Red Flag Warning 12, NWS Dodge City, KS

267 
WWUS83 KDDC 220450
RFWDDC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1150 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

...Windy conditions and dry fuels will lead to an elevated fire
risk on Sunday...

KSZ031-045-046-064>066-075>081-084>090-221300-
/O.CON.KDDC.FW.W.0012.260322T1400Z-260323T0100Z/
Ellis-Ness-Rush-Hodgeman-Pawnee-Stafford-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-
Edwards-Kiowa-Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-
Barber-
1150 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM CDT
SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST KANSAS...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 031 Ellis, Fire Weather Zone 
  045 Ness, Fire Weather Zone 046 Rush, Fire Weather Zone 064 
  Hodgeman, Fire Weather Zone 065 Pawnee, Fire Weather Zone 066 
  Stafford, Fire Weather Zone 075 Grant, Fire Weather Zone 076 
  Haskell, Fire Weather Zone 077 Gray, Fire Weather Zone 078 
  Ford, Fire Weather Zone 079 Edwards, Fire Weather Zone 080 
  Kiowa, Fire Weather Zone 081 Pratt, Fire Weather Zone 084 
  Morton, Fire Weather Zone 085 Stevens, Fire Weather Zone 086 
  Seward, Fire Weather Zone 087 Meade, Fire Weather Zone 088 
  Clark, Fire Weather Zone 089 Comanche and Fire Weather Zone 
  090 Barber.

* TIMING...From 9 AM to 8 PM CDT Sunday.

* WINDS...North 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread 
  quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National weather service visit...
http://weather.gov/ddc

379 
WWUS83 KDDC 220511
RFWDDC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1211 AM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

...Windy conditions and dry fuels will lead to an elevated fire
risk on Sunday...

KSZ031-045-046-064>066-075>081-084>090-230000-
/O.CON.KDDC.FW.W.0012.260322T1400Z-260323T0100Z/
Ellis-Ness-Rush-Hodgeman-Pawnee-Stafford-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-
Edwards-Kiowa-Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-
Barber-
1211 AM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 031 Ellis, Fire Weather Zone 
  045 Ness, Fire Weather Zone 046 Rush, Fire Weather Zone 064 
  Hodgeman, Fire Weather Zone 065 Pawnee, Fire Weather Zone 066 
  Stafford, Fire Weather Zone 075 Grant, Fire Weather Zone 076 
  Haskell, Fire Weather Zone 077 Gray, Fire Weather Zone 078 
  Ford, Fire Weather Zone 079 Edwards, Fire Weather Zone 080 
  Kiowa, Fire Weather Zone 081 Pratt, Fire Weather Zone 084 
  Morton, Fire Weather Zone 085 Stevens, Fire Weather Zone 086 
  Seward, Fire Weather Zone 087 Meade, Fire Weather Zone 088 
  Clark, Fire Weather Zone 089 Comanche and Fire Weather Zone 
  090 Barber.

* TIMING...From 9 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening.

* WINDS...North 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread 
  quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National weather service visit...
http://weather.gov/ddc

090 
WWUS83 KDDC 222210
RFWDDC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
510 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

KSZ031-045-046-064>066-075>081-084>090-222315-
/O.CAN.KDDC.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-260323T0100Z/
Ellis-Ness-Rush-Hodgeman-Pawnee-Stafford-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-
Edwards-Kiowa-Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-
Barber-
510 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has cancelled the Red
Flag Warning. Relative humidity has been running too high and is
not meeting Red Flag conditions.

$$

For more information from NOAA/National weather service visit...
http://weather.gov/ddc

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1131 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Record heat expected Saturday afternoon in the 90s.

- Strong north winds and much cooler Sunday.

- Coolest day Monday in the 60s, followed by another rapid
  warming trend through midweek.

- Southwest Kansas will remain dry over the next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1253 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

Mid to upper level ridging and downslope regime will continue to
impact our sensible weather across southwest Kansas today. High
temperatures are forecast to be near or exceeding record
levels. The record high at each of our climate sites are:
DDC-94, GCK-86, and P28-94. Some areas may be able to reach the
upper 90s, as some guidance continue to show areas along the
KS/OK border nearing triple digits. The hot temperatures, with
antecedent dry conditions, and slightly elevated winds will also
lead to a low-end critical fire weather risk this afternoon.
While the minimum relative humidity levels will be as low as
5-10%, the limiting factor at a higher fire risk will be the
winds across the area, with Red Flag criteria perhaps only
being met at times. Red Flag Warning remains in effect for the
entire forecast period to highlight this risk.

Into Sunday, ridging breaks down with a shortwave trough
expected to sweep across the northern Plains and into the
Midwest. With the passage, a dry cold front will traverse the
forecast area, bringing cooler temperatures and stronger winds.
The main story will be the winds. Current NBM shows northerly
winds 20-30 knots, with gusts 30-35 knots. However, stronger
winds will be possible given solutions from the ENS-control and
NAM. Expect forecast winds to continue to increase in
subsequent forecast updates.

The ridge will amplify again next week, leading to warmer
temperatures across the forecast area. We will quickly see
temperatures climb back into the 80s and 90s again Tuesday
through Thursday. Still no rainfall in sight, with long range
global models failing to show any appreciable moisture getting
into southwest Kansas. NBM POPs are reflective of this with
negligible chances (15% or less) through the entire forecast
period.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1128 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

VFR flight category for all terminals during the time period.
Main weather feature of interest will be a strong cold front and
increasing post frontal winds through western Kansas Sunday
morning. The wind shift from SW to NW should occur between
09-12Z and post frontal winds will increase to 20-30 kts with
gusts around 40 kts at times especially between 15-18Z.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ this evening for
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090.

&&

DISCUSSION...Bennett
AVIATION...Tatro

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
130 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-220630-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
130 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026 /1230 AM MDT Sat Mar 21 2026/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Red Flag Warning in effect this afternoon and early evening to
highlight the marginally critical fire weather risk. Minimum
relative humidity down to 5-10%, combined with gusty winds up to
25-30 mph will lead to areas of critical fire weather spread
potential.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

No hazardous weather expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation not expected.