Alert archive / New York / Gale Watches in 2026
Gale Watch 8, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this gale watch at Mar 14, 2026, 2:02 PM EDT. It took effect at Mar 16, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 14, 2026, 2:02 PM EDT (18:02 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 16, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Mar 15, 2026, 1:15 PM EDT
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted.
916 WHUS71 KBUF 141802 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 202 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 LEZ040-041-150315- /O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-260314T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.260315T1500Z-260316T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260316T1200Z-260317T1200Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 202 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds to 20 to 30 knots expected. For the Gale Watch, southwest winds to 35 knots possible. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 11 AM Sunday to 8 AM EDT Monday. For the Gale Watch, from Monday morning through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LOZ043>045-063>065-142100- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260314T2100Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 202 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 12 to 16 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 5 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-150315- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.260315T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 202 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 11 AM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...From 5 PM Sunday to 11 AM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042-150000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-260315T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 202 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 20 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 9 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
6 follow-up statements
194 WHUS71 KBUF 142043 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 443 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 LOZ043>045-150445- /O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260314T2100Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.260314T2100Z-260315T0600Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 443 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... ...GALE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Northwest winds to 30 knots and waves 10 to 14 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ063>065-142145- /O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260314T2100Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 443 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...GALE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... Sustained winds have diminished below gale force. $$ LEZ040-041-150445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.260315T1500Z-260316T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260316T1200Z-260317T1200Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 443 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds to 30 knots expected. For the Gale Watch, southwest winds to 35 knots possible. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 11 AM Sunday to 8 AM EDT Monday. For the Gale Watch, from Monday morning through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LOZ042-150000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-260315T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 443 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-150445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.260315T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 443 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 11 AM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...From 5 PM Sunday to 11 AM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
308 WHUS71 KBUF 142104 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 504 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 LOZ043>045-150515- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-260315T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260317T0300Z-260317T2300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 504 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds to 30 knots and waves 10 to 14 feet. For the Gale Watch, west winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet possible. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 2 AM EDT Sunday. For the Gale Watch, from Monday evening through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LOZ042-150515- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-260315T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260316T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 504 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet. For the Gale Watch, west winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet possible. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 8 PM EDT this evening. For the Gale Watch, from Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LEZ040-041-150515- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.260315T1500Z-260316T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260316T1200Z-260317T1200Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 504 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds to 30 knots expected. For the Gale Watch, southwest winds to 35 knots possible. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 11 AM Sunday to 8 AM EDT Monday. For the Gale Watch, from Monday morning through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-150515- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.260315T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 504 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 11 AM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...From 5 PM Sunday to 11 AM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ062-150515- /O.EXB.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260316T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 504 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet possible. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...From Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LOZ063>065-150515- /O.EXB.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260317T0300Z-260317T2300Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 504 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet possible. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From Monday evening through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$
833 WHUS71 KBUF 150001 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 801 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 LOZ042-150815- /O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-260315T0000Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260316T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 801 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet possible. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...From Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LOZ043>045-150815- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-260315T0600Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260317T0300Z-260317T2300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 801 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 10 to 20 knots and waves 7 to 10 feet. For the Gale Watch, west winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet possible. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 2 AM EDT Sunday. For the Gale Watch, from Monday evening through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LEZ040-041-150815- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.260315T1500Z-260316T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260316T1200Z-260317T1200Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 801 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds to 30 knots expected. For the Gale Watch, southwest winds to 35 knots possible. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 11 AM Sunday to 8 AM EDT Monday. For the Gale Watch, from Monday morning through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-150815- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.260315T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 801 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 11 AM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...From 5 PM Sunday to 11 AM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ062-150815- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260316T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 801 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet possible. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...From Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LOZ063>065-150815- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260317T0300Z-260317T2300Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 801 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet possible. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From Monday evening through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$
