Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Warnings in 2026
Tornado Warning 34, NWS Quad Cities, IA
NWS Quad Cities, IA issued this tornado warning at Apr 17, 2026, 3:27 PM CDT for Carroll County, Jo Daviess County, Stephenson County, Illinois. It was in force for 48 min. 14 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 17, 2026, 3:27 PM CDT (20:27 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 17, 2026, 4:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 48 min
- Issued by
- NWS Quad Cities, IA
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Tornado
- Radar indicated
- Hail
- 1.5 in
Counties Carroll County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Stephenson County, IL
The radar
The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 3:32 PM CDT | TORNADO | 3 Nne Kent, IL | A high-end EF2, possible multi-vortex, tornado with estimated peak winds around 130 mph started along Highway 20, SW of Lena IL, and tracked through Lena before lifting just SW of McConnell. Extensive damage was noted to trees, with a lot of damage to roofs an |
| Apr 17, 3:32 PM CDT | TORNADO | 3 Nne Kent, IL | A high-end EF2, possible multi-vortex, tornado with estimated peak winds around 130 mph started along Highway 20, SW of Lena IL, and tracked through Lena before lifting just SW of McConnell. Extensive damage was noted to trees, with a lot of damage to roofs an |
| Apr 17, 3:36 PM CDT | TORNADO | 3 Nne Kent, IL | Corrects tornado start time from 3 NNE Kent. A high-end EF2, possible multi-vortex, tornado with estimated peak winds around 130 mph started along Highway 20, SW of Lena IL, and tracked through Lena before lifting just SW of McConnell. Extensive damage was not |
| Apr 17, 3:45 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | Lena, IL | Photos show structural damage to houses. Relayed via social media. Tornado possible. |
| Apr 17, 3:49 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Nne Stockton, IL | 3Ft tree down at the base. |
| Apr 17, 3:49 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Nne Stockton, IL | 3Ft tree down at the base. |
| Apr 17, 3:50 PM CDT | HAIL 1 | 1 S Nora, IL | Time estimated by radar. |
| Apr 17, 3:50 PM CDT | HAIL 1 | 1 S Nora, IL | Time estimated by radar. |
| Apr 17, 4:24 PM CDT | HAIL 1.75 | 1 N Dakota, IL | |
| Apr 17, 4:24 PM CDT | HAIL 1.75 | 1 N Dakota, IL | |
| Apr 17, 4:24 PM CDT | HAIL 3 | 2 W Dakota, IL | Report from mPING: Tea Cup (3.00 in.). |
| Apr 17, 4:24 PM CDT | HAIL 3 | 2 W Dakota, IL | Report from mPING: Tea Cup (3.00 in.). |
| Apr 17, 4:25 PM CDT | HAIL 1 | 3 Sw Winneshiek, IL | Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.). |
| Apr 17, 4:25 PM CDT | HAIL 1 | 3 Sw Winneshiek, IL | Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.). |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this tornado warning; the first came 5 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 12:40 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 258 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 84 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -150 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1053 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 27 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 65 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 164 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted.
252
WFUS53 KDVN 172027
TORDVN
ILC015-085-177-172115-
/O.NEW.KDVN.TO.W.0034.260417T2027Z-260417T2115Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
327 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
The National Weather Service in the Quad Cities has issued a
* Tornado Warning for...
Eastern Jo Daviess County in northwestern Illinois...
Northeastern Carroll County in northwestern Illinois...
Stephenson County in northwestern Illinois...
* Until 415 PM CDT.
* At 327 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Willow, or 14 miles north of Mount Carroll, moving
east at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.
* This dangerous storm will be near...
Lena, Pearl City, Loran, Kent, Eleroy, Willow, and Waddams Grove
around 330 PM CDT.
Lake Le-Aqua-na State Park and Bolton around 335 PM CDT.
Freeport, Scioto Mills, and Damascus around 340 PM CDT.
Cedarville and Red Oak around 345 PM CDT.
Other locations in the path of this tornadic thunderstorm include
Buena Vista, Mc Connell, Stephenson County Fairgrounds, Albertus
Airport, Dakota Dornink Airport, Winneshiek, Dakota and Afolkey.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.
To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
the Quad Cities.
