Tornado Warning 9, NWS State College, PA

122 
WWUS51 KCTP 150000
SVSCTP

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
800 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

PAC027-033-035-150008-
/O.EXP.KCTP.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-260615T0000Z/
Centre PA-Clearfield PA-Clinton PA-
800 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN CENTRE...EAST CENTRAL
CLEARFIELD AND WEST CENTRAL CLINTON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 800 PM
EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for central and
north central Pennsylvania.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for 
Centre and Clinton counties until 815 PM EDT.

&&

LAT...LON 4101 7821 4103 7826 4109 7828 4128 7779
      4114 7766
TIME...MOT...LOC 2358Z 270DEG 40KT 4120 7773 

$$

Beaty

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
148 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
* Higher confidence in timing of most thunderstorms (2 PM
  through 11 PM). Increased POPS for SHRA/TSRA layer this
  morning and this afternoon across the Wcent and Northern Mtns.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Strong to severe storms expected for Central PA this
afternoon and evening.

2) Rare SPC Day 5 outlook for SVR TSRA potential across much of
PA on Thu 6/18

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Strong to severe storms expected for Central PA
this afternoon and evening. SPC's late morning upgrade added a
higher wind threat across NW PA (similar to the elevated, 30%
wind threat near and to the SE of the I-81 corridor in PA.

Plenty of multi-layered WAA clouds will cover the NW half of PA
late this morning and early this afternoon with a high
probability for a 30-90 minute period of showers associated with
an area of showers (and possibly a rumble of thunder) mainly to
the north of a line from KJST to KUNV and KIPT.

This initial area of convection is linked to a relatively weak
mid/upper level vort max lifting NE across the region ahead of
the main show (i.e. an anticipated line of strong to severe TRSA
that will sweep SE across the CWA this afternoon and evening).

This lead area of convection shouldn't intensify much, if any,
as its moving over an area with plenty of cloud cover and SBCIN
of 200-500 j/kg.

In contrast, partly sunny skies should last into the mid
afternoon hours near and to the east of I-81. SFC Based CAPE is
with no CIN is already up into the 1000-1500 J/KG range across
the Lower Susq - south of KMDT and KLNS thanks to the better sfc
heating and injection of higher llvl moisture (Sfc Tds in the
mid 60s) north off the Chesapeake Bay.

The temperatures should still get near convective temp in the
early afternoon in the west. Storm motion will bring these into
Central PA while additional but isolated storms pop up over the
CWA.

A cold front will be sweeping across the CWA later today and
early tonight. That front will be the main focus for
thunderstorms late this aftn and this evening. A pre- frontal
trough may develop a few storms in the more-humid region of the
Lower Susq in the afternoon, but models have backed off somewhat
on this possibility with the 00Z runs. Time- lagged ensembles
still hold onto some hope for this, but the trend is drier and
for fewer storms in the air over the central mountains and Susq
Valley. A cap aloft will probably stifle deep convection in
those areas before 5 PM EDT until heights start to fall and
lapse rates steepen.

The dewpoints in the SE are already a little higher than the
rest of the CWA, and will rise even more through the day, but
high moisture (Td in the m-u 60s) will also pool ahead of the
front. Deep-layer (0-6km) shear ramps up to nearly 45KT and
CAPE could touch 2000J/kg in the S and more than 100 in the N.
Hodographs get slightly curved before the front, and the NAM
generates helicity over 300 in the late aftn and early evening -
just ahead of the front - in many places. So, supercells are
possible for a brief window. Mostly, the storms will be multi-
cell clusters. Wind damage will be the most probably threat.
Hail less so, and tornadoes even lower. However, the LCLs will
be low which could make it easier for tornado formation should
discrete cells develop. The front picks up speed in the evening,
and should push all the storms past BFD close to 8 PM, and
through LNS around 11 PM.

