Alert archive / North Dakota / Red Flag Warnings in 2026
Red Flag Warning 9, NWS Bismarck, ND
NWS Bismarck, ND issued this red flag warning at May 12, 2026, 12:28 PM MDT for 21 counties in North Dakota. It took effect at May 13, 2026, 10:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 11 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 12, 2026, 12:28 PM MDT (18:28 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 13, 2026, 10:00 AM MDT
- Expired
- May 13, 2026, 9:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 11 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Bismarck, ND
All 21 counties
Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burke County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Renville County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Ward County, ND, Williams County, ND
The radar
The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 141 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1631 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 76 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -72 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -8 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
811 WWUS83 KBIS 121828 RFWBIS URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Bismarck ND 128 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA INCLUDING THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY. RED FLAG WARNING TOMORROW FOR WESTERN AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... .A Red Flag Warning remains in effect today for much of central North Dakota, including the James River Valley. Critical fire weather conditions are expected today in central North Dakota and the James River Valley due to northwest winds of 20 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph, and relative humidity values as low as 20 percent. A new Red Flag Warning has been issued for Wednesday for western and portions of south central North Dakota. Critical fire weather conditions will return Wednesday due to southeasterly winds around 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Minimum relative humidity is forecast to drop down as low as 15 percent. Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control. NDZ001-002-009-010-017-018-031>033-040>045-130630- /O.NEW.KBIS.FW.W.0009.260513T1600Z-260514T0300Z/ Divide-Burke-Williams-Mountrail-McKenzie-Dunn-Golden Valley- Billings-Stark-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux- 128 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026 /1228 PM MDT Tue May 12 2026/ ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MDT / 11 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING TO 9 PM MDT / 10PM CDT WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR WESTERN AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... The National Weather Service in Bismarck has issued a Red Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect from 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ to 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ Wednesday. * WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 15 percent. * AFFECTED AREA...Western and portions of south central North Dakota. * IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control or suppress. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ NDZ003>005-011>013-021>023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-130200- /O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260513T0200Z/ Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Ward-McHenry-Pierce-McLean-Sheridan- Wells-Foster-Burleigh-Kidder-Stutsman-Emmons-Logan-La Moure- McIntosh-Dickey- 128 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY... * WINDS...Northwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 21 percent. * AFFECTED AREA...Central North Dakota, including the James River Valley. * IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control or suppress. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are expected. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
6 follow-up statements
034 WWUS83 KBIS 130152 RFWBIS URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Bismarck ND 852 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING WEDNESDAY FOR WESTERN AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... .A Red Flag Warning has been issued for Wednesday for western and portions of south central North Dakota. Critical fire weather conditions will return Wednesday due to southeasterly winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Minimum relative humidity is forecast to drop down as low as 15 percent. Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control. NDZ003>005-011>013-021>023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-130300- /O.EXP.KBIS.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260513T0200Z/ Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Ward-McHenry-Pierce-McLean-Sheridan- Wells-Foster-Burleigh-Kidder-Stutsman-Emmons-Logan-La Moure- McIntosh-Dickey- 852 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY... Winds are decreasing and relative humidity values are increasing. $$ NDZ001-002-009-010-017-018-031>033-040>045-131400- /O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0009.260513T1600Z-260514T0300Z/ Divide-Burke-Williams-Mountrail-McKenzie-Dunn-Golden Valley- Billings-Stark-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux- 852 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026 /752 PM MDT Tue May 12 2026/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR WESTERN AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... * WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 15 percent. * AFFECTED AREA...Western and portions of south central North Dakota. * IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control or suppress. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are expected. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CJS
