Alert archive / Ohio / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2026

Lake Effect Snow Warning 2, NWS Cleveland, OH

March 17, 2026Geauga County, Ohio

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this lake effect snow warning at Mar 17, 2026, 9:03 AM EDT for Geauga County, Ohio. It was in force for 8 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2026, 9:03 AM EDT (13:03 UTC)
Expired
Mar 17, 2026, 5:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Cleveland, OH

County Geauga County, OH

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Mar 17, 9:30 AM EDTSNOW 6.52 W Burton, OH12-hour snowfall.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2026-03-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2026-03-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 21 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
492 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
93 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
4 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

410 
WWUS41 KCLE 171303
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
903 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

OHZ013-172100-
/O.UPG.KCLE.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260317T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.LE.W.0002.260317T1303Z-260317T2100Z/
Geauga-
Including the cities of Burton, Chesterland, South Russell,
Chardon, Bainbridge, and Middlefield
903 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 
  to 6 inches within the most persistent snow band.

* WHERE...Geauga County.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 
  mile due to falling and blowing snow.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A band of lake effect snow is producing snow 
  rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour across central Geauga County. This 
  band of snow will persist through about midday before losing 
  organization this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and 
Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all 
travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com 
for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

PAZ002-172315-
/O.CON.KCLE.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260318T0900Z/
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Edinboro, Corry, and Union City
903 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 
  to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Southern Erie County.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania 
Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel 
restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for 
the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter 
storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, 
booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. 
Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help 
you survive in case you become stranded.

&&

$$

OHZ011-012-014-023-089-171800-
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260317T1800Z/
Cuyahoga-Lake-Ashtabula Inland-Trumbull-Ashtabula Lakeshore-
Including the cities of Willowick, Jefferson, Warren, Willoughby,
Cleveland, Conneaut, Roaming Shores, Eastlake, Geneva, Mentor,
Wickliffe, Orwell, Andover, Painesville, Ashtabula, and Niles
903 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to 2 
  inches, except locally up to 4 inches in eastern Cuyahoga County.

* WHERE...Ashtabula Inland, Ashtabula Lakeshore, Cuyahoga, Lake, and 
  Trumbull Counties.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and 
Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all 
travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com 
for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

PAZ001-003-172315-
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260318T0900Z/
Northern Erie-Crawford-
Including the cities of Meadville, Erie, and Titusville
903 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT 
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations 1 to 3 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Crawford and Northern Erie Counties.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania 
Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel 
restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for 
the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

Sullivan
2 follow-up statements
022 
WWUS41 KCLE 171732
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
132 PM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

OHZ013-172100-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260317T2100Z/
Geauga-
Including the cities of Middlefield, Chardon, South Russell,
Bainbridge, Chesterland, and Burton
132 PM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations up to 
  two inches.

* WHERE...Geauga County.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 
  mile due to falling and blowing snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and 
Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all 
travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com 
for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

PAZ002-180345-
/O.CON.KCLE.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260318T0900Z/
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Edinboro, Union City, and Corry
132 PM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 
  to 4 inches.

* WHERE...Southern Erie County.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania 
Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel 
restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for 
the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter 
storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, 
booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. 
Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help 
you survive in case you become stranded.

&&

$$

OHZ011-012-014-023-089-172100-
/O.EXT.KCLE.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260317T2100Z/
Cuyahoga-Lake-Ashtabula Inland-Trumbull-Ashtabula Lakeshore-
Including the cities of Jefferson, Mentor, Willowick, Cleveland,
Eastlake, Willoughby, Niles, Andover, Ashtabula, Roaming Shores,
Geneva, Wickliffe, Warren, Orwell, Painesville, and Conneaut
132 PM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations up to one 
  inch.

