Alert archive / Kansas / Red Flag Warnings in 2026
Red Flag Warning 19, NWS Dodge City, KS
NWS Dodge City, KS issued this red flag warning at Apr 11, 2026, 11:53 PM CDT for 8 counties in Kansas. It took effect at Apr 12, 2026, 12:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 11, 2026, 11:53 PM CDT (04:53 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 12, 2026, 12:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- Apr 12, 2026, 10:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Dodge City, KS
Counties Grant County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Morton County, KS, Seward County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS
The radar
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 127 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 304 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -66 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1709 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 19 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 118 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 164 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.9
The text
As transmitted.
077 WWUS83 KDDC 120453 RFWDDC URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Dodge City KS 1153 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026 ...Critical Fire Weather Conditions Sunday and Monday... KSZ061-062-074>076-084>086-121300- /O.UPG.KDDC.FW.A.0012.260412T1700Z-260413T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KDDC.FW.W.0019.260412T1700Z-260413T0300Z/ /O.CON.KDDC.FW.A.0013.260413T1700Z-260414T0200Z/ Hamilton-Kearny-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Morton-Stevens-Seward- 1153 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026 /1053 PM MDT Sat Apr 11 2026/ ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FAR WESTERN KANSAS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR STRONG WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a Red Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect from noon CDT /11 AM MDT/ to 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ Sunday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 061 Hamilton, Fire Weather Zone 062 Kearny, Fire Weather Zone 074 Stanton, Fire Weather Zone 075 Grant, Fire Weather Zone 076 Haskell, Fire Weather Zone 084 Morton, Fire Weather Zone 085 Stevens and Fire Weather Zone 086 Seward. * TIMING...For the Red Flag Warning, from noon CDT /11 AM MDT/ to 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ Sunday. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Monday afternoon through Monday evening. * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 9 percent. * IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ KSZ043>045-063-064-077-078-087-088-121300- /O.CON.KDDC.FW.A.0013.260413T1700Z-260414T0200Z/ Scott-Lane-Ness-Finney-Hodgeman-Gray-Ford-Meade-Clark- 1153 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR STRONG WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 043 Scott, Fire Weather Zone 044 Lane, Fire Weather Zone 045 Ness, Fire Weather Zone 063 Finney, Fire Weather Zone 064 Hodgeman, Fire Weather Zone 077 Gray, Fire Weather Zone 078 Ford, Fire Weather Zone 087 Meade and Fire Weather Zone 088 Clark. * TIMING...From Monday afternoon through Monday evening. * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 12 percent. * IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ For more information from NOAA/National weather service visit... http://weather.gov/ddc
3 follow-up statements
485 WWUS83 KDDC 120559 RFWDDC URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Dodge City KS 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 ...Critical Fire Weather Conditions Sunday and Monday... KSZ061-062-074>076-084>086-121400- /O.CON.KDDC.FW.W.0019.260412T1700Z-260413T0300Z/ /O.CON.KDDC.FW.A.0013.260413T1700Z-260414T0200Z/ Hamilton-Kearny-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Morton-Stevens-Seward- 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 /1159 PM MDT Sat Apr 11 2026/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FAR WESTERN KANSAS......FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR STRONG WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FAR WESTERN KANSAS......FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR STRONG WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 061 Hamilton, Fire Weather Zone 062 Kearny, Fire Weather Zone 074 Stanton, Fire Weather Zone 075 Grant, Fire Weather Zone 076 Haskell, Fire Weather Zone 084 Morton, Fire Weather Zone 085 Stevens and Fire Weather Zone 086 Seward. * TIMING...For the Red Flag Warning, from noon CDT /11 AM MDT/ today to 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ this evening. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Monday afternoon through Monday evening. * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 9 percent. * IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ KSZ031-046-065-066-079>081-089-090-121400- /O.EXA.KDDC.FW.A.0013.260413T1700Z-260414T0200Z/ Ellis-Rush-Pawnee-Stafford-Edwards-Kiowa-Pratt-Comanche-Barber- 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL KANSAS... The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a Fire Weather Watch for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect from Monday afternoon through Monday evening. * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 031 Ellis, Fire Weather Zone 046 Rush, Fire Weather Zone 065 Pawnee, Fire Weather Zone 066 Stafford, Fire Weather Zone 079 Edwards, Fire Weather Zone 080 Kiowa, Fire Weather Zone 081 Pratt, Fire Weather Zone 089 Comanche and Fire Weather Zone 090 Barber. * TIMING...From Monday afternoon through Monday evening. * WINDS...