477 WHUS71 KBUF 150536 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 136 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 LOZ043>045-151345- /O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-260315T0600Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260317T0300Z-260317T2300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 136 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet possible. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From Monday evening through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LEZ040-041-151345- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.260315T1500Z-260316T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260316T1200Z-260317T1200Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 136 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southeast winds to 30 knots expected. For the Gale Watch, southwest winds to 35 knots possible. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 11 AM this morning to 8 AM EDT Monday. For the Gale Watch, from Monday morning through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-151345- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.260315T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 136 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042-062-151345- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260316T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 136 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet possible. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...From Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LOZ063>065-151345- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260317T0300Z-260317T2300Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 136 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet possible. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From Monday evening through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$
716 WHUS71 KBUF 150735 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 335 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 LOZ042-152000- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.260315T1200Z-260316T2100Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260316T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 335 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EDT MONDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southeast winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet expected. For the Gale Watch, west winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet possible. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 8 AM this morning to 5 PM EDT Monday. For the Gale Watch, from Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LOZ043>045-152000- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.260315T1500Z-260317T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260317T0300Z-260317T2300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 335 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds to 30 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet expected. For the Gale Watch, west winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet possible. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 11 AM this morning to 11 PM EDT Monday. For the Gale Watch, from Monday evening through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LEZ040-041-152000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.260315T1500Z-260316T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260316T1200Z-260317T1200Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 335 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southeast winds to 30 knots expected. For the Gale Watch, southwest winds to 35 knots possible. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 11 AM this morning to 8 AM EDT Monday. For the Gale Watch, from Monday morning through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-152000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.260315T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 335 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ062-152000- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260316T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 335 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet possible. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...From Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$ LOZ063>065-152000- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260317T0300Z-260317T2300Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 335 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 14 to 18 feet possible. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From Monday evening through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and waves. && $$
667 WHUS71 KBUF 151715 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 115 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 LOZ042-160115- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-260316T2100Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260316T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0009.260316T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 115 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT MONDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM MONDAY TO 11 AM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet. For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 10 to 13 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 5 PM EDT Monday. For the Gale Warning, from 5 PM Monday to 11 AM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043>045-160115- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-260317T0300Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260317T0300Z-260317T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0009.260317T0300Z-260317T2300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 115 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT MONDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM MONDAY TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds to 30 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet. For the Gale Warning, west winds to 40 knots and waves 13 to 17 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 11 PM EDT Monday. For the Gale Warning, from 11 PM Monday to 7 PM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-160115- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-260316T1200Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260316T1200Z-260317T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0009.260316T1200Z-260317T1200Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 115 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MONDAY TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds to 30 knots. For the Gale Warning, southwest winds to 35 knots expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 8 AM EDT Monday. For the Gale Warning, from 8 AM Monday to 8 AM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ062-160115- /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260316T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0009.260316T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 115 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM MONDAY TO 11 AM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 11 to 15 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...From 5 PM Monday to 11 AM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ063>065-160115- /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0008.260317T0300Z-260317T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0009.260317T0300Z-260317T2300Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 115 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM MONDAY TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 40 knots and waves 14 to 18 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From 11 PM Monday to 7 PM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-LOZ030-160115- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0021.260315T2100Z-260317T1500Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 115 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale watch went out at Mar 14, 7:19 AM EDT, 6 hours 43 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- 1) Very windy into this morning, especially west of the Finger Lakes region, then winds will weaken through the afternoon hours. 2) Impactful snowfall will continue across across the higher terrain east of Lake Erie into this morning, and into this afternoon across the higher terrain east of Lake Ontario. 3) Another round of strong winds is becoming increasingly likely from Sunday night through Monday night. 4)Cold weather returns with gusty winds and lake effect snow Tuesday through Tuesday night.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 14, 7:19 AM EDT, 6 hours 43 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
719 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No updates with this issuance.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Very windy into this morning, especially west of the Finger Lakes
region, then winds will weaken through the afternoon hours.
2) Impactful snowfall will continue across across the higher terrain
east of Lake Erie into this morning, and into this afternoon across
the higher terrain east of Lake Ontario.
3) Another round of strong winds is becoming increasingly likely
from Sunday night through Monday night.
4)Cold weather returns with gusty winds and lake effect snow Tuesday
through Tuesday night.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Very windy into this morning, especially west of the
Finger Lakes region, then winds will weaken through the afternoon
hours.
Compact clipper low in the process of passing just north of Lake
Ontario and will make its way into the Ottawa Valley around
daybreak. The low will continue to gradually weaken from a current
pressure of 997mb to around 1000mb by 12Z, although the strongest
segment of the attendant strong LLJ will pass across the region from
now through this morning. With our area now within the cold air
advection regime in the wake of the system's trailing cold front,
relatively steep low level lapse rates and efficient momentum
transfer down to the surface will help produce our strongest overall
wind gusts through mid morning or so.