&&
LAT...LON 4250 8950 4220 8951 4220 8969 4218 8969
4217 8999 4251 9001
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 265DEG 26KT 4231 8996
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
$$
McClure6 follow-up statements
388
WWUS53 KDVN 172041
SVSDVN
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
341 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
ILC015-085-177-172115-
/O.CON.KDVN.TO.W.0034.000000T0000Z-260417T2115Z/
Jo Daviess IL-Carroll IL-Stephenson IL-
341 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
JO DAVIESS...NORTHEASTERN CARROLL AND STEPHENSON COUNTIES...
At 341 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Lena, or 11 miles northwest of Freeport, moving east
at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.
This dangerous storm will be near...
Freeport, Lena, Cedarville, Winslow, Buena Vista, Eleroy, Mc
Connell, Red Oak, Scioto Mills, and Damascus around 345 PM CDT.
Other locations in the path of this tornadic thunderstorm include
Oneco, Orangeville, Dakota Dornink Airport, Dakota, Afolkey,
Winneshiek and Rock Grove.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.
Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!
If a tornado or other severe weather is spotted, report it to the
National Weather Service or your local nearest law enforcement agency
who will send your report. This act may save lives of others in the
path of dangerous weather.
&&
LAT...LON 4250 8950 4220 8951 4220 8969 4218 8969
4217 8999 4251 9001
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 262DEG 26KT 4237 8983
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
$$
McClure587
WWUS53 KDVN 172043 CCA
SVSDVN
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
343 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
ILC015-085-177-172115-
/O.COR.KDVN.TO.W.0034.000000T0000Z-260417T2115Z/
Jo Daviess IL-Carroll IL-Stephenson IL-
343 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
JO DAVIESS...NORTHEASTERN CARROLL AND STEPHENSON COUNTIES...
At 343 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Lena, or 11 miles northwest of Freeport, moving east at
25 mph.
This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
HAZARD...Damaging tornado.
SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.
IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.
The tornado will be near...
Freeport, Cedarville, Winslow, Buena Vista, Oneco, Orangeville,
Eleroy, Mc Connell, Red Oak, and Scioto Mills around 350 PM CDT.
Dakota Dornink Airport around 355 PM CDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.
Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!
If a tornado or other severe weather is spotted, report it to the
National Weather Service or your local nearest law enforcement agency
who will send your report. This act may save lives of others in the
path of dangerous weather.
&&
LAT...LON 4250 8950 4220 8951 4220 8969 4218 8969
4217 8999 4251 9001
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 258DEG 23KT 4237 8983
TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
$$
McClure347
WWUS53 KDVN 172047
SVSDVN
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
347 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
ILC015-172057-
/O.CAN.KDVN.TO.W.0034.000000T0000Z-260417T2115Z/
Carroll IL-
347 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has weakened.
moved out of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been
cancelled.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for northwestern
Illinois.
&&
LAT...LON 4250 8950 4223 8951 4223 8971 4222 8991
4251 9001
TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 258DEG 23KT 4238 8978
$$
ILC085-177-172115-
/O.CON.KDVN.TO.W.0034.000000T0000Z-260417T2115Z/
Jo Daviess IL-Stephenson IL-
347 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN JO DAVIESS AND STEPHENSON COUNTIES...
At 347 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Lena, or 9 miles northwest of Freeport, moving east at
25 mph.
This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
HAZARD...Damaging tornado.
SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.
IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.
The tornado will be near...
Freeport, Cedarville, Winslow, Buena Vista, Oneco, Orangeville, Mc
Connell, Red Oak, Scioto Mills, and Damascus around 350 PM CDT.
Afolkey and Dakota Dornink Airport around 355 PM CDT.
Dakota and Winneshiek around 400 PM CDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.
Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!
A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. Take
immediate tornado precautions. This is an emergency situation.
&&
LAT...LON 4250 8950 4223 8951 4223 8971 4222 8991
4251 9001
TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 258DEG 23KT 4238 8978
TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
$$
McClure352
WWUS53 KDVN 172051
SVSDVN
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
351 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
ILC085-177-172115-
/O.CON.KDVN.TO.W.0034.000000T0000Z-260417T2115Z/
Jo Daviess IL-Stephenson IL-
351 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN JO DAVIESS AND STEPHENSON COUNTIES...
At 350 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Mc Connell, or 9 miles northwest of Freeport, moving
east at 25 mph.
This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
HAZARD...Damaging tornado.
SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.
IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.
The tornado will be near...