* WHERE...Ashtabula Inland, Ashtabula Lakeshore, Cuyahoga, Lake, and 
  Trumbull Counties.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and 
Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all 
travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com 
for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

PAZ001-003-180345-
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260318T0900Z/
Northern Erie-Crawford-
Including the cities of Erie, Titusville, and Meadville
132 PM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT 
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of one to 
  three inches.

* WHERE...Crawford and Northern Erie Counties.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania 
Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel 
restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for 
the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

Sullivan
292 
WWUS41 KCLE 172051
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
451 PM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

OHZ013-172200-
/O.EXP.KCLE.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260317T2100Z/
Geauga-
Including the cities of Middlefield, Chardon, Bainbridge, Burton,
Chesterland, and South Russell
451 PM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

Scattered lake effect snow showers will gradually end this evening.

$$

OHZ011-012-014-023-089-172200-
/O.EXP.KCLE.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260317T2100Z/
Cuyahoga-Lake-Ashtabula Inland-Trumbull-Ashtabula Lakeshore-
Including the cities of Wickliffe, Cleveland, Andover, Geneva,
Jefferson, Conneaut, Eastlake, Willoughby, Willowick, Niles,
Roaming Shores, Ashtabula, Mentor, Warren, Painesville, and
Orwell
451 PM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

Scattered lake effect snow showers will gradually end this evening.

$$

PAZ002-180700-
/O.CON.KCLE.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260318T0900Z/
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Edinboro, Corry, and Union City
451 PM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 
  to 4 inches.

* WHERE...Southern Erie County.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania 
Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel 
restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for 
the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter 
storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, 
booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. 
Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help 
you survive in case you become stranded.

&&

$$

PAZ001-003-180700-
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260318T0900Z/
Northern Erie-Crawford-
Including the cities of Meadville, Titusville, and Erie
451 PM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT 
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of one to 
  three inches.

* WHERE...Crawford and Northern Erie Counties.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania 
Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel 
restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for 
the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

77

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Mar 17, 7:42 AM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • 1) The strongest winds will gradually subside this morning, but continued gusts in the 25-30 knot range through the afternoon will cause periods of blowing snow and rapidly changing visibilities within any lake-effect snow showers. 2) Lake effect snow will continue today before ending tonight. The most impactful snow will occur across the primary snowbelt east of Cleveland and in NW PA through this morning. 3) Unseasonably cold conditions through tonight. 4) Limited and low-impact precipitation chances with milder overall temperatures Wednesday through Monday.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 17, 7:42 AM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
742 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
The lake effect snow has trended slightly lower today due to
fluctuating placement and intensity of snow bands this morning,
but periods of moderate to briefly heavy snow along with wind
gusts over 40 mph will still create periodic whiteout
conditions. Rapid changes to road and visibility conditions are
still expected today, and the greatest impacts are still
expected to be this morning across the primary snowbelt east of
Cleveland and in NW PA.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) The strongest winds will gradually subside this morning, but
continued gusts in the 25-30 knot range through the afternoon
will cause periods of blowing snow and rapidly changing
visibilities within any lake-effect snow showers.

2) Lake effect snow will continue today before ending tonight.
The most impactful snow will occur across the primary snowbelt
east of Cleveland and in NW PA through this morning.

3) Unseasonably cold conditions through tonight.

4) Limited and low-impact precipitation chances with milder
overall temperatures Wednesday through Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE #1...
The pressure gradient remains tight this morning amidst strong
cold air advection, and this is causing strong, gusty W to WNW
winds to continue. Current observations at 07Z still have many
wind gusts in the 30-40 knot range across north central and NE
Ohio and NW PA, but the winds are beginning to subside in NW
Ohio, with most ASOS and AWOS sites recording gusts of 20-25
knots out there. The diminishing trend noted in NW Ohio will
gradually progress east this morning as the pressure gradient
relaxes in response to the deep low exiting toward the Canadian
Maritimes. With this in mind, will keep the Wind Advisory for
the eastern lakeshore counties going through 12Z this morning
(Lake, northern Ashtabula, northern Erie) since gusts over 40
knots will continue there at times over the next few hours, but
the diminishing trend will occur there as well after sunrise.