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 15 percent. * IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ KSZ043>045-063-064-077-078-087-088-121400- /O.CON.KDDC.FW.A.0013.260413T1700Z-260414T0200Z/ Scott-Lane-Ness-Finney-Hodgeman-Gray-Ford-Meade-Clark- 1259 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR STRONG WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 043 Scott, Fire Weather Zone 044 Lane, Fire Weather Zone 045 Ness, Fire Weather Zone 063 Finney, Fire Weather Zone 064 Hodgeman, Fire Weather Zone 077 Gray, Fire Weather Zone 078 Ford, Fire Weather Zone 087 Meade and Fire Weather Zone 088 Clark. * TIMING...From Monday afternoon through Monday evening. * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 12 percent. * IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ For more information from NOAA/National weather service visit... http://weather.gov/ddc
667 WWUS83 KDDC 121123 RFWDDC URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Dodge City KS 623 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 ...Critical Fire Weather Conditions Sunday and Monday... KSZ061-062-074>076-084>086-130300- /O.CON.KDDC.FW.W.0019.260412T1700Z-260413T0300Z/ /O.CON.KDDC.FW.A.0013.260413T1700Z-260414T0200Z/ Hamilton-Kearny-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Morton-Stevens-Seward- 623 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 /523 AM MDT Sun Apr 12 2026/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FAR WESTERN KANSAS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 061 Hamilton, Fire Weather Zone 062 Kearny, Fire Weather Zone 074 Stanton, Fire Weather Zone 075 Grant, Fire Weather Zone 076 Haskell, Fire Weather Zone 084 Morton, Fire Weather Zone 085 Stevens and Fire Weather Zone 086 Seward. * TIMING...For the Red Flag Warning, from noon CDT /11 AM MDT/ today to 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ this evening. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Monday afternoon through Monday evening. * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 9 percent. * IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ KSZ031-043>046-063>066-077>081-087>090-130300- /O.CON.KDDC.FW.A.0013.260413T1700Z-260414T0200Z/ Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Finney-Hodgeman-Pawnee-Stafford-Gray- Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-Pratt-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber- 623 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL KANSAS... * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 031 Ellis, Fire Weather Zone 043 Scott, Fire Weather Zone 044 Lane, Fire Weather Zone 045 Ness, Fire Weather Zone 046 Rush, Fire Weather Zone 063 Finney, Fire Weather Zone 064 Hodgeman, Fire Weather Zone 065 Pawnee, Fire Weather Zone 066 Stafford, Fire Weather Zone 077 Gray, Fire Weather Zone 078 Ford, Fire Weather Zone 079 Edwards, Fire Weather Zone 080 Kiowa, Fire Weather Zone 081 Pratt, Fire Weather Zone 087 Meade, Fire Weather Zone 088 Clark, Fire Weather Zone 089 Comanche and Fire Weather Zone 090 Barber. * TIMING...From Monday afternoon through Monday evening. * WINDS...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 12 percent. * IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ For more information from NOAA/National weather service visit... http://weather.gov/ddc
149 WWUS83 KDDC 121834 RFWDDC URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Dodge City KS 134 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 ...Critical Fire Weather Conditions Through Tuesday... KSZ061-062-074>076-084>086-130645- /O.UPG.KDDC.FW.A.0013.260413T1700Z-260414T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KDDC.FW.W.0020.260413T1700Z-260414T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KDDC.FW.A.0014.260414T1700Z-260415T0200Z/ /O.CON.KDDC.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-260413T0300Z/ Hamilton-Kearny-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Morton-Stevens-Seward- 134 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 /1234 PM MDT Sun Apr 12 2026/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a Red Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect from noon CDT /11 AM MDT/ to 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ Monday. A Fire Weather Watch has also been issued. This Fire Weather Watch for wind and low relative humidity is in effect from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 061 Hamilton, Fire Weather Zone 062 Kearny, Fire Weather Zone 074 Stanton, Fire Weather Zone 075 Grant, Fire Weather Zone 076 Haskell, Fire Weather Zone 084 Morton, Fire Weather Zone 085 Stevens and Fire Weather Zone 086 Seward. * TIMING...For the first Red Flag Warning, until 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ this evening. For the second Red Flag Warning, from noon CDT /11 AM MDT/ to 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ Monday. