Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
439 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

...Updated Aviation/Key Messages...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Intensely hot afternoons will continue through Wednesday, with
  temperatures well above 100 each day.

- The heat is expected to relax with improved rainfall
  opportunities late this week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

WV imagery indicates a northwest flow aloft prevailing across
the Western High Plains downstream of an upper level high
centered across the Desert Southwest. Near the surface, a lee
side trough of low pressure extends northeast across southeast
Colorado into northwest Kansas.

Another round of minimal isolated thunderstorm chances (20%)
exists across west central Kansas into extreme southwest Kansas
this evening with the SREF indicating little change in the
overall pattern from yesterday with H5 vort maxima associated
with a weak shortwave ejecting eastward out of the northern
Colorado Rockies into the Western High Plains. Near the surface,
prevailing southerlies will continue to support some moisture
return across the area, providing minimal instability with
MUCAPE values upward of 500 J/kg or so. With steepening mid-
level lapse rates, isolated thunderstorm development cannot be
ruled out toward early evening as ejecting H5 vort maxima
interact with an axis of low level convergence associated with
the aforementioned trough extending from extreme southeast
Colorado into northwest Kansas. A few CAMs suggest this while
the HREF hints at it with 10% probability of 6-hr QPF exceeding
only 0.1 of an inch across west central Kansas into extreme
southwest Kansas by late evening. A secondary focus will be more
into central Kansas later this evening, including the I-70
corridor, as thunderstorms likely developing in a field of much
higher instability in northwest Kansas/southwest Nebraska track
eastward overnight. Similar conditions are forecast Monday into
Tuesday with little change to the larger scale pattern.

Very warm temperatures are forecast again tonight as prevailing
southerlies reinforce a warmer air mass across southwest/central
Kansas. Considering the HREF paints a widespread 70-90% probability
of temperatures dropping below 80F, look for lows generally in the
70s(F). With a persistent pattern in place, expect afternoon highs
back up around 100 to 105F Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 439 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

VFR/SKC will continue through this TAF period, with scattered
cirrus at times. Radar at 2130z Sun depicted weak high-based
convection again well northwest of GCK. This activity is
expected to remain NW of GCK, and made no mention in this set
of TAFs. Strong southwest winds gusting near 30 kts as of 2130z
Sun will diminish some after 02z Mon and back more southerly,
but remain elevated with gusts 20-25 kts through much of the
night. Light southwest winds will prevail briefly around
sunrise, before strong southwest winds resume once again after
15z Mon, gusting near 30 kts.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ this evening for
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090.

&&

DISCUSSION...JJohnson
AVIATION...Turner
KEY MESSAGES...Turner

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
656 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

KSZ061>063-100045-
Finney KS-Kearny KS-Hamilton KS-
656 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL HAMILTON...CENTRAL
KEARNY AND WEST CENTRAL FINNEY COUNTIES THROUGH 745 PM CDT/645 PM
MDT/...

At 655 PM CDT/555 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 12 miles northeast of Kendall, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph. Areas of blowing dust may
         reduce visibility. Dry lightning strikes may pose a
         wildfire risk.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central
Hamilton, central Kearny and west central Finney Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3797 10161 3822 10151 3812 10106 3777 10120
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 291DEG 14KT 3810 10145

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

TURNER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
702 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

KSZ062-100045-
Kearny KS-
702 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL KEARNY COUNTY THROUGH
745 PM CDT...

At 701 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles north of Lakin, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph. Areas of blowing dust. Dry
         lightning strikes may pose a wildfire risk.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Deerfield around 715 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3800 10154 3823 10154 3819 10111 3781 10114
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 281DEG 26KT 3805 10130

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

TURNER

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
707 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     2 N Lakin               37.97N 101.26W
08/09/2026  M59 MPH          Kearny             KS   AWOS

            Kearny County Airport AWOS K36K measured.

&&

RMB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
713 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

KSZ043-044-063-100100-
Finney KS-Lane KS-Scott KS-
713 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL FINNEY...SOUTHERN
SCOTT AND SOUTHWESTERN LANE COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

At 712 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Scott City, and was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph. Areas of blowing dust.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Scott City around 720 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Grigston.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3825 10105 3853 10106 3860 10066 3821 10064
TIME...MOT...LOC 0012Z 278DEG 15KT 3843 10092

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

TURNER

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
718 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0648 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     3 W Scott City          38.48N 100.97W
08/09/2026  M57 MPH          Scott              KS   Public

            Personal weather station measured.

&&

RMB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
721 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

KSZ030-100100-
Trego KS-
721 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN TREGO COUNTY
THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

At 721 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles south of Hill City, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Trego
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3897 9961 3909 10007 3913 10007 3913 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0021Z 289DEG 20KT 3920 9982

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

TURNER