Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2026
Winter Storm Warning 5, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Feb 17, 2026, 3:25 AM EST for 7 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Feb 18, 2026, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 17, 2026, 3:25 AM EST (08:25 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 18, 2026, 1:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 19, 2026, 1:16 AM EST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
Counties Alpena County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Chippewa County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Mackinac County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 158 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 934 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 58 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 113 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
679 WWUS43 KAPX 170825 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 325 AM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 MIZ016>018-023-024-172030- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0002.260218T0300Z-260219T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0005.260218T0600Z-260219T0300Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena- 325 AM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 8 inches and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. Locally higher snow amounts possible. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. Highest snow amounts will be near the Lake Huron shoreline. * WHERE...Alpena, Cheboygan, Emmet, Montmorency, and Presque Isle Counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 10 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads will become slick and hazardous due to the wet snow. Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ MIZ086>088-095>097-172030- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0002.260218T0600Z-260219T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0005.260218T0600Z-260219T0300Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- 325 AM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 5 and 9 inches and ice accumulations around a light glaze. Locally higher snow amounts possible. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...A portion of Eastern Upper Michigan. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 10 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ MIZ021-022-028>030-099-172030- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0002.260218T0300Z-260219T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.260218T0600Z-260219T0000Z/ Antrim-Otsego-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Charlevoix- 325 AM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 1 to 4 inches, mainly across portions of Otsego, Oscoda, and Alcona counties. In addition, ice accumulations between one tenth and one quarter of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...A portion of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 7 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Power outages and tree damage is possible due to the ice. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ MIZ027-034>036-172030- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0002.260218T0300Z-260219T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.260218T0600Z-260219T0000Z/ Kalkaska-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco- 325 AM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations up to one inch and ice accumulations between one tenth and one quarter of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Iosco, Kalkaska, Ogemaw, and Roscommon Counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 7 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ MIZ033-172030- /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.260218T0600Z-260219T0000Z/ Missaukee- 325 AM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Missaukee County. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 7 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Difficult travel conditions are possible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Prepare for possible power outages. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ MIZ041-042-172030- /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.260218T0600Z-260218T1800Z/ Gladwin-Arenac- 325 AM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of around a glaze possible. * WHERE...Arenac and Gladwin Counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 1 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Difficult travel conditions are possible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Prepare for possible power outages. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ JLD
8 follow-up statements
156 WWUS43 KAPX 171705 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1205 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 MIZ016>018-023-024-180515- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.260218T0600Z-260219T0300Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena- 1205 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 8 inches and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. Locally higher snow amounts possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. Highest snow amounts will be near the Lake Huron shoreline. * WHERE...Alpena, Cheboygan, Emmet, Montmorency, and Presque Isle Counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 10 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads will become slick and hazardous due to the wet snow. Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ MIZ086>088-095>097-180515- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.260218T0600Z-260219T0300Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- 1205 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 5 and 9 inches and ice accumulations around a light glaze. Locally higher snow amounts possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...A portion of Eastern Upper Michigan. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 10 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ MIZ021-022-028>030-099-180515- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.260218T0600Z-260219T0000Z/ Antrim-Otsego-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Charlevoix- 1205 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 1 to 4 inches. In addition, ice accumulations between one tenth and one quarter of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...A portion of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 7 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Power outages and tree damage is possible due to the ice. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ MIZ027-033>036-180515- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.260218T0600Z-260219T0000Z/ Kalkaska-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco- 1205 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one inch and ice accumulations between one tenth and one quarter of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Iosco, Kalkaska, Missaukee, Ogemaw, and Roscommon Counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 7 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ MIZ041-042-180515- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.260218T0600Z-260218T1800Z/ Gladwin-Arenac- 1205 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Arenac and Gladwin Counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 1 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Difficult travel conditions are possible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$
