Red Flag Warning 10, NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

380 
WWUS85 KBOU 160014
RFWBOU

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
514 PM MST Sun Feb 15 2026

...PROLONGED PERIOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH AT
LEAST TUESDAY...

...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS REMAIN POSSIBLE 
TUESDAY...

.Recent dry conditions combining with above normal temperatures
and periods of gusty winds will bring potentially critical fire
weather conditions again on Monday. Stronger, more widespread 
westerly winds are expected to develop Tuesday, possibly producing
extremely critical fire weather conditions with wind gusts as 
high as 65 mph across the plains.

COZ246-249-160815-
/O.EXP.KBOU.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-260216T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.W.0010.260216T1800Z-260217T0100Z/
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.A.0009.260217T1700Z-260218T0300Z/
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-Washington County-
514 PM MST Sun Feb 15 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST
MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR NORTHEASTERN ELBERT,
NORTHERN LINCOLN, AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES...
 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING 
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR 
NORTHEASTERN ELBERT, NORTHERN LINCOLN, AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES... 

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE 
HUMIDITY FOR NORTHEASTERN ELBERT, NORTHERN LINCOLN, AND 
WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 246 and 249.

* TIMING...For the Red Flag Warning, from 11 AM to 6 PM MST 
  Monday. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Tuesday morning 
  through Tuesday evening.

* WINDS...Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph on
  Monday. West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph on 
  Tuesday.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 10 percent.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be favorable for rapid fire spread. 
  Avoid outdoor burning and any activity that may produce a 
  spark and start a wildfire.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ250-251-160815-
/O.EXP.KBOU.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-260216T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.A.0009.260217T1700Z-260218T0300Z/
Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
514 PM MST Sun Feb 15 2026

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
SEDGWICK AND PHILLIPS COUNTIES... 

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE 
HUMIDITY FOR SEDGWICK AND PHILLIPS COUNTIES...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 250 and 251.

* TIMING...From Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 11 percent.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be favorable for rapid fire spread. 
  Avoid outdoor burning and any activity that may produce a 
  spark and start a wildfire.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ216-241-245-247-160815-
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.W.0010.260216T1800Z-260217T0100Z/
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.A.0009.260217T1700Z-260218T0300Z/
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
514 PM MST Sun Feb 15 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST
MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SOUTHERN
FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS, PALMER DIVIDE, AND ADJACENT PLAINS TO THE
EAST...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING 
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS, PALMER DIVIDE, AND ADJACENT 
PLAINS TO THE EAST...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 216, 241, 245 and 247.

* TIMING...For the Red Flag Warning, from 11 AM to 6 PM MST 
  Monday. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Tuesday morning 
  through Tuesday evening.

* WINDS...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph on
  Monday, with a few gusts up to 50 mph possible across the far
  southern Foothills. West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph on
  Tuesday.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 10 percent.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be favorable for rapid fire spread. 
  Avoid outdoor burning and any activity that may produce a 
  spark and start a wildfire.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ240-244-160815-
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.A.0008.260216T1800Z-260217T0100Z/
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.A.0009.260217T1700Z-260218T0300Z/
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-Morgan County-
514 PM MST Sun Feb 15 2026

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
THE DENVER METRO AND MORGAN COUNTY... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING 
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
DENVER METRO AND MORGAN COUNTY...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 240 and 244.

* TIMING...For the first Fire Weather Watch, from Monday morning 
  through Monday afternoon. For the second Fire Weather Watch, 
  from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening.

* WINDS...Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph on
  Monday. West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph on 
  Tuesday.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 11 percent.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be favorable for rapid fire spread. 
  Avoid outdoor burning and any activity that may produce a 
  spark and start a wildfire.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ215-238-239-242-243-248-160815-
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.A.0009.260217T1700Z-260218T0300Z/
Larimer and Boulder Counties Between 6000 and 9000 Feet-
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-Northeast Weld County-Central and South Weld County-
Logan County-
514 PM MST Sun Feb 15 2026

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
NORTHERN FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS, NORTHERN I-25 CORRIDOR, AND MUCH
OF THE NORTHEASTERN PLAINS...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 215, 238, 239, 242, 243 and 
  248.

