Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2026

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 53, NWS Buffalo, NY

June 30, 2026Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oswego County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 30, 2026, 1:56 PM EDT for Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oswego County, New York. It was in force for 51 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 30, 2026, 1:56 PM EDT (17:56 UTC)
Expired
Jun 30, 2026, 2:47 PM EDT
In force
51 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Possible
Damage threat
Considerable
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
70.0 mph

Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 19 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 30, 2:00 PM EDTTORNADO3 W Croghan, NYThe National Weather Service in Buffalo completed a damage survey across Lewis County today in response to numerous damage reports across the county from a line of severe thunderstorms yesterday, June 30th. As a result of this survey, the National Weather Serv
Jun 30, 2:03 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG2 Wsw Croghan, NYMultiple trees, large branches, and wires down.
Jun 30, 2:09 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG1 Sse Glenfield, NYThe National Weather Service in Buffalo completed a damage survey across Lewis County today in response to numerous damage reports across the county from a line of severe thunderstorms yesterday, June 30th. As a result of this survey, the National Weather Serv

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 7 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 30, 1:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 396 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2026-06-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 20 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2026-06-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 49 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
20 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-109 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1451 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

221 
WUUS51 KBUF 301756
SVRBUF
NYC045-049-075-301900-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SV.W.0053.260630T1756Z-260630T1900Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
156 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southern Jefferson County in central New York...
  Lewis County in central New York...
  Eastern Oswego County in central New York...

* Until 300 PM EDT.

* At 156 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Lowville, or
  21 miles southeast of Watertown, moving southeast at 55 mph.

  HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
           tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
           roofs, and outbuildings.

* Locations impacted include...
  Sandy Island Beach State Park, Stony Point, Carthage, Lowville,
  Pulaski, West Carthage, Adams, Redfield, Herrings, and Selkirk
  Shores State Park.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 33 and 44.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4342 7553 4348 7581 4333 7589 4332 7586
      4319 7588 4356 7630 4358 7626 4369 7626
      4378 7629 4383 7636 4386 7635 4394 7581
      4425 7552 4410 7517 4361 7511
TIME...MOT...LOC 1756Z 317DEG 48KT 4377 7559 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

HSK
3 follow-up statements
242 
WWUS51 KBUF 301820
SVSBUF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
220 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

NYC045-049-075-301900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-260630T1900Z/
Jefferson NY-Lewis NY-Oswego NY-
220 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON...LEWIS AND EASTERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...

At 220 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Boonville,
moving southeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Sandy Island Beach State Park, Lowville, Pulaski, Redfield, Selkirk
Shores State Park, Highmarket, Whetstone Gulf State Park, Mexico
Point State Park, Richland, and Denmark.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 33 and 39.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4342 7553 4348 7581 4333 7589 4331 7586
      4319 7588 4356 7630 4358 7626 4369 7626
      4383 7567 4415 7528 4410 7517 4361 7511
TIME...MOT...LOC 1820Z 317DEG 48KT 4353 7529 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

HSK
217 
WWUS51 KBUF 301832
SVSBUF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
232 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

NYC045-301841-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-260630T1900Z/
Jefferson NY-
232 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
central New York.

&&

LAT...LON 4342 7553 4348 7581 4333 7589 4331 7586
      4319 7588 4356 7630 4358 7626 4369 7626
      4367 7602 4371 7602 4369 7578 4373 7578
      4376 7532 4382 7514 4361 7511
TIME...MOT...LOC 1831Z 319DEG 39KT 4349 7525 

$$

NYC049-075-301900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-260630T1900Z/
Lewis NY-Oswego NY-
232 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN LEWIS AND EASTERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...

