Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Amarillo, TX

639 
WGUS74 KAMA 052307
FFSAMA

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
607 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

TXC087-060115-
/O.CON.KAMA.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-260606T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Collingsworth TX-
607 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT THIS 
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN COLLINGSWORTH COUNTY...

At 607 PM CDT, trained weather spotters reported thunderstorms 
producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 3 and 4 inches 
of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 3 inches in 
1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in 
the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Trained spotters reported.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  mainly rural areas of Southeastern Collingsworth County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law 
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National 
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3484 10000 3479 10012 3481 10021 3489 10021
      3495 10010 3504 10000

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1-3 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

98

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
151 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 151 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

-Scattered storms this evening across the south and southeast
Panhandles, with heavy rain being the main concern with any storm.

-Storms may return to the east on Saturday with heavy rain again
being the main concern.

-Temperatures will trend much hotter as we head into Sunday through
Wednesday, and maybe even Thursday, and we may need heat products on
certain days.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 151 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

Dewpoints in the east are well in the 60s to low 70s and subtle
forcing from the system to the south tracking north towards the
southeast Panhandle will support some afternoon to evening storms.
First storm starting to go up in southern Armstrong County.  Very
high PWAT's of 1.2-1.6 in the southeast will support intense rain
rates of 3-5" per hour with these storms, and 18z KAMA sounding
shows a pocket of dry air in the 500-600mb layer that would support
the potential for wet microbursts. As it stands shear is not that
great in the southern Panhandles and is more favorable in the
northwest, where that environment is more capped.  Overall, 30 to 40
percent chance of showers and storms along and southeast of HWY60
and east of I-27 for this afternoon.  Now the southeast Donley and
Collingsworth Counties are more in that 40 to 60 percent chance as
there's better forcing and surface dewpoints are much higher, so a
better chance at reaching convective temperature, as well as any
additional forcing from the wave that's tracking over our area this
evening.

Upper low is taking more of an easterly track tonight and is
expected to pull up over the eastern Panhandles tomorrow.  This will
continue to favor higher pops in the east and over into Oklahoma
v.s. our area, but will not discount any wrap around moisture
tomorrow.  By tomorrow evening cluster of storms in the east is
expected to become an MCV and eject northeast int northwestern OK
and there might be some showers/storms on the back side for the
Beaver and Lipscomb County area.  Given the high PWAT's still in
place, the main concern with the storms tomorrow would be the heavy
rain rates.

Weber

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Thursday)
Issued at 151 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

Weak high pressure will build over the Panhandles on Sunday and
bring much warmer temperatures, but overall stable and dry
conditions.  With 850mb temps in the 27-30C range on Sunday, we will
likely see widespread 90s and maybe some areas close to 100.  Now
given recent moisture and a subtle wave tracking over the ridge axis
across the northern Panhandle on Sunday, there may be just enough
with heating and limited forcing to pop off an isolated storm or
two, but still the probability is very low, so much that we only
have about a 10 percent chance.  As we head into Monday the ridge
does attempt to expand and amplify as 500mb heights rise and 850mb
temps jump 29-32C, which will certainly bring widespread mid 90s and
some areas of lower 100s.  Areas most prone for heat products on
Monday would be the Canadian River Valley area (Boys Ranch, Fritch,
Borger, Canadian) and the Palo Duro Canyon State Park area.

Tuesday a little bit of a break down in 500 heights as a upper
trough enters the Pacific Northwest and brings more of a southwest
flow over New Mexico and the ridge axis becomes more displaced over
the Mississippi Valley.  Still very warm temperatures expected with
widespread 90s to some lower 100s, but may not be quite enough for
heat products.  We will be watching the northwest corner of the
Panhandles as a shortwave may trigger some storms off the mountains
of NM and track them into the northeastern part of NM and then the
northwest TX/OK Panhandle and into southeast CO.