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening. * WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 9 percent. * IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ KSZ031-043>046-063>066-077>081-087>090-130645- /O.UPG.KDDC.FW.A.0013.260413T1700Z-260414T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KDDC.FW.W.0020.260413T1700Z-260414T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KDDC.FW.A.0014.260414T1700Z-260415T0200Z/ Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Finney-Hodgeman-Pawnee-Stafford-Gray- Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-Pratt-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber- 134 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR... The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a Red Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect from noon to 9 PM CDT Monday. A Fire Weather Watch has also been issued. This Fire Weather Watch for wind and low relative humidity is in effect from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 031 Ellis, Fire Weather Zone 043 Scott, Fire Weather Zone 044 Lane, Fire Weather Zone 045 Ness, Fire Weather Zone 046 Rush, Fire Weather Zone 063 Finney, Fire Weather Zone 064 Hodgeman, Fire Weather Zone 065 Pawnee, Fire Weather Zone 066 Stafford, Fire Weather Zone 077 Gray, Fire Weather Zone 078 Ford, Fire Weather Zone 079 Edwards, Fire Weather Zone 080 Kiowa, Fire Weather Zone 081 Pratt, Fire Weather Zone 087 Meade, Fire Weather Zone 088 Clark, Fire Weather Zone 089 Comanche and Fire Weather Zone 090 Barber. * TIMING...For the Red Flag Warning, from noon to 9 PM CDT Monday. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening. * WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 11 percent. * IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ KSZ030-130645- /O.NEW.KDDC.FW.W.0020.260413T1700Z-260414T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KDDC.FW.A.0014.260414T1700Z-260415T0200Z/ Trego- 134 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a Red Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect from noon to 9 PM CDT Monday. A Fire Weather Watch has also been issued. This Fire Weather Watch for wind and low relative humidity is in effect from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening. * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 030 Trego. * TIMING...For the Red Flag Warning, from noon to 9 PM CDT Monday. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening. * WINDS...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 10 percent. * IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ For more information from NOAA/National weather service visit... http://weather.gov/ddc
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 11, 11:39 PM CDT, 14 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Loosely organized thunderstorm cluster to affect areas mainly south of the Arkansas River to the Oklahoma line late this evening. Severe weather risk is quite low.
- The severe weather risk for Sunday through Tuesday will be focused on areas mainly east of our southwest Kansas region, keeping our area west of the dryline and increased critical fire weather risk.
- Monday and Tuesday look to be the most widespread critical fire weather days as stronger southwest winds develop west of the dryline.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 11, 11:39 PM CDT, 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 1139 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Loosely organized thunderstorm cluster to affect areas mainly south of the Arkansas River to the Oklahoma line late this evening. Severe weather risk is quite low. - The severe weather risk for Sunday through Tuesday will be focused on areas mainly east of our southwest Kansas region, keeping our area west of the dryline and increased critical fire weather risk. - Monday and Tuesday look to be the most widespread critical fire weather days as stronger southwest winds develop west of the dryline. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1241 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026 A broad southwest flow pattern aloft continued across much of the western half of the CONUS, including across western Kansas. Within the larger scale pattern, a southern stream shortwave trough was moving northeast out of the Desert Southwest region with quite a bit of mid level moisture along with lower tropospheric gulf moisture. This isn't exactly a classic severe weather pattern given the formidable subtropical moisture involved. Surface analysis late this morning showed a large area of southerly winds across much of the Great Plains. There is not much in the way of low level convergence, but the absence of a strong cap ahead of the subtropical wave will favor isolated to widely scattered showers and a thunderstorm or two just about anywhere across the western half of Kansas through this evening. Later on this evening, the best signal for at least somewhat organized thunderstorm activity will initiate across eastern Colorado south across far eastern New Mexico. One or two small mesoscale convective systems (MCS) will likely move east across the western/southern plains late tonight. The northern portion of one such MCS may impact the southern one half to one third of the DDC CWA, so we will keep POPs highest from roughly Arkansas River south to the Oklahoma line tonight (30-40%). The aforementioned southern stream jet steak will advance east on Sunday, and this will put southwestern Kansas in a region of subsidence behind the morning disturbance while a larger disturbance begins to mature much farther west across the Great Basin region. The low level pattern will adjust to the next larger system on Sunday, so winds will stay out of the south to southwest. The increased westerly component to surface winds Sunday will push higher dewpoints farther east, and given the larger scale subsidence, this will lead to a