Small Craft Advisory 19, NWS Buffalo, NY

812 
WHUS71 KBUF 111503
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1103 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

LOZ042-112315-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-260311T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.260312T0300Z-260312T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
1103 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM
EDT THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-112315-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-260311T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.260312T0300Z-260312T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
1103 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 14 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 11 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ062-112315-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.260312T0300Z-260312T1200Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
1103 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM
EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 14 feet expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River 
  to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-063>065-112315-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.260312T0300Z-260312T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
1103 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from 
  Sodus Bay to the Saint Lawrence River, and the open waters of 
  Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 11 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-112315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.260311T1800Z-260312T2100Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1103 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-112315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.260311T1800Z-260312T1800Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
1103 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

857 
WHUS71 KBUF 112022
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
422 PM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

LOZ042-062-120800-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.260312T0300Z-260312T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
422 PM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM
EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West gales to 35 knots and waves 10 to 14 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from the 
  Niagara River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-063>065-120800-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.260312T0300Z-260312T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
422 PM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West gales to 35 knots and waves 12 to 16 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from 
  Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 11 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-120800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260312T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0006.260313T1600Z-260314T0800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
422 PM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT
THURSDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 knots.
  For the Gale Watch, southwest gales to 40 knots possible.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 5 PM EDT Thursday. 
  For the Gale Watch, from Friday afternoon through late Friday 
  night.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-120800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260312T1800Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
422 PM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

153 
WHUS71 KBUF 120741
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
341 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

LEZ040-041-121545-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260312T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0006.260313T1600Z-260314T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1600Z-260314T0800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
341 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 4 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 20 
  knots. For the Gale Warning, southwest winds to 35 knots 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 5 PM EDT this 
  afternoon. For the Gale Warning, from noon Friday to 4 AM EDT 
  Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-121545-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-260312T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0007.260313T2100Z-260314T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
341 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 
  9 to 12 feet. For the Gale Watch, west winds to 40 knots and 
  waves 14 to 18 feet possible.

* WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from the 
  Niagara River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 8 AM EDT this morning. For 
  the Gale Watch, from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-063>065-121545-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-260312T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0007.260314T0000Z-260314T2100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
341 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 
  11 to 15 feet. For the Gale Watch, west winds to 40 knots and 
  waves 16 to 21 feet possible.

* WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from 
  Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 11 AM EDT this morning. For 
  the Gale Watch, from Friday evening through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-121545-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260312T1800Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
341 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

910 
WHUS71 KBUF 120941
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
541 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

LOZ042-062-121745-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-260312T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0007.260313T2100Z-260314T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
541 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 
  9 to 12 feet. For the Gale Watch, west winds to 40 knots and 
  waves 14 to 18 feet possible.

* WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from the 
  Niagara River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 11 AM EDT this morning. For 
  the Gale Watch, from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-121745-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260312T2100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1600Z-260314T0800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
541 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 4 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 20 
  knots. For the Gale Warning, southwest winds to 35 knots 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 5 PM EDT this 
  afternoon. For the Gale Warning, from noon Friday to 4 AM EDT 
  Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-063>065-121745-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-260312T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0007.260314T0000Z-260314T2100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
541 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 
  11 to 15 feet. For the Gale Watch, west winds to 40 knots and 
  waves 16 to 21 feet possible.

* WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from 
  Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 11 AM EDT this morning. For 
  the Gale Watch, from Friday evening through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-121745-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260312T1800Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
541 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

082 
WHUS71 KBUF 121327
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
927 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

LOZ042-122130-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-260312T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260313T0200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0007.260313T2100Z-260314T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
927 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds to 30 knots 
  and waves 7 to 10 feet. For the Gale Watch, west winds to 40 
  knots and waves 11 to 15 feet possible.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 10 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Gale Watch, from Friday afternoon through 
  Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-122130-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-260312T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260313T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0007.260314T0000Z-260314T2100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
927 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds to 30 
  knots and waves 10 to 13 feet. For the Gale Watch, west winds 
  to 40 knots and waves 15 to 20 feet possible.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 2 AM EDT Friday. 
  For the Gale Watch, from Friday evening through Saturday 
  afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves.

