Beach Hazards Statement 14, NWS Gaylord, MI

664 
WHUS43 KAPX 091514
CFWAPX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1114 AM EDT Wed Sep 9 2026

MIZ096-092315-
/O.CON.KAPX.BH.S.0014.000000T0000Z-260910T0000Z/
Eastern Mackinac-
1114 AM EDT Wed Sep 9 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous swimming conditions. Waves of 3 to 5 feet and 
  dangerous rip currents expected.

* WHERE...Eastern Mackinac County.

* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Waves as high as 3 to 5 feet will result in 
  dangerous swimming conditions and could sweep people off piers 
  and jetties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

595 
WHUS43 KAPX 091927
CFWAPX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
327 PM EDT Wed Sep 9 2026

MIZ096-100000-
/O.CON.KAPX.BH.S.0014.000000T0000Z-260910T0000Z/
Eastern Mackinac-
327 PM EDT Wed Sep 9 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous swimming conditions. Waves of 3 to 5 feet and 
  dangerous rip currents expected.

* WHERE...Eastern Mackinac County.

* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Waves as high as 3 to 5 feet will result in 
  dangerous swimming conditions and could sweep people off piers 
  and jetties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1021 PM EDT Tue Sep 8 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rain chances increase later this evening, and especially late tonight
  into Wednesday morning. Rain tapers off Wednesday afternoon.

- Breezy conditions expected on Wednesday.

- Mainly dry weather expected during the second half of this
  week, potentially extending into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 243 PM EDT Tue Sep 8 2026

Pattern Synopsis:

Ridging over the Great Lakes up to James Bay will continue to fold
east today and tonight with surface high pressure stretching from
Quebec down along the Atlantic coast into the Carolinas. Meanwhile,
multiple potent shortwaves embedded in the main flow will progress
over parts of the region through the middle of the week. The first
wave currently over the northern Great Plains will punch across
Ontario/far northern Great Lakes tonight as a second wave works
overhead by Wednesday afternoon/evening.

Forecast Details:

Primary forecast concern in a relative sense will be the return of
rain chances later today into Wednesday. Rain shield out ahead of
the main wave will continue to work east over Lake Michigan this
afternoon and is expected to keep losing steam with time. Said rain
is already on the periphery of favorable low/mid-level moisture and
is likely to outpace this environment -- eventually falling apart
over northern Michigan this afternoon and evening, resulting in
perhaps light rain for some areas and even no rain at all for others
as falling precip struggles to reach the ground through the
aforementioned dry air. Best chances for rain will come late tonight
and especially Wednesday morning across northern lower Michigan as
better moisture and support aloft works into the area. As discussed
by the previous forecaster, meager buoyancy aloft on the order of a
few hundred J/kg of MUCAPE with moist adiabatic profiles will
largely limit thunderstorm chances. That said, a few embedded storms
cannot be completely ruled out. Rain chances are expected to
diminish Wednesday afternoon.

Aside from rain, southwest winds look to increase ahead of an
approaching cold front through Wednesday morning. Sustained winds
between 10-20 mph with gusts to 25-35 mph are expected from late
morning into early evening Wednesday, with the potential for locally
higher gusts near the Lake Superior and Lake Michigan shorelines as
winds shift to west/northwest behind the front later Wednesday.
Winds look to taper off some Wednesday evening.

Looking ahead, dry weather is expected through the second half of
the week as high pressure builds back in. Cooler temperatures are in
store for Thursday as highs struggle to get out of the 60s for some
during the afternoon, but look to rebound heading into the weekend.
Overnight lows may also dip well into the 40s late Thursday
night/early Friday morning. Rain chances may return later this
upcoming weekend as troughing works across the region, but the
associated surface cyclone looks to be far displaced from Michigan
and could result in most of the area staying dry through the first
half of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1021 PM EDT Tue Sep 8 2026

Thoughts remain the same as VFR conditions are expected to
persist into much of tonight, but look to begin to deteriorate
about 09 to 12z to IFR (to even LIFR), coinciding with heavier
rain showers... Within the heaviest showers, visibilities
restrictions will be possible. VFR is expected to return by
Wednesday afternoon as rain chances diminish and ceilings rise.
Southwest winds also look to increase through Wednesday morning,
gusting to 20-30 kts into the afternoon and evening.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM Wednesday to 5 PM EDT Thursday
     for LHZ345>348.
     Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM to 11 PM EDT Wednesday for
     LHZ349.
     Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT Wednesday for LMZ323-341-
     342-344>346.
     Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Thursday for LSZ321.
     Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM to 11 PM EDT Wednesday for
     LSZ322.

&&

DISCUSSION...DJC
AVIATION...NSC