Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2026

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 13, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

March 10, 20264 counties in Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 10, 2026, 6:19 PM CDT for 4 counties in Texas. It was in force for 56 min. 8 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Mar 10, 2026, 6:19 PM CDT (23:19 UTC)
Expired
Mar 10, 2026, 7:15 PM CDT
In force
56 min
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Hail
2.5 in
Wind
70.0 mph

Counties Edwards County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Real County, TX, Uvalde County, TX

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Mar 10, 6:36 PM CDTHAIL 13 Wsw Camp Wood, TXHail up to 1 inch in diameter. Time estimated via radar.
Mar 10, 6:40 PM CDTHAIL 2Camp Wood, TXPicture received of approximately 2 inch diameter hail.
Mar 10, 6:45 PM CDTTSTM WND GST 664 N Montell, TXMesonet station EA002 3.9 N Montell (EAA).
Mar 10, 6:45 PM CDTHAIL 4.52 S Camp Wood, TXGrapefruit sized hail reported.
Mar 10, 7:00 PM CDTHAIL 31 S Leakey, TX
Mar 10, 7:05 PM CDTHAIL 43 S Leakey, TXMeasured near Walter White Ranch Road.
Mar 10, 7:08 PM CDTHAIL 31 N Rio Frio, TX
Mar 10, 7:21 PM CDTHAIL 4.51 S Leakey, TXDelayed report.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 7 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 17 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Mar 10, 3:13 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2026-03-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 661 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2026-03-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 226 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
661 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-270 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1086 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
226 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
254 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

076 
WUUS54 KEWX 102319
SVREWX
TXC137-271-385-463-110015-
/O.NEW.KEWX.SV.W.0013.260310T2319Z-260311T0015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
619 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

The National Weather Service in Austin San Antonio has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northeastern Kinney County in south central Texas...
  Northwestern Uvalde County in south central Texas...
  South central Edwards County in south central Texas...
  Southern Real County in south central Texas...

* Until 715 PM CDT.

* At 619 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles southwest
  of Camp Wood, or 24 miles northeast of Brackettville, moving east
  at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Tennis ball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
           damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
           considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
           mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

* Locations impacted include...
  Leakey, Camp Wood, Montell, Barksdale, Garner State Park, Tuff, Rio
  Frio, Reagan Wells, Concan, and Lost Maples State Natural Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
Texas.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This storm is producing destructive winds and large damaging hail.
SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows!

This is a dangerous storm, capable of producing large hail driven by
severe winds! SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay
away from windows! If you are caught outdoors, cover your head and
neck.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 2991 9969 2990 9961 2949 9960 2950 10024
      2964 10027 2992 9969
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 254DEG 32KT 2961 10016 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

62
5 follow-up statements
556 
WWUS54 KEWX 102338
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
638 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

TXC271-102348-
/O.CAN.KEWX.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-260311T0015Z/
Kinney TX-
638 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN KINNEY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
Texas.

LAT...LON 2991 9969 2990 9961 2951 9960 2949 9993
      2950 10011 2971 10012 2992 9970
TIME...MOT...LOC 2338Z 251DEG 25KT 2965 10004 

$$

TXC137-385-463-110015-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-260311T0015Z/
Uvalde TX-Edwards TX-Real TX-
638 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN UVALDE...SOUTH CENTRAL EDWARDS AND SOUTHERN REAL
COUNTIES...

At 638 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Camp Wood, or
17 miles west of Leakey, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tennis ball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Leakey, Camp Wood, Montell, Barksdale, Garner State Park, Tuff, Rio
Frio, Reagan Wells, Concan, and Lost Maples State Natural Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
Texas.

This storm is producing destructive winds and large damaging hail.
SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

This is a dangerous storm, capable of producing large hail driven by
severe winds! SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay
away from windows! If you are caught outdoors, cover your head and
neck.