662 WWUS43 KAPX 171928 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 228 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 MIZ016>018-023-024-180730- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.260218T0600Z-260219T0300Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena- 228 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 8 inches and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. Locally higher snow amounts possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. Highest snow amounts will be near the Lake Huron shoreline. * WHERE...Alpena, Cheboygan, Emmet, Montmorency, and Presque Isle Counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 10 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads will become slick and hazardous due to the wet snow. Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ MIZ086>088-095>097-180730- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.260218T0600Z-260219T0300Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- 228 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 5 and 9 inches and ice accumulations around a light glaze. Locally higher snow amounts possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...A portion of Eastern Upper Michigan. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 10 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ MIZ098-180730- /O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.260218T0600Z-260219T0000Z/ Beaver Island and surrounding islands- 228 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 2 and 4 inches and ice accumulations between one tenth and two tenths of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Beaver Island and surrounding islands. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 7 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Roads will likely become slick and hazardous. Power outages and tree damage is possible due to the ice and wind. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. && $$ MIZ021-022-028>030-099-180730- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.260218T0600Z-260219T0000Z/ Antrim-Otsego-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Charlevoix- 228 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 1 to 4 inches. In addition, ice accumulations between one tenth and one quarter of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...A portion of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 7 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads will likely become slick and hazardous. Power outages and tree damage is possible due to the ice. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ MIZ027-033>036-180730- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.260218T0600Z-260219T0000Z/ Kalkaska-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco- 228 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one inch and ice accumulations around one quarter of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Iosco, Kalkaska, Missaukee, Ogemaw, and Roscommon Counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 7 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. Power outages and tree damage is possible due to the ice. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ MIZ041-042-180730- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.260218T0600Z-260218T1800Z/ Gladwin-Arenac- 228 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations around one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Arenac and Gladwin Counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 1 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Difficult travel conditions are possible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$
173 WWUS43 KAPX 180432 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1132 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 MIZ016>018-023-024-181645- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.260218T0600Z-260219T0300Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena- 1132 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 8 inches and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. Locally higher snow amounts possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. Highest snow amounts will be near the Lake Huron shoreline. * WHERE...Alpena, Cheboygan, Emmet, Montmorency, and Presque Isle Counties. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads will become slick and hazardous due to the wet snow. Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ MIZ086>088-095>097-181645- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.260218T0600Z-260219T0300Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- 1132 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 5 and 9 inches and ice accumulations around a light glaze. Locally higher snow amounts possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...A portion of Eastern Upper Michigan. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ MIZ027-033>036-181645- /O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.260218T0600Z-260218T1800Z/ Kalkaska-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco- 1132 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one inch and ice accumulations between one tenth to locally up to two tenths. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Iosco, Kalkaska, Missaukee, Ogemaw, and Roscommon Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. Power outages and tree damage is possible due to the ice. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ MIZ041-042-181500- /O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.260218T0600Z-260218T1500Z/ Gladwin-Arenac- 1132 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Arenac and Gladwin Counties. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ MIZ021-022-028>030-098-099-181645- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.260218T0600Z-260219T0000Z/ Antrim-Otsego-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix- 1132 PM EST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 1 to 4 inches. In addition, ice accumulations between one tenth and one quarter of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...A portion of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Roads will likely become slick and hazardous. Power outages and tree damage is possible due to the ice and wind. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. && $$ JLD
419 WWUS43 KAPX 180836 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 336 AM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 MIZ016>018-023-024-182045- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-260219T0300Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena- 336 AM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 7 inches and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. Locally higher snow amounts possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. Highest snow amounts will be near the Lake Huron shoreline. * WHERE...Alpena, Cheboygan, Emmet, Montmorency, and Presque Isle Counties. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Roads will become slick and hazardous due to the wet snow. Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A period of freezing drizzle is likely this afternoon and evening after the main batch of wet snowfall. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ MIZ086>088-095>097-182045- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-260219T0300Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- 336 AM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 5 and 8 inches and ice accumulations around a light glaze. Locally higher snow amounts possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...A portion of Eastern Upper Michigan. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A period of freezing rain or drizzle is likely this evening after the main batch of wet snowfall. