friday was 1645.9 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 1644.0 feet.
  - Stay up to date with the latest river observations and
    forecasts at: www.water.noaa.gov

&&

               Fld    Observed          Forecasts (unknown time) 
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time   d1    d2    d3           

Big Sioux River
Estelline      1644.0 1645.7 Fri 10 pm  MSG   MSG   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 4462 9700 4463 9696 4450 9684 4450 9690


$$

JH
754 
WGUS83 KFSD 061443
FLSFSD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
943 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in South 
Dakota...

  Big Sioux River near Bruce affecting Brookings County.

  Big Sioux River near Estelline affecting Brookings and Hamlin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional forecast information is available at 
www.weather.gov/siouxfalls.

The next statement will be issued by Sunday morning.

&&

SDC011-071645-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRCS2.1.ER.260605T1130Z.260606T1345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
943 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Big Sioux River near Bruce.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 9.5 feet, The right bank overflows, flooding 
  agricultural lands for as much as 1/4 mile.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 9.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:45 AM CDT Saturday was 9.3 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Stay up to date with the latest river observations and
    forecasts at: www.water.noaa.gov

&&

               Fld    Observed          Forecasts (unknown time) 
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time   d1    d2    d3           

Big Sioux River
Bruce          8.0    9.3    Sat 8 am   MSG   MSG   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 4450 9690 4450 9684 4449 9685 4440 9689
      4433 9687 4433 9692 4442 9693


$$

SDC011-057-071645-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BSES2.2.ER.260604T1633Z.260605T0945Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
943 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Big Sioux River near Estelline.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 1645.5 feet, widespread flooding of agricultural 
  lands begins.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 1645.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 AM CDT Saturday was 1645.9 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 1644.0 feet.
  - Stay up to date with the latest river observations and
    forecasts at: www.water.noaa.gov

&&

               Fld    Observed          Forecasts (unknown time) 
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time   d1    d2    d3           

Big Sioux River
Estelline      1644.0 1645.4 Sat 9 am   MSG   MSG   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 4462 9700 4463 9696 4450 9684 4450 9690


$$

Meyers
335 
WGUS83 KFSD 070149
FLSFSD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
849 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in South 
Dakota...

  Big Sioux River near Bruce affecting Brookings County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional forecast information is available at 
www.weather.gov/siouxfalls.

The next statement will be issued by late Sunday night.

&&

SDC011-080600-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRCS2.1.ER.260605T1130Z.260606T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
849 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Big Sioux River near Bruce.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 9.5 feet, The right bank overflows, flooding 
  agricultural lands for as much as 1/4 mile.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 9.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:45 PM CDT Saturday was 9.5 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Stay up to date with the latest river observations and
    forecasts at: www.water.noaa.gov

&&

               Fld    Observed          Forecasts (unknown time) 
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time   d1    d2    d3           

Big Sioux River
Bruce          8.0    9.5    Sat 7 pm   MSG   MSG   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 4450 9690 4450 9684 4449 9685 4440 9689
      4433 9687 4433 9692 4442 9693


$$

IG
261 
WGUS83 KFSD 071502
FLSFSD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
1002 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in South 
Dakota...

  Big Sioux River near Bruce affecting Brookings County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional forecast information is available at 
www.weather.gov/siouxfalls.

The next statement will be issued by Monday afternoon.

&&

SDC011-081715-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRCS2.1.ER.260605T1130Z.260607T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1002 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Big Sioux River near Bruce.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 9.5 feet, The right bank overflows, flooding 
  agricultural lands for as much as 1/4 mile.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 9.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:45 AM CDT Sunday was 9.5 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Stay up to date with the latest river observations and
    forecasts at: www.water.noaa.gov

&&

               Fld    Observed          Forecasts (unknown time) 
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time   d1    d2    d3           

Big Sioux River
Bruce          8.0    9.3    Sun 9 am   MSG   MSG   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 4450 9690 4450 9684 4449 9685 4440 9689
      4433 9687 4433 9692 4442 9693


$$

Meyers
589 
WGUS83 KFSD 080349
FLSFSD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
1049 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in South 
Dakota...