* TIMING...From Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening.

* WINDS...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 11 percent.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be favorable for rapid fire spread. 
  Avoid outdoor burning and any activity that may produce a 
  spark and start a wildfire.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

631 
WWUS85 KBOU 160610
RFWBOU

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1110 PM MST Sun Feb 15 2026

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST TUESDAY...

...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS REMAIN POSSIBLE
TUESDAY...

.Recent dry conditions combining with above normal temperatures
and periods of gusty winds will bring potentially critical fire
weather conditions again on Monday. Stronger, more widespread
westerly winds are expected to develop Tuesday, possibly
producing extremely critical fire weather conditions with wind
gusts as high as 65 mph across the plains.

COZ240-244-161815-
/O.CAN.KBOU.FW.A.0008.260216T1800Z-260217T0100Z/
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.A.0009.260217T1700Z-260218T0300Z/
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-Morgan County-
1110 PM MST Sun Feb 15 2026

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
DENVER METRO AND MORGAN COUNTY... 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE 
HUMIDITY FOR THE DENVER METRO AND MORGAN COUNTY...

The National Weather Service in Denver has cancelled the Fire
Weather Watch.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 240 and 244.

* TIMING...From Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening.

* WINDS...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 12 percent.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be favorable for rapid fire spread. 
  Avoid outdoor burning and any activity that may produce a 
  spark and start a wildfire.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ216-241-245>247-249-161815-
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.W.0010.260216T1800Z-260217T0100Z/
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.A.0009.260217T1700Z-260218T0300Z/
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
Washington County-
1110 PM MST Sun Feb 15 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST
MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SOUTHERN FRONT
RANGE FOOTHILLS, PALMER DIVIDE, AND EASTERN PLAINS SOUTH OF I-76...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING 
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS, PALMER DIVIDE, AND EASTERN PLAINS
SOUTH OF I-76...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 216, 241, 245, 246, 247 and 
  249.

* TIMING...For the Red Flag Warning, from 11 AM to 6 PM MST 
  Monday. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Tuesday morning 
  through Tuesday evening.

* WINDS...South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph on
  Monday. West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph on
  Tuesday.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 11 percent.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be favorable for rapid fire spread. 
  Avoid outdoor burning and any activity that may produce a 
  spark and start a wildfire.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ215-238-239-242-243-248-250-251-161815-
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.A.0009.260217T1700Z-260218T0300Z/
Larimer and Boulder Counties Between 6000 and 9000 Feet-
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-Northeast Weld County-Central and South Weld County-
Logan County-Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
1110 PM MST Sun Feb 15 2026

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
NORTHERN FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS, MUCH OF THE I-25 CORRIDOR, AND
NORTHEAST PLAINS...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 215, 238, 239, 242, 243, 
  248, 250 and 251.

* TIMING...From Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening.

* WINDS...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 11 percent.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be favorable for rapid fire spread. 
  Avoid outdoor burning and any activity that may produce a 
  spark and start a wildfire.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

253 
WWUS85 KBOU 161913
RFWBOU

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1213 PM MST Mon Feb 16 2026

...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS REMAIN POSSIBLE
TUESDAY...

COZ216-170100-
/O.CAN.KBOU.FW.A.0009.260217T1700Z-260218T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-260217T0100Z/
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
1213 PM MST Mon Feb 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE 
FOOTHILLS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR THE SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS...

The National Weather Service in Denver has cancelled the Fire
Weather Watch.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 216.

* TIMING...Until 6 PM MST this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 10 percent.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be favorable for rapid fire spread. 
  Avoid outdoor burning and any activity that may produce a 
  spark and start a wildfire.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ215-162015-
/O.CAN.KBOU.FW.A.0009.260217T1700Z-260218T0300Z/
Larimer and Boulder Counties Between 6000 and 9000 Feet-
1213 PM MST Mon Feb 16 2026

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR THE NORTHERN FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS...

