River Flood Warning 1, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

344 
WGUS81 KBOX 111517
FLSBOX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1117 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Massachusetts...

  Taunton River Near Bridgewater affecting Plymouth and Bristol 
  Counties.

For the Taunton River...including Bridgewater...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1130 PM EDT.

&&

MAC005-023-120330-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260312T1800Z/
/BDGM3.1.SM.260311T0950Z.260311T1800Z.260312T1200Z.NO/
1117 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...FLOOD WARNING FOR SNOWMELT NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Taunton River near Bridgewater.

* WHEN...Until early tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Backwater flooding from the Taunton River 
  will cause flooding of lower Purchade Brook in Middleboro.  This 
  will cause Woloski Park to become impassable by most vehicles.  
  Beware of the dangers of crossing flooded roadways.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:45 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 8.0 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:45 AM EDT Wednesday was 8.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.1
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
    tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4182 7119 4202 7097 4194 7087 4177 7110


$$

Belk

561 
WGUS81 KBOX 120324
FLSBOX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1124 PM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Massachusetts...

  Taunton River Near Bridgewater affecting Bristol and Plymouth 
  Counties.

For the Taunton River...including Bridgewater...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Thursday afternoon at 200 PM EDT.

&&

MAC005-023-121800-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BDGM3.1.SM.260311T0950Z.260311T2300Z.260313T0000Z.NO/
1124 PM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...FLOOD WARNING FOR SNOWMELT NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Taunton River near Bridgewater.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Backwater flooding from the Taunton River 
  will cause flooding of lower Purchade Brook in Middleboro.  This 
  will cause Woloski Park to become impassable by most vehicles.  
  Beware of the dangers of crossing flooded roadways.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:45 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 8.1 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:45 PM EDT Wednesday was 8.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow evening and continue falling to 6.9 feet Saturday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4182 7119 4202 7097 4194 7087 4177 7110


$$

Loconto

433 
WGUS81 KBOX 121658
FLSBOX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1258 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Massachusetts...

  Taunton River Near Bridgewater affecting Plymouth and Bristol 
  Counties.

For the Taunton River...including Bridgewater...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 300 AM EDT.

&&

MAC005-023-130700-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260313T1200Z/
/BDGM3.1.SM.260311T0950Z.260312T1400Z.260313T0600Z.NO/
1258 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...FLOOD WARNING FOR SNOWMELT NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Taunton River near Bridgewater.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Backwater flooding from the Taunton River 
  will cause flooding of lower Purchade Brook in Middleboro.  This 
  will cause Woloski Park to become impassable by most vehicles.  
  Beware of the dangers of crossing flooded roadways.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:45 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 8.1 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 11:45 AM EDT Thursday was 8.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 6.8 feet
    Sunday morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4182 7119 4202 7097 4194 7087 4177 7110


$$

BW

369 
WGUS81 KBOX 130246
FLSBOX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1046 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Massachusetts...

  Taunton River Near Bridgewater affecting Plymouth and Bristol 
  Counties.

MAC005-023-130400-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260313T0246Z/
/BDGM3.1.SM.260311T0950Z.260312T1830Z.260312T2245Z.NO/
1046 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...FLOOD WARNING FOR SNOWMELT IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Taunton River Near Bridgewater.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 8.0 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 6.4 feet Sunday
    evening.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4182 7119 4202 7097 4194 7087 4177 7110


$$

Nocera

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
829 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes. Becoming more confident that any minor river
flooding will not occur until Monday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Record warmth gives way to cooler weather by end of the week with
  rain/snow showers possible late Friday or Friday night.

- Potential for strong winds and heavy rain later Sunday and
  Monday which may lead to minor river flooding.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Record warmth gives way to cooler weather by end of
the week with rain/snow showers possible late Friday or Friday night.

All good things must come to an end and that includes our taste
of unseasonably warm weather, although temperatures should
still average above normal Wednesday and Thursday. We're
watching a backdoor cold front that will drop south through New
England early Wednesday and exactly where it ends up will be the
difference between cooler, damp weather and cloudy but somewhat
milder conditions.

Latest high-res guidance brings front through central/eastern
MA and northern RI where temperatures should drop into upper 30s
and lower 40s along with drizzle and patchy fog from onshore
flow, while to the south across much of CT, it should be cloudy
but somewhat milder with temperatures in the 40s to around 50.