Despite the strongest and most impactful winds coming to an end
this morning, WNW winds continuing to gust to 25-30 knots at
times through the afternoon will still create issues within any
snow showers/squalls. The primary snowbelt east of Cleveland and
in NW PA will see the most frequent fluctuations in visibility
and whiteout conditions where lake effect snow is expected
through the day, but scattered snow showers outside of the
snowbelt across the rest of northern Ohio when combined with the
wind will also create brief reductions in visibility.

KEY MESSAGE #2...
An unseasonably deep trough across the eastern CONUS in the wake
of the strong storm system will maintain broad cyclonic flow and
strong cold air advection across the Great Lakes today, with a
pool of -18 C 850 mb air advecting across Lake Erie this
morning. This along with lake temperatures averaging 2 to 3 C
supports moderate lake induced instability through the day and
lake induced equilibrium levels of 10-11 thousand feet. These
are impressive thermodynamics for mid March and certainly
supportive of strong updrafts and organized, heavy snow bands,
especially since BUFKIT forecast soundings continue to show
limited shear and periods of decent Omega within the DGZ amidst
a long, westerly fetch. However, this continues to be a very
challenging forecast with a high boom or bust potential due to
some continued negative factors described below.

First, RAP BUFKIT forecast soundings still show quite a bit of
dry air in the lowest levels through the day. That may limit the
duration of heavier, more organized banding to times when a weak
shortwave/surface trough crosses the lake. We are already seeing
the effects of this over the past few hours, with a lull in the
organized snow bands and only light to moderate snow showers at
the moment. Second, strong boundary layer flow of 40-50 knots
early this morning will tear apart bands at times and cause them
to be more ragged and farther inland, which will also work to
shorten the duration of the heaviest, most organized banding.
Finally, once we get past 15Z, the strong mid March sun angle
will cause diurnally driven snow showers to blossom areawide,
which will disrupt the most organized lake effect bands for the
afternoon.

After weighing all of the positive and negative factors, decided
to lower snowfall forecasts slightly while maintaining very
similar impacts and messaging from periods of heavier snow and
blowing snow, so therefore, kept all headlines unchanged. After
the current lull described above, there should be an uptick in
organization in the 12-15Z timeframe as a defined surface trough
slowly crosses the lake. Briefly improved low-level moisture and
a boost of low-level convergence and resultant Omega immediately
ahead of the trough should get another heavier, west to east
band established across eastern Cuyahoga, far southern Lake,
Geauga, southern Ashtabula, and northern Trumbull Counties
either during or just after the morning commute. The other band
over southern Erie and Crawford Counties will reorganize ahead
of the trough too. This period will be the wild card to boom or
bust on the current snowfall forecast. Boundary layer winds will
be decreasing and should improve residence time over the water,
so if the band can get cranking and sit fairly stationary in
this area for 3 or 4 hours, then snowfall amounts will be higher
than forecast. If this band struggles to get organized, then
the snowfall will end up quite a bit less than forecasted since
once we get to the afternoon hours, the sun angle will weaken
banding.

Outside of the lake effect area, general, diurnally driven snow
showers are expected everywhere this afternoon along with some
snow showers off Lake Michigan impacting NW Ohio and the
central highlands at times all day. This activity could amount
to a quick coating to up to 2 inches of snow. All snow showers,
including the lake snow east of Cleveland, will diminish tonight
as high pressure builds in from the Ohio Valley leading to
backing boundary layer flow and subsidence.

KEY MESSAGE #3...
Arctic air will lead to temperatures a solid 20 degrees below
normal today and tonight. Air temperatures in the teens and low
20s this morning combined with the wind will produce single
digit wind chills, and wind chills will only improve to the
teens this afternoon and tonight. This will lead to exposure
risks for holiday activities and will at least be a shock to the
system after the mild conditions of late.