Within the High Wind Warning area, 55-65 mph wind gusts are
expected, highest close to Lake Erie. Further inland, gusts to 45-55
mph will will continue across the Wind Advisory area. Winds will
gradually relax from west to east, especially this
afternoon, leaving behind just a modest residual breeze by evening.
One other potential issue...The winds snapping southwesterly and
increasing along Lake Erie today could cause fast ice on the eastern
end of the lake to begin moving and piling against some areas around
the Buffalo Harbor. While this setup bears some similarities to the
last big ice shove back in February of 2019, the static Lake Erie
water level is about 2.5ft lower compared to that year which will
greatly hamper the chances for this event to have much impact. In
addition, southwesterly winds do not appear to be as strong as the
previous event. This is something that will continue to be closely
monitored, however confidence remains low and thus have opted to
continue forgoing Lakeshore Flood products.
KEY MESSAGE 2...Impactful snowfall will continue across the higher
terrain east of Lake Erie into this morning, and into this afternoon
across the higher terrain east of Lake Ontario.
The same clipper system described in Key Message (1) will continue
to bring accumulating snowfall to the region, especially the higher
terrain. Upslope snows took a bit longer to get going east of Lake
Erie, however over the past couple of hours have started to
intensify, especially over the higher terrain of southeastern Erie,
Wyoming, and northern Cattaraugus counties where the Winter Storm
Warning remains in effect through 11 AM this morning for an
additional 3-6 inches possible. This has lowered storm total amounts
a bit, however with ongoing moderate to heavy snow in place across
these areas, will leave headlines as is, especially with the very
strong winds exacerbating the conditions. The lower terrain areas of
western NY will see a dusting to 2 inches for most spots.
For the eastern Lake Ontario region, the forecast generally remains
on track so far with moderate to heavy lake enhanced/upslope snow
expected to continue through this morning into at least a portion of
the afternoon with an additional 6-12 inches possible across the Tug
Hill and western Dacks before tapering off later today as the low
pulls away from the region. Significantly lower snow amounts are
expected across the lower elevations, with storm total amounts of 1
to 4 inches possible.
KEY MESSAGE 3...Another round of strong winds is becoming
increasingly likely from Sunday night through Monday night.
The pattern across the Lower 48 will become increasingly amplified
with a strong ridge building across the east Sunday through Sunday
night. A warm front will quickly lift northward across the region
Sunday morning, and after a brief period of snow Sunday morning,
temperatures and winds will increase across the region. A deepening
area of low pressure will move from the Central Plains to the
Central Great Lakes, with an anomalously strong low-level jet moving
across the forecast area. Breezy conditions are expected across the
region, with strong wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph across favorable
downslope regions of the Chautauqua Ridge, and Tug Hill. Ridgetops
across the Finger Lakes region may also tap into the strong winds
aloft.
Model guidance has been consistent that the surface low will move
from Lower Michigan to Ontario and southern Quebec Sunday night
through Monday. The low will continue to deepen with an ensemble
mean MSLP of 984mb as the low moves into southern Quebec Monday.
During this time, an associated strong cold front is expected to
move across the forecast area. Strong cold air advection is expected
behind the front, and strong winds are expected behind the front as
it moves from west to east Monday. The core of the strongest winds
is expected in the warm sector, however model guidance suggests
these winds could still be available to mix down behind the front
especially across far western NY and the Saint Lawrence Valley.
Strong mixing in cold air advection is increasing confidence of wind
gusts over 45 mph northeast of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. Latest
NBM probabilities of wind gusts exceeding 50 mph Monday is 50-60%
across immediate locations northeast of the Lakes. Another round of
wind headlines are possible.
Another factor with this system will rain along and ahead of the
front. Instability may have time to increase ahead of the front and
may result in a line of showers and possibly some thunder across the
Finger Lakes and Eastern Lake Ontario region Monday afternoon.
KEY MESSAGE 4...Cold weather returns with gusty winds and lake
effect snow Tuesday through Tuesday night.