715 WWUS83 KBIS 130628 RFWBIS URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Bismarck ND 128 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FOR WESTERN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA, AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... .A Red Flag Warning has been issued today for western and much of central North Dakota. Critical fire weather conditions will return today due to southeasterly winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Minimum relative humidity is forecast to drop down as low as 15 percent. Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control. Stronger winds and continued low relative humidity are then expected for Thursday and Friday across all of western through central North Dakota, including the James River Valley. Therefore, a Fire Weather Watch has been issued Thursday through Friday as well. NDZ003-011-019>021-034-131830- /O.NEW.KBIS.FW.A.0005.260514T1500Z-260516T0300Z/ /O.EXA.KBIS.FW.W.0009.260513T1600Z-260514T0300Z/ Renville-Ward-Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Morton- 128 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026 /1228 AM MDT Wed May 13 2026/ ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ THIS MORNING TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... The National Weather Service in Bismarck has issued a Red Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect from 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ this morning to 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ this evening. A Fire Weather Watch has also been issued. This Fire Weather Watch for wind and low relative humidity is in effect from Thursday morning through Friday evening. * WINDS...Southeast 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph today. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 15 percent. * AFFECTED AREA...Renville, Ward, Mercer, Oliver, McLean, and Morton counties. * IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control or suppress. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ NDZ001-002-009-010-017-018-031>033-040>045-131830- /O.NEW.KBIS.FW.A.0005.260514T1500Z-260516T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0009.260513T1600Z-260514T0300Z/ Divide-Burke-Williams-Mountrail-McKenzie-Dunn-Golden Valley- Billings-Stark-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux- 128 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026 /1228 AM MDT Wed May 13 2026/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ THIS MORNING TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR WESTERN AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR WESTERN AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... The National Weather Service in Bismarck has issued a Fire Weather Watch for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect from Thursday morning through Friday evening. * WINDS...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph today. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 15 percent. * AFFECTED AREA...Western and portions of south central North Dakota. * IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control or suppress. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-131830- /O.NEW.KBIS.FW.A.0005.260514T1500Z-260516T0300Z/ Bottineau-Rolette-McHenry-Pierce-Sheridan-Wells-Foster-Burleigh- Kidder-Stutsman-Emmons-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey- 128 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA, INCLUDING THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY... The National Weather Service in Bismarck has issued a Fire Weather Watch for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect from Thursday morning through Friday evening. * WINDS...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 15 percent. * AFFECTED AREA...Much of central North Dakota, including the James River Valley. * IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control or suppress. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ Telken
078 WWUS83 KBIS 131033 RFWBIS URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Bismarck ND 533 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FOR WESTERN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA, AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... .A Red Flag Warning has been issued today for western and much of central North Dakota. Critical fire weather conditions will return today due to southeasterly winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Minimum relative humidity is forecast to drop down as low as 15 percent. Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control. Stronger winds and continued low relative humidity are then expected for Thursday and Friday across all of western through central North Dakota, including the James River Valley. Therefore, a Fire Weather Watch has been issued Thursday through Friday as well. NDZ001>003-009>011-017>021-031>034-040>045-132245- /O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0009.260513T1600Z-260514T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBIS.FW.A.0005.260514T1500Z-260516T0300Z/ Divide-Burke-Renville-Williams-Mountrail-Ward-McKenzie-Dunn- Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Golden Valley-Billings-Stark-Morton-Slope- Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux- 533 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026 /433 AM MDT Wed May 13 2026/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ THIS MORNING TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR WESTERN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR WESTERN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... * WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph today. West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph Thursday and Friday. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 15 percent. * AFFECTED AREA...Western and much of central North Dakota. * IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control or suppress. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-132245- /O.CON.KBIS.FW.A.0005.260514T1500Z-260516T0300Z/ Bottineau-Rolette-McHenry-Pierce-Sheridan-Wells-Foster-Burleigh- Kidder-Stutsman-Emmons-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey- 533 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA, INCLUDING THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY... * WINDS...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 15 percent. * AFFECTED AREA...Much of central North Dakota, including the James River Valley. * IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control or suppress. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ Telken
244 WWUS83 KBIS 131623 RFWBIS URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Bismarck ND 1123 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FOR WESTERN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA, AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... .A Red Flag Warning has been issued today for western and much of central North Dakota. Critical fire weather conditions will return today due to southeasterly winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Minimum relative humidity is forecast to drop down as low as 15 percent. Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control. Stronger winds and continued low relative humidity are then expected for Thursday and Friday across all of western through central North Dakota, including the James River Valley. Therefore, a Fire Weather Watch has been issued Thursday through Friday as well. NDZ001>003-009>011-017>021-031>034-040>045-140430- /O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-260514T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBIS.FW.A.0005.260514T1500Z-260516T0300Z/ Divide-Burke-Renville-Williams-Mountrail-Ward-McKenzie-Dunn- Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Golden Valley-Billings-Stark-Morton-Slope- Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux- 1123 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026 /1023 AM MDT Wed May 13 2026/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR WESTERN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR WESTERN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... * WINDS...Southwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 15 percent. * AFFECTED AREA...Western and much of central North Dakota. * IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control or suppress. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-140430- /O.CON.KBIS.FW.A.0005.260514T1500Z-260516T0300Z/ Bottineau-Rolette-McHenry-Pierce-Sheridan-Wells-Foster-Burleigh- Kidder-Stutsman-Emmons-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey- 1123 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA, INCLUDING THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY... * WINDS...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent. * AFFECTED AREA...Much of central North Dakota, including the James River Valley. * IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control or suppress. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$
643 WWUS83 KBIS 131902 RFWBIS URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Bismarck ND 202 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FOR WESTERN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA, AND RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... .A Red Flag Warning has been issued today for western and much of central North Dakota. Critical fire weather conditions will return today due to southeasterly winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Minimum relative humidity is forecast to drop down as low as 15 percent. Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control. Stronger winds and continued low relative humidity are then expected for Thursday and Friday across all of western through central North Dakota, including the James River Valley. Therefore, a Fire Weather Watch has been issued Thursday through Friday as well. NDZ001>003-009>011-017>021-031>034-040>045-140715- /O.NEW.KBIS.FW.W.0010.260514T1500Z-260516T0200Z/ /O.EXT.KBIS.FW.A.0005.260516T0200Z-260516T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-260514T0300Z/ Divide-Burke-Renville-Williams-Mountrail-Ward-McKenzie-Dunn- Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Golden Valley-Billings-Stark-Morton-Slope- Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux- 202 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026 /102 PM MDT Wed May 13 2026/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR WESTERN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ THURSDAY TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ FRIDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... The National Weather Service in Bismarck has issued a Red Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect from 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ Thursday to 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ Friday. * WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph today. West 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph Thursday and Friday. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 14 percent. * AFFECTED AREA...Western and much of central North Dakota. * IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control or suppress. * AFFECTED AREA...All of western and central North Dakota. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-140715- /O.NEW.KBIS.FW.W.0010.260514T1500Z-260516T0200Z/ /O.EXT.KBIS.FW.A.0005.260516T0200Z-260516T0300Z/ Bottineau-Rolette-McHenry-Pierce-Sheridan-Wells-Foster-Burleigh- Kidder-Stutsman-Emmons-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey- 202 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 9 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... The National Weather Service in Bismarck has issued a Red Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect from 10 AM Thursday to 9 PM CDT Friday. * WINDS...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 18 percent. * AFFECTED AREA...Much of central North Dakota, including the James River Valley. * IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control or suppress. * AFFECTED AREA...All of western and central North Dakota. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
730 WWUS83 KBIS 140304 RFWBIS URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Bismarck ND 1004 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... .Critical fire weather conditions are expected on Thursday and Friday over western and central North Dakota including the James River Valley. Westerly winds of 35 to 45 mph with gusts to 65 mph are expected over northwest North Dakota, with westerly winds of 30 to 40 mph with gusts to 55 mph over remaining areas. Relative humidity values will drop as low as 15 percent. Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control. NDZ001>003-009>011-017>021-031>034-040>045-141515- /O.CAN.KBIS.FW.A.0005.260516T0200Z-260516T0300Z/ /O.EXP.KBIS.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-260514T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0010.260514T1500Z-260516T0200Z/ Divide-Burke-Renville-Williams-Mountrail-Ward-McKenzie-Dunn- Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Golden Valley-Billings-Stark-Morton-Slope- Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux- 1004 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026 /904 PM MDT Wed May 13 2026/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ THURSDAY TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ FRIDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR WESTERN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... * WINDS.. West 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 15 percent. * AFFECTED AREA...Western and much of central North Dakota. * IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control or suppress. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-141515- /O.CAN.KBIS.FW.A.0005.260516T0200Z-260516T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0010.260514T1500Z-260516T0200Z/ Bottineau-Rolette-McHenry-Pierce-Sheridan-Wells-Foster-Burleigh- Kidder-Stutsman-Emmons-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey- 1004 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO 9 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA INCLUDING THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY... * WINDS...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 15 percent. * AFFECTED AREA...Much of central North Dakota, including the James River Valley. * IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become difficult to control or suppress. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 12, 11:23 AM MDT, 1 hour 5 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Critical fire weather conditions expected again today across central North Dakota, including the James River Valley.
