Flash Flood Warning 16, NWS Cheyenne, WY

670 
WGUS75 KCYS 140440
FFSCYS

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
1040 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

NEC105-WYC021-140450-
/O.EXP.KCYS.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-260814T0445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Kimball NE-Laramie WY-
1040 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1045 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR 
NORTHWESTERN KIMBALL AND SOUTHEASTERN LARAMIE COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 4100 10410 4100 10416 4100 10417 4100 10421
      4100 10434 4100 10437 4106 10452 4125 10447
      4133 10389 4108 10394 4100 10409

$$

Brauer

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
530 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms Thursday will
  have the potential to produce torrential rainfall and
  localized flash flooding. Isolated strong to severe storms are
  possible.

- Unsettled weather continues through at least Sunday, bringing
  cooler than average temperatures and daily chances for showers
  and thunderstorms.

- Isolated strong to severe storms and localized flash flooding
  will remain possible through Sunday.

- Drier weather and temperatures close to seasonal averages will
  return early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 130 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

The forecast remains largely on track as concern for torrential
rainfall and localized flash flooding continues. Moisture is about
as abundant as it gets across our area today. Mesoanalysis indicates
precipitable water reaching 1.2" to 1.3" along the I-25 corridor and
as high as 1.5" in our eastern zones. Even Carbon County is largely
over 1.0" at this time. Per the NAEFS, this is showing up with a
return interval of between 2 and 10 years, meaning that precipitable
water gets this high once every 2 to 10 years depending on the exact
location. In addition, GOES water vapor imagery can help identify a
few synoptic features helping to drive today's weather. A more
notable upper level shortwave is moving into western Wyoming at this
time, while a very subtle vort-max is moving out ahead of it,
currently located more or less over the I-25 corridor. The leading
feature was driving the showers with a few rumbles of thunder that
rolled through southeast Wyoming this morning. In between these two
synoptic features, we are starting to see some clearing skies which
should aid in destabilization over the next few hours. All together,
these observations have improved confidence that numerous to
widespread showers and thunderstorms will indeed develop this
afternoon, and the main uncertainty remaining is how far east this
activity will last.

Conditions remain marginally supportive for a few strong to severe
thunderstorms, mainly along and south of the North Platte River
where instability is most potent at this time. We have MLCAPE around
500 to 1000 J/kg and 0 to 6KM shear around 30 knots. Lapse rates are
fairly paltry, as is typical in a very moist environment like today.
So, severe weather really isn't the primary hazard today strong
outflow winds and small to marginally severe hail will be possible.
The main focus remains on torrential rainfall and localized flash
flooding. Storm motions are fairly slow today, and the strong
forcing will also support potential for training thunderstorms,
allowing multiple rounds of heavy rainfall in the same area. We are
already seeing some heavy showers anchoring to the Laramie Range
early this afternoon. The existing Flood Watch area remains the area
with the best instability, but we will also need to keep an eye on
Converse, Platte, Goshen, and possibly portions of Albany county as
high resolution models remain fairly aggressive on rainfall totals
in this area. The weaker instability in those areas reduces
confidence. As storms move east, they will move into weaker
instability. PoPs were trended downward in the northern panhandle as
high-resolution models are in better agreement showing storms
dissipating before reaching there, but the southern panhandle still
looks like a better bet for heavy rainfall. Showers and
thunderstorms will continue all through the evening, and possibly
well into the overnight hours. Isentropic lift will continue all the
way until the axis of the aforementioned primary upper level
shortwave passes through the area around daybreak Friday. While
confidence was too low to make any changes to the Flood Watch now,
we may have to consider extending to daybreak, at least in the
Nebraska panhandle.

Low clouds and fog will be around most of the High Plains Friday
morning, but expect winds to turn westerly from west to east during
the morning hours and clear things out more quickly than today. We
should get a bit more sunshine Friday morning, allowing temperatures
to climb close to seasonal averages, several degrees warmer than
today. Westerly flow will spread across the area, but this will not
actually be that much drier. Precipitable water remains around the
90th percentile of climatology tomorrow despite a "drier" airmass
moving in. Overall storm coverage should be lower tomorrow with
weaker forcing expected. The area favored for storms also looks more
localized, mainly along the I-80 corridor from Laramie to Sidney,
and possibly extending north by 50 to 100 miles or so. While forcing
is unimpressive elsewhere, models show a small region of positive
theta-e advection creeping in from the south, which could help
initiation, and the I-80 corridor looks to have the best instability
of the forecast area. So overall, expect lower coverage but similar
hazards to today. Parameters remain marginally supportive for a few
strong to severe storms, and storms will once again be capable of
producing torrential rainfall and localized flash flooding.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1150 AM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

Saturday...Moist westerly flow aloft and a weak shortwave trough
aloft near peak heating will combine with deep atmospheric moisture
supply to produce scattered to numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening, with the greatest areal
coverage east of Interstate 25. Aiding in the lift will be low level
southeast winds adding the mechanical lift in addition to diurnal
heating. PWAT, Precipitable water values look decent for beneficial
rainfall. 700 mb temperatures yield highs in the 70s to lower 80s.

Sunday...Ridging becomes a bit more pronounced over Wyoming,
producing warmer temperatures aloft which will tend to limit areal
coverage of showers and thunderstorms, compared to Saturday.
Nevertheless though, the monsoonal moisture will stretch from
central Colorado through far eastern Wyoming and western Nebraska,
where scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will occur in
the afternoon and evening. Slightly warmer, but comfortable,
temperatures for this time in August.

