Tornado Warning 27, NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

895 
WWUS55 KBOU 250157
SVSBOU

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Denver CO
757 PM MDT Wed Jun 24 2026

COC123-250215-
/O.CON.KBOU.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-260625T0215Z/
Weld CO-
757 PM MDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM MDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL WELD COUNTY...

At 757 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 7 miles west of New Raymer, or 26 miles north of Fort
Morgan, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and two inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
  New Raymer and Buckingham.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a well-built building
away from windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a
vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself
from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 4069 10415 4073 10387 4053 10375 4052 10394
      4052 10405
TIME...MOT...LOC 0144Z 306DEG 12KT 4064 10401

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN

$$

63

869 
WWUS55 KBOU 250208
SVSBOU

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Denver CO
808 PM MDT Wed Jun 24 2026

COC123-250218-
/O.EXP.KBOU.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-260625T0215Z/
Weld CO-
808 PM MDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...TORNADO WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 815 PM MDT FOR EAST CENTRAL WELD
COUNTY...

The tornado threat has diminished and the Tornado Warning has been
cancelled. However, large hail and damaging winds remain likely and a
Severe Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect for the area.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM MDT Wednesday for a
portion of northeast Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 4069 10415 4073 10387 4053 10375 4052 10394
      4052 10405
TIME...MOT...LOC 0157Z 307DEG 12KT 4061 10396

$$

63

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
606 PM MDT Wed Jun 24 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Numerous strong to severe thunderstorms expected today for the
  lower elevations, particularly late afternoon through tonight.
  Strongest storms may produce very large hail exceeding 2-3" in
  diameter.

- Additional round of strong to severe thunderstorms possible Thursday.
  Localized flash flood concerns will exist both Wednesday and
  Thursday.

- Critical fire weather conditions this afternoon in the mountains
  given warm, dry and breezy weather and the potential for
  isolated dry thunderstorms. Notably higher fire danger will
  develop this weekend as hotter and windier weather returns.

&&

.DISCUSSION /Through Wednesday/...
Issued at 147 PM MDT Wed Jun 24 2026

A rather conditional severe weather threat still exists across
most of the I-25 corridor and eastern plains this afternoon.

A broad belt of westerly/west-northwesterly flow aloft is evident
via GOES water vapor imagery and recent RAP analysis data.
Meanwhile, a well-defined surface boundary stretching from KAPA
through KDEN and into southeastern Weld County. While this
boundary has produced more of a shear zone than a true convergence
zone, there's been plenty of differential heating along the
boundary. With the DEN ASOS on the "warm" side of the boundary,
we've seen T/Td reach 89/55F, with temperatures in the upper 70s
to low 80s across the western Denver metro.

At this point, it appears likely that we'll see a first attempt at
convective initiation somewhere along the surface boundary in the
next couple of hours, with better probabilities of sustained
convection closer to Fort Morgan/Sterling. A recent ACARS
sounding, modified to the latest DEN observation suggest only
meager capping at 700-600mb remains, with ACARS and RAP
Mesoanalysis showing a fairly broad area of >3000 MLCAPE
stretching along and south of I-76. Combined with impressive deep
layer shear, any thunderstorms that can develop this afternoon
should quickly become strong to severe, with primarily a large
hail threat. Hodographs have slowly become more curved as the
low-level flow has increased, though overall hodographs are still
relatively straight-line and would favor splitting supercells with
the initial round of convection today. Still, there would be at
least a brief tornado threat, especially closer to any boundary
where sfc vorticity and effective SRH would be maximized.

A second round of thunderstorms is expected to develop in Wyoming
and move into our forecast area sometime between about 6-10 PM.
This should primarily be north and east of the metro (where SPC's
enhanced risk is). I would expect this to be the more significant
of the two waves of convection given a weakening cap and rather
impressive skew-t/hodograph combinations advertised by the WoFS.
While again this threat appears to be mainly north/east of the
I-25 corridor, we can't completely rule out strong to severe
storms this far west. Any sort of additional push of moist outflow
may be enough to break the remaining cap here, which has been
shown on and off by various high resolution models. We'll see if
any more meaningful trends emerge this afternoon but the threat in
the Denver metro is highly conditional.