The National Weather Service in Denver has cancelled the Fire
Weather Watch for zone 215.

$$

COZ241-245>247-249-170315-
/O.UPG.KBOU.FW.A.0009.260217T1700Z-260218T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KBOU.FW.W.0011.260217T1700Z-260218T0200Z/
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-260217T0100Z/
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
Washington County-
1213 PM MST Mon Feb 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE PALMER DIVIDE, AND
EASTERN PLAINS SOUTH OF I-76... 

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM MST TUESDAY FOR 
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE PALMER DIVIDE, AND EASTERN
PLAINS SOUTH OF I-76...

The National Weather Service in Denver has issued a Red Flag
Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect
from 10 AM to 7 PM MST Tuesday. The Fire Weather Watch is no
longer in effect.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 241, 245, 246, 247 and 249.

* TIMING...For the first Red Flag Warning, until 6 PM MST this 
  evening. For the second Red Flag Warning, from 10 AM to 7 PM 
  MST Tuesday.

* WINDS...For Monday, South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35
  mph. For Tuesday, West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 
  mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 10 percent.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be favorable for rapid fire spread. 
  Avoid outdoor burning and any activity that may produce a 
  spark and start a wildfire.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ238>240-242>244-248-250-251-170315-
/O.UPG.KBOU.FW.A.0009.260217T1700Z-260218T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KBOU.FW.W.0011.260217T1700Z-260218T0200Z/
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-Northeast Weld County-
Central and South Weld County-Morgan County-Logan County-
Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
1213 PM MST Mon Feb 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM MST TUESDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR MUCH OF THE I-25 CORRIDOR AND
NORTHEAST PLAINS...

The National Weather Service in Denver has issued a Red Flag
Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect
from 10 AM to 7 PM MST Tuesday. The Fire Weather Watch is no
longer in effect.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 238, 239, 240, 242, 243, 
  244, 248, 250 and 251.

* TIMING...From 10 AM to 7 PM MST Tuesday.

* WINDS...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 10 percent.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be favorable for rapid fire spread. 
  Avoid outdoor burning and any activity that may produce a 
  spark and start a wildfire.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

471 
WWUS85 KBOU 170041
RFWBOU

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
541 PM MST Mon Feb 16 2026

...CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LIKELY
TUESDAY...

COZ241-245>247-249-171715-
/O.EXP.KBOU.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-260217T0100Z/
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.W.0011.260217T1700Z-260218T0200Z/
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
Washington County-
541 PM MST Mon Feb 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM MST
TUESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE PALMER DIVIDE
AND EASTERN PLAINS SOUTH OF I-76...

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR WIND
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE PALMER DIVIDE AND EASTERN 
PLAINS SOUTH OF I-76...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 241, 245, 246, 247 and 249.

* TIMING...From 10 AM to 7 PM MST Tuesday.

* WINDS...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 10 percent.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be favorable for rapid fire spread. 
  Avoid outdoor burning and any activity that may produce a 
  spark and start a wildfire.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ216-170145-
/O.EXP.KBOU.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-260217T0100Z/
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
541 PM MST Mon Feb 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR WIND
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS...

Relative humidity has increased over the last couple hours, and
winds are expected to continue to diminish into the early evening
hours. Therefore, the Red Flag Warning will be allowed to expire.

$$

COZ238>240-242>244-248-250-251-171715-
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.W.0011.260217T1700Z-260218T0200Z/
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-Northeast Weld County-
Central and South Weld County-Morgan County-Logan County-
Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
541 PM MST Mon Feb 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM MST
TUESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR MUCH OF THE I-25
CORRIDOR AND NORTHEAST PLAINS...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 238, 239, 240, 242, 243, 
  244, 248, 250 and 251.

* TIMING...From 10 AM to 7 PM MST Tuesday.

* WINDS...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 12 percent.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be favorable for rapid fire spread. 
  Avoid outdoor burning and any activity that may produce a 
  spark and start a wildfire.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1038 AM MST Sun Feb 15 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Critical fire weather conditions today for portions of the
  eastern plains. Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are
  likely again on Monday for much of the eastern plains and
  southern I-25 corridor.

- Very windy with critical to extremely critical fire weather
  conditions possible Tuesday for the lower foothills eastward
  across all of the eastern Colorado plains.

- Additional fire weather concerns for elevated to critical fire
  weather conditions Wednesday and Thursday.