- Strong winds expected across central and eastern North Dakota this morning through the afternoon.
- Windy conditions and low humidity values through the rest of the upcoming week may lead to daily critical fire weather conditions.
Area forecast discussion, May 12, 11:23 AM MDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Bismarck ND 1223 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Critical fire weather conditions expected again today across central North Dakota, including the James River Valley. - Strong winds expected across central and eastern North Dakota this morning through the afternoon. - Windy conditions and low humidity values through the rest of the upcoming week may lead to daily critical fire weather conditions. && .UPDATE... Issued at 1215 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026 Satellite imagery shows scattered cumulus that continues to form across the northern and western half of the state. Windy conditions continue across the eastern half of the state and portions of central North Dakota. Temperatures continue to warm into the 60s across the state. No updates are needed at this time. UPDATE Issued at 956 AM CDT Tue May 12 2026 Winds continue to pick across the central half of the state and the eastern half of the state. Clear skies and warming temperatures will allow stronger winds to mix down to the surface this afternoon. No major updates are needed at this time as the forecast remains on track. UPDATE Issued at 629 AM CDT Tue May 12 2026 The forecast remains on track. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 456 AM CDT Tue May 12 2026 Windy and mostly dry conditions remain the story through the remainder of the week. For today, surface low pressure currently centered over Minnesota will gradually slide eastward into the Great Lakes Region. Simultaneously, surface high pressure currently over Montana will gradually nudge into the Dakotas. This will result in a tighter pressure gradient over the eastern half of the state today that should gradually loosen from west to east. However, a trailing strong LLJ remains over much of the state. These winds should mix down to the surface fairly easily this morning resulting in very windy conditions this morning and afternoon, especially for locations east of Hwy 83. Depending on how quickly the gradient loosens and strong lower level winds move off to the east will impact just how windy and for how persistent winds will be today. Either way, winds will rapidly diminish and become light and variable this evening. All in all, the ongoing Wind Advisory looks good at this time. Current NBM lows for tonight mostly range from 40 to 45 degrees. However, with a good radiational cooling set-up, wouldn't be surprised if temperatures don't wind up cooler than forecast, especially in our traditionally colder spots. Depending on how cold things get, frost development isn't entirely out of the question. Come Wednesday, high pressure over the state will shift eastward as the next surface low passes from west to east across southern Canada. This will tighten the pressure gradient in western ND on Wednesday, which is favored to produce windy conditions mainly west of Highway 83 during the day that will then expand eastward through the overnight hours. Very windy conditions are then favored Thursday, especially in the northwest as an enhanced EFI signal is starting to appear. An axis of increased dewpoints looks to accompany the associated surface trough as it moves through Wednesday night/Thursday. This, along with a mid- level shortwave could produce isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms, although widespread wetting rains look unlikely. Even windier conditions are then possible Friday, especially north of I94 where a further enhanced EFI signal shows higher confidence in a stronger wind event. That said, current run shows a shift of tails between 0 and 1 for most of the enhanced signal. This doesn't particularly favor an anomalous event, but doesn't rule one out either. Beyond Friday, winds remain breezy to windy, though more widespread precipitation chances return. Especially Saturday night where 45 to 55 percent precipitation chances are present across the entire state. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 1215 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026 VFR conditions will continue across the region for the next 24 hours. A layer of scattered to few cumulus is forming across much of the central and western half of the state. Winds will continue out of the northwest with KMOT and KJMS having the windiest conditions this afternoon. Surface high pressure will move into the region tonight resulting in lighter winds and a wind shift out of the south by tomorrow morning. Winds will pick across the western half of the state by tomorrow afternoon. