Red Flag Warning 4, NWS Amarillo, TX

Beaver County, OK, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Moore County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

403 
WWUS84 KAMA 161827
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1227 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026


OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-170300-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0004.260217T1600Z-260218T0200Z/
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
1227 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CST
TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

* WINDS...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 13 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...In the mid to upper 60s.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

* SEVERITY...

  FUELS (ERC)...70th-89th percentile...4 (out of 5).

  WEATHER...Critical...3 (out of 5).

  FIRE ENVIRONMENT...7 (out of 10).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures will
create favorable weather for rapid fire growth and spread. Avoid
activities that promote open flames and sparks.

&&

$$

851 
WWUS84 KAMA 161843
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1243 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026


OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-170300-
/O.NEW.KAMA.FW.A.0002.260218T1700Z-260219T0200Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0004.260217T1600Z-260218T0200Z/
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
1243 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CST
TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

The National Weather Service in Amarillo has issued a Fire
Weather Watch for breezy winds and low relative humidity, which
is in effect from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening.

* WINDS...For warning, southwesterly to westerly winds 30 to 40 
  mph with gusts up to 65 mph. For watch, southwesterly winds 25 
  to 30 mph with gust upwards of 40 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...For warning, as low as 13 percent. For
  watch, as low as 10 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...In the mid to upper 60s for warning. In the mid
  50s for the watch. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

* SEVERITY...Critical

  FUELS (ERC)...70th-89th percentile...4 (out of 5).

  WEATHER...Critical...3 (out of 5).

  FIRE ENVIRONMENT...5 (out of 10).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures will
create favorable weather for rapid fire growth and spread. Avoid
activities that promote open flames and sparks.

A Fire Weather Watch means that the potential for critical fire
weather conditions exists. Listen for later forecasts and
possible red flag warnings.

&&

$$

753 
WWUS84 KAMA 170228
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
828 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-171030-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0004.260217T1600Z-260218T0200Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0002.260218T1700Z-260219T0200Z/
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
828 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CST
TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

* WINDS...For the warning, southwesterly to westerly winds 30 to
  40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph. For the watch, southwesterly 
  winds 25 to 30 mph with gust upwards of 40 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...For the warning, as low as 13 percent. For
  the watch, as low as 10 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...In the mid to upper 60s to low 80s for the 
  warning. In the mid 60s to mid 70s for the watch. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

* SEVERITY...

  FUELS (ERC)...70th-89th percentile...4 (out of 5).

  WEATHER...Critical...3 (out of 5).

  FIRE ENVIRONMENT...7 (out of 10).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures will
create favorable weather for rapid fire growth and spread. Avoid
activities that promote open flames and sparks.

A Fire Weather Watch means that the potential for critical fire
weather conditions exists. Listen for later forecasts and
possible red flag warnings.

&&

$$

635 
WWUS84 KAMA 170449
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1049 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-171900-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0004.260217T1600Z-260218T0200Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0002.260218T1700Z-260219T0200Z/
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
1049 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CST
TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

* WINDS...For the warning, southwesterly to westerly winds 30 to
  40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph. For the watch, southwesterly
  winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...For the warning, as low as 13 percent. For
  the watch, as low as 8 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...For the warning, in the mid to upper 60s to low
  80s. For the watch, in the mid 60s to mid 70s. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

* SEVERITY...

  FUELS (ERC)...70th-89th percentile...4 (out of 5).

  WEATHER...Critical...3 (out of 5).

  FIRE ENVIRONMENT...7 (out of 10).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures will
create favorable weather for rapid fire growth and spread. Avoid
activities that promote open flames and sparks.

A Fire Weather Watch means that the potential for critical fire
weather conditions exists. Listen for later forecasts and
possible red flag warnings.

&&

$$

388 
WWUS84 KAMA 171758
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1158 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-180400-
/O.UPG.KAMA.FW.A.0002.260218T1700Z-260219T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KAMA.FW.W.0005.260218T1700Z-260219T0200Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-260218T0200Z/
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
1158 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CST WEDNESDAY
FOR BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

The National Weather Service in Amarillo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for breezy winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from 11 AM to 8 PM CST Wednesday. The Fire Weather Watch
is no longer in effect.

* WINDS... For today, southwest 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 
  mph. For tomorrow, southwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 50 
  mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...For today as low as 10 percent. For
  tomorrow, as low as 9 percent

* TEMPERATURES...For today in the 70s to low 80s. For tomorrow, in
  the 60s to mid 70s. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

* SEVERITY...High-end Critical to Critical

  FUELS (ERC)...70th-89th percentile...4 (out of 5).

  WEATHER...Critical...3 (out of 5).

  FIRE ENVIRONMENT...7 (out of 10).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures will
create favorable weather for rapid fire growth and spread. Avoid
activities that promote open flames and sparks.