KEY MESSAGE #4...
No changes to the forecast from Wednesday onward. A warm front
will lift across the region Wednesday ahead of a weak low
lifting through the northern Great Lakes, but dry air will limit
any precip. Better chance for some light, low impact showers
Thursday as the cold front associated with the low crosses the
region. Afterwards, the southern Great Lakes will be wedged
between a broad mid/upper ridge over the western CONUS and
Plains and lingering mid/upper trough over the NE CONUS. This
will support weak disturbances and occasional light rain
showers, especially in NE Ohio and NW PA, but the overall theme
will be warming temperatures late this week through the weekend
and low impact precip chances until a stronger cold front
approaches late Sunday into Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/...
Predominately VFR conditions are being observed across the area this
morning as a surface trough continues to linger. There are patchy
MVFR to IFR ceilings and visibilities which are isolated to the
patchy bands of lake effect snow. As another shortwave trough pivots
across the area this morning, local enhancement of these bands may
result in patchy LIFR visibilities, however confidence in location
and timing is too low to include in TAFs at this point. These lake
effect snow showers are expected to continue into the afternoon
hours, especially for KCLE, KERI, and KYNG which are downstream of
Lake Erie. By 00Z tonight, the bulk of snow showers should end as
high pressure nudges northeast into the region allowing for
widespread VFR conditions to prevail through the end of the period.

West to northwest winds of 12-20 knots with gusts up to 25-30 knots
are possible through this afternoon. Winds will slowly shift to
southwesterly after 00Z and weaken to 5-10 knots into Wednesday
morning. Additional gusty winds from the south are possible
Wednesday afternoon.

Outlook...Non-VFR returns Wednesday afternoon into Thursday
with the next warm front.

&&

.MARINE...
A strong low pressure system will continue to drift northeast
towards Newfoundland and Labrador today, keeping a surface trough
lingering over much of the region. This morning, the gradient across
Lake Erie will remain tight enough for gales to persist until near
day break. After this, the gradient will gradually weaken as a high
pressure system begins to nudge north into the area later today with
west-northwest winds of 20 to 30 knots possible through the evening.
These strong winds will result in waves building to 7 to 10 feet
across much of the nearshore waters. Given these prolonged hazardous
marine conditions, after the Gale Warning expires at 8AM, a Small
Craft Advisory will likely be needed through this evening. Given the
winds shifting to become more northwesterly this morning, the Low
Water Advisory is also expected to expire at 8AM.

As previously mentioned, a high pressure system will nudge north
tonight, allowing for winds to become southwesterly at 10 to 15
knots tonight into early Wednesday. Winds will briefly increase to
15 to 20 knots during the afternoon hours, but again weaken to 5 to
10 knots Wednesday night into Thursday. The aforementioned high
pressure will continue to influence the area for much of the
remainder of the week, allowing for relatively calm marine
conditions to persist. A low pressure system may move into the
region for this weekend, which could elevate the winds once again to
20 to 30 knots and increase waves above 4 feet. Will continue to
monitor this late week system for any additional marine headline
needs.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Winter Weather Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for
     OHZ011>014-023-089.
PA...Winter Weather Advisory until 5 AM EDT Wednesday for PAZ001-
     003.
     Winter Storm Warning until 5 AM EDT Wednesday for PAZ002.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 8 AM EDT this morning for LEZ142>149-
     162>169.
     Low Water Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for
     LEZ142>144-162>164.
     Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for
     LEZ142>144.
     Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for
     LEZ145>149.

