Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2026

Small Craft Advisory 68, NWS Buffalo, NY

September 20, 2026

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Sep 20, 2026, 12:14 PM EDT. It took effect at Sep 21, 2026, 12:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 20, 2026, 12:14 PM EDT (16:14 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 21, 2026, 12:00 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 24, 2026, 2:00 AM EDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted.

327 
WHUS71 KBUF 201614
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1214 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

LOZ042-210230-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.260921T0400Z-260924T0000Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
1214 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 PM
EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast to east winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 
  feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 8 PM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-210230-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.260921T0400Z-260923T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
1214 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast to east winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 
  feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-210230-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.260921T0400Z-260922T0000Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
1214 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 PM
EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 8 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-210230-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.260921T0400Z-260922T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
1214 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 PM
EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Lower Niagara River.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 8 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
15 follow-up statements
608 
WHUS71 KBUF 210154
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
954 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

LEZ040-041-211000-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.260921T0600Z-260923T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
954 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM MONDAY TO 11 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From 2 AM Monday to 11 PM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-211000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.260921T0400Z-260924T0000Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
954 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-211000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.260921T0400Z-260923T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
954 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-211000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.260921T0400Z-260922T0000Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
954 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-211000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.260921T0400Z-260922T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
954 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 10 to 20 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Lower Niagara River.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
882 
WHUS71 KBUF 210751
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
351 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

LOZ044-211800-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260921T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
351 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-211500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260921T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
351 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-212000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260924T0000Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
351 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-212000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
351 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-212000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260922T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
351 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The Lower Niagara River.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-212000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
351 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

JJR
968 
WHUS71 KBUF 211438
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1038 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

LOZ045-211545-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260921T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
1038 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots are likely through Tuesday night.

$$

LOZ042-212245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260924T0000Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
1038 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-212245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
1038 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-211800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260921T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
1038 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-212245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260922T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
1038 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The Lower Niagara River.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-212245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1038 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
438 
WHUS71 KBUF 211755
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
155 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

LOZ044-211900-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260921T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
155 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

$$

LOZ042-220200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260924T0000Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
155 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-220200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
155 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-220000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260922T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
155 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The Lower Niagara River.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-220200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
155 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
613 
WHUS71 KBUF 211939
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
339 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

LOZ044-220345-
/O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
339 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-220345-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260924T0000Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
339 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-220345-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
339 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-220000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260922T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
339 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The Lower Niagara River.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-220345-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
339 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
317 
WHUS71 KBUF 220018
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
818 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

LOZ030-220130-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260922T0000Z/
Lower Niagara River-
818 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Winds will continue to diminish overnight.

$$

LOZ042-220900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260924T0000Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
818 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-220900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
818 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-220900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
818 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
278 
WHUS71 KBUF 220752
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
352 AM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026

LOZ042-222100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260924T0000Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
352 AM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-222100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
352 AM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-222100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
352 AM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 2 to 4 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
927 
WHUS71 KBUF 221934
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
334 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026

LOZ042-230345-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260924T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
334 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin 
  Beach.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-230345-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T0600Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
334 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-230345-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
334 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock
064 
WHUS71 KBUF 230204
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026

LOZ042-231015-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260924T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
1004 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-231015-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
1004 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 10 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-230600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T0600Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1004 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 10 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
770 
WHUS71 KBUF 230559
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
159 AM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026

LOZ044-230700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
159 AM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

$$

LEZ040-041-230700-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T0600Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
159 AM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

$$

LOZ042-231400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260924T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
159 AM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-231200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
159 AM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
185 
WHUS71 KBUF 230806
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
406 AM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026

LOZ043-230915-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260923T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
406 AM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

$$

LOZ042-231615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260924T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
406 AM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
425 
WHUS71 KBUF 231204
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
804 AM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026

LOZ042-240000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260924T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
804 AM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
310 
WHUS71 KBUF 232353
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
753 PM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026

LOZ042-240600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260924T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
753 PM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 10 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
446 
WHUS71 KBUF 240145
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
945 PM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026

LOZ042-240600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260924T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
945 PM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 10 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
337 
WHUS71 KBUF 240533
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
133 AM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

LOZ042-240645-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-260924T0600Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
133 AM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

Winds and waves will continue to subside.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 20, 6:43 AM EDT, 5 hours 31 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • 1) Some showers from the Southern Tier northeastward into the North Country this morning, then turning drier through the rest of the day. 2) Below normal temperatures will continue through most of the upcoming week, with a few showers possible at times midweek.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 20, 6:43 AM EDT, 5 hours 31 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
643 AM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Lowered precipitation chances and amounts across far western New
York through today.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Some showers from the Southern Tier northeastward into the North
Country this morning, then turning drier through the rest of the day.

2) Below normal temperatures will continue through most of the
upcoming week, with a few showers possible at times midweek.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Some showers from the Southern Tier northeastward
into the North Country this morning, then turning drier through the
rest of the day.