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ MIZ021-022-028>030-098-099-182045- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-260219T0000Z/ Antrim-Otsego-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix- 336 AM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. In addition, ice accumulations of a light glaze to up to one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...A portion of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ MIZ027-033>036-181800- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-260218T1800Z/ Kalkaska-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco- 336 AM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one inch and ice accumulations between a light glaze to up to one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Iosco, Kalkaska, Missaukee, Ogemaw, and Roscommon Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ MIZ041-042-181500- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-260218T1500Z/ Gladwin-Arenac- 336 AM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of a light glaze to locally up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Arenac and Gladwin Counties. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ JLD
168 WWUS43 KAPX 181435 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 935 AM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 MIZ041-042-181545- /O.EXP.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-260218T1500Z/ Gladwin-Arenac- 935 AM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... Temperatures are rising above freezing. Additional impacts from freezing rain are not anticipated, but untreated roads may remain slick or icy for a few hours until ground surface temperatures rise into the mid 30s. $$ MIZ016>018-023-024-190245- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-260219T0300Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena- 935 AM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations between 2 and 5 inches and ice accumulations ranging from a light glaze to one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Alpena, Cheboygan, Emmet, Montmorency, and Presque Isle Counties. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Roads will become slick and hazardous due to the wet snow. Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact commutes through this evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ MIZ086>088-095>097-190245- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-260219T0300Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- 935 AM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Additional snow accumulations between 5 and 8 inches and ice accumulations around a light glaze. Locally higher snow amounts possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...A portion of Eastern Upper Michigan. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact commutes through this evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ MIZ021-022-028>030-098-099-190000- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-260219T0000Z/ Antrim-Otsego-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix- 935 AM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Additional snow and sleet accumulations of 1 to 2 inches. In addition, ice accumulations of a light glaze to up to one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...A portion of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact commutes through early evening. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Roads will likely become slick and hazardous. Power outages and tree damage is possible due to the ice and wind. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. && $$ MIZ027-033>036-181800- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-260218T1800Z/ Kalkaska-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco- 935 AM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Additional snow and sleet accumulations up to one inch and ice accumulations between a light glaze to up to one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Iosco, Kalkaska, Missaukee, Ogemaw, and Roscommon Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact commutes through early afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ HAD
747 WWUS43 KAPX 181854 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 154 PM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 MIZ086>088-095>097-190700- /O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-260219T0900Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- 154 PM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations between 1 and 2 inches across most of Mackinac and Chippewa counties. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches near Whitefish Point and Sault Ste. Marie. Additional ice accumulations around a light glaze following the conclusion of snowfall later this afternoon into the evening. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...A portion of Eastern Upper Michigan. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact commutes through Thursday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ MIZ016>018-023-024-190300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-260219T0300Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena- 154 PM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of less than an inch and ice accumulations around a light glaze. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Alpena, Cheboygan, Emmet, Montmorency, and Presque Isle Counties. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Roads will become slick and hazardous due to the wet snow. Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact commutes through this evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ MIZ021-022-028>030-098-099-190000- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-260219T0000Z/ Antrim-Otsego-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix- 154 PM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Freezing drizzle. Additional ice accumulations of a light glaze. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...A portion of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions may impact commutes through early this evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Roads will likely become slick and hazardous. Power outages and tree damage is possible due to the ice and wind. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. && $$ HAD
269 WWUS43 KAPX 190406 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1106 PM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 MIZ086>088-095>097-190900- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-260219T0900Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- 1106 PM EST Wed Feb 18 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Freezing drizzle expected. Additional ice accumulations around a light glaze. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...A portion of Eastern Upper Michigan. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages. Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && $$ JLD
911 WWUS43 KAPX 190616 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 116 AM EST Thu Feb 19 2026 MIZ086>088-095>097-190730- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-260219T0900Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- 116 AM EST Thu Feb 19 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... The highest impacts from both snow and ice have ended. However, occasional freezing drizzle will be possible over the next few hours. Snow and ice covered roadways will still lead to hazardous travel at times. Please exercise caution while driving on untreated or unplowed roadways. $$ JLD
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 16, 11:58 PM EST, 3 hours 27 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Another round of freezing fog likely tonight.