&&

DISCUSSION...Garuckas
AVIATION...04
MARINE...04
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 17, 5:11 AM EDT, 3 hours 52 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
511 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

OHZ003-006>010-017>022-027>033-036>038-047-180915-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-
Summit-Portage-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-
Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
511 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ012-089-180915-
Lake-Ashtabula Lakeshore-
511 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ002-180915-
Southern Erie-
511 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ001-180915-
Northern Erie-
511 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ003-180915-
Crawford-
511 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ011-013-014-023-180915-
Cuyahoga-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Trumbull-
511 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ142>144-162>164-180915-
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
511 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
   Low Water Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-145>149-165>169-180915-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-
on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
511 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 17, 6:12 AM EDT, 2 hours 51 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
612 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     Snow             1 NNW Girard            42.01N  80.33W
03/17/2026  M4.0 inch        Erie               PA   Trained Spotter

            12-hour snowfall.

0415 AM     Snow             1 ENE Jefferson         41.74N  80.76W
03/17/2026  M4.0 inch        Ashtabula          OH   Trained Spotter

            12-hour snowfall.

0500 AM     Snow             1 NNE North Kingsville  41.94N  80.66W
03/17/2026  M2.8 inch        Ashtabula          OH   Trained Spotter

            12-hour snowfall.

&&

Event Number CLE2601441
Event Number CLE2601442
Event Number CLE2601443

RC
Local storm report, Mar 17, 7:10 AM EDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
710 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     Snow             4 SE Harborcreek        42.13N  79.89W
03/17/2026  M7.0 inch        Erie               PA   Trained Spotter

            12-hour snowfall.

0615 AM     Snow             4 NW Waterford          41.99N  80.03W
03/17/2026  M5.1 inch        Erie               PA   Trained Spotter

            12-hour snowfall.

&&

Event Number CLE2601444
Event Number CLE2601445

BM
Local storm report, Mar 17, 7:47 AM EDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
747 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 AM     Snow             3 E South Madison       41.73N  80.99W
03/17/2026  M2.1 inch        Ashtabula          OH   Trained Spotter

            12-hour snowfall.

0700 AM     Snow             1 S Montville           41.59N  81.05W
03/17/2026  M3.0 inch        Geauga             OH   Trained Spotter

            12-hour snowfall.

0700 AM     Snow             2 ESE North East        42.20N  79.80W
03/17/2026  M4.2 inch        Erie               PA   Trained Spotter

            12-hour snowfall.

0700 AM     Snow             1 NW Harborcreek        42.18N  79.98W
03/17/2026  M4.0 inch        Erie               PA   Trained Spotter

            12-hour snowfall.

0700 AM     Snow             3 SE Gustavus           41.43N  80.64W
03/17/2026  M2.0 inch        Trumbull           OH   Trained Spotter

            24-hour snowfall.

0705 AM     Snow             3 NW Venango            41.80N  80.16W
03/17/2026  M2.5 inch        Crawford           PA   Trained Spotter

            12-hour snowfall.

0710 AM     Snow             2 ESE Erie              42.11N  80.05W
03/17/2026  M2.2 inch        Erie               PA   Trained Spotter

            12-hour snowfall.

&&

Event Number CLE2601446
Event Number CLE2601447
Event Number CLE2601448
Event Number CLE2601449
Event Number CLE2601450
Event Number CLE2601451
Event Number CLE2601452

BM
Special weather statement, Mar 17, 8:13 AM EDT, 50 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
813 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

OHZ010-018>021-030>032-171330-
Summit OH-Seneca OH-Huron OH-Stark OH-Medina OH-Lorain OH-Wayne OH-
Ashland OH-
813 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...A line of snow showers will affect Huron...northeastern Seneca...
southern Medina...northern Ashland...Stark...southern Summit...
northern Wayne and southwestern Lorain Counties Until 930 AM EDT....

At 812 AM EDT, radar indicated snow showers along a line extending
from near Green Springs to West Salem to near Canton, moving east at
15 mph.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Visibility dropping to less than half of a mile...
Up to 1 inch of quick snow accumulation...
Icy and slippery roadways...

Locations impacted include...
Canton, Wooster, Norwalk, Massillon, Barberton, Green, Alliance,
Wadsworth, North Canton, Louisville, Orrville, Rittman, Willard,
Wellington, Minerva, Doylestown, Hartville, Lodi, New London, and
Creston.

