Severe Thunderstorm Warning 29, NWS Cleveland, OH

179 
WWUS51 KCLE 262336
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
736 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

OHC095-123-143-173-270000-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0029.000000T0000Z-260327T0000Z/
Ottawa OH-Sandusky OH-Wood OH-Lucas OH-
736 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
FOR OTTAWA...NORTHERN SANDUSKY...NORTHEASTERN WOOD AND NORTHEASTERN
LUCAS COUNTIES...

At 736 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Oregon, or 13
miles east of Toledo, moving east at 65 mph.

HAZARD...Half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect damage 
         to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles.

Locations impacted include...
Toledo, Oregon, Northwood, Oak Harbor, Genoa, Woodville, Elmore,
Walbridge, Millbury, Luckey, Lindsey, Rocky Ridge, Clay Center,
Harbor View, Reno Beach, Williston, Bono, and Stony Ridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for northwestern
Ohio.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4172 8347 4173 8334 4167 8324 4164 8310
      4157 8297 4138 8298 4148 8360
TIME...MOT...LOC 2336Z 289DEG 57KT 4161 8334 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

Kahn

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
505 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
A Tornado Watch has been issued for the entire area through 11PM
tonight as confidence continues to increase in a multi-hazard
severe weather event. There remains an Enhanced Risk (Level 3 of
5) for severe weather with large hail and strong winds the
primary concern, however a tornado or two cannot be ruled out.
In addition, confidence continues to increase in localized heavy
rainfall with these storms. Short, intense bursts of
precipitation may result in elevated rainfall rates over 0.5"
possible.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Severe weather is expected this afternoon through tonight with
all severe hazards possible (i.e. - damaging wind gusts, large hail,
and tornadoes). Storms will be fast moving but will also train over
the same areas, which may allow for locally heavy rainfall and
isolated flooding.

2) High pressure behind the cold front will usher in dry, but cold,
conditions on Friday. Temperatures warm through the weekend.
Precipitation chances return early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Convection is beginning to enter the forecast area this afternoon as
a cluster of sub-severe thunderstorms pushing across Lake Erie are
creeping south into Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania. Not
anticipating much with this cluster of thunderstorms given limited
instability. The main show with the Enhanced Risk (Level 3 of 5)
will come within the next few hours as we are already beginning to
see a nose of MLCAPE 200-500 J/kg coupled with 70-80 knots of
bulk shear develop across the western half of the forecast area.
Thunderstorms are expected to rapidly initiate along a line
extending from Central Illinois into Northern Ohio between 19
and 21Z. At the onset, there may be a mix of both supercells and
organized linear convection. With any initial development of
supercells the large hail and tornado threat will be the
primary severe weather hazard. Convection will quickly
transition to a line of severe thunderstorms along the
approaching cold front. The primary threat in a linear set up
will be damaging wind gusts with a few embedded QLCS tornadoes
possible. The cold front will push south through the evening and
early overnight hours with the severe threat likely diminishing
around midnight tonight. Stay weather aware this evening as
future severe weather watches and warnings may be issued!

