Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Birmingham, AL

266 
WGUS54 KBMX 092317
FFWBMX
ALC073-100045-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260110T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
517 PM CST Fri Jan 9 2026

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southeastern Jefferson County in central Alabama...

* Until 645 PM CST.

* At 517 PM CST, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the 
  warned area. Between 1 and 1.5 inches of rain have fallen. 
  Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in the 
  warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing
           flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Birmingham, Hoover, Vestavia Hills, Bessemer, Homewood, Pelham, 
  Mountain Brook, Trussville, Helena, Hueytown, Irondale, Leeds, 
  Fairfield, Fultondale, Center Point, Pleasant Grove, Tarrant, 
  Midfield, Brighton and Lipscomb.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Fivemile Creek, Rock Creek, Valley Creek, Lick Creek, Mill Creek, 
  Nabors Branch, Shephard Branch, Little Cahaba River, Bob George 
  Branch, Opossum Creek, Black Creek, Camp Branch, Griffin Brook, 
  Little Shades Creek, Abeg Creek, Lost Creek, Dolly Brook, Burnt 
  Bridge Branch, Clear Branch, Blue Creek, Shades Creek, Hurricane 
  Branch, Pinchgut Creek, Watkins Brook, Dry Creek, Tarrant Spring 
  Branch, Coal Branch, Stinking Creek, Little Creek, Hogpen Branch, 
  Patton Creek, Village Creek, Cahaba River, Halls Creek and Barton 
  Branch.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3332 8710 3344 8706 3357 8688 3362 8672
      3360 8660 3351 8658 3347 8663 3347 8667
      3345 8667 3345 8669 3342 8672 3342 8675
      3337 8678 3336 8683 3333 8683 3333 8688
      3330 8693 3328 8693 3325 8698 3326 8701

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

86/Martin

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1200 PM CST Fri Jan 9 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1130 AM CST FRI JAN 9 2026

 - There is a Marginal to Slight Risk (levels 1/2 out of 5) of
   severe thunderstorms across Central Alabama today and
   Saturday.

 - There is a risk of flash flooding with this upcoming system,
   with areas of 2-3 inches of rainfall is expected. 5+ inches
   will be possible in areas that see the heaviest convective
   banding. A Flood Watch is in effect for much of the area
   through 6PM Saturday.

 - Temperatures will quickly fall behind the front, returning to
   below average to start the new workweek.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1130 AM CST FRI JAN 9 2026

While I wish I could paint a better picture for you regarding how
the day will unfold, too many question marks remain. The existing
slight risk was trimmed back towards the south, undoubtedly due to
the limited instability. That still appears to be the major failing
point with the severe weather threat today, as limited sunlight and
limited moisture return from the Gulf should keep those values
suppressed. The upper-level support with this system remains quite
impressive, with low-level wind profiles continuing to improve as
the day goes on. Damaging winds and isolated tornadoes remain the
main severe threats, with the threat for flooding being a whole
different threat of its own.

The same can be said for the new slight risk tomorrow. Convection
will be ongoing, with the main failing point remaining a potential
lack of instability. There is a narrow window in the morning where
things could become more organized, but a messy scenario and storm
modes remain.

Widespread rainfall remains in the forecast, with most locations
still expected to see between 2-4 inches of rain through Saturday.
The question remains where the heaviest convective training sets up
through the evening hours. High-res guidance has been very
consistent in establishing this training, but location will
ultimately depend on where the boundary settles. Here, 5-7 inches of
rainfall won't be out of the question given heavy rainfall rates.

The cold front will quickly move through the region Saturday, with
temperatures quickly falling behind it. Below freezing temperatures
will return to the forecast by Sunday night, with at least a few
days of below average temperatures expected into the middle of the
workweek. Temperatures will slightly begin to rebound, before
another system works through the region some time on Thursday. This
will cool things off once more, allowing for below average
temperatures to remain for the rest of this forecast period.

/44/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1130 AM CST FRI JAN 9 2026

Widespread thunderstorms are ongoing across the region, with all
terminals carrying TSRA and reduced VIS. Low clouds are expected
most of the day as well, with widespread IFR/MVFR conditions
expected. Quick drops into LIFR VIS or CIGS will be possible with
the heaviest convection as well. Expected these conditions to
prevail for much of the next 24 hours.

/44/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Widespread rainfall is expected through Saturday, which should aid
in reducing drought conditions across the region. Given the upcoming
widespread rainfall, fire weather concerns will remain little to
none for much of the next seven days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     67  58  68  35 /  90  90  90  10
Anniston    70  59  70  36 /  90  90  90  10
Birmingham  68  60  67  38 /  90  90  90  10
Tuscaloosa  71  59  69  38 /  90 100  90   0
Calera      72  61  71  37 /  90 100  90  10
Auburn      74  64  72  42 /  50  70  80  30
Montgomery  77  65  74  41 /  60  80  90  20
Troy        77  64  76  43 /  30  50  80  30

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for the following
counties: Autauga-Bibb-Blount-Calhoun-Chambers-Cherokee-Chilton-
Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas-Elmore-Etowah-Fayette-Greene-Hale-
Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes-Macon-Marengo-Marion-Montgomery-
Perry-Pickens-Randolph-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-
Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa-Walker-Winston.

&&

DISCUSSION.../44/
AVIATION.../44/