&&

LAT...LON 2991 9969 2990 9961 2951 9960 2949 9993
      2950 10011 2971 10012 2992 9970
TIME...MOT...LOC 2338Z 251DEG 25KT 2965 10004 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

62
361 
WWUS54 KEWX 102346
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
646 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

TXC137-102356-
/O.CAN.KEWX.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-260311T0015Z/
Edwards TX-
646 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL EDWARDS COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
Texas.

LAT...LON 2951 9960 2950 9967 2953 10003 2962 10003
      2963 10001 2966 10003 2968 10002 2969 10004
      2972 10004 2972 10002 2973 10003 2989 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 2346Z 254DEG 32KT 2967 9996 

$$

TXC385-463-110015-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-260311T0015Z/
Uvalde TX-Real TX-
646 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN UVALDE AND SOUTHERN REAL COUNTIES...

At 646 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Camp Wood, or
12 miles west of Leakey, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Leakey, Camp Wood, Montell, Garner State Park, Tuff, Rio Frio, Reagan
Wells, Concan, Barksdale, and Lost Maples State Natural Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
Texas.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This storm is producing destructive winds and large damaging hail.
SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 2951 9960 2950 9967 2953 10003 2962 10003
      2963 10001 2966 10003 2968 10002 2969 10004
      2972 10004 2972 10002 2973 10003 2989 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 2346Z 254DEG 32KT 2967 9996 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

62
514 
WWUS54 KEWX 102350
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
650 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

TXC385-463-110015-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-260311T0015Z/
Uvalde TX-Real TX-
650 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN UVALDE AND SOUTHERN REAL COUNTIES...

At 649 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Camp Wood, or
10 miles west of Leakey, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Two inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. Egg sized hail was reported near 
         Camp Wood.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Leakey, Camp Wood, Montell, Garner State Park, Tuff, Rio Frio, Reagan
Wells, Concan, Barksdale, and Lost Maples State Natural Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
Texas.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This storm is producing destructive winds and large damaging hail.
SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 2951 9960 2950 9967 2953 10003 2962 10003
      2963 10001 2966 10003 2968 10002 2969 10004
      2972 10004 2972 10002 2973 10003 2989 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 2349Z 254DEG 32KT 2968 9992 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

62
885 
WWUS54 KEWX 102356
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
656 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

TXC385-463-110015-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-260311T0015Z/
Uvalde TX-Real TX-
656 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL UVALDE AND SOUTHEASTERN REAL COUNTIES...

At 655 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Leakey, moving
east at 40 mph.

THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR LEAKEY.

HAZARD...Baseball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. Egg sized hail was reported near 
         Camp Wood.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be severely injured. 
         Expect shattered windows, extensive damage to roofs, 
         siding, and vehicles.

Locations impacted include...
Leakey, Garner State Park, Tuff, Rio Frio, and Lost Maples State
Natural Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
Texas.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This storm is producing destructive winds and large damaging hail.
SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

This is a dangerous storm, capable of producing large hail driven by
severe winds! SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay
away from windows! If you are caught outdoors, cover your head and
neck.

&&

LAT...LON 2958 9992 2975 9995 2989 9961 2959 9960
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 260DEG 33KT 2968 9985 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

62
804 
WWUS54 KEWX 110004
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
704 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

TXC463-110014-
/O.CAN.KEWX.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-260311T0015Z/
Uvalde TX-
704 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL UVALDE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
Texas.

LAT...LON 2963 9960 2962 9965 2963 9985 2976 9987
      2986 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0004Z 254DEG 32KT 2970 9976 

$$

TXC385-110015-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-260311T0015Z/
Real TX-
704 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN REAL COUNTY...

At 704 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Leakey, moving
east at 35 mph.

THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR LEAKEY AND ALONG HIGHWAY 83 NORTH OF 
GARNER STATE PARK..

HAZARD...Softball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. Near or greater than 3.5 inch 
         hail was reported in Camp Wood..

