Severe Thunderstorm Warning 124, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

259 
WWUS54 KEWX 231336
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
836 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXC013-029-325-493-231345-
/O.CAN.KEWX.SV.W.0124.000000T0000Z-260523T1415Z/
Medina TX-Atascosa TX-Wilson TX-Bexar TX-
836 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL MEDINA...
NORTHWESTERN ATASCOSA...NORTHWESTERN WILSON AND SOUTHERN BEXAR
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe 
limits. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However small 
hail, gusty winds and heavy rain are still possible with this 
thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 2922 9894 2939 9889 2938 9812 2936 9811
      2938 9809 2938 9804 2905 9803
TIME...MOT...LOC 1333Z 272DEG 46KT 2929 9861 

$$

17

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
554 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Flood Watch remains in effect for the holiday weekend.

- Locally heavy rain in multiple rounds of storms through Monday.
Localized flash flooding is likely.

- Active and unsettled weather pattern to continue into at least
late Wednesday with addition localized flooding issues possible.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 1242 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

Broad upper troughing is keeping the pattern active in the short-
term, and today's relatively more quiet day is not turning out quite
as quiet as we'd hoped. A line of storms looked like it was on it's
last legs but was able to rebound a bit while moving through
Kerrville towards San Antonio. Motion is about 35 mph so the threat
of run-off issues will be relatively low despite the Flood Watch in
effect. Expected rainfall amounts should be mainly 1/4 to 1 inch
with the higher amounts expected to go over along the Guadalupe
basin where totals were relatively lighter over the past 2 days.
Another, stronger, cluster of storms moving toward San Saba had
recent severe storm warning issuances, and could provide a more
significant localized flood threat as this cluster appears to be in
line to impact recently flood stricken areas of NE Llano, northern
Burnet and NW Williamson Counties. It also could produce similar
type of rainfall amounts with is forward speed also around 35 mph.
The southern line continuing to strengthen, could propagate
northward enough to connect with the other cluster should both hold
together long enough to reach the Austin area. With all that said
will make some early short range changes and perhaps discount some
the midday rainfall potential as this activity overall is trending
toward a nocturnal-friendly environment. This means the high rain
chances expected for Saturday into Saturday evening will be lowered
to account for the late night preferences.

Messaging for our Situation Reports for today and tonight will be
extra complicated as we aren't really able to get into expected QPF
specifics outside of daily amounts and storm totals. While today and
tonight trends will probably have to be dumbed down to a 50-50 shot,
a larger disturbance arrives for daytime Sunday, making Sunday, the
most likely period were a larger scale flood event could take place.
We think our Sunday PoPs might be running a bit low given what the
latest deterministic runs are showing, but at the same time we don't
want to stray too far from the blends, as seemingly all models have
been struggling with this pattern at one time or another. Messaging
therefore continues as a daily risk of 1 to 2 isolated 3 and storm
totals ending Sunday that could reach 6 inches. This means some of
our totals if you go back to Tuesday's start, will be
underestimated. For instance, a near 6 inch report was received on
the first night at Florence, so they may end up with closer to 10
inches by Monday. However, going to those higher amounts would be
confusing, and the isolated 6 inch messaging continues to cover the
current time up through Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 1242 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

Sunday night will appear as if the storm activity will take a break
as the mid to upper level low sits over East TX leaving far East TX
and LA as the likely locations for widespread heavy rains. However,
this time of year and the Pwat amounts likely to still be in the
area could lead to unstable NW Flow aloft storms which might favor
nocturnal traits similar to what we're getting right now. There is
also some deterministic model tendencies of showing the upper low
retrograding and wobbling back west at some point during this
general Sunday night to Monday period, which would also send PoP
trends back up. If benign weather settles by Sunday night, then
Monday's pattern might suggest a continued respite through the
afternoon while a weak shortwave mid to upper ridge works east
across the area. We'll not know these trends until Sunday afternoon
at the earliest, so there's no reason to pull back on the Watch and
the messaging for Monday.

By Tuesday morning, the unstable SW flow pattern comes right back
for another round of stormy weather that could continue through
Wednesday night. Our highest PoPs of the week center on this period
with the deterministic runs all in good agreement of peak activity
around 12Z Wednesday. By daytime Thursday, the deterministic model
runs also look to show some good agreement on a slightly better
shortwave mid to upper level ridge over TX that could potentially
get us a few stable weather days Thursday through Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 550 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