An arctic airmass is expected to move into the eastern Great Lakes
region Monday night through Tuesday night. Temperatures will take a
dive Monday night with 850mb temperatures falling to -16 to -19 degC
into Tuesday morning. Steep low-level lapse rates with lake-induced
equilibrium levels rising 6-8 kft will be supportive of lake effect
snow development in the wake of this system for Tuesday through
Wednesday. A broad area of 40knots at 850mb and a well-mixed
boundary layer will support gusty winds Tuesday. While Lake Ontario
remains wide open and west-northwest flow likely providing a nice
upstream connection to Lake Huron, there is more uncertainty
surrounding what may develop off of Lake Erie. The northeastern half
of Lake Erie remains mostly ice covered, but there is an area of
open water closer to Long Point that may provide an opportunity for
late season lake snows in western NY through midweek.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A mix of mainly MVFR/low VFR CIGS found across the terminals
currently, with some IFR CIGS across the higher terrain. Mainly
light snow shower activity ongoing across much of western and
northcentral NY, with localized IFR/LIFR VSBYs confined to the
higher terrain east of the lakes where moderate to heavy snow is
falling. CIGS are expected to lower to mainly MVFR across all
terminals through daybreak. Strong W to SW winds will continue with
the strongest winds (gusts of 40-50 knots) expected to be along a
rough KDKK-KBUF/KIAG-KROC axis through mid morning.
Leftover scattered snow showers and areas of more concentrated snow
showers across the higher terrain east of the lakes this morning
will wind down from west to east this afternoon. Flight conditions
will follow suit with MVFR (LIFR/IFR in higher terrain snow) this
morning expected to gradually improve to VFR from west to east
through the afternoon hours. Strong winds will continue this
morning, then weaken through the afternoon hours.
Mainly VFR conditions are expected tonight.
Outlook...
Sunday...MVFR/IFR with snow changing to rain. LLWS possible.
Becoming windy.
Monday...MVFR/IFR with rain changing to snow. Windy.
Tuesday and Wednesday...MVFR/IFR with chances for snow east of both
lakes. Breezy.
&&
.MARINE...
A couple of low pressure systems will cross the Great Lakes through
early next week, bringing rounds of Gale Force winds. The first of
these will continue to impact the lakes through the first part of
today, with a second round then following Monday into Tuesday.
Please note, most, if not all of the Lake Erie nearshore waters
continue to be ice covered. Waves have been omitted from the
forecast.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
The Black River is in minor flood from Dadville to Watertown this
morning. The river is expected to crest at Watertown today and
slowly fall through tonight. A Flood Warning remains in effect for
this segment of the Black River.
Looking ahead, a warm-up is expected Sunday through Monday and will
contribute to additional snowmelt across the Tug Hill region. Rain
is expected Monday through Monday evening, before changing over to
snow as temperatures rapidly drop across the region. Forecast
rainfall amounts of 0.50-1.00" are expected across the Tug Hill
region, and the combination of rain and snowmelt will likely cause
rises on area rivers and creeks. Ensemble river forecasts show
locations on the Black River rising back near action stage, and a
very low chance of reaching flood stage.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...High Wind Warning until 11 AM EDT this morning for NYZ001>003-
010>012-020-085.
Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for NYZ004-005-013-
014-021.
Winter Storm Warning until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for
NYZ006>008.
Winter Storm Warning until 11 AM EDT this morning for NYZ012-
020-085.
High Wind Warning until 8 AM EDT this morning for NYZ019.
Winter Weather Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for NYZ019.
Winter Weather Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for
NYZ021.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for LEZ020.
Gale Warning until 8 AM EDT this morning for LEZ040-041.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for
LOZ030.
Gale Warning until 11 AM EDT this morning for LOZ042-062.
Gale Warning until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for LOZ043>045-
063>065.
