Special Weather Statement, NWS Birmingham, AL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1239 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1235 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026

- Summer Pattern: Scattered showers and thunderstorms will persist
  through the weekend, with locally heavy rainfall likely under
  high moisture and slow-moving storms.

- Heat: Heat indices will begin to climb by the middle of the new
  workweek under hot temperatures and high humidity. There is
  medium confidence in Heat Advisory criteria being met as early
  as Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026

Scattered afternoon showers and storms will remain in the
forecast through tomorrow, as the air mass over the region almost
remains in a "steady state." By late tomorrow, the ridge to our
east will begin to slightly weaken, sliding to the west under a
strengthening trough over New England. This weakened ridge will
remain along the Gulf Coast through midweek, keeping these
scattered afternoon showers and storms in the forecast.

Unfortunately, confidence is increasing that this ridge will
begin to strengthen closer to Thursday, and continue
strengthening into next weekend. Based on the current trends,
there's medium confidence in reaching Heat Advisory criteria as
early as Wednesday in some locations, with this ridge only
expected to grow stronger. By this time next weekend, afternoon
highs could reach into the mid and upper-90s, with an extended
period of widespread Heat headlines beginning around Thursday.

/44/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026

Scattered storms are currently expanding across the region, with
this activity expected to remain past 10/01z. These storms will
be slow moving, primarily driven by outflow boundaries from other
storms. All terminals will carry PROB30 groups for TSRA during
this time, before slowly clearing back into VFR category past
10/03z.

Note: AMD NOT SKED for AUO due to a weather observation outage.

/44/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Warm and humid conditions will help keep MinRH values generally
above 50% through the week. Isolated to scattered showers and
storms are expected daily. Because of this, elevated fire weather
concerns will remain low over the next seven days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     73  92  73  92 /  20  40  10  60
Anniston    72  90  73  90 /  20  30  10  60
Birmingham  74  91  75  90 /  20  30  10  50
Tuscaloosa  75  93  75  93 /  20  20  10  30
Calera      73  91  74  91 /  20  30  10  40
Auburn      74  88  74  88 /  20  30  10  30
Montgomery  74  93  75  94 /  20  30  10  20
Troy        73  92  73  93 /  20  30  10  20

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

DISCUSSION.../44/
AVIATION.../44/

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
231 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

ALZ025-092000-
Shelby AL-
231 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL SHELBY COUNTY THROUGH
300 PM CDT...

At 231 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Shelby County Airport, or near Calera, moving north at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Hoover, Alabaster, Pelham, Helena, Calera, Chelsea, Montevallo,
Columbiana, Indian Springs Village, Riverchase, American Village, Oak
Mountain State Park, University Of Montevallo, Maylene, Shelby County
Airport, Oak Mountain Amphitheater, Joe Tucker Park, Ballantrae, Camp
Branch, and Saddle Lake Farms.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3333 8653 3307 8666 3309 8677 3309 8688
      3333 8685 3333 8683 3336 8683 3336 8681
      3337 8681
TIME...MOT...LOC 1931Z 191DEG 16KT 3318 8674

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

TC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
305 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

ALZ024-025-092030-
Jefferson AL-Shelby AL-
305 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN SHELBY AND
SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM CDT...

At 305 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Hoover Metropolitan Stadium, or over Helena, moving north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Southern Birmingham, Hoover, Vestavia Hills, Alabaster, Bessemer,
Homewood, Pelham, Mountain Brook, Helena, Hueytown, Irondale,
Fairfield, Pleasant Grove, Midfield, Brighton, Indian Springs
Village, Lipscomb, Birmingham Fairgounds, Five Points South, and Oak
Mountain State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 8669 3317 8695 3348 8709 3352 8666
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 175DEG 13KT 3332 8685

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

TC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
331 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

ALZ024-025-092100-
Jefferson AL-Shelby AL-
331 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL SHELBY AND
SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM CDT...

At 330 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
eastern Birmingham, moving north at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Birmingham, Hoover, Vestavia Hills, Homewood, Pelham, Mountain Brook,
Trussville, Gardendale, Irondale, Leeds, Fairfield, Chelsea,
Fultondale, Center Point, Tarrant, Adamsville, Indian Springs
Village, Graysville, Brookside, and Cardiff.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3332 8665 3333 8684 3365 8698 3365 8655
TIME...MOT...LOC 2030Z 174DEG 22KT 3352 8678

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

TC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
339 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

ALZ011-012-092115-
Marion AL-Lamar AL-
339 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN MARION AND NORTHEASTERN
LAMAR COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM CDT...

At 339 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Beaverton, or 9 miles northeast of Sulligent, moving northeast at 25
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Hamilton, Winfield, Sulligent, Guin, Brilliant, Beaverton, Gu-
Win, Weston, Crews, Twin, Henson Springs, Rankin Fite Airport, Pine
Springs, Marion County Public Lake, and Pikeville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3422 8804 3403 8769 3392 8787 3392 8795
      3387 8795 3381 8804 3390 8820
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 216DEG 22KT 3399 8802

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

TC