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be severely injured. 
         Expect shattered windows, extensive damage to roofs, 
         siding, and vehicles.

Locations impacted include...
Leakey, Tuff, Rio Frio, and Lost Maples State Natural Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
Texas.

This storm is producing destructive winds and large damaging hail.
SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

This is a dangerous storm, capable of producing large hail driven by
severe winds! SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay
away from windows! If you are caught outdoors, cover your head and
neck.

&&

LAT...LON 2963 9960 2962 9965 2963 9985 2976 9987
      2986 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0004Z 254DEG 32KT 2970 9976 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...4.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

62

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 10, 3:24 PM CDT, 2 hours 55 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • There is a level 3 of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms over the southern Edwards Plateau into western Hill Country late this afternoon into tonight; all severe hazards are possible.
  • The severe weather risk decreases to level 1 to 2 farther east towards the I-35 corridor tonight; main severe hazards will be large hail and damaging winds.
  • There is a level 1 to 2 risk for locally heavy rainfall and isolated flash flooding across the southern Edwards Plateau, Hill Country and into the northern I-35 corridor through Wednesday morning.
  • Dry weather pattern Thursday through the rest of the period; Slightly cooler Thursday behind Pacific front then warmer through the weekend.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 3:24 PM CDT, 2 hours 55 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
324 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...New UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- There is a level 3 of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms over the
southern Edwards Plateau into western Hill Country late this
afternoon into tonight; all severe hazards are possible.

- The severe weather risk decreases to level 1 to 2 farther east
towards the I-35 corridor tonight; main severe hazards will be large
hail and damaging winds.

- There is a level 1 to 2 risk for locally heavy rainfall and
isolated flash flooding across the southern Edwards Plateau, Hill
Country and into the northern I-35 corridor through Wednesday
morning.

- Dry weather pattern Thursday through the rest of the period;
Slightly cooler Thursday behind Pacific front then warmer through
the weekend.

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 120 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

The upper low will be moving over western Texas late this afternoon
and moving across the region overnight into Wednesday. Deep moisture
ahead of the dryline west of our area will keep rain chances across
most of South Central Texas today excluding the coastal plains.
Thunderstorms may develop over the northern I-35 corridor early this
afternoon, but capping would keep any activity isolated with most
models keeping the cap in place. That said, severe weather would be
possible with any isolated thunderstorm during this time with all
hazards possible.

The bulk of activity is still expected to begin over West Texas into
Val Verde County towards late afternoon and continue into the
overnight hours. To note, this is a bit sooner than previous
forecasts for initial development in the west. All modes of severe
weather are in play later this afternoon and evening with an
environment favorable for very large hail greater than 2 inches,
damaging winds up to 75 mph and even some tornadoes. Storms will
initially be supercellular, then form into a line along the Pacific
cold front moving west to east across the CWA. Low level parameters
remain favorable for tornado risk through late tonight especially if
any cells remain discrete ahead of the main line. Even when storms
form into a line and strong wind potential increases, brief
tornadoes cannot be ruled out mainly over the southern Edwards
Plateau and Hill Country. As storms continue to move east late
tonight, weakening instability may diminish severe thunderstorm
intensity as they approach the I-35 corridor sometime near or after
midnight.

Backtracking slightly to talk about heavy rain, the level 2 to 4
risk for excessive rainfall remains over the southern Edwards
Plateau but has been expanded further east into all of the Hill
Country and portions of the northern I-35 corridor. Heavy downpours
will accompany any storms today into tonight. Guidance has been
consistent with heavy rain over the southern Edwards Plateau tonight
with HREF guidance indicating local amounts from 2 to 4 inches which
may lead to flash flooding over this area. We will have to monitor
how storms trend tonight, but overall as storm intensity decreases
late tonight and early Wednesday morning the heavy rain threat will
also decrease. Rain amounts will vary across the area with perhaps
some locations in the Rio Grande Plains missing out entirely on rain.