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 456 AM CDT Tue May 12 2026 Winds are expected to ramp up again this morning, especially for the eastern half of the state. As surface low pressure and trailing low-level jet moves off to the east, winds should gradually diminish from west to east this afternoon. However, minimum relative humidity values are still expected to range from 15 to 25 percent. It seems like winds should diminish quick enough in western North Dakota to prevent critical fire weather conditions from developing, but still advertising near critical fire weather conditions should winds persist a little longer. Based on these factors, the current Red Flag Warning looks good as-is. Encroaching high pressure will result in winds quickly becoming light and variable across the entire state this evening as any residual mixing is lost. For Wednesday, the next surface low pressure will begin passing from west to east across southern Canada. This will tighten the pressure gradient resulting in another windy day in western North Dakota on Wednesday while very dry conditions persist. As the low continues propagating eastward, these windy conditions will further expand eastward Wednesday night through Thursday, and then likely persisting through Friday. Critical fire weather conditions are possible each day. Isolated to scattered showers, and possibly a few thunderstorms, may pass through mainly Thursday through Thursday evening. However, widespread wetting rains seems unlikely. Towards this weekend, cooler temperatures resulting in at least somewhat higher RH values, as well as more widespread precipitation chances, begin to enter the picture. The highest probability for wetting rains are currently Saturday night through Sunday. During this timeframe, most of western through central North Dakota has a 20 to 40 percent chance of seeing a wetting rain. && .BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for NDZ003>005- 011>013-021>023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051. Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for NDZ005-012-013- 022-023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051. && UPDATE...Johnson/Telken DISCUSSION...Telken AVIATION...Johnson FIRE WEATHER...Telken
Hazardous weather outlook, May 12, 11:14 AM MDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Bismarck ND 1214 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026 NDZ001-002-009-010-017>020-031>033-040>044-059>062-131715- Divide-Burke-Williams-Mountrail-McKenzie-Dunn-Mercer-Oliver- Golden Valley-Billings-Stark-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams- Western Morton-Eastern Morton-Western Sioux-Eastern Sioux- 1214 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026 /1114 AM MDT Tue May 12 2026/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest North Dakota, south central North Dakota, and southwest North Dakota. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Near critical fire weather conditions are expected today. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday Several days of critical fire weather conditions are possible to finish out the week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are asked to provide reports to the NWS using standard procedures, including through our social media accounts. NDZ003-004-055>058-131715- Renville-Bottineau-Northwest Ward- Central and Southern Ward/Minot Area-Western McLean- Eastern McLean- 1214 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central North Dakota and south central North Dakota. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight A Red Flag Warning is in effect today. See weather.gov/bis for details. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday Several days of critical fire weather conditions are possible to finish out the week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are asked to provide reports to the NWS using standard procedures, including through our social media accounts. NDZ005-012-013-022-023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-131715- Rolette-McHenry-Pierce-Sheridan-Wells-Foster-Burleigh-Kidder- Stutsman-Emmons-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey- 1214 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central North Dakota, south central North Dakota, and southeast North Dakota. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight A Red Flag Warning is in effect today. See weather.gov/bis for details. A Wind Advisory is in effect today. See weather.gov/bis for details. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday Several days of critical fire weather conditions are possible to finish out the week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are asked to provide reports to the NWS using standard procedures, including through our social media accounts.
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in North Dakota, 2026Every red flag warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.