Severe Thunderstorm Warning 96, NWS Birmingham, AL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
956 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 954 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2026

- Heat & Humidity: Hot and humid conditions persist through the
  week, with heat indices peaking between 95 and 100 degrees.

- Active Pattern: The current wet, unsettled pattern will persist
  through the week, resulting in periodic rounds of showers and
  thunderstorms.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Tuesday through next Monday)
Issued at 954 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2026

Showers and thunderstorms have been redeveloping this evening
ahead of an approaching cold front. Most of this activity has
been a bit unorganized as it moves through Central Alabama. The
latest runs of the HRRR continue to hint at these storms becoming
more organized as it approaches our southeastern areas. Any
storms that do develop will primarily pose a damaging wind
threat. This activity will gradually move south of us late
tonight into early Tuesday morning.

The aforementioned cold front will stall along the Northern Gulf
coast on Tuesday, eventually washing out by midweek. Upper level
ridging out to our west will leave us in a northwesterly flow
regime aloft. Several shortwaves look to rotate through this flow
which will help ignite additional showers and storms along and to
the south of the lingering boundary. Most of Central Alabama will
remain dry tomorrow with the greatest rain chances across our
southern tier of counties. We will see an uptick in rain chances
on Wednesday as a stronger H5 shortwave moves through the region.
As we head into the weekend, rain chances begin to lower as a
subtropical ridge takes control. With that said, plentiful
moisture will remain in place allowing for low chances of diurnally
driven convection daily. Otherwise, hot and humid conditions will
persist, with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s and heat indices
generally in the mid 90s to around 100 degrees.

95/Castillo

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 620 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2026

The aviation forecast over the next few hours is heavily
dependent on how the convection to our northwest evolves. For
now, we have continued with mentions of TEMPOs and PROB30s for
TSRA this evening. Latest CAMs continue to hint at additional
convective development as these storms move into Central Alabama.
Overall, confidence is low as the hi-res guidance has had a tough
time with today's activity. Breezy winds this evening will become
light overnight as MVFR ceilings return. VFR returns by midday as
northwest winds begin to increase.

Note: METARs from AUO are available but missing data; therefore,
AMD NOT SKED continues.

95/Castillo

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

High rain chances continue as we will remain in a wet pattern
through the work week. Ample moisture in place will keep MinRH
values above 50% through the entire forecast period. Elevated
fire weather concerns are not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     70  85  64  86 /  90  10  10  10
Anniston    70  84  66  86 /  90  10  10  10
Birmingham  70  85  68  88 /  90  10  10  30
Tuscaloosa  71  86  70  88 /  90  20  10  50
Calera      71  88  68  90 /  90  20  10  40
Auburn      72  87  69  88 /  80  20  10  10
Montgomery  72  87  70  88 /  80  20  10  40
Troy        72  87  70  88 /  70  40  10  40

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

DISCUSSION...95/Castillo
AVIATION...95/Castillo

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
726 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

ALZ036-230100-
Coosa AL-
726 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN COOSA COUNTY
THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

At 726 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Hanover, or near Weogufka, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Goodwater, Kellyton, Stewartville, Hanover, Parkdale, Bradford, and
Hatchet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3296 8629 3309 8631 3311 8624 3310 8601
      3298 8601
TIME...MOT...LOC 0026Z 262DEG 26KT 3302 8624

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

32/JDavis

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
748 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

ALZ030-230115-
Sumter AL-
748 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN SUMTER COUNTY THROUGH
815 PM CDT...

At 747 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Emelle to near Tamola. Movement was east
at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Livingston, York, Epes, Emelle, Bluffport, Boyd, The University Of
West Alabama, Old Mallard Airport, Payneville, and Sumterville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3274 8837 3279 8827 3270 8811 3269 8811
      3266 8805 3264 8806 3263 8808 3262 8808
      3259 8806 3260 8801 3262 8797 3259 8793
      3246 8828 3252 8840
TIME...MOT...LOC 0047Z 279DEG 18KT 3268 8826 3263 8845

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

32/JDavis

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
813 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

ALZ030-031-230200-
Greene AL-Sumter AL-
813 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN GREENE AND SOUTHERN
SUMTER COUNTIES THROUGH 900 PM CDT...

At 813 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Bluffport to near Boyd. Movement was east at 20
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Livingston, York, Epes, Boyd, The University Of West Alabama,
Bluffport, Coatopa, Dug Hill, Tishabee, Belmont, Demopolis Lock And
Dam, Lilita, McDowell, Bellamy, and Birdine.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3259 8839 3270 8810 3259 8774 3257 8776
      3258 8777 3258 8779 3254 8780 3252 8782
      3254 8782 3254 8785 3252 8785 3252 8792
      3246 8796 3243 8804 3241 8804 3255 8839
TIME...MOT...LOC 0113Z 289DEG 19KT 3262 8811 3258 8830

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

32/JDavis

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1056 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

ALZ036-037-230430-
Tallapoosa AL-Coosa AL-
1056 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL TALLAPOOSA AND EAST
CENTRAL COOSA COUNTIES THROUGH 1130 PM CDT...

At 1056 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Highway 9 and Highway 22, or near Alexander City, moving southeast at
35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Alexander City, Dadeville, Camp Hill, Kellyton, Jacksons' Gap,
Eastern Lake Martin, Cottage Grove, Northern Lake Martin, Highway 9
and Highway 22, Southern Lake Martin, Wind Creek State Park, Still
Waters Resort, Western Lake Martin, Fishpond, Susannah Crossing,
Maxwell Gunter Recreation Area, Blue Creek Marina, Ray, Dare Park,
and Hissop.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3264 8573 3272 8589 3274 8588 3275 8588
      3275 8595 3277 8596 3276 8597 3287 8618
      3300 8603 3284 8559
TIME...MOT...LOC 0356Z 294DEG 30KT 3288 8602

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

89^GSatterwhite

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1058 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

ALZ041-230445-
Autauga AL-
1058 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT AUTAUGA COUNTY THROUGH 1145 PM
CDT...

At 1058 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Vida Junction, or 16 miles east of Valley Grande, moving southeast at
35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Prattville, Millbrook, Autaugaville, Booth, Mulberry, Vida Junction,
Autauga County Airport, and Dawson Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3236 8654 3238 8657 3237 8660 3238 8662
      3241 8662 3240 8665 3237 8667 3238 8672
      3240 8672 3239 8676 3264 8687 3263 8642
      3257 8641 3241 8641 3240 8644 3241 8646
      3238 8646 3236 8649
TIME...MOT...LOC 0358Z 299DEG 32KT 3257 8671

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

89^GSatterwhite

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