The upper low deepens slightly as it moves over South Central Texas
Wednesday morning and is slightly slower to exit the area. Rain
chances linger over the I-35 corridor and coastal plains tomorrow
morning, with wrap around showers and thunderstorms over portions of
the northern I-35 corridor and coastal plains into the afternoon. A
few storms could become strong to marginally severe tomorrow with
large hail and damaging wind gusts the main hazards. Dry conditions
are expected by Wednesday evening bringing the end of rain chances
to our area for the rest of the short and long term forecast.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 318 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

We have issued a Tornado Watch in collaboration with SPC for Val
Verde County and portions of the southern Edwards Plateau through
10 PM CDT. All hazards possible including large to very large
hail, isolated tornadoes and damaging wind gusts of 60 mph and up
to 80 mph.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 120 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

The upper low will be moving over western Texas late this afternoon
and moving across the region overnight into Wednesday. Deep moisture
ahead of the dryline west of our area will keep rain chances across
most of South Central Texas today excluding the coastal plains.
Thunderstorms may develop over the northern I-35 corridor early this
afternoon, but capping would keep any activity isolated with most
models keeping the cap in place. That said, severe weather would be
possible with any isolated thunderstorm during this time with all
hazards possible.

The bulk of activity is still expected to begin over West Texas into
Val Verde County towards late afternoon and continue into the
overnight hours. To note, this is a bit sooner than previous
forecasts for initial development in the west. All modes of severe
weather are in play later this afternoon and evening with an
environment favorable for very large hail greater than 2 inches,
damaging winds up to 75 mph and even some tornadoes. Storms will
initially be supercellular, then form into a line along the Pacific
cold front moving west to east across the CWA. Low level parameters
remain favorable for tornado risk through late tonight especially if
any cells remain discrete ahead of the main line. Even when storms
form into a line and strong wind potential increases, brief
tornadoes cannot be ruled out mainly over the southern Edwards
Plateau and Hill Country. As storms continue to move east late
tonight, weakening instability may diminish severe thunderstorm
intensity as they approach the I-35 corridor sometime near or after
midnight.

Backtracking slightly to talk about heavy rain, the level 2 to 4
risk for excessive rainfall remains over the southern Edwards
Plateau but has been expanded further east into all of the Hill
Country and portions of the northern I-35 corridor. Heavy downpours
will accompany any storms today into tonight. Guidance has been
consistent with heavy rain over the southern Edwards Plateau tonight
with HREF guidance indicating local amounts from 2 to 4 inches which
may lead to flash flooding over this area. We will have to monitor
how storms trend tonight, but overall as storm intensity decreases
late tonight and early Wednesday morning the heavy rain threat will
also decrease. Rain amounts will vary across the area with perhaps
some locations in the Rio Grande Plains missing out entirely on rain.

The upper low deepens slightly as it moves over South Central Texas
Wednesday morning and is slightly slower to exit the area. Rain
chances linger over the I-35 corridor and coastal plains tomorrow
morning, with wrap around showers and thunderstorms over portions of
the northern I-35 corridor and coastal plains into the afternoon. A
few storms could become strong to marginally severe tomorrow with
large hail and damaging wind gusts the main hazards. Dry conditions
are expected by Wednesday evening bringing the end of rain chances
to our area for the rest of the short and long term forecast.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 120 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

Dry weather is expected for the long term period. Cooler weather is
expected Thursday with another day by day warming trend through the
weekend. The warmest day of the week is forecast Sunday but will
need to watch the timing of the next cold front which is expected to
move across the area Sunday night. A big cool down is expected for
the start of next week bringing temperatures closer to seasonable
levels for mid-March.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 120 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