&&

$$

677 
WWUS84 KAMA 180156
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
756 PM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-181000-
/O.EXP.KAMA.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-260218T0200Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0005.260218T1700Z-260219T0200Z/
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
756 PM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CST
WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES...

* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 8 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...In the mid 60s to mid 70s.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

* SEVERITY...

  FUELS (ERC)...70th-89th percentile...4 (out of 5).

  WEATHER...Critical...2 (out of 5).

  FIRE ENVIRONMENT...5 (out of 10).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures will
create favorable weather for rapid fire growth and spread. Avoid
activities that promote open flames and sparks.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
525 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1126 AM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

- Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected Monday
  through Thursday, with Tuesday and Wednesday looking to be the
  worst fire weather days.

- A High Wind Watch has been issued for most of the combined
  Panhandles for Tuesday with wind gusts around 60 mph possible.

- Along with high winds on Tuesday, areas of blowing dust also
  possible with sudden reduced visibilities at times.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tomorrow night)
Issued at 1126 AM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

A nice afternoon in store as the latest 18Z satellite obs shows
the last patch of low clouds and patchy fog in the northeastern
Panhandles finally dissipating. Temperatures as of the latest 18Z
obs showing many areas well into the 60s across the Panhandles as
we close out the weekend with light southerly winds and mostly
clear skies.

Winds will then begin to pick up tomorrow across the Panhandles as
H500 height gradient begins to become more steep well out ahead
of the main H500 trough axis just off the northern California
coast. With downslope southwest surface winds off the NM high
terrain, low RH values will be present by tomorrow afternoon,
where elevated fire weather conditions will be possible; in
combination with the breezy SW winds. If the main H850 thermal
ridge continues to show strengthening over the central and western
combined Panhandles, could even see some critical fire weather
conditions for tomorrow. Along with the southwest surface winds,
good LL H850 WAA will result in high temperatures for tomorrow
topping out between the upper 70s to lower 80s, where some local
climate sites may tie or exceed record high temperatures.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1126 AM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

Latest 15/12Z model and numerical guidance continues to show a
low amplitude sinusoidal trough over the western CONUS that will
slow expand into the central CONUS over the next few days. As it
does so, the main southern stream H250 jet that is helping to
expand this synoptic pattern will be parked right over the
Panhandles with the main jet streak displaced just to the
northwest. So in terms of weather conditions, this will result in
prolonged windy and dry conditions across the Panhandles
throughout the long term forecast period. In particular for
Tuesday, as the main H500 trough axis deepens over southern
Nevada, downstream of the main axis, rapid height falls will
result in strong downward momentum aloft. Aided by a Pacific front
by Tuesday afternoon, damaging wind gusts approaching or even
exceeding 60 mph will be possible for most of the Panhandles where
a current High Wind Watch is in effect. Temperatures throughout
the long term forecast period will remain above average.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 523 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

VFR conditions are forecast to continue. Low level wind shear may
develop overnight at KGUY with winds upwards of 40-45 kts around
1-2k ft agl. Otherwise, winds will remain out of the south to
southwest around 10-15 kts with higher gusts. Gusts become more
frequent later in this TAF cycle upwards of 30 kts. High clouds
should continue to stream in over the region.

Muscha

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1126 AM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions will be expected
throughout the coming work week from Monday through Friday.
Starting Monday, a notable LLTR will advect north from the Mexican
Plateau and if the 20 ft winds climb to higher values above 20-25
mph, we could even see critical fire weather conditions for
portions of the western and central Panhandles with RH values
dropping as low as 9 percent and max RFTI values as of the
current forecast as high as 3.

Tuesday, in-conjunction with our current High Wind Watch, will
feature critical fire weather conditions with max RFTI values 5 to
7 and min RH values as low as 13 percent. Max 20 ft winds of 30-40
mph with gusts over 60 mph is possible. Elevated and critical fire
weather conditions are expected to continue through Friday with
windy conditions at times, along with low RH values and max RFTI
values peaking between 5 to 7 each day.

Side note to mention that each overnight period starting Monday
night through Wednesday night, RH recovery will be quite poor.
This will unfortunately contribute to ongoing fire weather
conditions that could linger through each of the overnight period.
Some model data shows values below 50 percent overall throughout
the overnight period, with some night not even above 40 percent.

Dry fuels are abundant across the majority of the Panahndles.ERC
percentile values will range from 55th to 70th percentile in the
far NW Panhandles to values of 70th to 90th percentile for the
remainder of the Panhandles.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening
     for TXZ001>020-317.

     High Wind Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening for
     TXZ001>014-016>018-317.

OK...Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening
     for OKZ001>003.

     High Wind Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening for
     OKZ001>003.

&&

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...05

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
214 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-160815-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
214 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Elevated or critical fire weather conditions are expected Monday
through Friday for mos, if not all of the Panhandles.

A High Wind Watch is in effect for most of the combined Panhandles
Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening for sustained winds of 35
to 40 mph, with gusts to 60 mph possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.