Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Cleveland, OH

826 
WWUS51 KCLE 071836
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
136 PM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

OHC007-155-PAC039-071900-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260307T1900Z/
Trumbull OH-Ashtabula OH-Crawford PA-
136 PM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM EST
FOR NORTHEASTERN TRUMBULL...SOUTHEASTERN ASHTABULA AND SOUTHWESTERN
CRAWFORD COUNTIES...

At 136 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Kinsman, or 17
miles northwest of Sharpsville, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Kinsman, Andover, Linesville, Harmonsburg, Adamsville, Pymatuning
North, Pymatuning Central, Atlantic, Johnston, Cherry Valley,
Conneaut Lake, Jamestown, Conneaut Lakeshore, and Hartstown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EST for northeastern
Ohio...and northwestern Pennsylvania.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4148 8037 4149 8044 4149 8052 4140 8052
      4137 8072 4160 8071 4169 8051 4168 8025
      4148 8025
TIME...MOT...LOC 1836Z 242DEG 47KT 4150 8062 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Sullivan

532 
WWUS51 KCLE 071847
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
147 PM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

OHC007-155-071857-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260307T1900Z/
Trumbull OH-Ashtabula OH-
147 PM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN TRUMBULL AND
SOUTHEASTERN ASHTABULA COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EST for northeastern
Ohio...and northwestern Pennsylvania.

LAT...LON 4148 8025 4148 8037 4149 8038 4149 8052
      4169 8052 4169 8051 4168 8025
TIME...MOT...LOC 1847Z 242DEG 53KT 4158 8042 

$$

PAC039-071900-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260307T1900Z/
Crawford PA-
147 PM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM EST
FOR SOUTHWESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY...

At 147 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Pymatuning
Central, or 14 miles west of Meadville, moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Linesville, Harmonsburg, Pymatuning North, Pymatuning Central,
Adamsville, Atlantic, Conneaut Lake, Jamestown, Conneaut Lakeshore,
and Hartstown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EST for northeastern
Ohio...and northwestern Pennsylvania.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4148 8025 4148 8037 4149 8038 4149 8052
      4169 8052 4169 8051 4168 8025
TIME...MOT...LOC 1847Z 242DEG 53KT 4158 8042 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Sullivan

007 
WWUS51 KCLE 071856
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
156 PM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

PAC039-071906-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260307T1900Z/
Crawford PA-
156 PM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 200 PM EST...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However, gusty
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EST for northeastern
Ohio...and northwestern Pennsylvania.

LAT...LON 4148 8025 4148 8037 4149 8038 4149 8052
      4169 8052 4169 8051 4168 8025
TIME...MOT...LOC 1856Z 242DEG 53KT 4163 8030 

$$

Sullivan

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
101 PM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Storm strength has remained fairly limited as storm development
has been farther east and instability has struggles to increase.
The severe storm threat is likely limited to the far eastern
portions of our forecast area in far Northeast Ohio and
Northwest Pennsylvania.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Showers and thunderstorms will develop ahead of a cold front
late this morning and afternoon. Some storms could become strong
to severe, particularly along and east of the I-71 corridor
between Noon and 5 PM.

2) The next period of unsettled weather is expected Tuesday
night through Wednesday, bringing periods of moderate to heavy
rain and perhaps a few stronger thunderstorms.

3) A clipper system will move east through the Upper Great Lakes
on Friday which could bring a rain/snow mix to the local area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

The latest water vapor imagery reveals a strong mid-level
shortwave ejecting northeast into the Midwest early this
morning, with ongoing pre-frontal convection located across
portions of Missouri and Illinois. The latest guidance suggests
this shortwave will strengthen further through this morning,
resulting in ~60 knots of 700 mb SW flow across the area by
early this afternoon.

There remains some uncertainty on the evolution of this
convection as it enters Ohio by around mid- morning, though do
anticipate redevelopment as it encounters a more favorable
environment near the I-71 corridor by late morning/early
afternoon. Probabilities for instability parameters from both
the REFS/HREF (such as SBCAPE > 1000 J/kg) are considerably
higher than previous model runs, particularly east of the I-71
corridor. In addition, low-level hodographs also appear more
favorable not only in the 0-1 km layer as they did in last
night's guidance, but now also up to 3 km which tends to suggest
a greater tornado potential in any stronger storms, especially
those with a north to south orientation given the SW shear
vectors.

