Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2026
Small Craft Advisory 49, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at May 29, 2026, 3:45 AM EDT. It took effect at May 29, 2026, 11:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 25 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 29, 2026, 3:45 AM EDT (07:45 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 29, 2026, 11:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- May 30, 2026, 12:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 25 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted.
542 WHUS71 KBUF 290745 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 345 AM EDT Fri May 29 2026 LOZ042-292100- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.260529T1700Z-260530T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 345 AM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-292100- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.260529T1900Z-260530T1500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 345 AM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ045-292100- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.260529T1500Z-260530T1200Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 345 AM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 8 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ JJR
5 follow-up statements
493 WHUS71 KBUF 291324 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 924 AM EDT Fri May 29 2026 LEZ040-041-292130- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.260529T1700Z-260530T0200Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 924 AM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-292130- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.260529T1700Z-260530T0200Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 924 AM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots expected. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042-292130- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.260529T1700Z-260530T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 924 AM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-292130- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.260529T1900Z-260530T1500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 924 AM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ045-292130- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.260529T1500Z-260530T1200Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 924 AM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ Hitchcock
593 WHUS71 KBUF 291720 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 120 PM EDT Fri May 29 2026 LOZ042-300130- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-260530T0800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 120 PM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots this afternoon becoming north tonight. Waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-300130- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-260530T1200Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 120 PM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots overnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-300130- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.260529T1900Z-260530T1500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 120 PM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ045-300130- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-260530T1200Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 120 PM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-300130- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-260530T0200Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 120 PM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ Hitchcock
307 WHUS71 KBUF 300129 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 929 PM EDT Fri May 29 2026 LEZ020-300230- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-260530T0200Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 929 PM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... $$ LOZ042-300800- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-260530T0800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 929 PM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-301000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-260530T1500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 929 PM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...North winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ045-301000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-260530T1200Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 929 PM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...North winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-301000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-260530T1200Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 929 PM EDT Fri May 29 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
029 WHUS71 KBUF 300744 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 344 AM EDT Sat May 30 2026 LOZ042-300845- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-260530T0800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 344 AM EDT Sat May 30 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Winds and waves have fallen below advisory levels and will continue to subside this morning...therefore the advisory has been cancelled. $$ LOZ043-044-301600- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-260530T1600Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 344 AM EDT Sat May 30 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY... * WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay. * WHEN...Until noon EDT today. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ045-301200- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-260530T1200Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 344 AM EDT Sat May 30 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT this morning. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-301200- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-260530T1200Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 344 AM EDT Sat May 30 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT this morning. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ JJR
265 WHUS71 KBUF 301154 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 754 AM EDT Sat May 30 2026 LOZ045-301500- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-260530T1500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 754 AM EDT Sat May 30 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-301500- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-260530T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 754 AM EDT Sat May 30 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-301600- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-260530T1600Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 754 AM EDT Sat May 30 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY... * WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay. * WHEN...Until noon EDT today. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at May 29, 2:34 AM EDT, 1 hour 11 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- 1) Another cold front will cross the area late today and tonight with a few showers, followed by notably below normal temperatures Saturday. 2) Near to slightly below normal temperatures through the first half of next week, with a few showers possible at times east of Lake Ontario.
