Severe Thunderstorm Warning 22, NWS Birmingham, AL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
621 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 611 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2026

 - There is a risk of severe thunderstorms affecting Central
   Alabama late this afternoon and evening. Threats include
   damaging wind gusts, large hail and a brief tornado. Brief,
   minor flooding may occur in downpours.

 - There is a risk of severe thunderstorms affecting Central
   Alabama late Wednesday. Threats including damaging wind gusts,
   large hail, and perhaps a few tornadoes. Brief, minor flooding
   may occur in downpours.

 - There is a medium to high chance for low temperatures reaching
   the upper 30s Friday morning when conditions may become
   supportive of patchy frost.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 105 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2026

After the slow burn-off this morning, temperatures are rapidly
warming ahead of a shortwave moving through the MS Valley right
now. The main line of showers and storms will slide across
northern MS and work into northwestern Alabama between 5 to 6 PM
and then slide south and east through the early evening. We are
doing an afternoon balloon launch to see if we can better capture
on the environment ahead of this complex. Models are indicating
that this will be a high cape, but low shear event. More of a
typical MCS event for Central Alabama. Look for the complex to
really increase in forward speed this afternoon and evening. The
primary threats for this will be strong winds and some large hail,
however a brief spin up tornado can not be ruled out, especially
on the leading edge of the line and then storm generated
instability.

As the complex of showers and storms work out of the area Tuesday
morning, a shortwave ridge will slide across the Gulf Coast. Thus
temperatures will increase into the low 80s for a large portion
of Central Alabama. Despite the increase in high pressure there
still could be a few showers/storms in the north and eastern
portions of the area.

For Wednesday, a southern-stream shortwave should merge with
another trough just to its north. By late Wednesday, a large,
sharp trough axis will be on our doorstep, allowing for a large
line of showers and thunderstorms. The models continue to show a
slower trend, with it leaning toward generally a night-time event
for Central Alabama. Shear profiles and weak, but sufficient,
instability will offer a risk for damaging wind gusts and perhaps
a few tornadoes. While this activity will be progressive, high
rainfall rates could cause brief, minor flooding.

A brief dip in temperatures follows Wednesday's storm system. The
coldest period looks to be Friday morning. Guidance has a medium
to high chance for low temperatures slipping into the 30s for
parts of Central Alabama. Forecast winds and relative humidity
suggest patchy frost could be in the cards barring any changes.
Calmer weather conditions are forecast for Saturday and Sunday
with a return to seasonably warm conditions.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 611 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2026

Conditions will deteriorate over the next few hours for
BHM/EET/TCL as a line of strong to severe storms moves through the
region. MVFR to brief IFR ceilings are likely along with gusty
winds with any storm. Heavy rainfall will lead to reduced
visibilities as well. Continued with the PROB30 mention for
AUO/MGM as chances for convection are not as great the further
south we go. Another round of low level stratus and fog are likely
to develop in the wake of this evening's convection. While not
expecting widespread dense fog, there is potential for patches of
dense fog where we see the heaviest rain this evening. VFR returns
by mid day.

95/Castillo

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

There are no low RH concerns over the next few days. It wont be
until after Wednesday's strong front that lower dew points return
and promote lower afternoon MinRHs (Thu-Sat in the 30% range).
Winds will be southerly between 5-10 mph on Tuesday, and
southerly around 10-15 mph on Wednesday (shifting to the northwest
overnight). Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are forecast for
late afternoon through tonight, some of which may be severe with
strong wind gusts and large hail. Tuesday is looking quieter and
seasonably warm. A line of showers and thunderstorms is likely
late Wednesday afternoon to night, some of which may be severe. A
period of rain-free weather is forecast late week into the
weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     59  79  61  82 /  80  30  10  10
Anniston    61  80  62  83 /  80  20  10  10
Birmingham  63  80  65  82 /  80  20  10  20
Tuscaloosa  63  83  64  84 /  60  10  10  20
Calera      63  82  63  84 /  70  10  10  10
Auburn      63  82  63  83 /  70  20  10   0
Montgomery  63  84  64  85 /  40  10  10  10
Troy        63  85  63  85 /  20  10  10   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...95/Castillo

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
636 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

ALZ012-013-100015-
Fayette AL-Lamar AL-
636 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN FAYETTE AND SOUTHERN
LAMAR COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM CDT...

At 635 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Caledonia to near Kennedy to near Bluff.
Movement was southeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Fayette, Millport, Kennedy, Belk, Ashcraft Corner, Stone Wall, Star,
Hightogy, Fayette County Public Lake, and Melborne.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
west central Alabama.

&&

LAT...LON 3375 8825 3365 8795 3376 8795 3361 8761
      3361 8763 3358 8763 3358 8767 3353 8767
      3352 8768 3354 8828
TIME...MOT...LOC 2335Z 306DEG 42KT 3364 8834 3362 8804 3375 8789

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

87/Grantham

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
640 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

ALZ015-024-100030-
Walker AL-Jefferson AL-
640 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL WALKER AND NORTH
CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM CDT...

At 640 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Lynns Park, or near Cordova, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Jasper, Gardendale, Sumiton, Cordova, Dora, Adamsville, Warrior,
Kimberly, Graysville, Morris, Brookside, Sipsey, Cardiff, Rocky
Hollow, Burnwell, Beloit, Lynns Park, Sayre, Barney, and Empire.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
central Alabama.

&&

LAT...LON 3385 8696 3384 8695 3382 8695 3382 8693
      3384 8690 3381 8674 3360 8686 3375 8727
      3389 8721
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 292DEG 30KT 3380 8716

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

87/Grantham

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
657 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

ALZ017-018-020-100115-
Etowah AL-Blount AL-Cherokee AL-
657 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN BLOUNT...ETOWAH AND
CHEROKEE COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM CDT...

At 657 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Section to near Blountsville. Movement was east
at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Gadsden, Rainbow City, Oneonta, Attalla, Piedmont, Hokes Bluff,
Centre, Cedar Bluff, Blountsville, Cleveland, Little River Canyon
National Preserve, Forney, Centre Municipal Airport, Glencoe, Sardis
City, Steele, Leesburg, Altoona, Snead, and Susan Moore.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
central, northeastern and east central Alabama.

&&

LAT...LON 3452 8551 3396 8540 3394 8553 3397 8574
      3393 8574 3396 8584 3391 8593 3394 8617
      3399 8620 3399 8628 3396 8631 3401 8665
      3423 8643 3410 8630 3418 8619 3420 8584
      3424 8584 3426 8577 3437 8563 3453 8552
TIME...MOT...LOC 2357Z 283DEG 31KT 3459 8595 3406 8655

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

87/Grantham

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
715 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Brooksville             34.18N 86.47W
03/09/2026                   Blount             AL   Emergency Mngr

            Reports of gusty winds and a few tree down
            reports in Blount County. Altoona,
            Blountsville, Brooksville.

&&

GMS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
720 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 N New Lexington       33.58N 87.66W
03/09/2026                   Tuscaloosa         AL   Broadcast Media

            An 18-wheeler/semi/big rig was flipped on
            Highway 13 near the Tuscaloosa county line.

&&

GMS