Small Craft Advisory 48, NWS Buffalo, NY

246 
WHUS71 KBUF 261742
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
142 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

SLZ022-024-270000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-260527T0000Z/
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
142 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots with stronger gusts.

* WHERE...The Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Saint 
  Regis.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

851 
WHUS71 KBUF 262338
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
738 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

SLZ022-024-270045-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-260527T0000Z/
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
738 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

Winds will diminish tonight.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
628 AM EDT Tue May 26 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes to the forecast.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Above normal temperatures are expected through Wednesday.

2) A cold front will bring a low chance for showers and
thunderstorms Wednesday, then cooler and potentially unsettled
weather is expected through the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1... Above normal temperatures are expected through
Wednesday.

Surface high pressure will move south across the eastern Great Lakes
region today. Patchy fog is expected to develop across the forecast
area, especially in valley locations by daybreak. Additionally, fog
over Lake Erie may move onshore early this morning, potentially
reducing visibility for the City of Buffalo during the morning
commute.

Today will be the warmest day of the week, with high temperatures
ranging from the upper 70s to low 80s, thorugh it will be cooler
near the lakeshores. While Wednesday will not be as warm as today,
temperatures are still expected to reach the mid to upper 70s across
western NY and the low to mid 70s east of Lake Ontario.

KEY MESSAGE 2...A cold front will bring a low chance for showers and
thunderstorms Wednesday, then cooler and potentially unsettled
weather is expected through the weekend.

A cold front associated with low pressure over the Canadian
Maritimes will move south across the forecast area tonight through
Wednesday. While a thin ribbon of moisture will move into the
eastern Lake Ontario region overnight, mostly dry weather is
expected. As the front pushes south across western NY on Wednesday,
a few showers or thunderstorms are possible across the western
Southern Tier. Additional showers may develop across the
Niagara Frontier Wednesday afternoon.

An upper level trough will develop across the Northeast, with
multiple shortwave troughs passing through the region this weekend.
The forecast maintains mostly dry weather with low chances for
showers and thunderstorms due to a spread in model guidance and
timing. Confidence is high that temperatures will be near to
slightly below normal through this period.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Patchy fog will give way to widespread VFR conditions across
the region today.

Surface high pressure will fade to the southeast through the
day today, allowing for a moisture starve cold front to drop
southward from Canada tonight. This front may bring some low end
VFR ceilings to KART later tonight, but overall our region
should remain precipitation free through tonight.

Outlook...

Wednesday through Thursday...Mainly VFR. Slight chance of
showers or a thunderstorm during the afternoon hours.

Friday through Saturday...Mainly VFR to MVFR. Occasional chances for
showers, particularly across the North Country.

&&

.MARINE...
Light variable winds will prevail over Lake Erie through much of
Wednesday as surface high pressure expands across the lower Great
Lakes to the southern New England coast. Southwesterly winds will be
a bit breezier over Lake Ontario during this timeframe, periodically
reaching the 10-15kt range. This will result in a small chop on the
east end of the lake at times, particularly tonight.

Otherwise, with a relatively warm airmass over the cold lake waters,
there is a low chance for marine fog during the nighttime hours over
Lake Erie.

A cold front will cause winds to shift northerly
late Wednesday into Thursday. SCA conditions are not expected,
though 1-3' waves can be expected across the southern
shorelines. Another cold front later this weekend may then
bring marginal SCA conditions to the lakes by Saturday.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for LEZ040-041.

&&

DISCUSSION...HSK
AVIATION...Thomas
MARINE...HSK/PP

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
824 AM EDT Tue May 26 2026

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-271230-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
824 AM EDT Tue May 26 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western and north central New
York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-271230-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
824 AM EDT Tue May 26 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake
Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Hitchcock