dry forecast for southwest Kansas Sunday. The dryline will be positioned pretty far to the east Sunday late afternoon/evening, and we will watch for redevelopment of an isolated surface-based thunderstorm or two along the dryline from south central KS into western OK. This morning's CAMs and even non- CAM models show a very poor convective signal along the dryline, but we will carry some 15 to 20% POPs across the Red Hills given some convergence along dryline and a decent amount of CAPE (>2000 J/kg) and deep layer shear to support supercell thunderstorm structures. Of more concern in this pattern for western Kansas, especially as the larger scale trough moves east Monday and Tuesday, will be critical fire weather conditions as the dryline is expected to remain pretty far to the east across central and south central Kansas Monday and Tuesday. The fire weather concern will be discussed more in the Fire Weather section. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/... Issued at 1137 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026 High clouds will give away to mostly clear skies by this afternoon. Winds will start out from the south this morning, shifting to the southwest by this afternoon. These southwesterly winds continue throughout this evening. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 154 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026 Critical fire weather conditions are likely Sunday across mainly far southwest with critical fire weather conditions likely across a larger area of west central and southwest Kansas Monday and Tuesday as a large upper level storm system approaches from the west. On Sunday, a southwesterly downslope plume will advance on southwest Kansas, but stronger winds supportive of critical conditions are expected to remain west of Highway 83 and generally south of Highway 50. We have added in Haskell and Seward County along Highway 83, however, as there is some increased confidence in the stronger southwest winds advancing toward Highway 83 to the south of Garden City. We will keep the headline as a watch for now. Monday and Tuesday are both more concerning for wider spread critical conditions as the main upper level system draws closer to southwest Kansas. Classic, dry southwesterly momentum push is likely south of a deepening surface low. There is still some question as to how far south the surface low will mature, and this may help keep the strongest southwest winds farther south, but for now, we will go ahead and issue the Fire Weather Watch for all counties along/south of Highway 96 and along/west of Highway 283. Tuesday looks like a similar set up, but we will not hoist a Watch for Tuesday yet with the focus more on the short term Sunday and Monday. && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Fire Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening for KSZ043>045-061>064-074>078-084>088. Fire Weather Watch from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening for KSZ061-062-074>076-084>086. && DISCUSSION...Umscheid AVIATION...Hovorka_42 FIRE WEATHER...Umscheid
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 11, 12:21 AM CDT, 23 hours 32 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Dodge City KS 1221 AM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026 KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-120530- Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman- Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa- Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber- 1221 AM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026 /1121 PM MDT Fri Apr 10 2026/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas, south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A dense fog advisory is in effect until late morning across a majority of our forecast area. See the latest Urgent Weather Messages for more information. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon into the evening hours. These storms are not expected to become severe at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday A Fire Weather Watch is in effect for far western Kansas Sunday afternoon into the early evening. See the latest fire weather messages for more information. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Apr 11, 9:25 PM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
925 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026
KSZ085-086-120330-
Seward KS-Stevens KS-
925 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SEWARD AND EASTERN STEVENS
COUNTIES THROUGH 1030 PM CDT...
At 924 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Hooker, or 17 miles south of Hugoton, moving northeast at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Woods around 940 PM CDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3700 10136 3737 10115 3730 10084 3708 10068
3700 10085
TIME...MOT...LOC 0224Z 217DEG 57KT 3694 10126
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
FINCHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 9:25 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Seward | 65 min |
| Apr 12, 1:34 PM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | DDC | Barber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis, Finney and 21 more | 24 hr |
| Apr 12, 1:34 PM CDT | Red Flag Warning | DDC | Barber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis, Finney and 21 more | 31 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Kansas, 2026Every red flag warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.