&&

$$

LOZ062-122130-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-260312T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0007.260313T2100Z-260314T1500Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
927 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 14 to 18 feet possible.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River 
  to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-122130-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-260312T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0007.260314T0000Z-260314T2100Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
927 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 16 to 21 feet possible.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-122130-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260312T2100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1600Z-260314T0800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
927 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 4 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 20 
  knots. For the Gale Warning, southwest winds to 35 knots 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 5 PM EDT this 
  afternoon. For the Gale Warning, from noon Friday to 4 AM EDT 
  Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-121800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260312T1800Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
927 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

915 
WHUS71 KBUF 121801
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
201 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

LEZ020-LOZ030-121915-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260312T1800Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
201 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Winds will continue to diminish this afternoon.

$$

LOZ042-130215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260313T0200Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1900Z-260314T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0007.260313T2100Z-260314T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
201 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 20 
  knots and waves 4 to 7 feet. For the Gale Warning, southwest 
  winds to 35 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 10 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Gale Warning, from 3 PM Friday to 8 AM EDT 
  Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-130215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260313T0600Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T2100Z-260314T1800Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0007.260314T0000Z-260314T2100Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
201 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 2 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds to 30 
  knots and waves 8 to 11 feet. For the Gale Warning, southwest 
  winds to 35 knots and waves 15 to 20 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 2 AM EDT Friday. 
  For the Gale Warning, from 5 PM Friday to 2 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ062-130215-
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1900Z-260314T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0007.260313T2100Z-260314T1500Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
201 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 40 knots and waves 14 to 18 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River 
  to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 3 PM Friday to 8 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-130215-
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T2100Z-260314T1800Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0007.260314T0000Z-260314T2100Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
201 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 2 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 16 to 21 feet expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 5 PM Friday to 2 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-130215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260312T2100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1600Z-260314T0800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
201 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 4 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 20 
  knots. For the Gale Warning, southwest winds to 40 knots 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 5 PM EDT this 
  afternoon. For the Gale Warning, from noon Friday to 4 AM EDT 
  Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

PP/Hitchcock

816 
WHUS71 KBUF 122118
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
518 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

LEZ040-041-130600-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260312T2100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1600Z-260314T0800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
518 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 4 AM EDT
SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 40 knots expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From noon Friday to 4 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-130600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260313T0200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1900Z-260314T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
518 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 20 
  knots and waves 4 to 7 feet. For the Gale Warning, southwest 
  winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 10 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Gale Warning, from 3 PM Friday to 8 AM EDT 
  Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-130600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260313T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T2100Z-260314T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
518 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 2 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 25 
  knots and waves 7 to 10 feet. For the Gale Warning, southwest 
  winds to 35 knots and waves 14 to 18 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 2 AM EDT Friday. 
  For the Gale Warning, from 5 PM Friday to 2 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ062-130600-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1900Z-260314T1200Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
518 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 40 knots and waves 12 to 16 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River 
  to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 3 PM Friday to 8 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-130600-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T2100Z-260314T1800Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
518 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 2 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 14 to 18 feet expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 5 PM Friday to 2 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

JJR

970 
WHUS71 KBUF 130149
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
949 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

LOZ042-130700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260313T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1900Z-260314T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
949 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 20
  knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. For the Gale Warning, southwest 
  winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 2 AM EDT Friday. 
  For the Gale Warning, from 3 PM Friday to 8 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-130700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260313T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T2100Z-260314T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
949 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 2 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 20 
  knots and waves 5 to 8 feet. For the Gale Warning, southwest 
  winds to 35 knots and waves 14 to 18 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 2 AM EDT Friday. 
  For the Gale Warning, from 5 PM Friday to 2 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ062-130700-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1900Z-260314T1200Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
949 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 40 knots and waves 12 to 16 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River 
  to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 3 PM Friday to 8 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-130700-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T2100Z-260314T1800Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
949 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 2 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 14 to 18 feet expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 5 PM Friday to 2 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-130700-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1600Z-260314T0800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
949 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 4 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 40 knots expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From noon Friday to 4 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

JJR

863 
WHUS71 KBUF 130548
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
148 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

LOZ042-131400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260313T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1900Z-260314T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
148 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 8 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-131400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260313T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T2100Z-260314T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
148 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
2 PM EDT SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 14 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 2 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-131400-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260313T0900Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T2100Z-260314T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
148 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
2 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 20
  knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. For the Gale Warning, southwest 
  winds to 35 knots and waves 14 to 18 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 5 AM EDT early this 
  morning. For the Gale Warning, from 5 PM this afternoon to 2 
  PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ062-131400-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1900Z-260314T1200Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
148 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 40 knots and waves 12 to 16 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River 
  to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 8 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-131400-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T2100Z-260314T1800Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
148 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
2 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 40 knots and waves 14 to 18 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 2 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-131400-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1600Z-260314T0800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
148 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 40 knots expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From noon today to 4 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

215 
WHUS71 KBUF 130753
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
353 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