Despite a strong LLJ overhead and fast storm motions, the mean layer
flow will be parallel to the advancing cold front. Additionally,
PWAT values will rise to the 1.25-1.50" range which exceed 90th
percentiles for late March. The latest 12Z guidance indicates that
there may be an axis of rainfall amounts of 1.50-1.75" along and
south of US-30. The 12Z HREF 6-hr LPMM also highlights the potential
for locally higher swaths of 2.00+ inches of rainfall across
portions of North Central Ohio. To highlight this threat, the
Weather Prediction Center has upgraded a portion of our forecast
area to a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 4) for heavy rainfall/flash
flooding.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
The cold front exits south by Friday morning as high pressure builds
across the region in its wake. Dry conditions with much cooler
temperatures are anticipated Friday through Saturday night. Lows
tonight immediately behind the front will fall into the low 30s.
Afternoon highs Friday and Saturday will rise into the upper 30s to
mid 40s. Lows drop into the 20s Saturday night. Temperatures will
begin to increase on Sunday as the high exits to the east and ushers
in southerly flow. Highs rise into the mid 50s by Sunday with
highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s anticipated to end March
and begin April. A series of upper level disturbances are
expected to track across the region through early next week.
Daily rain chances are expected with higher chances Tuesday and
Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Thursday THROUGH Tuesday/...
VFR conditions are seen across much of the region currently. There
is a cloud deck around 030-050 across central to northern Ohio
periodically dropping down to MVFR conditions that will be moving to
the east through this afternoon. The main impacts this TAF period
will be the severe weather threat this evening bringing the
potential for strong wind gusts up to 65 knots and damaging hail.
Guidance on the timing of the thunderstorms has slowed down when it
will enter the region from the north-northwest and will begin around
20-22Z for the most northern terminals at KTOL, KCLE, and KERI. It
will exit to the south-southeast by 02-03Z. The line will bring
heavy rainfall at times that could drop conditions down to IFR to
LIFR. The thunderstorm potential could last for a few hours after
initiation before moving to the southeast. Behind frontal passage,
lingering rain showers are expected to persist for a few hours into
the early morning tomorrow keeping conditions down to MVFR/IFR. The
widespread rain showers will move out of the region starting around
08Z for the northern sites and 12Z for sites to the south. Non-VFR
ceilings are expected to continue for most sites through mid-day
tomorrow when ceilings begin to rise.

Winds across the region are currently out of the southwest gusting
to 20-30 knots. They will slowly veer to be more west-southwesterly
through the early evening before shifting to be out of the north
with frontal passage. Winds will increase ahead of the front,
gusting up to 35 knots with stronger gusts likely within the
thunderstorms with gusts up to 65 knots possible. The stronger winds
will generally be out of the west, but erratic gusts associated with
the thunderstorms are possible. Behind the front, as winds shift to
be northerly, they will diminish to around 10 knots sustained,
gusting to around 20 knots and will continue through the remainder
of the TAF period.

Outlook...Non-VFR ceilings expected through Friday afternoon
with periodic rain showers possible in the morning. Non-VFR
possible on Monday with rain showers/thunderstorms.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds across Lake Erie are currently out of the southwest at 10-15
knots with occasional gusts up to 20 knots. A cold front will move
from the north to the south over the lake this evening and winds
quickly shift to be out of the north behind the front. Winds
will also increase to around 15-20 knots across the lake and
waves will build to be 3-5 feet across much of the nearshore. As
a result, a Small Craft Advisory is active for the nearshore
zones from Reno Beach to Willowick from 11 PM tonight to 4 PM
Friday and for Willowick to Conneaut from 2 AM to 4 PM Friday.
Winds will begin to diminish Friday afternoon to 10-15 knots and
shift to be more northwesterly by Saturday morning as high
pressure builds in from the west. Waves as well will diminish to
around 1-3 feet by Friday afternoon. The high pressure will
drift to the east throughout the day into Sunday and winds will
shift to be out of the southwest around 5-10 knots with waves
less than 3 feet. On Monday, a cold front will drift across Lake
Erie and winds will increase to be 10- 15 knots out of the
southwest and waves building to 3-5 feet for areas east of the
Islands through Monday night. By Tuesday, the cold front will
drift south of the lake and and winds will shift to be out of
the south to southeasterly at 15-20 knots. Will need to monitor
for the potential for another Small Craft Advisory for early
next week.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 4 PM EDT
     Friday for LEZ143>146.
     Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM to 4 PM EDT Friday for LEZ147-
     148.

&&

DISCUSSION...04/13
AVIATION...23
MARINE...23

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
459 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-272100-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-
Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-
Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-
Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
459 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

...TORNADO WATCH 75 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and
evening. Storms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts,
large hail, and tornadoes. Localized heavy rainfall and minor
flooding is also possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any information about
observed severe weather to the NWS.