Freeport, Cedarville, Buena Vista, Oneco, Orangeville, Mc Connell,
Red Oak, Scioto Mills, Afolkey, and Damascus around 355 PM CDT.
Dakota around 400 PM CDT.
Rock Grove and Winneshiek around 405 PM CDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.
Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!
A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. Take
immediate tornado precautions. This is an emergency situation.
&&
LAT...LON 4250 8950 4223 8951 4223 8971 4222 8991
4251 9001
TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 251DEG 22KT 4240 8976
TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
$$
McClure654
WWUS53 KDVN 172057
SVSDVN
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
357 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
ILC085-172107-
/O.CAN.KDVN.TO.W.0034.000000T0000Z-260417T2115Z/
Jo Daviess IL-
357 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN JO DAVIESS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for northwestern
Illinois.
&&
LAT...LON 4250 8950 4228 8951 4228 8987 4251 8992
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 246DEG 22KT 4243 8972
$$
ILC177-172115-
/O.CON.KDVN.TO.W.0034.000000T0000Z-260417T2115Z/
Stephenson IL-
357 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
STEPHENSON COUNTY...
At 357 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Mc Connell, or 10 miles northwest of Freeport, moving
northeast at 25 mph.
This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
HAZARD...Damaging tornado.
SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.
IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.
The tornado will be near...
Cedarville, Buena Vista, Oneco, Orangeville, Red Oak, Scioto
Mills, Afolkey, and Dakota Dornink Airport around 400 PM CDT.
Dakota and Rock Grove around 405 PM CDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.
Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!
A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. Take
immediate tornado precautions. This is an emergency situation.
&&
LAT...LON 4250 8950 4228 8951 4228 8987 4251 8992
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 246DEG 22KT 4243 8972
TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
$$
McClure385
WWUS53 KDVN 172104 RRA
SVSDVN
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
404 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
ILC177-172115-
/O.CON.KDVN.TO.W.0034.000000T0000Z-260417T2115Z/
Stephenson IL-
404 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
STEPHENSON COUNTY...
At 404 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Oneco, or 8 miles south of Monroe, moving northeast at
30 mph.
This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
HAZARD...Damaging tornado.
SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.
IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.
The tornado will be near...
Rock Grove, Afolkey, and Dakota Dornink Airport around 410 PM CDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.
Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!
A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. Take
immediate tornado precautions. This is an emergency situation.
&&
LAT...LON 4250 8950 4228 8951 4228 8981 4251 8982
TIME...MOT...LOC 2104Z 245DEG 25KT 4248 8966
TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
$$
McClureWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Quad Cities, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Apr 17, 1:11 PM CDT, 2 hours 16 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- A strong storm system will bring the threat for severe storms once again to our area through this evening. SPC continues to highlight nearly our entire area in an Enhanced Risk (level 3 of 5) for severe weather.
- A flood watch has been issued for much of the area through tonight for the potential of excessive rainfall with the final round of storms this afternoon/tonight. Soils across the area are saturated north of I-80 and very moist south of I-80.
- Much cooler conditions are expected this weekend. Unseasonably cool temperatures in the 30s Saturday night and Sunday night will bring the potential for frost/freeze, especially in our north.
- Area rivers are on the rise from the recent rounds of heavy rain, and heavy rainfall later today may push them even higher. Refer to the hydro section below for more details.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 17, 1:11 PM CDT, 2 hours 16 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
111 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A strong storm system will bring the threat for severe storms
once again to our area through this evening. SPC continues to
highlight nearly our entire area in an Enhanced Risk (level 3
of 5) for severe weather.
- A flood watch has been issued for much of the area through
tonight for the potential of excessive rainfall with the final
round of storms this afternoon/tonight. Soils across the area
are saturated north of I-80 and very moist south of I-80.
- Much cooler conditions are expected this weekend. Unseasonably cool
temperatures in the 30s Saturday night and Sunday night will
bring the potential for frost/freeze, especially in our north.
- Area rivers are on the rise from the recent rounds of heavy
rain, and heavy rainfall later today may push them even
higher. Refer to the hydro section below for more details.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 1252 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
Convective initiation has occurred across eastern Iowa. The
individual discrete cells will rapidly grow upscale into one or
more broken lines ahead of the cold front.
The atmosphere is becoming increasingly moist so the storms will
have plenty of fuel to produce heavy rainfall. The axis for the
heavier rain is somewhat narrow but rainfall amounts of an inch
in an hour will be possible with the stronger storms. Where
storms linger or repeat over the same areas, rainfall amounts
of 2 to 3 inches in a short time will be possible.