- Snow returns to the mountains early Tuesday. Snow and blowing
  snow will likely lead to travel impacts across most of the
  higher elevations beginning Tuesday. Additional mountain snow
  possible Wednesday and Friday.

&&

.DISCUSSION /Through Saturday/...
Issued at 1143 PM MST Sat Feb 14 2026

Near record high temperatures are forecast for Sunday as a ridge
axis sits over the region. Mid-level (700mb) temperatures are
expected to warm to about +3 to +5C this afternoon, with enough of
a westerly downslope component to the flow aloft to push
temperatures into the mid to upper 60s. With most of the CWA right
on the northern extent of the thermal ridge, the warmer
temperatures will likely end up south of I-76 with temperatures
closer to the low/mid 60s for Fort Collins and Greeley. Some
elevated to critical fire weather conditions appear likely across
the plains, but will be somewhat localized to where gustier
southwesterly winds are able to develop.

We'll gradually start to see more influence from a trough over
the Pacific coast by Monday, as southwesterly flow aloft begins to
develop and strengthen. Once again warm mid-level temperatures
will lead well above normal temperatures, with upper 60s to
perhaps low 70s possible across the plains. The combination of
warm and dry conditions will lead to some fire weather concerns
yet again, but winds look to be considerably weaker across most of
the I-25 corridor during the afternoon hours. We did consider
trimming the areal extent of Monday's fire weather watch, but left
it as is. See the Fire Wx section of the AFD for additional
details on all of our current highlights.

The first shortwave associated with the broader western US trough
ejects into Colorado by Tuesday. While moisture depths aren't
particularly impressive across the mountains, well-aligned west-
southwesterly flow combined with steepening sfc-400mb lapse rates
should lead to a gradual increase in snow showers across the
mountains during the day. Periods of moderate to heavy snow will
be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night, especially with support
(albeit brief) from increasing PVA/QG ascent and our favorable,
left exit quadrant of a 150kt jet streak. Across the plains, fire
weather will be the main concern for Tuesday... though model
trends have slowly started to back away from the higher end
scenarios shown over the last couple of days. While the overall
synoptic trends are subtle, it is at least worth discussing.
First, the timing of the shortwave and the subsequent cold air
advection/bora remains up in the air... with a subsident regime
(which would favor better mixing/gusty winds) potentially holding
off until late in the afternoon or evening. On a similar note,
some guidance is rather bullish developing at least scattered
showers across the foothills/I-25 corridor Tuesday AM, again
likely aided by the favorable jet position at the time. Most of
the 00z deterministic guidance has backed off quite a bit with
maximum wind gusts Tuesday afternoon as a response, and it will be
worth monitoring if that trend continues.

As we get to mid-week and beyond, the forecast pattern remains
relatively consistent over the mountains but considerably less
certain across the plains. At least two additional shortwaves are
expected to race across the CWA on Wednesday/Wednesday night and
again Friday into Friday night, leading to additional rounds of
light to moderate mountain snow. We'll likely need some winter
highlights through most of the week for most of the mountain
zones, but it's still a little early to try to sort out the best
way to handle the multiple periods of snow/blowing snow. Across
the plains, the main question will be where the main surface
baroclinic zone and subsequent lee cyclogenesis sets up. The
general consensus across guidance is that each shortwave will
shove that zone further south - meaning that the surface low may
develop right over our CWA on Wednesday and closer to southeast
Colorado by Friday/Saturday. Gusty winds and elevated/critical
fire weather conditions are likely to the south wherever the low
develops, though again we appear to be trending towards the
cooler/wetter(?) side of this regime as we get through the week.
A couple models are actually pretty close to producing some snow
across the lower elevations towards the end of the week, which
would be a welcome pattern change (at least in this forecaster's
opinion).

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday/...
Issued at 1033 AM MST Sun Feb 15 2026

Today...VFR. We hold onto the southerly winds a tad longer before
a more northwest push occurs closer to 21Z at all the terminals.
There will likely be a period, maybe an hour, where the winds go
light and variable during the transition. Winds then continue to
turn more northeast during the evening pushes over the TRACON
airspace. High confidence.

