Severe Thunderstorm Warning 200, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
204 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered afternoon showers and storms are expected today and
  Friday, becoming numerous to widespread over the weekend.

- A few storms through this weekend may become strong with wind
  gusts up to 40-50mph and locally heavy rain.

- Heat index values peak between 95-105 through Saturday. Heat
  Advisory for portions of East-Central GA from 12-8PM today.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 152 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

Rinse and repeat as summertime continues with a few showers and
thunderstorms possible and hot temps. As is normal for this time a
year, a strong area of high pressure churns over the Atlantic and
keeps the southeast in an open warm sector, increasing diurnally
driven convection each afternoon. Not as much coverage is expected
today, but a few showers and typical summer thunderstorms are
possible. Best chances are in the NW portion of Georgia (45-65%),
with PoPs quickly decreasing southward into central Georgia (20-
45%). As for Friday, similar story with any convection and showers,
with the northwest portion of the state having the increased PoP
chances. The main hazard from any storm should be damaging winds,
especially in the northern part of the state.

As for the heat, the temperatures remain hot in the short term. Low
to upper 90s spanning from north to south with the hotter temps
toward central Georgia. Since we remain in an open warm sector and
an abundance of moisture still lingering, hot heat indices are still
on track. Triple digits for today and Friday, with a smattering of
105-108 possible toward SE Georgia. For this, another Heat Advisory
in effect through 8 PM. Since the forecast is almost the same for
tomorrow, expect another Heat Advisory for Friday in the SE portion
of the state.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday morning through next Wednesday)
Issued at 152 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

It's gonna be a rainy weekend. Maybe not a total washout, but if you
have outdoor plans you might want to reconsider. Saturday afternoon,
chances of thunderstorms become likely across northern Georgia
before spreading to all of the CWA by Sunday afternoon. A few storms
could be strong to severe with the main threat being damaging winds,
but the signal for widespread severe weather is not too concerning.

The rain-cooled environment and NW flow will give us a break from
the heat, with highs in the mid to upper 80s by Sunday which will
linger through the start of the work week. By next Wednesday
though, the heat will start to build again as a Bermuda high re-
establishes and tropical moisture builds back in.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 133 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

Popup SHRA/TSRA are developing across most of Georgia. Scattered
to numerous TSRA are exp, w/ impacts to all TAF sites. Impacts for
ATL starting around 19Z, could linger as late as around 00/01Z,
though risk decr aft 23Z. Winds W 8-12 kts, gusts to 15-20 kts,
diminishing after sunset. Gusts to 30 kts psbl in/vc of TS.
Similar conds exp tomorrow, with TS risk for ATL starting around
17/18Z. Cigs/winds will be nearly the same as today.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
High for all elements

CRS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          74  94  74  92 /  20  30  20  60
Atlanta         75  93  75  90 /  10  40  20  70
Blairsville     66  84  66  82 /  20  50  50  80
Cartersville    73  92  73  89 /  10  30  40  80
Columbus        75  94  75  93 /  20  20  10  30
Gainesville     73  92  73  89 /  10  30  20  60
Macon           75  95  75  94 /  20  20  10  30
Rome            72  91  72  88 /  10  40  40  80
Peachtree City  73  92  73  90 /  10  30  20  60
Vidalia         78  99  77  98 /  10  10  10  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ085-086-097-098-
106-108>113.

&&

SHORT TERM...Patterson
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...CRS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
721 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-101130-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
721 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

A Heat Advisory is in effect for portions of East-Central GA from
12-8PM today, where heat index values up to 107 are expected.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be around this afternoon
across north and central Georgia. A few storms could contain
gusty winds and frequent lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Hot conditions persist through Saturday, with heat index values
forecast to be in the upper 90s to low 100s each day.

Afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected each day.
Scattered showers and storms on Friday will increase in coverage
over the weekend into early next week, becoming numerous to
widespread.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.  Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
435 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

GAZ080-091-092100-
Taylor GA-Marion GA-
435 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Marion
and western Taylor Counties through 500 PM EDT...

At 435 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Mauk, or 11 miles
southwest of Butler. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Butler, Charing, and Mauk.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3250 8451 3256 8443 3256 8441 3257 8441
      3267 8428 3249 8416 3241 8443
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 241DEG 3KT 3247 8442

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
442 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

GAZ058-070-071-092115-
Butts GA-Lamar GA-Monroe GA-
442 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Monroe,
southern Butts and northeastern Lamar Counties through 515 PM EDT...

At 442 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over High Falls State Park,
or 9 miles south of Jackson, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Flovilla, Berner, High Falls State Park, Indian Springs State Park,
Blount, and Chappel Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3328 8387 3314 8381 3313 8382 3313 8385
      3309 8408 3320 8412
TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 255DEG 19KT 3316 8400

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
449 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

GAZ079-089>091-092115-
Chattahoochee GA-Marion GA-Talbot GA-Muscogee GA-
449 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Marion,
east central Muscogee, northeastern Chattahoochee and southwestern
Talbot Counties through 515 PM EDT...

At 449 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Eelbeck/West Fort
Benning, or 12 miles north of Cusseta, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Geneva, North Fort Benning, Upatoi, Box Springs, Marion Estates,
Juniper, and Eelbeck/West Fort Benning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3244 8480 3254 8481 3262 8456 3253 8450
      3244 8456
TIME...MOT...LOC 2049Z 267DEG 8KT 3249 8475

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
456 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

GAZ045>048-092130-
Walton GA-Rockdale GA-DeKalb GA-Newton GA-
456 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Rockdale,
southeastern DeKalb, western Walton and northern Newton Counties
through 530 PM EDT...

At 456 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Lakeview Estates, or
near Conyers, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Conyers, Covington, Loganville, Social Circle, Oxford, Lithonia,
Walnut Grove, Between, Jersey, Lakeview Estates, Georgia
International Horse Park, Windsor, Almon, Milstead, Youth, Arabia
Mountain, Big Haynes Creek Park, Redan, Gum Creek, and Belmont.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3362 8370 3357 8413 3374 8417 3378 8408
      3375 8402 3387 8387 3390 8381
TIME...MOT...LOC 2056Z 256DEG 24KT 3368 8406

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
505 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

GAZ050-059>061-071>073-092130-
Putnam GA-Monroe GA-Baldwin GA-Hancock GA-Jones GA-Jasper GA-
Greene GA-
505 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern Baldwin,
Putnam, northwestern Hancock, northeastern Monroe, south central
Greene, northern Jones and southern Jasper Counties through 530 PM
EDT...

At 505 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Phoenix to near Stanfordville to Juliette, and
moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Milledgeville, Eatonton, Sparta, Phoenix, Meriwether, Ethridge,
Devereux, Bradley, Wayside, Berner, Resseaus Crossroads, Round Oak,
Oconee Springs Park, Warfield, Willard, Rockville, Plant Harlee
Branch, Hillsboro, Shoulderbone, and Juliette.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3311 8317 3302 8360 3314 8397 3320 8384
      3318 8382 3319 8381 3321 8382 3344 8331
      3334 8289
TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 280DEG 21KT 3336 8328 3317 8353 3311 8380

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
518 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

GAZ094-095-092145-
Peach GA-Houston GA-
518 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Peach
and central Houston Counties through 545 PM EDT...

At 518 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Meadowdale, or over
Perry, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Perry, Warner Robins, Moss Oak, Meadowdale, Sand Bed, Houston Lake,
Bonaire, Grove Park, Kathleen, and Clinchfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3237 8381 3249 8382 3258 8361 3253 8355
      3239 8356
TIME...MOT...LOC 2118Z 247DEG 13KT 3243 8377

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH