Wind Advisory 4, NWS Albany, NY

479 
WWUS71 KALY 160508
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
108 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

VTZ015-162200-
/O.EXA.KALY.WI.Y.0004.260316T1800Z-260317T1500Z/
Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Guilford Center, West Brattleboro,
Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls
108 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West to southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 50 
  mph expected.

* WHERE...Eastern Windham County.

* WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...South to southwest winds will strengthen this 
  afternoon into this evening before a potent cold front sweeps 
  through the region tonight resulting in winds to switch to the 
  west. Wind gusts today through Tuesday morning can peak up to 
  50mph.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ041>043-083-162200-
/O.EXA.KALY.WI.Y.0004.260316T2100Z-260317T1500Z/
Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren-Northern Washington-Southeast
Warren-
Including the cities of Johnsburg, Saratoga Springs, Glens Falls,
Huletts Landing, Saratoga Lake, Warrensburg, North River, Bolton
Landing, West Glens Falls, Whitehall, North Creek, Granville, and
Hague
108 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West to southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 50 
  mph expected.

* WHERE...Northern Saratoga, Warren, and Northern Washington 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...South to southwest winds will strengthen this 
  afternoon into this evening before a potent cold front sweeps 
  through the region tonight resulting in winds to switch to the 
  west. Wind gusts today through Tuesday morning can peak up to 
  50mph.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ054-061-066-VTZ013-014-162200-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0004.260316T1800Z-260317T1500Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Eastern Rensselaer-Eastern Columbia-Eastern
Dutchess-Bennington-Western Windham-
Including the cities of Pittsfield, North Adams, Gaylordsville,
Amenia, Pawling, Eagle Bridge, New Lebanon, South Egremont,
Terryville, Stanfordville, Pine Plains, New Milford, Stephentown,
Hancock, Millbrook, Stamford, Bennington, Great Barrington,
Florida, Londonderry, Thomaston, Hoosick Falls, Berlin,
Torrington, Woodford State Park, Dover Plains, Dalton, Oakville,
Wingdale, Stratton, Sandisfield, and Pownal
108 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM 
EDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West to southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 50 
  mph expected.

* WHERE...Litchfield and Berkshire County in western New England. In 
  New York, the Eastern Columbia, Eastern Dutchess, and Eastern 
  Rensselaer Counties. In Vermont, Bennington and Western Windham 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...South to southwest winds will strengthen this 
  afternoon into this evening before a potent cold front sweeps 
  through the region tonight resulting in winds to switch to the 
  west. Wind gusts today through Tuesday morning can peak up to 
  50mph.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ048>053-058-063-084-162200-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0004.260316T2100Z-260317T1500Z/
Western Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western
Albany-Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Western Greene-Western
Ulster-Southern Washington-
Including the cities of Hudson Falls, Cambridge, Mariaville,
Prattsville, Duanesburg, North Easton, Ellenville, Preston
Hollow, Woodstock, Clifton Park, West Shokan, Ballston Spa,
Mechanicville, Windham, Burnt Hills, Rotterdam, Albany, West
Hurley, Hunter, Napanoch, Delanson, Middle Falls, Westerlo,
Sundown, Altamont, Fort Edward, Tannersville, Kerhonkson, Berne,
Troy, Schenectady, Knox, Greenwich, and Waterford
108 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM 
EDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West to southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 50 
  mph expected.

* WHERE...The Greater Capital District, the Helderbergs, and the 
  eastern Catskills.

* WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...South to southwest winds will strengthen this 
  afternoon into this evening before a potent cold front sweeps 
  through the region tonight resulting in winds to switch to the 
  west. Wind gusts today through Tuesday morning can peak up to 
  50mph.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

27

307 
WWUS71 KALY 161734
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
134 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

NYZ059-060-064-065-171100-
/O.EXA.KALY.WI.Y.0004.260316T2100Z-260317T1500Z/
Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-
Including the cities of Poughkeepsie, Arlington, Athens,
Coxsackie, Jefferson Heights, Kingston, New Paltz, Hudson,
Beacon, Cairo, and Catskill
134 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Eastern Greene, Eastern Ulster, Western Columbia, and 
  Western Dutchess Counties.

* WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...South to southwest winds will strengthen this 
  afternoon into this evening before a potent cold front sweeps 
  through the region tonight resulting in winds to switch to the 
  west. Wind gusts tonight through Tuesday morning can peak up to 45 
  mph.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ054-061-066-VTZ013>015-171100-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0004.260316T1800Z-260317T1500Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Eastern Rensselaer-Eastern Columbia-Eastern
Dutchess-Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Hoosick Falls, Stamford, Woodford State
Park, Amenia, Dalton, Millbrook, Pittsfield, Gaylordsville,
Hancock, Stephentown, Bellows Falls, Florida, Stanfordville,
South Egremont, Thomaston, Dover Plains, New Lebanon, Pine
Plains, Terryville, Oakville, Brattleboro, Wingdale, Torrington,
North Adams, Great Barrington, New Milford, Berlin, Eagle Bridge,
West Brattleboro, Stratton, Sandisfield, Pownal, Londonderry,
Pawling, Bennington, and Guilford Center
134 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Litchfield County. In Massachusetts, 
  Berkshire County. In New York, Eastern Columbia, Eastern Dutchess, 
  and Eastern Rensselaer Counties. In Vermont, Bennington and 
  Windham Counties.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...South to southwest winds will strengthen this 
  afternoon into this evening before a potent cold front sweeps 
  through the region tonight resulting in winds to switch to the 
  west. Wind gusts tonight through Tuesday morning can peak up to 50 
  mph.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ041>043-048>053-058-063-083-084-171100-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0004.260316T2100Z-260317T1500Z/
Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren-Northern Washington-Western
Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-
Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Western Greene-Western Ulster-
Southeast Warren-Southern Washington-
Including the cities of Knox, Mariaville, Greenwich, Cambridge,
Johnsburg, Ellenville, Huletts Landing, Windham, Hudson Falls,
Albany, Granville, Hunter, Prattsville, North River, Napanoch,
Waterford, Whitehall, Delanson, Burnt Hills, Troy, Altamont, West
Shokan, Warrensburg, Woodstock, West Hurley, North Creek, Glens
Falls, North Easton, Tannersville, Saratoga Lake, Berne, Sundown,
Kerhonkson, Middle Falls, Preston Hollow, West Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Fort Edward, Bolton Landing, Ballston Spa,
Clifton Park, Hague, Mechanicville, Schenectady, Rotterdam,
Westerlo, and Duanesburg
134 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM 
EDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...The Lake George-Saratoga region, Greater Capital District, 
  Helderbergs, and eastern Catskills in New York.

* WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...South to southwest winds will strengthen this 
  afternoon into this evening before a potent cold front sweeps 
  through the region tonight resulting in winds to switch to the 
  west. Wind gusts tonight through Tuesday morning can peak up to 45 
  mph.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

05

685 
WWUS71 KALY 170558
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
158 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ054-061-066-VTZ013>015-171500-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-260317T1500Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Eastern Rensselaer-Eastern Columbia-Eastern
Dutchess-Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of North Adams, Berlin, Torrington,
Stephentown, Oakville, Dalton, Terryville, Pawling, Bennington,
Thomaston, Pownal, Stamford, Londonderry, Great Barrington,
Pittsfield, West Brattleboro, Gaylordsville, Hoosick Falls,
Woodford State Park, Guilford Center, Florida, Amenia, Wingdale,
New Milford, Sandisfield, South Egremont, Eagle Bridge,
Stanfordville, New Lebanon, Hancock, Brattleboro, Dover Plains,
Stratton, Bellows Falls, Pine Plains, and Millbrook
158 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Litchfield County. In Massachusetts, 
  Berkshire County. In New York, Eastern Columbia, Eastern Dutchess, 
  and Eastern Rensselaer Counties. In Vermont, Bennington and 
  Windham Counties.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...In the wake of a strong cold front, gusty 
  westerly winds will continue through the morning hours.  Gusts 
  through the early morning hours will continue to be up to 55 mph, 
  with gusts decreasing to 40 to 45 mph by the mid to late morning 
  hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ041>043-048>053-058>060-063>065-083-084-171500-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-260317T1500Z/
Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren-Northern Washington-Western
Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-
Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Western Greene-Eastern Greene-
Western Columbia-Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-
Southeast Warren-Southern Washington-
Including the cities of New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Granville,
Kingston, Burnt Hills, Coxsackie, Mechanicville, Johnsburg,
Kerhonkson, Hudson, Knox, Delanson, Westerlo, Hudson Falls,
Saratoga Lake, Windham, Jefferson Heights, Ellenville, West Glens
Falls, Cambridge, Middle Falls, Troy, Duanesburg, Hunter, Bolton
Landing, Sundown, Arlington, North River, Warrensburg, Ballston
Spa, Catskill, Athens, Saratoga Springs, Prattsville, Napanoch,
North Easton, Whitehall, Cairo, Mariaville, Albany, Schenectady,
Hague, Altamont, West Hurley, Beacon, Huletts Landing, Woodstock,
Berne, Clifton Park, Glens Falls, Greenwich, North Creek,
Waterford, Rotterdam, Fort Edward, Tannersville, West Shokan, and
Preston Hollow
158 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...The Lake George-Saratoga region, Greater Capital District, 
  Helderbergs, and eastern Catskills in New York

