Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1248 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Early morning convection and fog this morning

- Low storm chances this afternoon

- Hotter temperatures return into this weekend

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1248 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Elevated convection is ongoing across western Kansas early this
morning. This activity is expected to track southeastward across
the area, bringing primarily a heavy rain risk. However, MUCAPE
1000-1500 J/kg per mesoanalysis suggests storms could yield a
few instances of small hail and gusty winds. The overall hail
threat is being kept at bay due to moisure-laden nature of the
vertical profile with PWATs around the 90th percentile per 00z
DDC skew-T. Areas to the north of the convection, mainly along
Route 96 northward along the I-70 corridor, are expected to see
fog develop this morning as well. Visibilities are expected to
drop as low as 1-3 miles. However, the REFS ensemble does
suggest probabilities less than a half-mile in the 40-60% range,
so the signal for denser fog is evident, but ultimately held off
on any dense fog headlines after collaboration with neighboring
offices. Trends will be monitored throughout the morning for the
need for headlines.

Another small chance of storms is evident across south-central
Kansas this evening and overnight. Coverage of any storms is
expected to be limited, with POPs largely 25% or less this
evening and into Friday morning. Any severe weather risk is
expected to be limited given loosely organized convection.
However, a stronger storm, especially in the evening, could
produce stronger winds and perhaps some hail.

Temperatures are expected to again increase beginning today and
into this weekend across the forecast area. Temperatures return
to the 90s this afternoon. With dew points in the low 70s across
south-central Kansas, heat indices could get in the 100-104
range, just below heat advisory criteria. However, increasing
temperatures back around 100-105 and and elevated dew points
along the KS/OK border could yield heat indices to at least
reach heat advisory criteria for Barber County Friday and beyond.
However, any headlines will occur in later forecast updates and
will likely be a day by day decision.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1143 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026

Low stratus and patchy fog development continues to be expected
overnight, though the exact extent of how dense is still
uncertain. The greatest chance for 1-2 SM is along the I-70
corridor, including HYS. Therefore, MVFR and IFR conditions are
possible. In addition to the low clouds and fog chances,
thunderstorm development is underway across western Kansas.
Storms are expected too eventually pivot eastward and then
southeastward across the area, impacting GCK and DDC. It will be
close for LBL, but expectation is for adverse aviation
conditions to remain largely north and west. Storms will taper
off by sunrise.

Northeasterly winds to start the period will shift southeasterly
into Thursday afternoon. Winds will be generally be 5-10 knots,
with a slight increase into the afternoon.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

DISCUSSION...Bennett
AVIATION...Bennett

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1221 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

KSZ061-062-060600-
Kearny KS-Hamilton KS-
1221 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN HAMILTON AND
WESTERN KEARNY COUNTIES THROUGH 100 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT MDT/...

At 1221 AM CDT/1121 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 8 miles north of Syracuse, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern
Hamilton and western Kearny Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3789 10168 3825 10186 3823 10144 3780 10134
TIME...MOT...LOC 0521Z 279DEG 21KT 3810 10175

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

UMSCHEID

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1223 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

KSZ063-064-060600-
Finney KS-Hodgeman KS-
1223 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN FINNEY AND WESTERN
HODGEMAN COUNTIES THROUGH 100 AM CDT...

At 1223 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles northwest of Jetmore, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Finney
and western Hodgeman Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3816 10045 3826 10043 3826 9971 3797 9988
TIME...MOT...LOC 0523Z 287DEG 26KT 3821 10008

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

UMSCHEID

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1250 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

KSZ064-065-079-060630-
Hodgeman KS-Pawnee KS-Edwards KS-
1250 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN HODGEMAN...
SOUTHWESTERN PAWNEE AND NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS COUNTIES THROUGH 130 AM
CDT...

At 1249 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles northwest of Hanston, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Gray and Hanston around 1255 AM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3810 9982 3822 9979 3819 9924 3791 9948
TIME...MOT...LOC 0549Z 288DEG 33KT 3816 9976

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

UMSCHEID