   ------------------------------------------------------

KEY MESSAGE 2: Rare SPC Day 5 outlook for SVR TSRA potential
across much of PA on Thu 6/18

The nose of a very strong, 40+ KT swrly 850 mb jet 50+ KT at 700
mb (both being 3+ sigma on the standardized anomaly scale), the
the right entrance region of a 100 KT 250 mb jet and PWATS
around 1.5 inches (with the potential of a EML surging in from
the west ahead of a strong sfc cold front) will bring the ideal
synoptic setup for a severe weather outbreak here in the CWA. As
always, even with the moisture, instability and shear present,
such strong forcing could produces plenty of clouds and early
day convection to stabilize the atmos and decrease the potential
for significant afternoon severe weather. We'll be monitoring
this potential closely as we head into the new week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Upper level shortwave energy is slipping through western PA
early this afternoon ahead of potent cold frontal boundary.
Expect just a glancing blow from this feature with only VCSH
generally across northern PA through the next few hours.

VFR to MVFR conditions will remain until the onset of showers
and convection moves steadily across the state through the late
afternoon and evening hours. Some timing diffrences in the
short term high resolutions models, but the trend is for
convection to enter northwest PA in the late afternoon and exit
southeast PA during the late evening. As with any convection
scenario, expect wind shear, heavy rainfall/wet runways and
lightning as storms cross any airfield.

Once the storms exit and the frontal boundary passes after
midnight, conditions will improve to MVFR then VFR overnight
with winds shifting to the northwest near 10KTS.

With cold air aloft on Monday, a BKN cloud layer will form but
it will remain VFR. An isolated -SHRA is possible after this
forecast period - especially over northern PA.

Outlook...

Tue...Mostly VFR with isolated -SHRA/-TSRA possible.

Wed...Higher chances for -SHRA/-TSRA, restrictions more likely.

Thu...Restrictions possible in -SHRA/-TSRA.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

WHAT HAS CHANGED...Lambert/Dangelo
KEY MESSAGES...Lambert/Dangelo
DISCUSSION...Lambert/Dangelo
AVIATION...Beaty/Tyburski

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
710 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

PAZ028-036-042-051>053-056>059-063>066-152315-
Juniata-Franklin-Sullivan-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-
Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
710 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 337 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms are possible Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ006-010>012-017>019-024>027-033>035-037-041-045-046-049-050-
152315-
Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Somerset-Bedford-
Fulton-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-
Union-Snyder-
710 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...TORNADO WATCH 336 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms are possible Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ004-152315-
Warren-
710 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ005-152315-
McKean-
710 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...TORNADO WATCH 336 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
657 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

PAZ063-142330-
Cumberland PA-
657 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTY
THROUGH 730 PM EDT...

At 656 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Carlisle, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Carlisle, Boiling Springs, and New Kingstown around 700 PM EDT.
  Mechanicsburg and Hogestown around 705 PM EDT.
  Shiremanstown and Wertzville around 710 PM EDT.
  Camp Hill, Lower Allen, and Enola around 715 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include City Island, Penn
State Dickinson School Of Law, and Messiah College.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4016 7731 4030 7714 4031 7700 4033 7691
      4029 7692 4023 7686 4021 7689 4023 7690
      4021 7690 4020 7693 4019 7691 4019 7693
      4017 7692 4016 7698 4015 7699 4008 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 2256Z 235DEG 38KT 4015 7721

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Dangelo

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
658 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0512 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Stoystown               40.10N 78.95W
06/14/2026                   Somerset           PA   911 Call Center

            Trees/wires down.

&&

JBL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
702 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0624 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 WSW Mount Jewett      41.71N 78.69W
06/14/2026                   McKean             PA   Public

            Tree down near US Route 219.

&&

JBL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
709 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 NW Mont Alto          39.87N 77.60W
06/14/2026                   Franklin           PA   911 Call Center

            Wires down on church street.

&&

JBL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
715 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 NW Eldred             41.99N 78.43W
06/14/2026                   McKean             PA   Public

            Tree down blocking road near Indian Creek
            and North Branch Road.

&&

JBL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
719 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

PAZ056-063-142345-
Perry PA-Cumberland PA-
719 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL PERRY AND NORTHWESTERN
CUMBERLAND COUNTIES THROUGH 745 PM EDT...

At 719 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Carlisle, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Plainfield, Newville, New Bloomfield, Bloserville, Colonel Denning
State Park, Shermansdale, Carlisle Springs, Loysville, and
Landisburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM EDT for
south central Pennsylvania.

&&

LAT...LON 4011 7739 4024 7747 4051 7720 4036 7704
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 226DEG 35KT 4021 7738

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Dangelo