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...In the wake of a strong cold front, gusty 
  westerly winds will continue through the morning hours.  Gusts 
  through the early morning hours will continue to be up to 55 mph, 
  with gusts decreasing to 40 to 45 mph by the mid to late morning 
  hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

27

536 
WWUS71 KALY 171243
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
843 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ041>043-048>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013>015-171345-
/O.CAN.KALY.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-260317T1500Z/
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren-Northern
Washington-Western Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady-Southern
Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern
Rensselaer-Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern
Columbia-Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Eastern
Dutchess-Southeast Warren-Southern Washington-Bennington-Western
Windham-Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Berlin, Cambridge, Berne, Windham,
Beacon, Thomaston, Gaylordsville, Granville, Schenectady, Dalton,
Dover Plains, Hague, Pine Plains, Arlington, North River,
Sundown, Preston Hollow, New Lebanon, Mechanicville, Whitehall,
Pownal, Oakville, Mariaville, Kerhonkson, Stamford, Coxsackie,
Wingdale, Ballston Spa, Athens, Millbrook, Eagle Bridge,
Torrington, Bellows Falls, Knox, Troy, Kingston, West Hurley,
Poughkeepsie, Londonderry, Burnt Hills, Sandisfield, Delanson,
Ellenville, Stratton, Prattsville, North Easton, South Egremont,
Guilford Center, Stanfordville, Brattleboro, Pawling, Saratoga
Lake, Amenia, Great Barrington, Cairo, West Brattleboro, Hancock,
West Shokan, Napanoch, New Paltz, Hudson Falls, Hoosick Falls,
Greenwich, Catskill, Duanesburg, Altamont, Huletts Landing, Glens
Falls, Jefferson Heights, New Milford, Florida, Johnsburg,
Clifton Park, Woodstock, Saratoga Springs, Rotterdam,
Warrensburg, Westerlo, Middle Falls, Tannersville, North Adams,
Bennington, Fort Edward, Woodford State Park, Pittsfield,
Waterford, North Creek, Albany, Hunter, Terryville, West Glens
Falls, Bolton Landing, Hudson, and Stephentown
843 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Wind gusts continue to decrease this morning, with winds gusting 
this early afternoon between 20 and 30 mph.

$$

05

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albany NY
632 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Added a light glaze of freezing rain tonight across the high
terrain of the ADKs and southern Greens. Otherwise, little has
changed with the multi-hazard storm tonight through tomorrow
night, with gusty winds and heavy rain still expected.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) High confidence for a storm system to bring gusty winds this
evening through Tuesday, with rain, heavy at times tonight
through tomorrow night. Ponding of water in urban /poor drainage
areas, minor river flooding (mainly for New England), and a few
power outages are all possible.

2) Rain changing to wet snow before ending Monday night into
Tuesday could lead to slippery travel conditions, especially
north and west of the Capital District.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Storm system that will impact our region tomorrow is currently
taking shape over the southern Plains, with a 989 mb sfc low out
ahead of an amplifying upper-level trough seen on GOES 16 WV
imagery. Ahead of this system, our weather is tranquil, with
partly to mostly clear skies under sfc high pressure. Temperatures
range from the upper 10s to around 30 through the rest of
tonight. As the sfc low to our west continues to amplify and
track towards the Great Lakes today, it will help to lift a weak
mid-level warm front across our region. This may result in a
few light snow showers for the Catskills, Mohawk Valley, and
ADKs this morning into early this afternoon, but any snow
accumulations look minimal given very light precip. Despite
mostly cloudy skies today, it will be warmer than yesterday with
highs ranging from mid 30s to mid 40s. Winds also become gusty
this afternoon into early this evening with the deepening low to
our west, but the strongest winds will hold off until
tonight.