- System to bring a wintry mix of precipitation to northern Michigan midweek including impactful snow and ice.
- Additional wintry precipitation chances to end the week.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 11:58 PM EST, 3 hours 27 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1158 PM EST Mon Feb 16 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Another round of freezing fog likely tonight.
- System to bring a wintry mix of precipitation to northern Michigan
midweek including impactful snow and ice.
- Additional wintry precipitation chances to end the week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 152 PM EST Mon Feb 16 2026
Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Quick moving energy aloft departs off to
the east through this afternoon, dragging any lingering precip
across far northern areas along with it. Zonal flow gives way to
increasing heights during the Tuesday in advance of a winter storm
set to impact the region Tuesday night through at least Wednesday as
well-advertised low-level baroclinic zone stretches from Alberta to
upstate New York -- providing the focus for low pressure development
across the northern Plains to trek eastward into the Great Lakes
through midweek. On the heels of this midweek system, additional
southern stream energy is expected to propel northeastward toward
the Great Lakes late week into the weekend with additional wintry
precipitation looking likely.
Forecast Details:
Freezing fog potential tonight: Winds expected to turn out of the
northwest late this afternoon behind the aforementioned weak wave
crossing northern MI today; however, winds become calm this evening
with another round of fog/freezing fog likely tonight based on
latest forecast soundings and vsby guidance. Some slick spots may
result, primarily on untreated/secondary roads.
Impactful snow and ice midweek: Primary focus through the forecast
period revolves around Tuesday night through at least Wednesday/
Wednesday night. Latest trends favor precip spreading across
northern lower MI Tuesday evening/night working its way north into
the eastern U.P. late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Still
some uncertainty that exists, especailly with regards to the axis of
heaviest precipitation and how far north that progresses during the
day Wednesday. Still kind of two camps of guidance with respect to
this:
--Scenario 1: Strongest forcing slides across northern lower MI with
highest QPF south of the bridge as high pressure well to our
northwest hinders northward progress of precip resulting in a fairly
sharp cutoff on the northern edge. This scenario would allow cooler
near-sfc temps to sag farther south, resulting in the highest snow
amounts across the tip of the mitt and northeast lower, with a
potentially impressive snow gradient across the eastern U.P. and at
least low chances that northern Chippewa County sees little to no
snow accum. through Wednesday night. This would also likely result
in an axis of mixed precipitation most likely to set up near and
between the M-72 and M-32 corridors (likely excluding areas near and
southwest of TVC, but potentially including areas up the US-31 and
131 corridors of northwest lower). Primary concern in these areas
would be from freezing rain (although some sleet possible as well)
with latest trends in this scenario supporting many of these areas
receiving 0.10-0.30" of icing. While a very low probability, would
be remiss to not at least mention worst possible case in this
scenario given sensitivities after last year's ice storm: 0.40 -
0.50" icing across a narrow corridor with renewed concern for
infrastructure issues. Again this worst case is unlikely, but probs
in the scenario aren't zero for >0.40" ice -- generally some
splotchy 5-8% chances.
--Scenario 2: Initial widespread precipitation Tuesday night through
Wednesday morning gives way to that axis of heaviest QPF shifting
north across the tip of the mitt and U.P. with the sharp northern
edge QPF gradient well to our north near the northern shores of Lake
Superior. This would shift the heaviest wet/dense snow across the
Straits and eastern U.P. with totals in excess of 6-8" possible. A
wintry mix would remain south of there, with still high
probabilities for icing (some sleet again as well) and to extent
across similar areas as scenario 1 -- generally from parts of far
northwest lower, across north-central lower into sections of
northeast lower. Favored ice amounts in this scenario also generally
from 0.10-0.30" with very low probabilities again for a worst case
scenario with higher icing. This scenario would also likely result
in an earlier end to widespread precip across sections of northern
lower by later Wednesday afternoon with steadier snow continuing
north of there for a longer duration into Wednesday night.