Wednesday looks to be our warmest day as the southwest flow and
warmer air is well advected over our area.  850mb temps ranging from
30C-35C will support likely widespread heat highlights.  And with a
pseudo-dryline setup across the central Panhandles, as well as a
subtle wave moving across in the afternoon, models are indicating
some convection along that boundary from Amarillo to Guymon around
peak heating as we have a really good push of 700mb Theta E moisture
advected over the central Panhandles. PWAT's are pretty good in the
1.20-1.40" range with storms that should blow up right along that
line and have little to no steering flow, supporting storms that
will just sit over the area and dump quite a bit of rain.  But still
in Day 6 so a lot can change.

Thursday is a bit tricky as we do have some models suggesting that
the hottest day will be held back a bit and that what is expected on
Wednesday may occur on Thursday.  NBM is leaning in that direction,
so current forecast does reflect that, but should the faster
solution pan out, we should be in the mid 80s to mid 90s on Thursday
and whats interesting is that while the day should be mostly dry
there could be some return easterly flow Thursday evening that
really drives up the dewpoints and we may be looking at elevated
overnight convection across a good chunk of the Panhandles.

Weber

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites over the next 24
hours with winds 10-15kts out of the south to southwest. Will not
rule out a pop up thunderstorm at KAMA or KGUY in the 18-03z time
period today, but confidence is too low for a PROB30, and will be
dealt with via amendments.

Weber

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...89
LONG TERM....89
AVIATION...89

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
152 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-060700-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
152 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms in the south and east this
evening. Thunderstorms will be capable of producing strong wind
gusts and heavy rain, which could lead to localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Thunderstorms are possible on Saturday. The chance for severe
thunderstorms are low. However, thunderstorms could still produce
strong wind gusts and heavy rain, which could lead to localized
flooding.

A low chance of thunderstorms continues Sunday through Thursday as
the threat will be very isolated if a storm can occur.

The main concern Monday through Thursday will be rising
temperatures and the potential for triple digit heat. Right now
Wednesday or Thursday look to be the hottest day, and could have
widespread temperatures over 100.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
128 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

TXZ018-051900-
Armstrong TX-
128 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN ARMSTRONG COUNTY
THROUGH 200 PM CDT...

At 128 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles northeast of Vigo Park, or 20 miles north of Silverton, moving
northwest at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern
Armstrong County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3487 10138 3489 10112 3475 10111 3475 10135
TIME...MOT...LOC 1828Z 154DEG 4KT 3477 10124

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

SH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
337 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

TXZ020-052115-
Collingsworth TX-
337 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL COLLINGSWORTH COUNTY
THROUGH 415 PM CDT...

At 337 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Wellington, moving north at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Wellington, Samnorwood, and Lutie.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3482 10021 3485 10035 3509 10034 3505 10003
      3491 10012
TIME...MOT...LOC 2037Z 189DEG 10KT 3489 10027

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

SH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
353 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

TXZ020-052130-
Collingsworth TX-
353 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN COLLINGSWORTH
COUNTY THROUGH 430 PM CDT...

At 353 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles northeast of Memphis, moving north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southwestern
Collingsworth County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3492 10053 3488 10029 3475 10036 3475 10053
TIME...MOT...LOC 2053Z 196DEG 13KT 3478 10043

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

SH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
458 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

TXZ020-052230-
Collingsworth TX-
458 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN COLLINGSWORTH
COUNTY THROUGH 530 PM CDT...

At 458 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Wellington, moving north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern
Collingsworth County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3477 10013 3480 10022 3501 10017 3499 10000
      3492 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 201DEG 13KT 3483 10016

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

SH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
529 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

TXZ014-015-052300-
Gray TX-Wheeler TX-
529 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL WHEELER AND EAST
CENTRAL GRAY COUNTIES THROUGH 600 PM CDT...

At 528 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6
miles west of Kellerville, or 22 miles northwest of Shamrock, moving
north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of west central
Wheeler and east central Gray Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3529 10055 3530 10068 3552 10069 3551 10045
TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 196DEG 14KT 3536 10061

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

SH