Tonight/Monday...VFR. Light and variable leading to drainage winds
tonight into mid-Monday morning is expected. Some guidance is
hinting at a possible DCVZ, albeit weak, developing late morning.
We introduce a stronger west of south wind for the afternoon
hours, 19-20Z, based on the DCVZ placement. Medium to high
confidence.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1143 PM MST Sat Feb 14 2026

An extended period of elevated to critical fire weather conditions
remains likely through at least Tuesday. Sunday will feature some
elevated to critical conditions, mainly along a narrow corridor
from roughly Limon to Akron to Julesburg during the afternoon
hours.

Monday's fire weather forecast remains rather difficult. While
confidence in the well above normal temperatures and low humidity
is high, the wind forecast remains challenging during the daytime
hours. As a general rule, southwesterly flow aloft often shelters
most of the urban corridor and some of the adjacent plains
(typically along/north of I-76), while some of the exposed
portions of the southern Foothills can tap into the flow aloft.
Unsurprisingly, our initial look at the overnight CAMs would
support that pattern... with most of the Denver metro and
foothills below ~7000ft remaining sheltered through most of the
day. While we did not make any changes to the existing Fire
Weather Watch, I suspect that we'll eventually need to trim the
extent of that as we get closer to Monday. We would favor the
Palmer Divide, eastern Adams/Arapahoe and most of
Lincoln/Washington counties as the most likely spot for critical
fire weather conditions Monday afternoon.

Tuesday remains the most likely day for widespread critical fire
weather conditions as more widespread wind develops across the
lower elevations. Again, the main questions in this period are (1)
how much moisture spills over into the foothills/I-25 corridor,
and (2) just how strong are the winds going to get during the
afternoon? If the last couple model cycles are to be believed, our
forecast is a bit drier/windier than a multi-model consensus (see
the main discussion section for what's changed), but nonetheless
virtually every model would support fairly widespread critical
conditions across the lower elevations, especially east of I-25
where better overlap of the gusty winds/low RH is forecast.

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions may also be possible
Wednesday or Thursday, though again recent trends would support a
quicker transition to a cooler/unsettled pattern across the
foothills and plains in this period. We'll continue to monitor
forecast trends but at this time no additional fire weather
highlights are planned beyond Tuesday.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening
for COZ215-216-238>251.

Fire Weather Watch from Monday morning through Monday afternoon
for COZ216-240-241-244>247-249.

Red Flag Warning until 5 PM MST this afternoon for COZ246-
249>251.

&&

DISCUSSION...Hiris
AVIATION...Heavener
FIRE WEATHER...Hiris

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
408 AM MST Sun Feb 15 2026

COZ030>051-161115-
Jackson County Below 9000 Feet-
West Jackson and West Grand Counties Above 9000 Feet-
Grand and Summit Counties Below 9000 Feet-
South and East Jackson/Larimer/North and Northeast Grand/
Northwest Boulder Counties Above 9000 Feet-
South and Southeast Grand/West Central and Southwest Boulder/
Gilpin/Clear Creek/Summit/North and West Park Counties Above
9000 Feet-Larimer and Boulder Counties Between 6000 and 9000 Feet-
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
Central and Southeast Park County-
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Northeast Weld County-Central and South Weld County-Morgan County-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
Logan County-Washington County-Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
408 AM MST Sun Feb 15 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for northeast and north central
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Warm and dry conditions will prevail today leading to elevated
fire weather conditions. Over the eastern plains, east of a Limon
to Akron to Julesburg line, southwest winds gusting to around 30
mph will lead to Red Flag conditions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions are expected
for Monday. The stronger winds on Monday are expected to be
over/near the Palmer Divide and eastward across the plains south of
I-70. Widespread critical fire weather conditions are still on track
for Tuesday afternoon due to very windy conditions with wind gusts
of 50 to 60 mph possible. Wednesday could be another critical
fire weather day with the best chance being over the plains along
and south of I-70.

For the mountains, a few rounds of light to moderate snow are
expected. This first being Tuesday and a second one Wednesday. A
break in snow is expected Thursday before another round of snow
moves in for Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.