Still lots of details to sort out in the next 24-36 hours prior to
this event's arrival, but safe to say impactful winter weather is on
tap for parts of northern MI through the midweek time frame. Of
higher confidence, southwestern reaches of APX's footprint, say
roughly TVC to Gladwin and areas southwest of there have the highest
likelihood to remain all rain with little impact from this event.
Given the two scenarios above for the remainder of the area, ENS
means favor scenario 2 with the heaviest snow falling across the
Straits and eastern U.P. and the most impactful icing stretched
across a corridor of northwest/north-central and northeast lower.
The deterministic gridded forecast will follow in this path as well
with greatest snow accums near and north of the bridge with the
highest icing draped from Emmet County southeastward to Gaylord/
Grayling and points east including a good chunk of northeast lower.
Should be rather breezy through this event as well, and while low
SLRs may reduce blowing/drifting snow potential, still think this
will amplify impacts to an extent, both in areas that see mainly
snow and in icing areas where impacts of the weight of even sub
0.25" ice can be exacerbated by gusty winds. Think the best course
of action at this point is a Winter Storm Watch basically M-72 and
north to focus on the area with greatest potential for impacts, with
still plenty of time ahead to refine ice/snow amounts and hardest
hit areas.
Additional late week/weekend wintry weather: Beyond this midweek
system, longer range trends continue to support to the potential for
an additional southern stream wave(s) to trek across the Great Lakes
late in the week, and perhaps again over the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1150 PM EST Mon Feb 16 2026
Area of low stratus currently over eastern upper and northeast
lower with BR/HZ forming close to the surface elsewhere in
northern MI. This low stratus is seeping southward and will
continue. Most sites will either continue with IFR/LIFR cigs
and vis or fall to this over the next couple hours. Conditions
will persist through at least 14Z, with KCIU seeing MVFR vis
linger through 22Z. After 14Z conditions will improve for sites
besides KCIU. Mostly calm winds tonight will turn E after 12Z
and strengthen near the end of the period with gusts up to 15 to
20kts. Precipitation will just be starting for KMBL/KTVC around
03Z, but will spread to other terminals after 06Z. Mixed
precipitation is likely with this, more details to come in
following forecasts.
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Winter Storm Watch from Tuesday evening through Wednesday
evening for MIZ016>018-021>024-027>030-034>036-099.
Winter Storm Watch from late Tuesday night through Wednesday
evening for MIZ086>088-095>097.
MARINE...None.
&&
DISCUSSION...MJG
AVIATION...ELDHazardous weather outlook, Feb 16, 10:50 PM EST, 4 hours 35 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1050 PM EST Mon Feb 16 2026 MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-180400- Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency- Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona- Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac- Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa- Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac- Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix- 1050 PM EST Mon Feb 16 2026 This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and Northern Lower Michigan. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Locally dense fog and freezing fog are possible tonight. Visibilities may be reduced to below one half mile at times and untreated roadways may become slick in spots due to freezing fog. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. A wintry mix of precipitation, including the potential for snow, sleet and freezing rain, is expected to impact portions of northern Michigan Tuesday night into Wednesday night. Impactful snow and icing is likely. Please see the latest Winter Storm Watch for additional details. Milder weather and snow melt may result in ice jams on area rivers, along with localized flooding. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 3:25 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | Alcona, Antrim, Arenac, Charlevoix, Crawford, Gladwin and 7 more | 40 hr |
| Feb 17, 7:10 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | APX | Alcona, Alpena, Antrim, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, Chippewa and 8 more | 5 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2026Every winter storm warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.