At 231 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Forestport, or
near Boonville, moving southeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Sandy Island Beach State Park, Pulaski, Redfield, Selkirk Shores
State Park, Highmarket, Whetstone Gulf State Park, Mexico Point State
Park, Richland, Martinsburg, and Williamstown.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 33 and 37.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4342 7553 4348 7581 4333 7589 4331 7586
      4319 7588 4356 7630 4358 7626 4369 7626
      4367 7602 4371 7602 4369 7578 4373 7578
      4376 7532 4382 7514 4361 7511
TIME...MOT...LOC 1831Z 319DEG 39KT 4349 7525 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

SGK
514 
WWUS51 KBUF 301847
SVSBUF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
247 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

NYC049-075-301857-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-260630T1900Z/
Lewis NY-Oswego NY-
247 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN LEWIS AND EASTERN
OSWEGO COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning has
been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
central New York.

&&

LAT...LON 4342 7553 4348 7581 4333 7589 4331 7586
      4319 7588 4356 7630 4358 7626 4369 7626
      4367 7602 4371 7602 4369 7578 4373 7578
      4376 7532 4382 7514 4361 7511
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 317DEG 48KT 4333 7505 

$$

SGK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 30, 6:27 AM EDT, 7 hours 29 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • 1) Dangerous heat and humidity through Friday, then more unsettled with slowly lessening heat/humidity for the holiday weekend. 2) Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible today as a warm front crosses the region...and then again on Wednesday.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 6:27 AM EDT, 7 hours 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
627 AM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Have adjusted PoPs a bit further for today to keep these in
line with current upstream radar trends.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Dangerous heat and humidity through Friday, then more unsettled
with slowly lessening heat/humidity for the holiday weekend.

2) Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible today as a
warm front crosses the region...and then again on Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Dangerous heat and humidity through Friday, then
more unsettled with slowly lessening heat/humidity for the holiday
weekend.

Guidance remains in lockstep on upper level ridging building across
the eastern CONUS through Thursday...with the core of the ridge
strengthening to near 600 dm while drifting east from the Tennessee
Valley to Virginia. After that time...a series of shortwave impulses
digging southeastward across eastern Canada will help to slowly
buckle and flatten the ridge Friday through the holiday weekend...
with its core correspondingly settling southwestward into the
southern Plains/southeastern States. Under this regime...850 mb
temps will climb to around +20C by later this afternoon...then will
remain around or even a little above +20C through at least Thursday
and possibly even Friday...before pulling back into the mid to upper
teens over the weekend.

Following the passage of a warm front...the above will translate
into highs climbing into the upper 80s and lower 90s across much of
the area today...save for the North Country where possible
convection and cloud cover associated with the warm front may hold
temperatures lower. Coupled with dewpoints surging into the lower
70s...this will result in fairly widespread heat indices in the 95
to 100 range today...again save for perhaps far interior portions of
the Southern Tier and the North Country. As such...Heat Advisories
remain in effect areawide for today...though it's possible that true
advisory-level conditions may not actually be realized across the
North Country given the aforementioned potential for convection/
cloud cover and its influence on high temperatures there.

The heat and humidity will then reach its peak Wednesday and
Thursday...when daytime highs away from lake influences/the higher
terrain will surge into the lower to mid 90s for many areas...with a
few of our normal hot spots possibly even reaching the upper 90s. At
the same time...dewpoints will climb into the lower-mid 70s
Wednesday and then should linger in the lower 70s Thursday...
supporting oppressive heat indices in the upper 90s to lower 100s
for much of our lower elevations both afternoons...with some
locations from Niagara/Orleans counties eastward across the Finger
Lakes and over to Oswego County possibly even seeing these briefly
reach heat warning criteria (105F) both days.

Gradual lessening of the heat and humidity will then begin on Friday
and continue through the holiday weekend as the strong upper ridge
slowly flattens and retreats southwestward...with this trend
supported by both a corresponding slow cooling of temps aloft and an
increased potential for convection as we become increasingly more
subject to shortwave disturbances rippling along the northern
periphery of the ridge. At this point feel that we may see heat
indices pull back enough to peak in the advisory range across
portions of the area on Friday...with non-headline worthy conditions
then following for the weekend...though both Saturday and Sunday
still look to be rather warm and humid.

Between today and Friday...downright sultry nighttime temps in the
lower to mid 70s and high humidity will also offer little relief
from the heat for those without air conditioning...and will increase
the likelihood of heat-related illness for vulnerable populations.

