Special Weather Statement, NWS Birmingham, AL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
158 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 156 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2026

- Thunderstorms: Daily opportunities for mainly afternoon and
  evening storms will remain in the forecast for now through the
  beginning of next week. A few of these storms will be capable of
  normal summertime hazards such as gusty winds, frequent
  lightning, and heavy downpours.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 156 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2026

An active weather pattern remains in place as we move through the
weekend. Significant uncertainty persists regarding the magnitude
of shortwave forcing progged to move across the region on Friday.
While some models suggest a more robust impulse capable of
organized convection, others maintain a weaker, more diffuse
signal. High-resolution guidance continues to struggle with the
timing and placement of these features, leading to a lower-than-
average confidence forecast for Friday afternoon or Saturday
afternoon.

Regarding temperatures, heat indices remain a concern; however,
they are extremely sensitive to localized cloud cover and
potential outflow boundaries. Should convective debris persist
longer than anticipated, peak indices may struggle to reach
advisory criteria. Conversely, any extended periods of clearing
will likely push values into the 105 range.

The long-awaited frontal passage has trended slower in recent
data. We have expanded the timing of the front to encompass late
Sunday through Tuesday. This slower progression will maintain
higher moisture levels across the southern counties through early
next week before drier, continental air finally overspreads the
entire forecast area by Wednesday morning.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 156 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2026

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to increase in
coverage and intensity through the afternoon and evening hours;
however, confidence remains high enough to include TSRA only at
EET and MGM. Continued to include VCSH at all sites through 02Z.
Tonight, fog development remains possible, dependent on where
convection lingers late into the evening. Any activity over a TAF
site will likely lower visibility to IFR or lower, accompanied by
gusty winds. Isolated convective activity is possible Friday
morning, with coverage increasing after 18z.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Fire weather concerns continue to be low. A warm and moist air
mass will remain in place with diurnally driven thunderstorm
activity expected over the next several days. Winds will
generally remain light during the day, becoming calm overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     72  92  73  90 /  20  50  20  70
Anniston    73  92  73  90 /  20  40  20  60
Birmingham  74  93  75  91 /  20  30  20  50
Tuscaloosa  74  93  75  92 /  20  20  20  40
Calera      73  96  74  94 /  20  20  20  40
Auburn      74  92  74  91 /  20  20  20  30
Montgomery  74  94  75  93 /  20  20  20  20
Troy        73  93  73  93 /  30  20  20  20

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...16

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1231 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

ALZ028-029-037-038-091815-
Tallapoosa AL-Clay AL-Randolph AL-Chambers AL-
1231 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN RANDOLPH...
NORTHEASTERN TALLAPOOSA...NORTHWESTERN CHAMBERS AND SOUTHEASTERN CLAY
COUNTIES THROUGH 115 PM CDT...

At 1230 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Goldville, or 13 miles south of Ashland, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
New Site, Wadley, Goldville, Abanda, Penton, Sparkling Springs,
Malone, Daviston, and Motley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3301 8584 3316 8588 3321 8547 3300 8545
TIME...MOT...LOC 1730Z 264DEG 20KT 3308 8578

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

05

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
103 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

ALZ035-036-091845-
Chilton AL-Coosa AL-
103 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL CHILTON AND
SOUTHWESTERN COOSA COUNTIES THROUGH 145 PM CDT...

At 103 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Clanton, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Clanton, Lyle, Mitchell Lake, Dollar, Higgins Ferry Park, Verbena,
Mitchell Dam, and Cooper.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3276 8665 3287 8665 3292 8633 3275 8630
      3275 8632 3277 8632 3277 8634 3275 8634
      3275 8642
TIME...MOT...LOC 1803Z 267DEG 16KT 3282 8659

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

05

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
124 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

ALZ022-030-031-091930-
Greene AL-Pickens AL-Sumter AL-
124 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN PICKENS...
NORTHWESTERN GREENE AND NORTH CENTRAL SUMTER COUNTIES THROUGH 230 PM
CDT...

At 124 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Cooksville, or 10 miles southwest of Aliceville, moving southeast at
20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Boligee, Memphis, New West Greene, Panola, West Greene, Gainesville
Lake Campground, Warsaw, Pleasant Ridge, New Mount Hebron, Cochrane,
Lewiston, and Clinton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3314 8832 3302 8791 3277 8804 3293 8835
TIME...MOT...LOC 1824Z 295DEG 16KT 3303 8830

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

05

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
208 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

ALZ012-013-022-091945-
Fayette AL-Pickens AL-Lamar AL-
208 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL PICKENS...
SOUTHWESTERN FAYETTE AND SOUTHEASTERN LAMAR COUNTIES THROUGH 245 PM
CDT...

At 208 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms over Millport, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Reform, Millport, Kennedy, Belk, Ashcraft Corner, Cody, North Pickens
Airport, Hightogy, Melborne, and Shaw.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3352 8823 3372 8811 3363 8778 3338 8800
TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 294DEG 18KT 3358 8812

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

89^GSatterwhite