&&
DISCUSSION...Brothers/HSK/JM/JJR/PP
AVIATION...JM
MARINE...JM/JJR/PP
HYDROLOGY...HSKHazardous weather outlook, Mar 14, 3:53 AM EDT, 10 hours 9 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 353 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 NYZ007-008-150800- Jefferson-Lewis- 353 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Another round of strong winds is possible Monday through Monday night as strong low pressure crosses the Great Lakes. Much colder air will move back into the region Tuesday through Tuesday night, with accumulating lake effect snow possible east of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ006-150800- Oswego- 353 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Another round of strong winds is possible Monday through Monday night as strong low pressure crosses the Great Lakes. Much colder air will move back into the region Tuesday through Tuesday night, with accumulating lake effect snow possible east of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ012-020-085-150800- Wyoming-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- 353 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Wind Warning. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Another round of strong winds is possible Monday through Monday night as strong low pressure crosses the Great Lakes. Much colder air will move back into the region Tuesday through Tuesday night, with accumulating lake effect snow possible east of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ019-150800- Chautauqua- 353 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Wind Warning. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Another round of strong winds is possible Monday through Monday night as strong low pressure crosses the Great Lakes. Much colder air will move back into the region Tuesday through Tuesday night, with accumulating lake effect snow possible east of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ021-150800- Allegany- 353 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Another round of strong winds is possible Monday through Monday night as strong low pressure crosses the Great Lakes. Much colder air will move back into the region Tuesday through Tuesday night, with accumulating lake effect snow possible east of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ001>003-010-011-150800- Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee- 353 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Wind Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Another round of strong winds is possible Monday through Monday night as strong low pressure crosses the Great Lakes. Much colder air will move back into the region Tuesday through Tuesday night, with accumulating lake effect snow possible east of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ004-005-013-014-150800- Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario- 353 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Another round of strong winds is possible Monday through Monday night as strong low pressure crosses the Great Lakes. Much colder air will move back into the region Tuesday through Tuesday night, with accumulating lake effect snow possible east of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LOZ042-062-150800- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 353 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Another period of gale force winds is possible Monday through Tuesday as strong low pressure crosses the Great Lakes. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LOZ043>045-063>065-150800- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 353 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Another period of gale force winds is possible Monday through Tuesday as strong low pressure crosses the Great Lakes. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ040-041-150800- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 353 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Another period of gale force winds is possible Monday through Tuesday as strong low pressure crosses the Great Lakes. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf SLZ022-024-150800- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 353 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-LOZ030-150800- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 353 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 14, 11:17 AM EDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1117 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM Snow 5 W Constableville 43.58N 75.52W
03/14/2026 M9.8 Inch Lewis NY CO-OP Observer
CO-OP Observer station HGHN6 Highmarket 2W.
0600 AM Snow 1 NW Constableville 43.58N 75.45W
03/14/2026 M8.0 Inch Lewis NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-LW-3 Constableville 1.2
NW.
0700 AM Snow 1 NE Lowville 43.79N 75.48W
03/14/2026 M6.0 Inch Lewis NY CO-OP Observer
CO-OP Observer station LOWN6 Lowville.
0800 AM Snow 4 NW Copenhagen 43.93N 75.72W
03/14/2026 M5.1 Inch Jefferson NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-JF-59 Copenhagen 3.7 NW.
0901 AM Snow West Carthage 43.97N 75.62W
03/14/2026 M4.5 Inch Jefferson NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-JF-30 West Carthage 0.3
ENE.
0700 AM Snow 5 NW Gainesville 42.69N 78.22W
03/14/2026 M4.3 Inch Wyoming NY CO-OP Observer
CO-OP Observer station WRSN6 Warsaw 6SW.
0700 AM Snow 3 W Warsaw 42.74N 78.21W
03/14/2026 M4.2 Inch Wyoming NY CO-OP Observer
CO-OP Observer station WSWN6 Warsaw 4W.
0700 AM Snow 2 NNE Richland 43.60N 76.04W
03/14/2026 M3.0 Inch Oswego NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-OS-1 Lacona 3.6 SSE.
0600 AM Snow 2 SSE Palermo 43.33N 76.27W
03/14/2026 M2.4 Inch Oswego NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-OS-16 Phoenix 7.0 NNE.
0800 AM Snow 5 ESE Angelica 42.27N 77.94W
03/14/2026 M2.3 Inch Allegany NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-AL-2 West Almond 3.6 SW.
0800 AM Snow 4 ESE Alexander 42.87N 78.18W
03/14/2026 M2.3 Inch Genesee NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-GN-27 Alexander 4.4 ESE.
0700 AM Snow 2 SW Mexico 43.44N 76.27W
03/14/2026 M2.0 Inch Oswego NY CO-OP Observer
CO-OP Observer station MXON6 Mexico 2SW.
0700 AM Snow 2 SE Elma Center 42.81N 78.61W
03/14/2026 M2.0 Inch Erie NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-ER-261 Elma Center 1.8
SE.
0800 AM Snow 3 E East Pembroke 42.99N 78.25W
03/14/2026 M2.0 Inch Genesee NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-GN-13 Batavia 3.4 WSW.