LOZ044-045-131600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260313T0900Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T2100Z-260314T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
353 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT EARLY
THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
2 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 10 to 20
  knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. For the Gale Warning, southwest 
  winds to 35 knots and waves 14 to 18 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 5 AM EDT early this 
  morning. For the Gale Warning, from 5 PM this afternoon to 2 
  PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-131600-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1900Z-260314T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
353 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 40 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from the 
  Niagara River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 8 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-063>065-131600-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T2100Z-260314T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
353 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
2 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 40 knots and waves 15 to 19 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to 
  the Saint Lawrence River, and the nearshore waters of Lake 
  Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 2 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-131600-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1600Z-260314T0800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
353 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 40 knots expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From noon today to 4 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-131600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.260313T1600Z-260314T1200Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
353 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...From noon today to 8 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

284 
WHUS71 KBUF 130837
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
437 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

LOZ044-045-132000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-260313T0900Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T2100Z-260314T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
437 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
2 PM EDT SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 35 knots and waves 14 to 18 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Sodus Bay to 
  the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 2 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-062-132000-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1900Z-260314T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
437 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 40 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from the 
  Niagara River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 8 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-063>065-132000-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T2100Z-260314T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
437 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
2 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 40 knots and waves 15 to 19 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to 
  the Saint Lawrence River, and the nearshore waters of Lake 
  Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay.

* WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 2 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-132000-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.260313T1600Z-260314T0800Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
437 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 40 knots expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From noon today to 4 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-132000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.260313T1600Z-260314T1200Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
437 AM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 AM
EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 30 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...From noon today to 8 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
731 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Winter Weather Advisory issued for Jefferson County for late tonight
through Wednesday morning for freezing rain near the Saint Lawrence
River.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Widespread rain and scattered thunderstorms Wednesday through
Wednesday evening. A brief period of freezing rain will occur near
the Saint Lawrence River late tonight through Wednesday morning.

2) Low chance of severe thunderstorms late Wednesday afternoon and
evening.

3) Gusty winds Wednesday through early Thursday, especially close to
the lakes.

4) A progressive system Friday into Friday night will bring snow,
rain and gusty winds to western New York.

5) Active pattern continues late this weekend into early next week
as another system may bring the chance of rain, snow, strong winds,
and a return winter-like temperatures to western New York.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Widespread rain and scattered thunderstorms
Wednesday through Wednesday evening. A brief period of freezing rain
will occur near the Saint Lawrence River late tonight through
Wednesday morning.

An east-west oriented frontal zone will gradually strengthen across
the eastern Great Lakes this afternoon and evening as the thermal
gradient tightens across the boundary. Moisture transport and
isentropic upglide across the frontal zone will increase, resulting
in showers and a few scattered thunderstorms this afternoon and
evening. The best coverage of rain and best chance of thunder will
be across Western NY, where a few brief downpours are likely.

The showers and thunder will diminish in coverage temporarily from
late evening through the early overnight hours as the frontal zone
moves northward.

Wednesday through Wednesday evening, multiple rounds of showers and
scattered thunderstorms will cross the eastern Great Lakes as
convectively augmented shortwaves and deep moisture move across the
region. The first round will enter Western NY early in the morning,
followed by several more through the day. A few storms may produce
brief heavy downpours. The final round of rain and thunder will
cross the area from west to east Wednesday evening along a strong
cold front.

A localized area of freezing rain is likely across the Thousand
Islands region late tonight through Wednesday morning as low level
northeast flow brings surface temperatures to near or just below
freezing in the Saint Lawrence Valley. Ice accumulations of up to a
tenth of an inch or so are possible over northern Jefferson County,
where a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect.

Rainfall amounts of 1.0" to 1.5" are likely across much of the
region from today through Wednesday night. The combination of rain
and snowmelt will continue to increase the flood risk east of Lake
Ontario. See the Hydrology section below for more details.

A few snow showers will develop late Wednesday night through
Thursday morning in the strong cold advection regime behind the cold
front, along with some limited lake enhancement east of both lakes.
The airmass quickly dries out, so accumulations will be limited to a
dusting for lower elevations up to a few inches for higher terrain
east of the lakes.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Low chance of severe thunderstorms late Wednesday
afternoon and evening.

Strong dynamics from a sharp trough and powerful cold frontal
passage will bring at least a chance of isolated severe
thunderstorms late Wednesday afternoon and evening. There will be
several rounds of thunderstorms Wednesday, but the severe weather
risk will likely be limited to the last round of storms in the late
afternoon and early evening along the cold front.

a 55-65 knot low level jet in the warm sector will bring high end
shear to the setup, but extensive cloud cover and multiple rounds of
showers will likely limit destabilization. The best chance of
sufficient surface based instability to support an isolated severe
risk will be across the Southern Tier, where SPC continues with a
Marginal Risk. The primary severe weather risk would be isolated
damaging wind gusts, with the risk conditional on sufficient
destabilization.