  Big Sioux River near Bruce affecting Brookings County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional forecast information is available at 
www.weather.gov/siouxfalls.

The next statement will be issued by late Monday night.

&&

SDC011-090600-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRCS2.1.ER.260605T1130Z.260607T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1049 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Big Sioux River near Bruce.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, The lower banks on the left side of the 
  river overflow.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 8.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:45 PM CDT Sunday was 9.3 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Stay up to date with the latest river observations and
    forecasts at: www.water.noaa.gov

&&

               Fld    Observed          Forecasts (unknown time) 
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time   d1    d2    d3           

Big Sioux River
Bruce          8.0    8.6    Sun 9 pm   MSG   MSG   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 4450 9690 4450 9684 4449 9685 4440 9689
      4433 9687 4433 9692 4442 9693


$$

IG
784 
WGUS83 KFSD 081110
FLSFSD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
610 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in South 
Dakota...

  Big Sioux River near Bruce affecting Brookings County.

SDC011-081215-
/O.CAN.KFSD.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260608T1110Z/
/BRCS2.1.ER.260605T1130Z.260607T0300Z.260608T0830Z.NO/
610 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Big Sioux River near Bruce.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:45 AM CDT Monday the stage was 7.7 feet.
  - The river crested at 9.5 feet Saturday night. The river fell
    below flood stage around 4:00 AM CDT this morning.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Stay up to date with the latest river observations and
    forecasts at: www.water.noaa.gov

&&

               Fld    Observed          Forecasts (unknown time) 
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time   d1    d2    d3           

Big Sioux River
Bruce          8.0    7.7    Mon 5 am   MSG   MSG   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 4450 9690 4450 9684 4449 9685 4440 9689
      4433 9687 4433 9692 4442 9693


$$

JH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sioux Falls, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 5, 6:23 AM CDT, 35 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Models are trending the severe chances farther south today. A few strong to severe storms will be possible, but will likely be confined to roughly south of an Elk Point to Sioux Rapids line and possibly south of the area entirely.
  • A system wraps north Sunday into Monday and may bring scattered showers and thunderstorms to the area. Currently severe weather chances are low.
  • Temperatures heat up this weekend into next week. There is an increasing chance (30-60%) of highs exceeding 95 degrees especially near and west of the James River by Wednesday and Thursday. Be prepared to enact any heat related safety measures.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 5, 6:23 AM CDT, 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
623 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Models are trending the severe chances farther south today. A
  few strong to severe storms will be possible, but will likely
  be confined to roughly south of an Elk Point to Sioux Rapids
  line and possibly south of the area entirely.

- A system wraps north Sunday into Monday and may bring
  scattered showers and thunderstorms to the area. Currently
  severe weather chances are low.

- Temperatures heat up this weekend into next week. There is an
  increasing chance (30-60%) of highs exceeding 95 degrees
  especially near and west of the James River by Wednesday and
  Thursday. Be prepared to enact any heat related safety
  measures.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 146 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

A decaying MCS will continue to drift east through the early morning
hours. Additional rainfall amounts will be on the lighter side.
Model trends continue to push the chances for stronger updrafts to
the south of the area for this afternoon and evening in the wake of
this MCS, so other than roughly near and south of a Sioux City to
Storm lake line the chances for any severe weather today are very
low. A few updrafts could develop in other parts of mainly northwest
IA with a very small chance to reach severe levels. Otherwise a
fairly pleasant summer day is ahead for most locations with highs in
the 80s and fairly light winds.