Early morning cloud cover and convection has disrupted low cloud
development at area TAF sites. We have scaled back to TEMPO groups
for this morning as some low clouds will likely still develop
between breaks in convection. We will continue to mention some
PROB30 groups for afternoon convection at all sites, but this may
need to be altered pending current convective trends and incoming
hi-res model guidance.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              86  69  84  69 /  50  50  40  10
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  85  69  84  69 /  60  50  40  10
New Braunfels Muni Airport     85  67  84  67 /  50  60  50  10
Burnet Muni Airport            83  67  82  66 /  50  50  40  10
Del Rio Intl Airport           88  68  91  70 /  20  20  10  10
Georgetown Muni Airport        84  68  82  67 /  50  50  40  10
Hondo Muni Airport             83  66  85  67 /  50  60  40  30
San Marcos Muni Airport        85  68  84  68 /  60  60  50  10
La Grange - Fayette Regional   86  69  82  68 /  70  60  60  20
San Antonio Intl Airport       84  69  86  69 /  50  60  50  10
Stinson Muni Airport           84  68  85  69 /  50  60  50  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Monday evening for TXZ171>173-186>194-
204>209-219>225.

&&

SHORT TERM...18
LONG TERM....18
AVIATION...Platt

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
226 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXZ209-223>225-230815-
Lavaca TX-De Witt TX-Fayette TX-Gonzales TX-
226 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of DeWitt, northeastern
Gonzales, south central Fayette and Lavaca Counties through 315 AM
CDT...

At 226 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles southeast of Waelder to near Yoakum to
near Yorktown. Movement was east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Cuero, Yoakum, Schulenburg, Hallettsville, Yorktown, Shiner, Moulton,
Sublime, Thomaston, Ezzell, Hochheim, Speaks, Komensky, Worthing,
Henkhaus, Edgar, Terryville, Engle, Meyersville, and Dilworth.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2906 9694 2910 9698 2887 9730 2892 9742
      2882 9758 2885 9761 2923 9738 2964 9735
      2972 9679 2963 9687 2961 9684 2958 9683
      2958 9679 2934 9656
TIME...MOT...LOC 0726Z 254DEG 33KT 2962 9725 2924 9710 2890 9751

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

62

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
420 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXZ184-231000-
Edwards TX-
420 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of western Edwards
County through 500 AM CDT...

At 420 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles north of Loma Alta, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Rocksprings and Us-277 Near The Sutton-Edwards County Line.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3029 10013 2977 10026 2993 10070 3029 10070
TIME...MOT...LOC 0920Z 292DEG 33KT 3007 10071

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Platt

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
424 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXZ183-184-202-231015-
Kinney TX-Val Verde TX-Edwards TX-
424 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Kinney,
southwestern Edwards and east central Val Verde Counties through 515
AM CDT...

At 424 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles west of Carta Valley, or 11 miles south of Loma Alta, moving
east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Loma Alta, Carta Valley, Devils Shores, Vinegarone, Kickapoo Cavern
State Park, and Devils River State Nat Area Big Satan.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2963 10096 2997 10082 2976 10024 2940 10045
TIME...MOT...LOC 0924Z 292DEG 33KT 2976 10080

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Platt

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
504 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXZ184>186-231045-
Kerr TX-Edwards TX-Real TX-
504 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern Kerr,
central Edwards and western Real Counties through 545 AM CDT...

At 504 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles southwest of Telegraph to 15 miles east
of Carta Valley. Movement was east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Rocksprings, Camp Wood, Barksdale, Vance, Us-83 Near The Kerr-
Kimble County Line, Us-377 Near The Kimble-
Edwards County Line, and Devil's Sinkhole State Natural Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3029 9958 2966 9997 2986 10054 3029 10018
TIME...MOT...LOC 1004Z 286DEG 31KT 3026 10003 2984 10042

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Platt

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
729 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXZ204-231315-
Medina TX-
729 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Medina
County through 815 AM CDT...

At 728 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Hondo, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Hondo, Castroville, Pearson, Noonan, New Fountain, Quihi, Dunlay, Rio
Medina, Bader, and D'Hanis.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2935 9930 2954 9925 2948 9881 2919 9888
TIME...MOT...LOC 1228Z 290DEG 27KT 2941 9919

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

17

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
807 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

TXZ204-205-220-231345-
Atascosa TX-Bexar TX-Medina TX-
807 AM CDT Sat May 23 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Medina,
northwestern Atascosa and southwestern Bexar Counties through 845 AM
CDT...

At 806 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Bader, or near Castroville, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
San Antonio, Castroville, Stinson Municipal Airport, Lytle, Somerset,
Natalia, Lacoste, Lackland AFB, Noonan, Quihi, Dunlay, Pearson, Rio
Medina, Bader, Sea World, Von Ormy, Mitchell Lake, Macdona, Thelma,
and Mangus Corner.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2925 9906 2946 9905 2945 9848 2909 9848
TIME...MOT...LOC 1306Z 284DEG 28KT 2934 9894

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

17