KEY MESSAGE 3...Gusty winds Wednesday through early Thursday,
especially close to the lakes.

A strong 55-65 knot low level jet will cross the eastern Great Lakes
Wednesday through Wednesday evening. The strongest winds aloft will
be confined to the warm sector of the system, with warm advection
and poor lapse rates limiting the mixing potential. Nonetheless, a
few gusts may reach or exceed 40 mph Wednesday through Wednesday
night, especially on the lake plains. Areas near the eastern shores
of Lake Ontario from Oswego up to Watertown will have the best
chance of seeing advisory criteria winds in the post-frontal cold
advection regime as the surface low continues to deepen moving
across southern Quebec. Gusts may reach 50 mph here overnight
Wednesday night.

Farther west, it will be windy in the post-frontal cold advection
Wednesday night, but gusts may generally be in the 35-45 mph range
and just shy of Wind Advisory criteria.

KEY MESSAGE 4...A progressive system Friday into Friday night will
bring snow, rain, and gusty winds to western New York.

A progressive, but deep surface low will move across the Great Lakes
region Friday with another round of precipitation across the region.
Ensemble guidance has continued to narrow down the track of this
system across northern MI into southern Ontario that will result in
a tight mslp gradient pattern over western NY. While not an ideal
track based on local wind event climatology, strong winds still
appear likely Friday into early Saturday. The median of grand
ensemble members sits above 50 kt for southwesterly 850mb winds
Friday afternoon with strong winds continuing to persist behind the
system's cold front turning westerly. This CAA will continue to
support vertical momentum transport headed into the evening hours.

While snowfall should be the dominant precipitation type for this
event with temperatures aloft mostly below freezing, marginal 850mb
temperatures and mid-30s surface temperature sliding into lower
lying areas will likely result in some rain mixing in. This is
especially true across areas north of I-90 to the southern Lake
Ontario shoreline during the afternoon hours Friday. Higher
elevations of the Allegany's and Tug Hill region will remain all
snow. Deeper synoptic moisture with this system will be pulled away
early Saturday morning as this system departs into the Canadian
Maritimes. Latest NBM probabilities of exceeding 4" of snowfall are
low (20-30%) across the Boston Hills and medium (40-65%) over the
North Country, including the Tug Hill plateau.

KEY MESSAGE 5...Active pattern continues late this weekend into
early next week as another system may bring the chance of rain,
snow, strong winds, and a return winter-like temperatures to western
New York.

As the active wave train continues across the northern CONUS, a
stronger push of colder air will dig a deeper, larger scale trough
across the eastern half of the US late this weekend into early next
week. This larger scale system looks to have an expansive warm
sector with warm southerly flow driving temperatures back above
normal briefly Sunday as the warm front lifts north with
precipitation traversing the region. Additional precipitation will
accompany the system's cold front early Monday while also leading to
areas of lake effect snow showers under northwest flow in the
system's wake. Latest guidance from the grand ensemble places
probabilities of 850mb winds >50 kt at 60-80% with a deepening
surface low moving northeast from eastern MI across southern Ontario
into Quebec that may need future monitoring for strong wind
potential. Plenty of uncertainty still needs to be resolved with the
track of this system based on ensemble guidance, which will have
ramification to ptype and strength of winds across western NY for
Sunday afternoon through Monday. The majority of this uncertainty
surrounds the timing for this system based on latest cluster
analysis. The interquartile range for 850mb temps is quite wide
between 2 to -12 degC early Monday morning, but most members are in
agreement with eventually dropping around -15 to -20 degC, below the
climatological 2nd percentile for mid-March.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
For the 00Z TAFS, a few showers with embedded MVFR flight conditions
are found across the region. Farther to the west a southwest flow
over Lake Erie is bringing a marine layer inland, with low ceiling
heights near KIAG/KBUF. As winds become more northeasterly through
the night, flow from Lake Ontario may linger these low ceiling
heights.

There will be a relative lull in showers after 03Z, with just a
chance of a few scattered showers across Western NY and the North
Country.