Use extra caution if you must travel. Rapid changes in visibility and
potentially slick roads may lead to accidents.

LAT...LON 4072 8152 4093 8219 4098 8242 4099 8242
      4099 8245 4115 8316 4126 8316 4122 8250
      4090 8108 4073 8109 4072 8123 4067 8124
TIME...MOT...LOC 1212Z 256DEG 13KT 4118 8311 4097 8211 4082 8143

Sullivan
Special weather statement, Mar 17, 8:17 AM EDT, 46 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
817 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

OHZ011-013-014-023-171345-
Geauga OH-Trumbull OH-Cuyahoga OH-Ashtabula Inland OH-
817 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...An intense lake effect snow band will affect northern Trumbull...
central Geauga...east central Cuyahoga and southern Ashtabula
Counties Until 945 AM EDT....

At 816 AM EDT, radar indicated an intense lake effect snow band along
a line extending from Cleveland to near Burton to near Kinsman. This
intense lake effect snow band was nearly stationary.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 30 mph...
Visibility rapidly dropping to less than a quarter of a mile...
Snow rates of 1 to 1.5 inches per hour...

Locations impacted include...
Cleveland, Cleveland Heights, Warrensville Heights, South Russell,
Middlefield, Kinsman, North Bloomfield, Orwell, Burton, Highland
Hills, Chesterland, Shaker Heights, South Euclid, Mayfield Heights,
East Cleveland, Lyndhurst, University Heights, Beachwood, Richmond
Heights, and Highland Heights.

Use extra caution if you must travel into or through this lake effect
snow band. Rapid changes in visibility and potentially slick roads
are likely to lead to accidents. Consider delaying travel until this
snow band passes your location.

LAT...LON 4142 8095 4144 8152 4145 8162 4153 8163
      4156 8145 4153 8052 4142 8052
TIME...MOT...LOC 1216Z 284DEG 3KT 4149 8166 4148 8121 4147 8056

&&

ODOT DMS  319 and 320.

Sullivan
Local storm report, Mar 17, 8:28 AM EDT, 35 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
828 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     Snow             1 W Novelty             41.49N  81.36W
03/17/2026  M2.9 inch        Geauga             OH   Trained Spotter

            24-hour snowfall.

0700 AM     Snow             4 W Colt Station        42.12N  79.90W
03/17/2026  M6.1 inch        Erie               PA   Trained Spotter

            24-hour snowfall.

0740 AM     Snow             1 SSW Findlay           41.03N  83.65W
03/17/2026  M2.6 inch        Hancock            OH   Trained Spotter

            12-hour snowfall.

0800 AM     Snow             6 E Atlantic            41.52N  80.22W
03/17/2026  M2.0 inch        Crawford           PA   Trained Spotter

            12-hour snowfall.

0800 AM     Snow             2 WSW Burton            41.46N  81.18W
03/17/2026  M2.2 inch        Geauga             OH   Trained Spotter

            12-hour snowfall.

0808 AM     Snow             1 WNW North East        42.22N  79.85W
03/17/2026  M3.0 inch        Erie               PA   Trained Spotter

            12-hour snowfall.

&&

Event Number CLE2601453
Event Number CLE2601454
Event Number CLE2601455
Event Number CLE2601456
Event Number CLE2601457
Event Number CLE2601458

BM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 7:39 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryCLE12 hr
Mar 17, 8:13 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCLEHuron, Stark77 min
Mar 17, 8:17 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCLEGeauga88 min
Mar 17, 9:45 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCLEMedina90 min
Mar 17, 9:49 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCLEGeauga86 min
Mar 17, 9:56 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCLERichland79 min
Mar 17, 10:48 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCLEErie, Sandusky, Wood72 min
Mar 17, 6:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCLEAshland, Cuyahoga, Geauga, Holmes, Lake, Lorain and 7 more90 min

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Warnings in Ohio, 2026Every lake effect snow warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.