Red Flag Warning 28, NWS Dodge City, KS

768 
WWUS83 KDDC 140442
RFWDDC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1142 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026


KSZ075>078-150200-
/O.EXA.KDDC.FW.W.0028.260514T1800Z-260515T0200Z/
Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-
1142 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 9 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS...

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a Red Flag
Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect
from 1 PM to 9 PM CDT Thursday.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 075 Grant, Fire Weather Zone 
  076 Haskell, Fire Weather Zone 077 Gray and Fire Weather Zone 
  078 Ford.

* TIMING...From 1 PM to 9 PM CDT Thursday.

* WINDS...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Higher
  gusts to 55 mph are possible with any t-storms.

* THUNDERSTORMS...Isolated dry lightning strikes possible from 
  any storms.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 14 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread 
  quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

KSZ084>089-150200-
/O.CON.KDDC.FW.W.0028.260514T1800Z-260515T0200Z/
Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-
1142 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 9 PM CDT
THURSDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 084 Morton, Fire Weather 
  Zone 085 Stevens, Fire Weather Zone 086 Seward, Fire Weather 
  Zone 087 Meade, Fire Weather Zone 088 Clark and Fire Weather 
  Zone 089 Comanche.

* TIMING...From 1 PM to 9 PM CDT Thursday.

* WINDS...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Higher
  gusts to 55 mph are possible with any t-storms.

* THUNDERSTORMS...Isolated dry lightning strikes possible from 
  any storms.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 14 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread 
  quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National weather service visit...
http://weather.gov/ddc

615 
WWUS83 KDDC 141859
RFWDDC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
159 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026


KSZ074-150200-
/O.EXA.KDDC.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-260515T0200Z/
Stanton-
159 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a Red Flag
Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect
until 9 PM CDT this evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 074 Stanton.

* TIMING...Until 9 PM CDT this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* THUNDERSTORMS...Isolated dry lightning strikes possible from 
  any storms.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 12 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread 
  quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

KSZ075>078-084>089-150200-
/O.CON.KDDC.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-260515T0200Z/
Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-
Comanche-
159 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 075 Grant, Fire Weather Zone 
  076 Haskell, Fire Weather Zone 077 Gray, Fire Weather Zone 078 
  Ford, Fire Weather Zone 084 Morton, Fire Weather Zone 085 
  Stevens, Fire Weather Zone 086 Seward, Fire Weather Zone 087 
  Meade, Fire Weather Zone 088 Clark and Fire Weather Zone 089 
  Comanche.

* TIMING...Until 9 PM CDT this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* THUNDERSTORMS...Isolated dry lightning strikes possible from 
  any storms.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 13 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread 
  quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National weather service visit...
http://weather.gov/ddc

858 
WWUS83 KDDC 150103
RFWDDC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
803 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

KSZ074>078-084>089-150215-
/O.CAN.KDDC.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-260515T0200Z/
Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-
Comanche-
803 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS...

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has cancelled the Red
Flag Warning.

Winds have decreased and humidity has increased so the red flag 
warning has expired.

$$

For more information from NOAA/National weather service visit...
http://weather.gov/ddc

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1200 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

...Updated Discussion, Fire Weather...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Unseasonably hot, near record high temperatures expected
  Thursday afternoon.

- Isolated high-based showers and thunderstorms with virga and
  strong outflow winds Thursday afternoon.

- Hot afternoon temperatures in the 90s will continue Friday
  through Sunday.

- Any threat of severe thunderstorms is expected to remain east
  of US 283 Saturday through Monday. Wildfire risk will continue
  west of US 283, west of the dryline.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Midday satellite imagery depicted a continued clear sky over
SW KS and the surrounding region. The very quiet subsident
regime continued, courtesy of the strong midlevel ridge axis
arriving on the plains. Southeast winds will become increasingly
elevated through this afternoon, with temperatures well into the
80s.

A modest low level jet is forecast tonight, which will keep
southeast to south winds elevated and gusty through sunrise.
This along with modest moisture advection will deter radiational
cooling, and many locations will struggle to get below 60
degrees sunrise Thursday. Warm morning temperatures will act as
an efficient springboard to near record heat Thursday afternoon,
with upper 90s expected to be common. SWly downslope and an
additional +5C at 850 mb will put record highs in jeopardy,
including the DDC May 14th record of 97 set most recently in
1941.

Models have been consistent with a shortwave rippling eastward
over SW KS Thursday, as the Texas ridge is flattened. Forcing
for ascent will improve, but thermodynamics will remain poor and
hostile to organized convection. Moisture will be very limited,
with dewpoints only in the 40s. This combined with hot
temperatures in the 90s will create strong inverted-V profiles,
very high cloud bases, and most of any rainfall being lost to
virga. Increased pops to near 20% where this development appears
most likely Thursday afternoon, but most locations will clearly
stay dry. SPC maintains marginal 5% wind probability, and will
monitor for dry microbursts and outflows/blowing dust. Some dry
lightning strikes also seem plausible, adding to the wildfire
risk.

Friday, continued sunny, hot and dry, although afternoon
temperatures will be shaved down about 5 degrees, courtesy of a
light northeast wind. Another shortwave in the flow will likely
initiate thunderstorms near the southeast counties at peak
heating, then subsequently move into Wichita's CWA in the
evening. Marginally severe outflow winds will be the primary
risk. Again, most locations will remain dry.

The synoptic pattern Saturday through Monday will generally
become more favorable for severe thunderstorms on the plains,
with midlevel SWly flow maintaining the typical May dryline.
Model consensus continues to place the dryline near the eastern
border counties, toward central Kansas, through much of this
period. As such, NBM pops strongly favor eastern zones. The
risks for large hail and damaging winds from supercells or
bowing segments will exist each of these days, but only near
and east of the dryline, expected to remain east of US 283.
For the western half of SW KS, unseasonably hot temperatures in
the 90s will continue each afternoon with southwest winds, low
relative humidity, fire danger and continued drought. Sunday
currently appears to be the most potent in both regards, with
the strongest cyclogenesis, high end severe possible central
Kansas, and strong southwest winds and critical/extreme wildfire
danger west.

Eventually a strong cold front is expected Monday night, which
will end both the severe weather and wildfire threats. Cooler
70s are projected Tuesday afternoon.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1002 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026

VFR/SKC will continue through this TAF period, with limited
amounts of scattered cirrus. Southeast winds will gust
22-25 kts at all airports through 00z Thu. Southeast winds will
remain elevated and gusty through tonight, with a low level jet
keeping the boundary layer mixed. Southeast wind gusts to near
25 kts will continue overnight, and included low level wind
shear in all TAFS after 06z Thu. Elevated south to southwest
winds are expected after 15z Thu.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Unseasonably hot temperatures in the 90s to near 100 Thursday
afternoon will reduce minimum relative humidity to 10-15%.
Along the Oklahoma border, elevated southwest winds of 20-30
mph are expected. As such, a red flag warning was issued for
Morton, over to Comanche counties for Thursday. Additionally,
isolated dry thunderstorm development is expected during the
late afternoon. Any storms would produce mainly virga and strong
outflow winds. With much of any rain evaporating, dry lightning
strikes are possible Thursday afternoon/evening.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from 1 PM to 9 PM CDT Thursday for KSZ084>089.

&&

DISCUSSION...Turner
AVIATION...Turner
FIRE WEATHER...Turner
KEY MESSAGES...Turner