Monday...A drier pattern ensues and is on tap as the flow aloft
turns west northwest and the precipitable water values decrease, due
to drying at low and mid levels and downslope southwest winds near
the surface. Thus, a much drier day when compared to the weekend. A
warming trend begins with more sunshine and warmer mid level
temperatures.

Tuesday...Brisk westerly flow aloft prevails, and with a decent
amount of low and mid level moisture availability, expect isolated
to widely scattered late day showers and thunderstorms, mainly east
of Interstate 25 and the Laramie Range. Similar maximum temperatures
to Monday based on 700 mb temperatures.

Wednesday...The synoptic pattern looks more like September and early
autumn with a deep shortwave trough aloft sweeping across western
Montana and Idaho, with west southwest flow aloft over our counties.
Right now, we have scattered late day showers and thunderstorms in
our gridded forecasts, though with a decent increase in precipitable
water values, the moist flow aloft, and low level upslope, along
with pattern recognition, believe our POPS and convective coverage
will likely need to be increased in the next few days.

Thursday...The high amplitude and progressive shortwave trough aloft
moves eastward from western Montana, to the Dakotas and western
Nebraska by evening, sending a decent Pacific origin cold front
across our counties. There may be enough moisture at low and mid
levels for isolated to widely scattered convective coverage, though
the biggest change will likely be a return to cooler temperatures
and windy downslope west winds, which will likely need to be
adjusted in the next few days, if model consistency remains for day
7. If you are looking for an early taste of fall weather, this may
be your day.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 530 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

A tricky TAF forecast for this period due to low clouds, fog, and
numerous showers and thunderstorms will create several aviation
hazards this afternoon into the overnight hours across most of the
terminals. The primary hazard will be very heavy rainfall producing
IFR to LIFR VIS, but there is also the possibility for frequent
lightning, gusty winds, and small hail. Be alert for possible AMDs
through the afternoon and evening as confidence increases in timing
and location of the storms, low clouds, and fog. Expect conditions
to trend towards VFR sometime after 14z Friday due to drier air and
winds becoming more westerly.

&&

.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...Flood Watch until 10 PM MDT this evening for WYZ117>119.
NE...Flood Watch until 10 PM MDT this evening for NEZ003-019>021-
     054-055.

&&

SHORT TERM...MN
LONG TERM...RUBIN
AVIATION...RZ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
404 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

WYZ107-117-118-132245-
East Platte County WY-Central Laramie County WY-
South Laramie Range Foothills WY-
404 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN LARAMIE AND
SOUTHERN PLATTE COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM MDT...

At 403 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Whitaker, or 23 miles northwest of Cheyenne, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible. Small, accumulating hail may cover roadways
         causing slick conditions.

Locations impacted include...
Whitaker.

This includes Interstate 25 in Wyoming between mile markers 26 and
45.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4138 10507 4150 10510 4167 10478 4130 10463
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 263DEG 16KT 4146 10499

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Brauer

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
440 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

WYZ107-108-117-118-132315-
East Platte County WY-Goshen County WY-Central Laramie County WY-
South Laramie Range Foothills WY-
440 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN GOSHEN...NORTH
CENTRAL LARAMIE AND SOUTHEASTERN PLATTE COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM
MDT...

At 439 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Whitaker, or 21 miles north of Cheyenne, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible. Small, accumulating hail may cause slick
         conditions on roadways.

Locations impacted include...
Whitaker.

This includes Interstate 25 in Wyoming between mile markers 30 and
37.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4141 10493 4148 10496 4167 10465 4139 10451
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 249DEG 27KT 4146 10484

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Brauer

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
509 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

WYZ118-119-132345-
Central Laramie County WY-East Laramie County WY-
509 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL LARAMIE COUNTY
THROUGH 545 PM MDT...

At 508 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Whitaker, or 20 miles north of Cheyenne, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible. Small, accumulating hail may cause roadways to
         become slick.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of north central
Laramie County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4141 10485 4149 10483 4155 10448 4130 10457
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 279DEG 18KT 4145 10474

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Brauer

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
548 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

WYZ108-118-119-140030-
Goshen County WY-Central Laramie County WY-East Laramie County WY-
548 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN GOSHEN AND NORTH
CENTRAL LARAMIE COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM MDT...

At 547 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles west of Gun Barrel, or 23 miles northeast of Cheyenne, moving
east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible. Small, accumulating hail may cause slick
         roadways.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southern Goshen and
north central Laramie Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4136 10464 4145 10466 4157 10441 4131 10437
TIME...MOT...LOC 2347Z 267DEG 10KT 4143 10454

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Brauer

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
627 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

WYZ118-119-140100-
Central Laramie County WY-East Laramie County WY-
627 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL LARAMIE COUNTY
THROUGH 700 PM MDT...

At 627 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Gun Barrel, or 25 miles northeast of Cheyenne, moving southeast at 15
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Burns.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4134 10446 4144 10434 4134 10406 4116 10431
TIME...MOT...LOC 0027Z 308DEG 12KT 4135 10438

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Brauer

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
656 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

NEZ054-WYZ118-119-140200-
Kimball NE-Central Laramie County WY-East Laramie County WY-
656 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN KIMBALL AND
SOUTHEASTERN LARAMIE COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM MDT...

At 656 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Egbert, or 28 miles east of Cheyenne, moving southeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Burns, Egbert, and Pine Bluffs Municipal Airport.

This includes Interstate 80 in Wyoming between mile markers 387 and
396.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4126 10441 4134 10433 4137 10390 4104 10427
TIME...MOT...LOC 0056Z 300DEG 8KT 4127 10427

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Brauer