A more organized round of sub-severe showers and thunderstorms is
likely overnight tonight as a shortwave moves across the region.
There could still be a strong storm or two left depending on how
much instability lingers overnight, but the severe threat should
diminish quickly after midnight. A combination of some showers,
stratus, fog/mist, and haze from wildfire smoke will likely
develop overnight and linger into Thursday morning.

The shortwave should move across the area through Thursday, with a
cooler/more stable airmass behind it. There should still be widely
scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon, though any
severe potential will be determined by how quickly things can
destabilize following the morning stratus/fog.

Drier southwesterly flow aloft should develop by Friday, leading
to less convection across the region. The warming/drying trend is
likely to continue into the weekend as a strong upper trough
advances into the Pacific Northwest region during the weekend.
Strengthening mid/upper level flow is expected to bring gusty
winds to most of the forecast area, with the strongest winds over
the higher elevations. The combination of above normal
temperatures, a dry airmass, and gusty winds will likely lead to
critical fire weather conditions across a large portion of the
forecast area... and Fire Weather Watches may be necessary soon.

Little change is expected in the longer term forecast period as
dry southwesterly flow aloft continues.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday/...
Issued at 552 PM MDT Wed Jun 24 2026

The DCVZ has been setup near KDEN for the entire afternoon and
has now sloshed back to the east and northeast of KDEN bringing
northwest winds for the time being. Some northeast winds could
start to make it into KDEN in the next hour or so given the
cyclone's movement.

Short-term models remain in pretty good agreement that
precipitation will likely occur at least near all three sites this
evening. The latest WoFS runs and CAMs show rapid thunderstorm
development between now and 2z just to the north of KDEN and
moving to the south. Thus, we have now added a tempo group between
1z and 4z at KDEN and KAPA (with slightly later timing) to show
the increasing confidence of thunderstorms during this time
period. Thunderstorms could linger and/or redevelop through at
least 8z. Gusty outflow winds of at least 30 kts will continue to
remain possible with any storms near KDEN and KAPA especially.

Low ceilings/fog/haze/light rain are likely to develop overnight
and could last well into tomorrow morning. Ceilings could drop to
as low as about 005 generally after 10z. By tomorrow afternoon,
showers and thunderstorms should return to the area, but questions
remain on how unstable the atmosphere will be given the low
clouds likely keeping temperatures at bay at least in the morning.
Have added in a prob30 for -tsra the early afternoon for now at
all three sites.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 6 PM MDT this evening for COZ211>214-217-
218.

&&

DISCUSSION...Hiris
AVIATION...MV

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Denver CO
622 PM MDT Wed Jun 24 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0616 PM     Hail             3 S Elba                39.90N 103.22W
06/24/2026  E1.50 Inch       Washington         CO   Storm Chaser

&&

AA

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Denver CO
628 PM MDT Wed Jun 24 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     Tornado          2 NNW Fleming           40.70N 102.86W
06/24/2026                   Logan              CO   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Tornado confirmed by the fire department.

&&

AA

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Denver CO
632 PM MDT Wed Jun 24 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 PM     Hail             3 W Elba                39.94N 103.28W
06/24/2026  M1.00 Inch       Washington         CO   Public

            Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.) Time
            estimated from radar.

&&

AA

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Denver CO
707 PM MDT Wed Jun 24 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0654 PM     Hail             6 SSW Haxtun            40.57N 102.68W
06/24/2026  M2.00 Inch       Logan              CO   Trained Spotter

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Denver CO
713 PM MDT Wed Jun 24 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0704 PM     Hail             2 W Highland Center     40.53N 102.63W
06/24/2026  M1.50 Inch       Phillips           CO   Trained Spotter

&&

MV

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Denver CO
736 PM MDT Wed Jun 24 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0616 PM     Hail             1 SW Proctor            40.79N 102.95W
06/24/2026  E2.50 Inch       Logan              CO   Public

            Time and location estimated from radar.

&&

AA