LEZ142>148-162>168-272100-
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH-Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-
on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
459 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

...TORNADO WATCH 75 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and
evening. Storms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts,
large hail, and waterspouts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ149-169-272100-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
459 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

...TORNADO WATCH 75 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and
evening. Some may be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and
large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-272100-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
459 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and
evening. Some may be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and
large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
601 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

PAZ001>003-262245-
Northern Erie PA-Southern Erie PA-Crawford PA-
601 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN ERIE AND CRAWFORD
COUNTIES THROUGH 645 PM EDT...

At 600 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles southwest of Erie to near Edinboro to
near Kinsman. Movement was east at 75 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Erie, Meadville, Corry, Edinboro, Titusville, Union City, Cambridge
Springs, Waterford, Linesville, Wattsburg, Adamsville, Canadohta
Lake, Pymatuning Central, Riceville, Harmonsburg, Lincolnville, Guys
Mills, Pymatuning North, Atlantic, and Cochranton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for northeastern
Ohio...and northwestern Pennsylvania.

&&

LAT...LON 4162 7962 4162 7982 4149 8000 4149 8052
      4166 8051 4184 8020 4208 8022 4211 7976
      4201 7976 4199 7961
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 269DEG 66KT 4204 8013 4185 8010 4152 8066

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Garuckas

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
613 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

OHZ013-014-023-PAZ003-262300-
Geauga OH-Trumbull OH-Ashtabula Inland OH-Crawford PA-
613 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN TRUMBULL...SOUTHEASTERN
GEAUGA...SOUTHERN ASHTABULA AND SOUTHWESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES
THROUGH 700 PM EDT...

At 613 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Middlefield, or 12 miles southeast of Chardon, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Cortland, Middlefield, Kinsman, North Bloomfield, Orwell, Burton,
West Farmington, Bristolville, Adamsville, Atlantic, Pymatuning
Central, Parkman, Huntsburg, Mecca, Johnston, Jamestown, and
Orangeville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for northeastern
Ohio...and northwestern Pennsylvania.

&&

LAT...LON 4148 8013 4149 8052 4127 8052 4137 8115
      4155 8113 4153 8008 4149 8008
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 274DEG 50KT 4146 8102

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Garuckas

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
653 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

OHZ018-027-028-262330-
Seneca OH-Crawford OH-Wyandot OH-
653 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SENECA...NORTHEASTERN WYANDOT
AND NORTHWESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM EDT...

At 653 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
New Riegel, or near Tiffin, moving east at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Tiffin, Fostoria, New Washington, Bloomville, New Riegel, Chatfield,
Attica, Republic, and Bascom.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for north central
and northwestern Ohio.

&&

LAT...LON 4120 8342 4111 8283 4099 8283 4092 8286
      4100 8342
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 280DEG 53KT 4107 8329

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Kahn

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
709 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

OHZ014-PAZ001>003-270000-
Ashtabula Inland OH-Northern Erie PA-Southern Erie PA-Crawford PA-
709 PM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN ASHTABULA...ERIE AND
CRAWFORD COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM EDT...

At 708 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Erie to 8 miles north of Harmonsburg to near
Kinsman. Movement was east at 75 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Erie, Meadville, Corry, Edinboro, Titusville, Union City, Cambridge
Springs, Waterford, Andover, Linesville, Wattsburg, Adamsville,
Canadohta Lake, Pymatuning Central, Riceville, Harmonsburg, Northwest
Harborcreek, Lincolnville, Guys Mills, and Pymatuning North.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for northeastern
Ohio...and northwestern Pennsylvania.

&&

LAT...LON 4162 7982 4149 8000 4148 8037 4151 8070
      4182 8035 4212 8013 4213 8015 4214 8009
      4215 8011 4214 8014 4217 8012 4217 8008
      4214 8008 4218 7999 4213 7976 4201 7976
      4199 7961 4162 7962
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 289DEG 66KT 4212 8009 4178 8027 4151 8054

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Garuckas