Area forecast discussion, May 29, 2:34 AM EDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 234 AM EDT Fri May 29 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Have only made some minor adjustments to the forecast with this update. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Another cold front will cross the area late today and tonight with a few showers, followed by notably below normal temperatures Saturday. 2) Near to slightly below normal temperatures through the first half of next week, with a few showers possible at times east of Lake Ontario. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...Another cold front will cross the area late today and tonight with a few showers, followed by notably below normal temperatures Saturday. A compact but vigorous closed low will quickly dive southeast across Quebec today...with this feature reaching the Upper Saint Lawrence Valley by early this evening before making its way further southeastward across New England tonight...then out to sea on Saturday. While the deepest moisture and best forcing attendant to this system will pass by to our northeast...our region will still be subject to the passage of an associated trailing cold front later this afternoon and evening. As it has looked for the past several days...the best potential for showers in our area will lie across the North Country...which will be closest to the track of the low and consequently where the best combination of moisture and forcing in our area will be realized. Expect a few showers to develop there during the early to mid afternoon hours...become a bit more numerous late today into this evening with the passage of the cold front...and then diminish overnight as the system departs off to our southeast. Meanwhile further to the west...both forcing and moisture along the front will diminish with increasing westward extent...and should thus yield only a few short-lived scattered to widely scattered showers across the remainder of the area late this afternoon and evening. Any leftover showers east of Lake Ontario should come to an end early Saturday morning...with dry weather otherwise expected on Saturday as expansive Canadian high pressure and drier air/ subsidence builds southeastward across the Great Lakes. With a much cooler airmass in place (850 mb temps of around 0C to +3C Saturday morning, then warming only slightly in the afternoon)...high temps on Saturday will be notably below normal...with readings largely peaking in the lower 60s across the lower elevations...and only in the upper 50s across the higher terrain. KEY MESSAGE 2...Near to slightly below normal temperatures through the first half of next week, with a few showers possible at times east of Lake Ontario. During the first half of next week a large...high-amplitude trough draped from New England/the Canadian Maritimes southward across the western Atlantic will gradually evolve into a closed low somewhere off the mid-Atlantic coastline...while a pronounced Omega Block over central Canada weakens and devolves into broader/flatter ridging over the western/central Great Lakes. During this time our region will remain embedded within the broad northerly flow in between these two features...with the latter resulting in an extended period of near to slightly below (but quite comfortable) temperatures. At the same time...periodic shortwave impulses dropping through the backside of the larger-scale mean trough will bring the potential for a few showers to the North Country and perhaps the Finger Lakes at times...with mainly dry weather favored further west across far western New York. Later on in the week the closed low should slowly eject northeastward into the Canadian Maritimes while the broad/flat ridge to our west builds eastward...with the latter likely resulting in a warming trend. && .AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... A closed low will quickly dive southeastward across Quebec today... with this feature reaching the Upper Saint Lawrence Valley by early this evening...then pushing further southeast across New England tonight. In the process this system will push its trailing cold front across the area later this afternoon and this evening while generating scattered to numerous showers east of Lake Ontario...and progressively more widely scattered showers with increasing westward extent across the rest of the area. While flight conditions will be predominantly VFR...some MVFR ceilings will become increasingly likely east of Lake Ontario (including at KART) this evening. Out ahead of the front...increasing west-southwesterly flow will result in surface winds increasing to 15-20 knots with gusts to near 30 knots northeast of the lakes today...with winds then veering sharply to northerly and diminishing some following the frontal passage this evening. Following the passage of the cold front...expect lingering areas of MVFR/patchy IFR ceilings and diminishing showers east of Lake Ontario overnight...with dry/mainly VFR conditions prevailing elsewhere. Outlook... Saturday...Lingering MVFR ceilings across the interior Southern Tier/Finger Lakes/North Country early...otherwise VFR. Sunday...Mainly VFR with a chance of showers across the North Country late. Monday through Tuesday...Mainly VFR...with a chance of showers/MVFR east of Lake Ontario. && .MARINE... West to west-southwesterly winds will increase out ahead of another cold front today...leading to the development of Small Craft Advisory conditions across much of Lake Ontario...and to near-SCA conditions across eastern Lake Erie. Following the frontal passage this evening...winds will then quickly veer to northerly on Lake Ontario...with advisory-worthy conditions there gradually diminishing from west to east from late this evening through Saturday morning. Meanwhile on Lake Erie...winds will veer to north-northeasterly in the wake of the front and lead to another round of choppy conditions southwest of Dunkirk this evening...with winds and wave action then diminishing overnight and Saturday morning. && .BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NY...None. MARINE...None. && DISCUSSION...JJR AVIATION...JJR MARINE...JJR
Hazardous weather outlook, May 29, 1:11 AM EDT, 2 hours 34 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 111 AM EDT Fri May 29 2026 NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-300515- Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua- Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie- 111 AM EDT Fri May 29 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-300515- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- Lower Niagara River- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 111 AM EDT Fri May 29 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf JJR
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 3:44 AM EDT | Beach Hazards Statement | BUF | Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Jefferson, Monroe, Orleans and 2 more | 32 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2026Every small craft advisory in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.