The latest SPC SWODY1 categorical risk remains unchanged, though
a 5% "hatched" tornado area has been introduced with this
morning's update. Do think the local risk for any significant
tornadoes (EF2+) is very low as the expected linear storm mode
would suggest more of an transient, embedded tornado and
damaging wind threat. However, this could change if storm mode
begins as discrete (stand alone from other storms) and will be
monitored. The timing window and location for strong to severe
storms remains relatively unchanged from previous forecasts -
generally along and east of the I-71 corridor between Noon and 5
PM as storms move west to east through the area.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Guidance continues to suggest a potent upper-level trough
developing across the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes Wednesday
into Thursday. At the surface, a low pressure system will slide
northeast through the Midwest and Eastern Great Lakes, extending
a strong cold front across the area Wednesday night and ushering
in a much colder air mass into the region. Probabilities remain
medium to high (50 to 70%) for much of the area to see at least
1 inch of rainfall Tuesday night through Wednesday as periods
of moderate to heavy rain and thunderstorms are appearing more
likely. Will continue to monitor trends and potential impacts
from this system over the next several days.

Above average temperatures mainly in the 60s to lower 70s will
persist into Wednesday (with the brief exception of Sunday with
highs in the 50s), falling into the upper 30s to low 40s behind
a cold front on Thursday.

KEY MESSAGE 3...
The latest guidance indicates a clipper system will move east
through the Upper Great Lakes on Friday into Saturday which
could bring a rain/snow mix to the local area and gusty winds.
After brief high pressure on Saturday, another system may
quickly develop towards the west Saturday night into Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Saturday THROUGH Thursday/...
A broken line of storms across parts of Northeast Ohio and
Northwest Pennsylvania (mainly east of I-71) will continue for
the next few hours, exiting the area by 20-21Z. An area of
trailing stratiform rain will follow for a few more hours.
Brief, isolated gusts up to 30-40 knots and IFR visibilities
are possible

A short break in precipitation is expected before light rain
develops along a southeastward moving cold front late this
evening into early tonight. Areawide MVFR ceilings are expected
immediately behind the front and likely lasting through the
night. A few patches of IFR will be possible. Cloud cover clears
up by mid-morning Sunday, giving way to clear skies.

Winds will be southerly southwesterly today 12 to 20 knots with
gusts up to 25 to 30 ahead of the cold front this afternoon.
Winds will shift from the west tonight 8 to 12 knots tonight and
the gusts will gradually relax by late evening.

Outlook...Non-VFR is likely with showers and thunderstorms
Tuesday night into Wednesday followed by a rain/snow mix
Wednesday night into Thursday.

&&

.MARINE...
There are a couple weather systems in the next several days that may
bring some minor marine impacts to Lake Erie. The other ongoing
marine weather impact on Lake Erie is the substantial ice coverage
that continues to slowly decrease and break up. A cold front will
approach Lake Erie this evening from west to east. Ahead of the cold
front today, southerly to southwesterly winds will increase 15 to 25
knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Behind the front this evening and
overnight, winds will become westerly 10 to 15 knots. The stronger
wind flow over the lake today and the much warmer temperatures will
help further to weaken the ice coverage and also move it around this
weekend. Wave heights will be limited by the aforementioned mobile
pack ice. High pressure will build into the Great Lakes Sunday into
MOnday with a return of southwesterly 10 to 20 knots. The next
potential weather system to bring impacts to Lake Erie will the
middle of next week. Forecast model guidance indicates the potential
for a deepening low pressure system and strong cold front tracking
across the eastern Great Lakes region Wednesday through early
Thursday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...Kahn
AVIATION...Saunders
MARINE...77

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1139 AM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

LEZ061-145>149-165>169-OHZ010>014-019>023-028>033-036>038-047-089-
PAZ001>003-081645-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-
on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Huron-
Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-
Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-
Southern Erie-
1139 AM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central
Ohio, northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms will move east across the area this
morning and afternoon. Some storms could be strong to severe with
damaging wind gusts being the primary hazard. A tornado or two is
also possible, especially east of I-77.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ142>144-162>164-OHZ003-006>009-017-018-027-081645-
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Hancock-Seneca-
Wyandot-
1139 AM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central Ohio
and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1253 PM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

OHZ013-022-023-071830-
Geauga OH-Portage OH-Trumbull OH-
1253 PM EST Sat Mar 7 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN TRUMBULL...NORTHERN
PORTAGE AND SOUTHEASTERN GEAUGA COUNTIES THROUGH 130 PM EST...

At 1253 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Streetsboro, or near Ravenna, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Kent, Streetsboro, Middlefield, Garrettsville, North Bloomfield,
Mantua, West Farmington, Bristolville, Aurora, Parkman, Hiram, and
Sugar Bush Knolls.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4115 8138 4132 8138 4145 8107 4150 8088
      4144 8076 4135 8077
TIME...MOT...LOC 1753Z 240DEG 49KT 4125 8131

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Sullivan