Tomorrow, low pressure over southern Michigan in the morning will
deepen as it moves northeast across Ontario and into Quebec by
Wednesday night. Numerous rounds of showers and scattered
thunderstorms will cross the eastern Great Lakes Wednesday through
Wednesday evening, with local MVFR/IFR in the heavier downpours.
There will also be a period of localized freezing rain late tonight
through Wednesday morning right along the Saint Lawrence River north
of KART where surface temperatures will hover near or just below
freezing.

A strong low level jet will propagate across the eastern Great Lakes
Wednesday. This may initially produce some low level wind shear
Wednesday morning before surface gusts increase. Gusts may reach or
exceed 30 knots Wednesday afternoon, especially across far Western
NY.

Outlook...

Wednesday night...Rain and scattered thunderstorms early, then some
light snow showers overnight. MVFR/IFR conditions. Windy.

Thursday...Areas of MVFR/IFR with a few light snow showers likely
early, improving to mainly VFR. Windy.

Friday...Areas of MVFR/IFR with rain/snow showers likely. Windy.

Saturday...Mainly VFR with a slight chance of a snow shower. Windy.

Sunday...MVFR/IFR with rain and snow likely. Windy.

&&

.MARINE...
A frontal zone will sag south across Lake Ontario this evening, with
northeast winds increasing and producing Small Craft Advisory
conditions along the south shore of the lake. Winds will diminish
late tonight as the frontal zone begins to move back north across
the lake.

Low pressure will then move from southern lower Michigan Wednesday
morning to southern Quebec by Wednesday night, with a strong cold
front crossing the lake Wednesday evening. West winds will rapidly
increase following the cold frontal passage, with a period of gales
likely on Lake Ontario Wednesday night through early Thursday
morning. Winds will gradually diminish later Thursday.

A series of low pressure systems will cross the Great Lakes Friday
through early next week, with multiple rounds of gale force winds
likely.

Please note...most, if not all of the Lake Erie nearshore waters
continue to be ice covered. Waves have been omitted from the
forecast.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Ongoing well above average temperatures will continue to support
rapid snowmelt across the North Country through Wednesday.
Significant snowpack and SWE remains across the higher terrain
of the Tug Hill Plateau and western Adirondacks. Rain will bring
another 1.0 to 1.5 inches of rain Wednesday through Wednesday
night over much of the region, including the North Country.

Rivers will continue to rise east of Lake Ontario from ongoing
snowmelt and rainfall. The Black River will likely flood
starting late Wednesday night or early Thursday, with flooding
continuing through the weekend on this slow responding river.
The latest forecast shows the Black River at Watertown reaching
the high end of Minor Flood Stage, but moderate stage is
possible by the weekend, which would result in more significant
impacts.

Flooding is also possible on many other rivers that drain the
Tug Hill Plateau and western Adirondacks Wednesday night through
the end of the week.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Winter Weather Advisory from 2 AM to 11 AM EDT Wednesday for
     NYZ007.
     Flood Watch from Wednesday morning through Thursday afternoon
     for NYZ007-008.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Wednesday for LOZ042-043.
         Gale Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday morning
         for LOZ042>045-062>065.
         Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT Wednesday for LOZ044.

&&

DISCUSSION...Brothers/Hitchcock
AVIATION...Hitchcock/Thomas
MARINE...Hitchcock
HYDROLOGY...Hitchcock

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
307 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

NYZ008-120715-
Lewis-
307 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Wind gusts may reach or exceed 45 mph tonight along and behind a
strong cold front.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-120715-
Jefferson-
307 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Flood Watch.

Wind gusts may reach or exceed 45 mph tonight along and behind a
strong cold front.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006-120715-
Oswego-
307 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Wind gusts may reach or exceed 45 mph tonight along and behind a
strong cold front.

Runoff from snowmelt and recent rains will result in rising water
levels on creeks and rivers, and another round of significant
rainfall will occur today and tonight.

The risk of flooding along rivers and creeks that drain the Tug Hill
Plateau will increase tonight, with high flows then lasting through
next weekend.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-120715-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Southern Erie-
307 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Wind gusts may reach or exceed 45 mph Wednesday afternoon through
Wednesday night along and behind a strong cold front.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms late this
afternoon and evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ042>045-062>065-120715-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
307 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-120715-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
307 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-120715-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
307 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

SLZ022-024-120715-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
307 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the
Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1231 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

NYZ019-110900-
Chautauqua-
Including the city of Jamestown
1231 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

Localized areas of dense fog will continue through the rest of
tonight west of the Chautauqua Ridge to the Lake Erie shore along
the I-90, Route 20, and Route 5 corridors. Visibilities may be as
low as a quarter mile in spots. Slow down and be ready for rapid
changes in visibility over short distances.

JM