Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2026
Small Craft Advisory 36, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Apr 18, 2026, 3:44 PM EDT. It took effect at Apr 19, 2026, 11:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 27 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 18, 2026, 3:44 PM EDT (19:44 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 19, 2026, 11:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Apr 20, 2026, 1:42 PM EDT
- In force
- 27 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted.
490 WHUS71 KBUF 181944 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 344 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 LOZ044-045-190345- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.260419T1800Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 344 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From 2 PM Sunday to 2 PM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-190345- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.260420T0300Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- 344 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay. * WHEN...From 11 PM Sunday to 2 PM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
8 follow-up statements
358 WHUS71 KBUF 190138 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 938 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 LOZ044-045-191000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.260419T1800Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 938 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From 2 PM Sunday to 2 PM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-191000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.260420T0300Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- 938 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay. * WHEN...From 11 PM Sunday to 2 PM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
295 WHUS71 KBUF 190319 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1119 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 LEZ040-041-190900- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0037.260419T0319Z-260419T0900Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 1119 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ044-045-191130- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.260419T1800Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 1119 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From 2 PM Sunday to 2 PM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-191130- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.260420T0300Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- 1119 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay. * WHEN...From 11 PM Sunday to 2 PM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
462 WHUS71 KBUF 190739 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 339 AM EDT Sun Apr 19 2026 LEZ040-041-191545- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-260419T0900Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.260419T1500Z-260420T0300Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 339 AM EDT Sun Apr 19 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 11 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ044-045-191545- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.260419T1800Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 339 AM EDT Sun Apr 19 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 2 PM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-191545- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.260420T0300Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- 339 AM EDT Sun Apr 19 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 2 PM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
501 WHUS71 KBUF 191407 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1007 AM EDT Sun Apr 19 2026 LEZ040-041-200300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.260419T1500Z-260420T0300Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 1007 AM EDT Sun Apr 19 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ044-045-200300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.260419T1800Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 1007 AM EDT Sun Apr 19 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 2 PM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-200300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.260420T0300Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- 1007 AM EDT Sun Apr 19 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 2 PM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ JJR
975 WHUS71 KBUF 200304 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1104 PM EDT Sun Apr 19 2026 LEZ040-041-200415- /O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-260420T0300Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 1104 PM EDT Sun Apr 19 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... $$ LOZ044-045-201115- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 1104 PM EDT Sun Apr 19 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-201115- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- 1104 PM EDT Sun Apr 19 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
194 WHUS71 KBUF 200735 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 335 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026 LOZ042-201400- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-260420T1400Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 335 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EDT this morning. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ044-045-201800- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 335 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-201800- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- 335 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
383 WHUS71 KBUF 201225 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 825 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026 LOZ042-201330- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-260420T1400Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 825 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Winds and waves have fallen below advisory levels and will continue to gradually subside today, therefore the advisory has been cancelled. $$ LOZ044-045-201800- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 825 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Northwest to west winds around 15 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-201800- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- 825 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Northwest to west winds around 15 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ JJR
275 WHUS71 KBUF 201742 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 142 PM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026 LOZ043>045-201845- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-260420T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 142 PM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Winds and waves have fallen below advisory levels, therefore the advisory has been cancelled. $$ JJR