Low clouds continue to lift and scatter, with VFR expected to return
along the I-35 corridor by 19Z. Will continue to monitor convective
trends this afternoon for some TSRA along I-35 near KAUS. Current
data tends to favor areas west/north of Austin for TSRA, so we will
not mention any convection in the forecast through this afternoon.
Convective trends will increase this evening and into the overnight
hours, with DRT likely seeing the first round of TSRA late this
afternoon and evening. The I-35 sites can expect a later arrival and
only minor changes have been made to the timing of PROB30 groups.
We did opt to increase to a TEMPO group for KAUS in the 10-14Z
period. Once the line of convection clears to the east, KDRT, KSAT
and KSSF should remain free of precipitation. Will add VCSH to
KAUS after 21Z as an upper low in the vicinity along with daytime
heating could allow for some more convection Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              64  82  48  69 /  80  40  10   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  63  82  46  68 /  70  50  10   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     62  83  48  69 /  70  50  10   0
Burnet Muni Airport            60  79  45  67 /  90  30  10   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           59  87  52  74 /  80   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        62  79  45  67 /  80  40  10   0
Hondo Muni Airport             60  83  46  72 /  90  20   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        62  83  47  70 /  70  50  10   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   68  81  49  68 /  50  70  20   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       64  83  50  70 /  80  30   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           65  84  51  71 /  70  30   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...Platt

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 10, 4:58 PM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
458 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

TXZ183-102245-
Val Verde TX-
458 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern Val
Verde County through 545 PM CDT...

At 458 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 19 miles south of Ozona to 12 miles southwest
of Pumpville. Movement was northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Langtry, Juno, Shumla, Pumpville, and Pandale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 2998 10176 3029 10155 3028 10095 2974 10141
      2977 10140 2975 10144 2978 10145 2979 10147
      2976 10154 2981 10154 2980 10157 2977 10158
      2977 10163 2976 10164 2977 10166 2976 10171
      2978 10176
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 233DEG 14KT 3043 10122 2979 10184

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

62
Local storm report, Mar 10, 5:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
500 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0453 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     2 WNW Del Rio           29.38N 100.93W
03/10/2026  M74 MPH          Val Verde          TX   ASOS

            ASOS station KDRT Del Rio Intl Airport.

&&

HT
Local storm report, Mar 10, 5:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
503 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0501 PM     Hail             2 SE Lake View          29.43N 100.91W
03/10/2026  M1.00 Inch       Val Verde          TX   Public

            Report from mPING. Quarter (1.00 in.).

&&

HT
Local storm report, Mar 10, 5:18 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
518 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0512 PM     Hail             2 SE Lake View          29.43N 100.91W
03/10/2026  E1.25 Inch       Val Verde          TX   Public

            Report from mPING. Half Dollar 1.25 in.

&&

HT
Local storm report, Mar 10, 5:26 PM CDT, 53 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
526 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0523 PM     Hail             5 NE Del Rio            29.41N 100.84W
03/10/2026  E1.75 Inch       Val Verde          TX   Public

            Report from mPING. Golf Ball 1.75 in.

&&

HT
Local storm report, Mar 10, 5:57 PM CDT, 22 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
557 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     Tornado          9 ENE Laughlin AFB      29.40N 100.65W
03/10/2026                   Kinney             TX   Storm Chaser

            Picture received of brief tornado touchdown
            over open county, north of U.S. 90. Location
            estimated.

&&

JR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 10, 4:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXVal Verde44 min
Mar 10, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXVal Verde60 min
Mar 10, 4:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXVal Verde47 min
Mar 10, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatEWXEdwards, Kinney, Val Verde72 min
Mar 10, 5:26 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXVal Verde7 hr
Mar 10, 5:31 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXKinney, Val Verde44 min
Mar 10, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXVal Verde25 min
Mar 10, 6:05 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXKinney, Val Verde2 hr
Mar 10, 6:05 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXEdwards, Kinney, Real, Uvalde40 min
Mar 10, 6:34 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXBandera, Real, Uvalde41 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2026Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.