Flash Flood Warning 94, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

834 
WGUS74 KEWX 170836
FFSEWX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
336 AM CDT Fri Jul 17 2026

TXC019-265-385-170846-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FF.W.0094.000000T0000Z-260717T0845Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Bandera TX-Kerr TX-Real TX-
336 AM CDT Fri Jul 17 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN BANDERA, WEST CENTRAL KERR 
AND EASTERN REAL COUNTIES HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A FLOOD ADVISORY...

&&

LAT...LON 2963 9961 2962 10001 3007 9969 2992 9950

$$

62

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
635 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 634 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

-Periods of intense rain rates and compounding effects from multiple
rounds of storms is resulting in a dangerous flash flood threat that
continues through Friday, particularly over the Hill Country,
southern Edwards Plateau and portions of the Rio Grande Plains.

- Considerable to locally catastrophic impacts from flash flooding
and river flooding ongoing.

-Moderate to major flooding ongoing/forecast for the Pedernales,
 Frio, Medina, Guadalupe, San Antonio, and Nueces River Basins.

- Heed instructions from local officials and be prepared to seek
  higher ground if necessary.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

Significant flash flooding and river flooding is ongoing across a
large portion of South Central Texas as heavy rain with with locally
intense rainfall rates continues today. Considerable to locally
catastrophic flash flooding along the U.S. 90 corridor west of San
Antonio including the southern Edwards Plateau, Rio Grande, and
western Hill Country is ongoing in addition to mainstem river
flooding in a majority of river basins with impacts from floodwater
moving downstream. The Flood Watch has been extended in time through
Friday morning for the Hill Country, Rio Grande Plains and southern
Edwards Plateau as additional pockets of heavy rain are forecast
tonight. With the heavy rain threat shifting west, the Flash Flood
Watch along the I-35 corridor has been cancelled.

While there may be a somewhat lull in activity this afternoon and
evening, some redevelopment tonight is expected with additional
pockets of rain up to around 8 inches possible favored over some of
the already hardest hit areas over the southern Edwards Plateau, Rio
Grande Plains possibly into the portions of the western Hill
Country. Models do indicate that activity may be more scattered
than previous nights, though any additional rainfall will
exacerbate the ongoing flooding. Because of how saturated soils
are, even rates of 0.5 to 1 inch per hour will be sufficient to
trigger flash flooding that will again rapidly accumulate into
creeks, rivers and arroyos across the area.

There should be a decline in activity Friday as the mid-level trough
in West Texas weakens. However, elevated moisture will still linger
over the area Friday so at least some additional activity,
particularly over our far western counties cannot be ruled out
during the day or overnight into Saturday morning.

Safety messaging:

Rivers, creeks, and arroyos can rise suddenly and rapidly! Locally
dry conditions near creeks and rivers should not be treated as a
guarantee of your safety! Normally dry areas can flood in these
conditions. Heed warnings, instructions from local and county
officials, and avoid unnecessary travel. Flash flooding can be
impossible to spot at night. Avoid flooded roadways. Conditions can
change drastically and suddenly. Have multiple reliable ways to
receive warnings and information from local/state officials both in
the daytime and at night. If you are in a low-lying location or near
a stream, have a plan and have a route to reach higher ground if
needed.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Thursday)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

Drier and warmer conditions return this weekend into early next
week. High temperatures steadily climb back into the 90s for almost
all of South Central Texas by Tuesday as a mid-level ridge builds
over the area. Heat index values will be around 100 to 105 degrees
for a majority of locations next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 634 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

Chance for vicinity thunder lingers a couple of hours, but most
activity should transition to mainly showers after 02Z. Lowering
ceilings overnight could bring periods of MVFR conditions through
much of the morning hours, increasing heading into the early
afternoon period. Mainly south-southeast winds through the period,
with gusts to around 20kts during the afternoon and evening
hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              75  91  76  92 /  30   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  75  91  76  92 /  30   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     74  90  75  91 /  20   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            72  88  73  90 /  40  10   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           73  88  75  90 /  80  40  20   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        73  90  75  92 /  40   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             73  88  74  90 /  50  10  10   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        74  90  75  92 /  20  10   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   75  91  76  92 /  20   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       75  89  76  90 /  30   0  10   0
Stinson Muni Airport           75  90  76  91 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Friday morning for TXZ171-183>190-202>204-
217>219-228.

&&

SHORT TERM...27
LONG TERM....27
AVIATION...MFL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
523 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 AM     Flash Flood      Center Point            29.95N 99.04W
07/16/2026                   Kerr               TX   County Official

            *** 1 FATAL ***
            The Kerr County Sheriff’s Office confirmed a
            flash fatality. The victim was recovered in
            the Center Point vicinity. Time is
            estimated.

&&

JR

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
609 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 AM     Flash Flood      3 N Uvalde              29.26N 99.78W
07/16/2026                   Uvalde             TX   Law Enforcement

            *** 1 FATAL ***
            A vehicle was swept into flood waters along
            along U.S. 83 and CR 400 at the Leona River.
            A TX DPS Boat Team was able to approach the
            vehicle in the water and confirmed that a
            male occupant was deceased.

&&

JR