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Apr 18, 1:15 PM EDT, 2 hours 29 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- 1) Showers and thunderstorm develop this afternoon and evening. A low end severe and flooding risk. 2) Below average temperatures return late in the weekend, however more seasonal temperatures will arrive by Tuesday.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 18, 1:15 PM EDT, 2 hours 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 115 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... The overall severe weather risk for this afternoon and evening has decreased. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Showers and thunderstorm develop this afternoon and evening. A low end severe and flooding risk. 2) Below average temperatures return late in the weekend, however more seasonal temperatures will arrive by Tuesday. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...Showers and thunderstorm develop this afternoon and evening. A low end severe and flooding risk. A narrow ribbon of moisture (PWATs of 1.25-1.5") will surge into the region ahead of an inbound cold front late this afternoon and evening. This will lead to a round of showers and embedded thunderstorms. Lastest SPC Day 1 Outlook continues with a Slight Risk area covering most of WNY south of I-90. Instability in place ahead of the cold front will be very limited, but favorable shear profiles and dry air in mid and lower levels could bring stronger winds down to the surface with evaporative cooling with some potential for isolated damaging wind gusts. While hydro concerns remain low at this time, locally heavy rainfall is possible. Main concerns stem from sensitive antecedent conditons in areas of more complex terrain, such as in the Southern Tier, Finger Lakes, and perhaps the Tug Hill region. KEY MESSAGE 2...Below average temperatures return late in the weekend, however more seasonal temperatures will arrive by Tuesday. A pattern change is expected late this weekend as a deep upper level trough moves across the Great Lakes region and the Northeast. A return to well below normal temperatures and the chance for snow showers will begin this Sunday. A west-northwest flow is expected across the region Sunday. Cold air advection and daytime heating will strengthen low-level lapse rates through the day. An increase in PVA and large scale ascent will move across the region. A mix of rain and snow showers is expected to develop across western NY with a focus of showers along a convergence zone from the Buffalo Metro to the Finger Lakes region. Showers are also possible across the Saint Lawrence Valley through Sunday afternoon. A secondary cold front is expected to move through the region Sunday night with 850mb temperatures falling to -12C Monday. Snow showers are possible at times Sunday night through Monday. Little to no accumulation is expected. A strong upper level ridge will build into the Plains and Mid-West through mid-week before moving into the Great Lakes region late in the week. Day-to-day warming is expected across the region. && .AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... For the 18Z TAFS, active weather with dry and breezy conditions yielding to showers and thunderstorms as a strong cold front pushes eastward across the region. Flight conditions will briefly lower to IFR to MVFR, especially visibilities, within heavier shower and storm activity as the front passes through the TAF region later this afternoon and early evening. Any thunderstorm will produce locally brief period of stronger wind gusts. A more prolonged period of IFR and MVFR post cold front this evening and thorugh the overnight time period along with scattered rain showers mixing with and changing to snow. Winds behind the cold front will veer to northwesterly tonight and into Sunday...with daytime increased mixing heights promoting gusts into the low to mid 20 knot range by late morning. Outlook... Sunday night...A mix of MVFR/IFR with upslope/lake effect rain showers mixing with and changing to snow showers. Monday...Improvement to VFR with leftover scattered lake effect/upslope snow showers ending. Tuesday...Mainly VFR with a chance of rain showers. Wednesday and Thursday...Mainly VFR. && .MARINE... Southerly winds will continue at 15-20 knots this afternoon with the more significant wave action directed into Canadian waters. A cold front will approach the region this afternoon, showers and embedded thunderstorms will overspread the waters from west to east. Some of these thunderstorms may produce brief high wind gusts and wave action. Special Marine Warnings may need to be issued. Winds will shift westerly and diminish some behind the front this evening. Elevated winds will continue with higher wave heights turning more onshore, before winds subside to 10 knots or less late. Cold air deepening across the lakes and an increasing pressure gradient will cause westerly winds to freshen Sunday. Winds will turn northwesterly Sunday night and remain elevated into Monday morning with speeds near 20 knots. This may support a period of small craft headlines on Lake Ontario and possibly Lake Erie. && .BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NY...None. MARINE...None. && DISCUSSION...HSK/TMA AVIATION...Thomas MARINE...TMA
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 18, 1:17 PM EDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 117 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 NYZ004>008-191730- Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- 117 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Heavy showers and isolated to scattered thunderstorms may produce minor ponding or localized flooding due to the saturated ground tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LOZ044-045-064-065-SLZ022-024-191730- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 117 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario and Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ001>003-010>014-019>021-085-191730- Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston- Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie- 117 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and early this evening with damaging winds as the main hazard. Heavy showers and isolated to scattered thunderstorms may produce minor ponding or localized flooding due to the saturated ground through tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042-043-062-063-191730- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- Lower Niagara River- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- 117 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and early this evening bringing the potential for locally stronger winds and higher waves. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
In the hours before
Local storm report, Apr 18, 2:58 PM EDT, 46 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
258 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0818 PM Tornado 5 ENE Franklinville 42.36N 78.38W
04/15/2026 Cattaraugus NY NWS Storm Survey
NWS storm survey confirmed 80mph EF-0
tornado damage in the Town of Farmersville
with a path length of 0.23 mi and width of
75 yds.
&&
FriesNearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2026Every small craft advisory in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.