The pre-frontal line(s) of storms look to push east of the
Mississippi in the 6-8 PM time frame with the cold front
arriving during the mid to late evening hours. Very short range
models which had been pointing to a solid line of storms with
the front are now trending toward a scattered to broken line
with not much thunder associated with it. This 'may' be an
indication the convective allowing models are struggling with
the overall forcing from the upper level system.
The bulk of the rain looks to end across the area by midnight
but scattered rain showers along and immediately behind the
front will linger past midnight. However, the overall trend will
be decreasing areal coverage from west to east after midnight.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 306 AM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
Much colder air will continue to move into the area for the weekend
as a northwest flow pattern develops aloft. An area of high pressure
will build into the area Saturday night, which could set up our
first bout of frost/freeze conditions during the growing season.
There does appear to be a mid-level trough sweeping through the area
Saturday night, which could result in some cloud cover that could
keep our temperatures from falling too much, limiting our
frost/freeze potential. Despite this, the NBM probabilities of
freezing temperatures Saturday night are still around 50-80% along
and north of Interstate 80. Another night of frost/freeze conditions
are possible Sunday night as well, with similar exceedance
probabilities for freezing temperatures.
A quieter weather pattern will persist into early next week as a
broad upper ridge remains in place through the central US. A larger
trough begins to take shape across the western US into the latter
portion of the week. Therefore, some warming and a move toward some
smaller precipitation chances (20-40%) start to return to the area
by Thursday with a larger storm system potentially nearing the
region for Friday.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
Convective initiation has begun over eastern Iowa with surface
winds gusting to 30 knots. Very short range models indicate
rapid upscale growth of TSRA through 00z/18. Discrete TSRA cells
will grow upscale into a line that congeals along the
Mississippi River by 00z/18. Based on forecast soundings,
probability is high for wind gusts over 50 knots with the
discrete cells and as the line forms. By 06z/18 the cold front
will have swept through the area with widespread MVFR conditions
and winds gusting up to 25 knots.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 1136 AM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026
Discussion...
Over the past five days, multiple rounds of heavy rain have
impacted eastern Iowa, northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin.
Rainfall amounts have run from 2 to 5 inches of rain; much of
this rain has been north of Highway 30.
Another round of heavy rain is forecast this afternoon and
evening with amounts running from a half inch to around 1.5
inches. With area soils running from moist to near saturation,
this additional rainfall will quickly run off into area
waterways resulting in new or increased river flooding along
with the potential for flash flooding.
Much of this rain is forecast to fall across southeast Iowa,
west central Illinois and into northern Illinois. River basins
impacted would be the Rock, lower Iowa, Skunk, Des Moines and La
Moine.
Rock River...
Based on overall river forecasts and another round of heavy rain
expected today, confidence is high (>80%) that the entire
length of the Rock River will reach flood stage by the weekend
and remain above flood stage into much of next week.
Mississippi River...
Routed flow coming down from the upper Mississippi, Wisconsin,
Rock, Iowa and other tributary rivers will cause general rises
along the length of the Mississippi. Based on the current routed
flow and another round of heavy rain, confidence is high (>80%)
that the Mississippi will reach flood stage from Muscatine down
through Keithsburg and at Gregory Landing. Gladstone and
Burlington are already above flood stage and will see additional
rises as the additional routed flow arrives over the weekend
and into next week.
Iowa Tributary Rivers...
Rivers in eastern Iowa are running high from the rounds of heavy
rain. Flood warnings continue for the lower Wapsipinicon River
near DeWitt and the Iowa River above Coralville near Marengo.
Based on routed flow, the lower Cedar River near Conesville will
go above flood stage over the weekend.
The North Skunk River near Sigourney is forecast to go above
flood stage tonight with general rises expected farther
downstream and on the Skunk River.
&&
.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...Flood Watch through late tonight for IAZ040>042-052>054-
064>068-077-078-088-089-099.
IL...Flood Watch through late tonight for ILZ001-002-007-009-
015>018-024>026-034-035.
MO...Flood Watch through late tonight for MOZ010.