This will lead into a quiet and warmer Saturday as a nose of high
pressure dips south into the area. Highs from the upper 80s to mid
90s in most locations.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 336 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026

Several boundaries, some left behind from yesterday's
storms, are noted across the area by agitated lines of CU and
ongoing thunderstorms. Ample sunshine in these areas prior to
development has led to 1,500-2,000 J/kg to develop with mid-
level lapse rates around 7.5 C/km. Shear is on the weaker side,
but large hail to ping pong balls will still be possible given
the lapse rates. And with the myriad boundaries in place, will
have to watch for the the threat of tornadoes. The main boundary
that will be the focus of storms through this evening into
tonight stretches from western South Dakota into the east-
central part of the state. As a shortwave embedded within the
otherwise zonal flow moves across the Northern Plains through
this evening, there should be an uptick in thunderstorm
development. The storms currently ongoing at the eastern end of
this boundary are going to continue to lift north and continue
to develop with westward extent as the shortwave encroaches the
area. The other concern with these storms will be the heavy rain
threat as areas near and north of Highway 14 already have
saturated grounds. This could lead to some flash flooding if
storms move too slowly over an area. And heavy rain to our north
may also cause some minor river flooding issues downstream
depending on how much rain is seen.

Another area of storms will develop off to our west. The best shear
is located over western South Dakota on the western end of the
main boundary. Guidance shows storms developing out there late
this afternoon/early evening may take on some bowing segments as
it moves eastward towards our area, arriving by 9-10 pm west of
the James River. This is where the best chance of damaging wind
gusts to 70 mph will be, though storms should gradually weaken
as they move eastward as instability wanes through the night. In
other words, after about midnight to 1 am, the severe weather
threat should come to an end. A few showers will be possible
heading into Friday morning, but nothing severe expected.
Another upper-wave moves across the northern Great Lakes region
tomorrow afternoon and evening, and this could set off some
isolated thunderstorms mainly near and east of I-29 and
especially towards the Highway 20 corridor. Can't rule out some
strong to severe thunderstorms with this activity, but this will
be highly dependent on how storms develop tonight. Also, the
greater instability will also be south of the area, likely
keeping the greatest threat to our south.

Ridging aloft builds in Saturday and so we should finally have a dry
day. This will be quickly replaced with another active upper pattern
heading into early next week, which will lead to increased shower
and storm chances Sunday and Monday. Just like the past few events,
ensembles show the instability sufficient for severe weather largely
in place, but there will be questions on how much shear there
will be with and of course any other mesoscale features that
can't be resolved this far out. Heat also looks to build in next
week, especially by Wednesday and Thursday when LREF
probabilities of highs exceeding 95 degrees are around 30-60%
near and west of the James River, with a 10-30% of highs even
exceeding 100 degrees in these areas. Recent rainfall may mean
that the forecast models could be overdoing potential heating,
but this will be something that needs to be watched closely over
the next couple of days.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 610 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

Areas of IFR and LIFR fog have developed over parts of northwest
IA early this morning. Right now it looks like this should
dissipate by 15-16z. Otherwise a few showers will move through
the area with very isolated lightning strikes through mid
morning as well. An isolated thunderstorm will be possible in
mainly northwest IA this afternoon, but confidence in this is
pretty low. Otherwise from mid to late morning mainly VFR
conditions are expected.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.
IA...None.
NE...None.

&&

UPDATE...08
DISCUSSION...Samet
AVIATION...08
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 5, 3:08 AM CDT, 3 hours 50 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
308 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-
098-NEZ013-014-SDZ038>040-050-052>071-060815-
Lyon-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O'Brien-Clay-Plymouth-Cherokee-
Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Lincoln-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson-
Pipestone-Rock-Dixon-Dakota-Beadle-Kingsbury-Brookings-Gregory-
Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson-McCook-
Minnehaha-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Turner-Bon Homme-Yankton-
Union-
308 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, southwest Minnesota, northeast Nebraska, central South
Dakota, east central South Dakota, south central South Dakota and
southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

An isolated thunderstorm will be possible across mainly northwest
Iowa later this afternoon. Quarter sized hail and wind gusts to 60
mph are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible Sunday
afternoon into Monday. Severe weather is very unlikely.

Temperatures will increase through next week, with highs in the 90s
and possible 100's. The hottest days should be Wednesday and
Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 4, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBeadle51 min
Jun 4, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFSDBeadle, Jerauld, Kingsbury, Sanborn38 min
Jun 4, 8:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBeadle, Jerauld39 min
Jun 4, 11:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBrule59 min
Jun 4, 11:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDAurora, Brule53 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in South Dakota, 2026Every river flood warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.