0700 AM Snow 2 SE East Aurora 42.74N 78.59W
03/14/2026 M1.9 Inch Erie NY CO-OP Observer
CO-OP Observer station WLSN6 Wales.
0700 AM Snow 2 WNW Cattaraugus 42.34N 78.91W
03/14/2026 M1.8 Inch Cattaraugus NY CO-OP Observer
CO-OP Observer station CTGN6 Cattaraugus 3W.
0700 AM Snow 1 WNW Colden 42.65N 78.70W
03/14/2026 M1.8 Inch Erie NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-ER-166 Boston 2.5 NE.
0705 AM Snow 2 SE Friendship 42.18N 78.11W
03/14/2026 M1.8 Inch Allegany NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-AL-15 Friendship 2.5 SE.
0600 AM Snow 4 WSW Dansville 42.53N 77.76W
03/14/2026 M1.5 Inch Livingston NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-LV-1 Dansville 3.6 WSW.
0700 AM Snow 2 SSE North Tonawanda 43.02N 78.85W
03/14/2026 M1.5 Inch Niagara NY CO-OP Observer
CO-OP Observer station NTON6 North
Tonawanda.
0830 AM Snow 3 E East Concord 42.55N 78.58W
03/14/2026 M1.5 Inch Erie NY CO-OP Observer
CO-OP Observer station SGVN6 Springville
5NE.
0645 AM Snow 2 W Houghton 42.43N 78.19W
03/14/2026 M1.4 Inch Allegany NY CO-OP Observer
CO-OP Observer station RUHN6 Rushford.
0700 AM Snow 2 ESE Lockport 43.15N 78.65W
03/14/2026 M1.3 Inch Niagara NY CO-OP Observer
CO-OP Observer station LPTN6 Lockport.
0700 AM Snow 2 ENE Wellsville 42.14N 77.91W
03/14/2026 M1.3 Inch Allegany NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-AL-11 Wellsville 2.4
ENE.
0700 AM Snow 1 SE Cambria Center 43.17N 78.82W
03/14/2026 M1.3 Inch Niagara NY CO-OP Observer
CO-OP Observer station SBNN6 Sanborn 4NE.
0700 AM Snow 6 N Hinsdale 42.24N 78.40W
03/14/2026 M1.2 Inch Cattaraugus NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-CT-25 Ischua 0.4 SSE.
0700 AM Snow 2 NE Stafford 43.00N 78.05W
03/14/2026 M1.2 Inch Genesee NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-GN-6 Stafford 1.8 NE.
0730 AM Snow 4 NW Constantia 43.30N 76.06W
03/14/2026 M1.2 Inch Oswego NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-OS-45 West Monroe 1.6
NNE.
0817 AM Snow 1 SW Franklinville 42.33N 78.46W
03/14/2026 M1.2 Inch Cattaraugus NY CO-OP Observer
CO-OP Observer station FRKN6 Franklinville.
0900 AM Snow 2 NW Gates-North Gates 43.18N 77.73W
03/14/2026 M1.1 Inch Monroe NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-MR-89 Rochester 5.7 W.
0700 PM Snow 1 E Batavia 43.00N 78.15W
03/13/2026 M1.0 Inch Genesee NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-GN-23 Batavia 1.4 E.
0625 AM Snow Kenmore 42.96N 78.87W
03/14/2026 M1.0 Inch Erie NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-ER-59 Kenmore 0.3 ESE.
0700 AM Snow 1 W Newfane 43.29N 78.72W
03/14/2026 M1.0 Inch Niagara NY CO-OP Observer
CO-OP Observer station NWFN6 Newfane 1W.
0800 AM Snow 2 S Snyder 42.93N 78.78W
03/14/2026 M1.0 Inch Erie NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-ER-122 Cheektowaga 2.4
NW.
0837 AM Snow 2 NNE Tonawanda 43.01N 78.87W
03/14/2026 M1.0 Inch Erie NY Cocorahs
Cocorahs station NY-ER-86 Tonawanda 1.5 NNE.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 1:29 PM EDT | High Wind Watch | BUF | Chautauqua, Erie, Jefferson, Lewis | 12 hr |
| Mar 14, 1:29 PM EDT | Wind Advisory | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more | 70 hr |
| Mar 14, 2:02 PM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 3 days |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.