Given all the above and the continued potential for some areas to
reach heat warning criteria (105 F) Wednesday and Thursday...an
Extreme Heat Watch remains in place from the Niagara Frontier
eastward across the Finger Lakes and Oswego county for the Wednesday
through Friday time frame...though I am not as bullish regarding
this potential as blended guidance (which continues to exhibit its
typical high biases with temps/dewpoints) would suggest. This is
especially true for much of the Buffalo Metro Area...which will see
temps held back some from those further inland due to the
southwesterly flow off the cooler waters of Lake Erie...a factor
that will probably make it difficult to reach true heat warning
criteria there.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are
possible today as a warm front crosses the region...and then again
on Wednesday.

A warm frontal boundary marking the eastern edge of the incoming
oppressively hot and humid airmass will slowly make its way east
across our area today. As this occurs...an attendant increase in
isentropic ascent/instability along with the potential for one or
more convectively-augmented shortwaves rippling southeast along this
boundary bringing the potential for at least some scattered showers
and storms to the area.

Initial complex of storms along this boundary continues to slowly
make its way east-southeastward across Southern Ontario as of this
writing...with the strongest activity persisting along its southern
flank. This should continue to slide east-southeastward and tend to
weaken through this morning...though expect that at least some of
this should survive long enough (along with any other widely
scattered activity that might develop along the front) to support
some scattered showers and storms across areas south of Lake Ontario
this morning. A number of CAMs then show the potential for another
MCS (currently well to the north of the first batch over
Ontario/Quebec) to dive southeastward somewhere across the North
Country/Saint Lawrence Valley this afternoon...with additional
activity also potentially forming along its southern flank. With
this second round...effective bulk shear values of 35-45 kts and
potentially moderate instability could support an initial few
transient supercells evolving into one or more clusters/bowing
segments. At this point damaging winds and large hail remain the
primary risks with this latter activity...however an isolated
tornado or two cannot be ruled out within any initial supercells.
Given this the North Country remains within a Slight Risk (level 2
of 5) area on the new SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook...though
uncertainty persists regarding exactly where this second round of
convection will track (i.e., whether this reaches our area...or
tracks further to the east across eastern New York and Vermont).

On Wednesday...another such cluster of storms could develop over
Canada and again dive southeastward across the North Country/
Northern New York...with strong instability again supporting a risk
for strong to severe storms with damaging winds/hail the main
threats. This being said...considerable uncertainty persists as to
whether this will actually occur given much weaker overall forcing
for ascent compared to today. With this in mind...the current SPC
Marginal Risk area for the North Country on Wednesday looks quite
reasonable.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A warm front will push across the region today. Initial cluster of
storms along this boundary (currently just north of Toronto) should
continue to push east-southeastward and tend to weaken this
morning...with its remnants (along with any other widely scattered
convection that forms along the front) bringing a chance of
showers/thunderstorms to areas south of Lake Ontario this morning.
While confidence remains low on the exact timing and placement of
these...brief/localized IFR or lower conditions will be possible in
any heavier showers or storms.

As we push through this afternoon and early evening...there is the
potential for another complex of storms to dive southeastward out of
Canada...with this and/or any additional convection that forms on
its flank affecting the North Country and perhaps eastern portions
of the Finger Lakes. Reductions to IFR or lower will also be
possible within this convection...some of which could be locally
strong to severe with strong wind gusts and large hail the main
threats.

Outside of any convection...general VFR conditions will prevail
today.

Tonight mainly dry weather and VFR flight conditions should tend to
prevail...though some additional showers/storms and associated
restrictions cannot be completely ruled out across the North
Country. Later on tonight...some patchy MVFR stratus could form
across the interior of the Southern Tier and North Country.

Outlook...

Wednesday...Possible MVFR ceilings across the Southern Tier and
North Country early...otherwise mainly VFR with a chance of showers
and thunderstorms east of Lake Ontario.

Thursday...Mainly VFR.

Friday and Saturday...Mainly VFR with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms.

