Alert archive / Michigan / Frost Advisories in 2026
Frost Advisory 13, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this frost advisory at Sep 22, 2026, 1:03 PM EDT for Chippewa County, Mackinac County, Michigan. It took effect at Sep 22, 2026, 10:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 22, 2026, 1:03 PM EDT (17:03 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 22, 2026, 10:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Sep 23, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
Counties Chippewa County, MI, Mackinac County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 209 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 767 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -75 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -21 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
492 WWUS73 KAPX 221703 NPWAPX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 103 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026 MIZ086-087-095-096-231200- /O.NEW.KAPX.FR.Y.0013.260923T0200Z-260923T1200Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac- 103 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures as low as 34 will result in frost formation. * WHERE...Central Chippewa, Eastern Mackinac, Western Chippewa, and Western Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ ELD
1 follow-up statement
583 WWUS73 KAPX 230621 NPWAPX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 221 AM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026 MIZ086-087-095-096-231200- /O.CON.KAPX.FR.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-260923T1200Z/ Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac- 221 AM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Temperatures as low as 34 will result in frost formation. * WHERE...Central Chippewa, Eastern Mackinac, Western Chippewa, and Western Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT this morning. * IMPACTS...Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ SJC
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this frost advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this frost advisory went out at Sep 22, 12:14 PM EDT, 49 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- -High pressure continues seasonably normal fall-like temperatures build this week no precipitation expected.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 22, 12:14 PM EDT, 49 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1214 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
-High pressure continues seasonably normal fall-like
temperatures build this week no precipitation expected.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 333 AM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026
Pattern Synopsis and Forecast:
A midlevel split flow-pattern begins to build across North America
this morning with ridging over the Northern Plains while low
amplitude troughing spans the southern U.S. Midlevel ridging will
support subsidence aloft this morning and cause surface high
pressure to build across the Great Lakes region through the next
several days. H8 temperatures in the single digits will keep
temperatures seasonably normal through the entirety of the forecast
period with highs in the 60s and overnight lows in the upper 30s to
low 40s.
Cloud cover will continue to dissipate and progress south this
morning as the stationary boundary currently occupying the
Appalachians moves downstream. High pressure building over central
Ontario will keep conditions quiet and dry over the CWA throughout
the entirety of the forecast period. Efficient overnight radiational
cooling will drop lows into the mid/upper 30s across interior
eastern upper and northern lower leading to another round of patchy
frost development tonight. Otherwise, conditions remain
climatologically normal for late September with highs in the 60s for
most areas while efficient overnight radiational cooling processes
drop lows into the upper 30s to low 40s. Other than ideal fall
conditions for hardwood color development, no out-of-the-ordinary or
active weather is expected at this time. Long-range ensembles
continue to hint at low-end chances of showers midweek next week as
a shortwave lifts across the Northern Plains, but confidence in any
appreciable (if any) rainfall reaching the Great Lakes Region
remains low.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1213 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026
VFR likely to prevail with high pressure in the region; low chance
for MVFR at APN and perhaps TVC if lake breeze develops this
afternoon, but not likely. Cloud deck around 15-25kft looks to hang
on for MBL thru rest of the day and perhaps into the night. Surface
winds largely remain E/NE but should diminish to 5-10kts or less
tonight and will have concerns for land breezes at TVC/APN in
particular...with E winds prevailing thru the end of the TAF period.
Some LLWS expected overnight (around 25kts from the E/ENE), esp for
PLN and south. Do wonder about some fog overnight tonight but not
confident attm, except perhaps at APN thru 6z.
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for MIZ018-
024-030-036-042.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 2 PM EDT
Wednesday for LHZ347.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Wednesday for LHZ348-349.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for LMZ342-
344.
&&
DISCUSSION...SJC
AVIATION...FEFThe office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 9:32 AM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | APX | 13 hr | |
| Sep 22, 9:32 AM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | APX | 34 hr |
Nearby
Frost Advisories in Michigan, 2026Every frost advisory in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.