This front should advance back northward late in day Wednesday and
Wednesday night, so in the cool sector temperatures should rise
during night. Upper trough moving through eastern Great Lakes
will bring a stronger cold front through region early Thursday
morning, bringing with it a few showers and the arrival of
colder air in its wake. A weak and fast moving low is expected
to cross New England later Friday into early Saturday,
accompanied by rain or snow showers, with any snow more favored
in western/central MA, but with minimal accumulation.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Potential for strong winds and heavy rain later
Sunday and Monday which may lead to minor river flooding.

Even though melting snow has brought increased river and stream
flows, we don't see much of a flood concern until Monday with the
arrival of potentially heavy rainfall and strong winds. Rises on
mainstem Connecticut River this weekend should remain below
flood stage.

Ensemble situational awareness tables indicate the potential for a
highly anomalous event in terms of rainfall and strong winds, with
several wind and moisture parameters above the 90th percentile and
in some cases near the max of model climate. This is ahead of a more
amplified upper trough which will bring strong southerly flow and
deep moisture into southern New England resulting in a widespread
and potentially heavy rainfall event along with a brief surge of
warmth.

Probabilities for 1"+ of rain are currently centered more across CT,
RI, and SE MA, and as a result ensemble river forecasts show the
potential for minor flooding beginning Monday along the Pawtuxet,
Pawcatuck, and Wood Rivers in RI and perhaps along the lower reaches
of the mainstem Connecticut River from Hartford through Middle
Haddam.

It's tough to mix down strong winds this time of year with southerly
flow events, but areas that are usually favored are the immediate
South Coast, Cape Cod, and the Islands. Assuming we have a strong
inversion, which is typical in March, we can estimate gusts taking
about 50% of 925 mb winds. GFS shows a peak of 70-75kt Mon morning
which would yield 35-40kt gusts and Gales on the coastal waters.

Behind a strong cold front, we look to be in for another brief surge
of cold with below average temperatures in the 30s Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

00z TAF Update:

Tonight: High confidence.

LIFR-VLIFR fog continues for the Cape and Islands, and should
generally continue while expanding slightly northward to PVD
after 07z. Elsewhere VFR prevails through at least 08z, then a
backdoor cold front beings a NE wind shift, IFR stratus and
drizzle/mist to BOS/BED and perhaps as far south as ORH by
09-12z.

Wednesday: Moderate confidence.

IFR with NE winds, drizzle and mist for BOS-BED-ORH; LIFR
fog/stratus Cape and Islands and generally BKN VFR for BDL. As
backdoor front returns northward as a warm front, expect modest
improvement to MVFR-IFR in most areas, timing approx 16-20z
with winds becoming SE/S.

Wednesday Night: Moderate confidence.

MVFR/IFR ceilings ahead of approaching cold front. Isolated
showers/possible thunder rumbles south of the Mass Pike before
cold front comes in approx 03-07z and moves into central MA/CT
by 12z. SW winds around 10-12 kt with low level wind shear
likely.

KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF.

KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Thursday through Sunday/...

Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Windy with
areas of gusts up to 30 kt. Chance RA, chance SN.

Thursday Night through Friday: VFR. Breezy.

Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Windy with
local gusts up to 30 kt. Chance RA, chance SN.

Saturday: VFR. Windy with local gusts up to 30 kt.

Saturday Night: VFR. Breezy.

Sunday: Breezy. Slight chance RA, slight chance SN.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

High confidence through the weekend.

Main concern through Wed is dense fog during the nighttime and
morning hours, especially on south coastal waters. Also need to be
aware of the backdoor front dropping south Wed morning which will
bring an abrupt wind shift to NE on E MA waters, if not into
Narragansett Bay, with brief 20-25kt gusts possible.

Looking at a fairly active pattern starting Wed night with SCA winds
and seas probable into Friday and then again over weekend. As
mentioned in the discussion above, we're getting more confident in
southerly Gales Monday with possible gusts up to 40kt.

Outlook /Thursday through Sunday/...

Thursday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
local gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of rain.

Thursday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 25 kt. Local rough seas.

Friday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up
to 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

Friday Night: Strong winds with gusts up to 35 kt. Areas of
rough seas. Chance of rain.

Saturday: Strong winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of rough
seas.

Saturday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching
5 ft.

Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.
Slight chance of rain.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...JWD
AVIATION...Loconto/JWD
MARINE...JWD