&&

.MARINE...
A warm front will pass across the region today, with modest to
moderate southwesterlies then following for the remainder of the
week.

The warm frontal passage may also bring the potential for at least
some scattered showers and thunderstorms today...some of which could
produce locally higher winds and waves. This risk will be greatest
across Lake Ontario and the Saint Lawrence River...particularly with
increasing eastward extent.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Dangerous heat and humidity are expected across western and
north central NY this week. Here are the record maximum and high
minimum temperatures for Buffalo, Rochester, and Watertown.

                    6/30        7/1         7/2         7/3
Buffalo, NY
High Max          94(1963)    93(1963)    94(1966)    94(1949)
High Low          73(1941)    75(1901)    75(1931)    74(1911*)

Rochester, NY
High Max          96(1964)    96(1901)    99(1931)    100(1911)
High Low          72(2014)    76(1931)    76(1931*)   75(1911)

Watertown, NY
High Max          89(1977)    92(1967)    92(1966)    91(1966)
High Low          73(2014*)   74(2014)    73(2002)    74(1973)

Average Temperatures for June 30-July 3
Buffalo
Max           79
Min           62

Rochester
Max           82
Min           62

Watertown
Max           78
Min           57

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT this evening for
     NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085.
     Extreme Heat Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Friday
     evening for NYZ001>006-010-011-013-014.
MARINE...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...JJR
AVIATION...JJR/TMA
MARINE...JJR
CLIMATE...WFO BUF
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 30, 1:23 PM EDT, 33 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
123 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

NYZ012-019>021-085-011730-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
123 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Dangerous heat and humidity will continue through Friday. Maximum
heat index values will likely reach the mid 90s to near 100 each
afternoon. Very warm and muggy nights will offer little relief from
the heat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001-002-011730-
Niagara-Orleans-
123 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...EXTREME HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 8 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Extreme Heat Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ010-011-011730-
Northern Erie-Genesee-
123 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ004-005-011730-
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-
123 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 423 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...EXTREME HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 8 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Extreme Heat Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ003-013-014-011730-
Monroe-Livingston-Ontario-
123 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...EXTREME HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 8 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Extreme Heat Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006-011730-
Oswego-
123 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 423 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...EXTREME HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 8 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Extreme Heat Warning.

There is a Marginal Risk for strong to severe thunderstorms on
Wednesday, with damaging winds and large hail the primary threats.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-008-011730-
Jefferson-Lewis-
123 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 423 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Dangerous heat and humidity will continue through Friday. Maximum
heat index values will likely reach the mid 90s to near 100 each
afternoon. Very warm and muggy nights will offer little relief from
the heat.

There is a Marginal Risk for strong to severe thunderstorms on
Wednesday, with damaging winds and large hail the primary threats.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042-062-011730-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
123 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ043>045-063>065-011730-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
123 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 423 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

SLZ022-024-011730-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
123 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 423 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the
Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 30, 1:37 PM EDT, 19 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
137 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0112 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Cape Vincent            44.13N 76.34W
06/30/2026                   Jefferson          NY   Emergency Mngr

            Widespread trees and power lines down in the
            Cape Vincent area.

&&

SGK
Local storm report, Jun 30, 1:39 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
139 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0111 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Clayton                 44.24N 76.09W
06/30/2026                   Jefferson          NY   Emergency Mngr

            Widespread trees and power lines down in the
            Clayton area.

&&

SGK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 30, 7:52 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF51 min
Jun 30, 11:44 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF2 hr
Jun 30, 12:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBUFJefferson, Lewis, Oswego85 min
Jun 30, 12:39 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more3 days
Jun 30, 12:39 PM EDTExtreme Heat WarningBUFCayuga, Livingston, Monroe, Niagara, Ontario, Orleans and 2 more61 hr
Jun 30, 12:56 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF64 min
Jun 30, 1:49 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF40 min
Jun 30, 1:49 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF38 min
Jun 30, 2:00 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF46 min
Jun 30, 2:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCayuga, Ontario, Oswego, Wayne57 min
Jun 30, 3:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCayuga, Wayne50 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New York, 2026Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.