&&
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM...Schultz
AVIATION...08
HYDROLOGY...08Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 17, 3:23 AM CDT, 12 hours 4 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL 323 AM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026 IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007- 009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-180900- Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson- Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson- Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll- Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson- Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark- 323 AM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT An Enhanced Risk (Level 3 of 5) for severe weather remains in place across the area for this afternoon and evening. Damaging winds and tornadoes, some possibly strong, are the primary threats. Localized flash flooding is also possible. Southerly winds will gust to around 40 mph this afternoon prior to the severe thunderstorm development. Area rivers are experiencing flooding. Please see the latest Flood Statements and Flood Warnings for details. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY Much colder air will bring the potential for frost and freeze conditions to parts of the area Saturday night and Sunday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is likely for this afternoon and evening. JTS
In the hours before
Local storm report, Apr 17, 3:09 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
309 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0255 PM Hail 1 S Rice 42.32N 90.40W
04/17/2026 M1.75 Inch Jo Daviess IL Trained Spotter
&&Local storm report, Apr 17, 3:10 PM CDT, 17 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
310 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0251 PM Hail 1 SE Galena 42.41N 90.41W
04/17/2026 E1.25 Inch Jo Daviess IL Public
Report from mPING: Half Dollar (1.25 in.).
0252 PM Hail 2 E Galena 42.41N 90.39W
04/17/2026 E1.50 Inch Jo Daviess IL Public
Report from mPING: Ping Pong Ball (1.50
in.).
0257 PM Hail 2 S Galena Territory 42.37N 90.33W
04/17/2026 E1.75 Inch Jo Daviess IL Public
Report from mPING: Golf Ball (1.75 in.).
0301 PM Hail 1 E Rodden 42.34N 90.29W
04/17/2026 E1.75 Inch Jo Daviess IL Public
Report from mPING: Golf Ball (1.75 in.).
&&Local storm report, Apr 17, 3:15 PM CDT, 12 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
315 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0313 PM Hail Elizabeth 42.31N 90.22W
04/17/2026 M1.75 Inch Jo Daviess IL Trained Spotter
&&
MJLLocal storm report, Apr 17, 3:26 PM CDT, 1 minute before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
326 PM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0326 PM Tstm Wnd Gst 1 SSE Warren 42.48N 89.99W
04/17/2026 E70 MPH Jo Daviess IL Trained Spotter
Wind out of the west.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Quad Cities, IA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 10:15 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | DVN | Stephenson | 6 days |
| Apr 17, 11:21 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | DVN | Rock Island | 10 days |
| Apr 17, 11:21 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | DVN | Rock Island | 21 days |
| Apr 17, 12:46 PM CDT | Flood Watch | DVN | Bureau, Carroll, Hancock, Henderson, Henry, Jo Daviess and 7 more | 12 hr |
| Apr 17, 1:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Jo Daviess | 65 min |
| Apr 17, 2:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Jo Daviess | 49 min |
| Apr 17, 2:23 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DVN | Jo Daviess | 6 hr |
| Apr 17, 2:48 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Jo Daviess, Stephenson | 42 min |
| Apr 17, 3:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Jo Daviess | 35 min |
| Apr 17, 4:09 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Stephenson | 39 min |
| Apr 17, 4:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Hancock | 54 min |
| Apr 17, 5:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Stephenson | 8 min |
| Apr 17, 5:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Henderson | 63 min |
| Apr 17, 5:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Carroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson | 75 min |
| Apr 17, 5:46 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Henderson, Mercer, Warren | 24 min |
| Apr 17, 5:47 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Hancock | 43 min |
| Apr 17, 5:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Henry, Mercer, Rock Island | 54 min |
| Apr 17, 6:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Hancock, Henderson, McDonough, Mercer, Rock Island, Warren | 60 min |
| Apr 17, 6:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Henry, Rock Island, Whiteside | 42 min |
| Apr 17, 6:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Bureau, Henry | 76 min |
| Apr 17, 6:25 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Hancock | 65 min |
| Apr 17, 6:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Hancock, McDonough | 59 min |
| Apr 17, 6:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Bureau, Carroll, Henry, Rock Island, Whiteside | 68 min |
| Apr 17, 6:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Carroll, Stephenson | 29 min |
| Apr 17, 6:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Bureau, Henry, Mercer, Rock Island | 62 min |
| Apr 17, 6:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Hancock, Henderson, McDonough, Warren | 63 min |
Nearby
Tornado Warnings in Illinois, 2026Every tornado warning in 2026Tornadoes in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.