As of this writing a wave of low pressure is found over the central
Mississippi Valley...with an inverted trough extending northeastward
from this feature into western New York. Regional radars show that
the vast majority of any showers attendant to the trough continue to
pass by largely to our south...with just some rather spotty activity
currently noted across the western Southern Tier.

As we push through the early portions of this morning...the trough
axis will temporarily extend further northeastward across New York
State...with an embedded weak wave of low pressure forming over NE
Ohio/NW Pennsylvania in response to shortwave energy pushing
eastward across the Ohio Valley. At the same time...a modest low
level jet will also develop from north-central PA into north-central
New York. As all this occurs...increasing isentropic upglide/
moisture along the advancing trough will combine with low level
convergence along the nose of the low level jet...leading to a brief
period of somewhat more numerous showers from the interior Southern
Tier northeastward across portions of the Finger Lakes and North
Country. These should be most numerous across the North Country
where lift from the LLJ will be maximized...while across the Niagara
Frontier shower coverage should remain much more widely scattered
due to that area lying to the northwest of the better forcing.

After about mid-morning the low level jet will slide off to our
east...while the axis of the inverted surface trough will get
suppressed southeastward in response to strong Canadian high
pressure building southeastward across Ontario Province and the
Upper Great Lakes. This will result in any showers commensurately
winding down from northwest to southeast...allowing for a return to
mainly dry weather by late afternoon in most areas. This being
said...a general northerly/northeasterly upslope flow will keep
mostly cloudy skies intact across the area for the bulk of the
day...with just some limited sun possible across northern sections
late.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Below normal temperatures will continue through most
of the upcoming week, with a few showers possible at times midweek.

Through the work week the bulk of broad upper level troughing over
eastern Canada will slowly drift eastward and out to sea...with the
southwestern extent of this trough eventually breaking off and
evolving into a modest closed upper low over the Ohio Valley/mid-
Atlantic states during the mid-late week period. Meanwhile at the
surface...a large area of cool Canadian high pressure will slowly
drift from Ontario to Quebec Provinces. The prevailing northeasterly
to easterly flow around the high will keep a cooler than normal
airmass intact across our region through the majority of the
upcoming week...with the coolest days coming Monday-Tuesday when
highs will range from the upper 50s to lower 60s in most areas...
with only gradual day-to-day warming then following for the rest of
the week.

With respect to precipitation chances...uncertainty persists with
respect to how far back north inverted troughing extends during the
midweek period in response to the developing closed upper low.
Depending upon just how far north this ultimately gets...there could
be a few spotty showers across portions of western New York Tuesday
through Thursday...for which current blended guidance of slight
chance to chance PoPs looks reasonable.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
An inverted trough extending from the Ohio Valley northeast across
New York State will get shunted southeastward today and tonight as
strong Canadian high pressure builds southeastward across Ontario
Province. Consequently...scattered to numerous showers along and to
the south of this boundary (mainly along an axis extending from the
Southern Tier to the North Country) during the first part of this
morning will wind down from northwest to southeast during the rest
of the day...with dry conditions then following for tonight.

The above being said...a developing north to northeasterly upslope
low level flow on the north side of the inverted trough will still
lead to ceilings falling into the MVFR to IFR ranges through mid to
late this morning...with some LIFR ceilings found across the
Southern Tier and higher terrain of the interior Finger Lakes.
Flight conditions will then gradually improve to VFR from northwest
to southeast this afternoon and early this evening as drier air
attendant to the building surface ridge works across our area at the
lower levels. Later on tonight...another uptick in low level
moisture and increasing upslope flow should then lead to another
period of MVFR to localized IFR ceilings across western New York and
across the higher terrain of the North Country.

Outlook...

Monday...Dry weather with improvement to mainly VFR ceilings.

Monday night through Thursday...Periodic scattered showers with MVFR
or worse possible.

&&

.MARINE...
Modest easterly flow in place early this morning will turn more
northeasterly and freshen a bit today. While this will produce
increasingly choppy conditions along the south shores of the Lower
Great Lakes...conditions are expected to remain below advisory
criteria.

The northeasterly flow will then increase further between later
tonight and early Monday...with a fairly brisk flow then persisting
through Tuesday while gradually veering more easterly over time.
This will likely lead to an extended period of SCA-worthy conditions
across portions of the Lower Lakes.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...JJR
AVIATION...Jaszka/JJR
MARINE...JJR
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 20, 1:48 AM EDT, 10 hours 26 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
148 AM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-210600-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
148 AM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western and north central New
York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-210600-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
148 AM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-210600-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
148 AM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

SLZ022-024-210600-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
148 AM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the
Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 20, 3:59 PM EDTBeach Hazards StatementBUFCayuga, Monroe, Niagara, Orleans, Oswego, Wayne3 days

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2026Every small craft advisory in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.