.The upper trough continues to amplify over the center of the
country, with the associated sfc low deepening to <980 mb as it
tracks into the western Great Lakes tonight into tomorrow. The
sfc warm front will lift northwards tonight, along with a weak
upper impulse embedded in SW flow ahead of the deepening
trough. The combination of increasing moisture and isentropic
lift/warm advection will lead to areas of rain tracking from
S/SW to N/NE across the region tonight, especially after
midnight. With Showalter values dropping below 0, a few rumbles
of thunder will be possible across the Mid Hudson Valley and
western New England. For the high terrain of the ADKs and
southern Greens, sfc temperatures will be near or just below
freezing, so some patchy freezing rain will be possible here.
Given marginal thermal profiles and fairly sparse coverage of
freezing rain, have decided against winter weather advisory
issuance for any of our zones in collaboration with BTV and
GYX. Nevertheless, a few slick spots will be possible in these
aforementioned areas, which we plan to handle with SPSs as
needed. The strengthening southerly LLJ tonight will also lead
to S/SE winds becoming gusty, especially in the favored west
slopes of the Taconics and southern Greens where some downslope
enhancement is expected, especially before precip arrives.
However, gusts look to remain below advisory criteria at this
time.

Tomorrow, a lull in the steady precip is expected for much of
our region, although scattered to numerous showers linger across
western New England. The LLJ continues to strengthen to 55-65+
kt Monday, but with abundant cloud cover, scattered showers, and
a low-level inversion in place, there is some question as to how
much of the wind will be able to mix down to the surface.
Current forecast does have near advisory-level winds Monday
afternoon, especially east of I-87. If confidence increases,
then an advisory could be issued over the next 12-24 hrs. Strong
warm advection Monday will also help temperatures rise well
into the 50s to low 60s.

The system's cold front tracks through the region Monday evening
into Monday night. Ahead of the front, PWATs surge to 1.1 to
1.25", which is near or potentially above the daily max per the
SPC sounding climatology. Forcing looks quite impressive as
well, with very strong low-level convergence along the front and
impressive upper dynamics (CVA, right entrance of the upper jet
nearby). This overlap of anomalous moisture and forcing will
result in heavy rain with the frontal passage. WPC has most of
our area in a marginal risk ERO. While flash flood potential
looks rather low due to the somewhat progressive nature of the
cold front, ponding of water in the typical urban/poor drainage
areas certainly looks possible. With total QPF amounts of 1-2"
(locally higher amounts possible in southwestern New England and
the Catskills), rises on main stem rivers are expected, with
the NERFC, along with the HEFS and NAEFS ensembles continuing to
show a low to moderate chance for minor flooding on a few
main stem rivers, mainly in western New England. Will also note
that while much of the river ice was flushed out last weekend,
any lingering river ice (mainly in the ADKs) may be broken up by
the runoff from the rain, so additional isolated ice jam issues
in the ADKs can't be ruled out.

Other thing to mention with this frontal passage is severe
weather threat. There looks to be a narrow cold frontal rainband
crossing the region ahead of the cold front Monday evening
within a high shear/low CAPE environment. For most of our area,
timing of the cold frontal passage looks to be after sunset,
which should limit the amount of surface based instability.
That said, given strong forcing and very strong low-level jet,
even modest SBCAPE values would be sufficient for this line of
convection to mix strong wind gusts down to the sfc. While
confidence is low whether or not this will happen, SPC does have
our southwestern zones in a marginal risk for severe weather.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
Temperatures quickly drop below freezing behind the cold front
Monday night. The falling temperatures should allow for rain to
change over to wet snow, especially for areas north and west of
the Capital District where up to a couple inches of new snow
will be possible. Any areas that see snow could see some
slippery road conditions, and even areas that see mainly rain
could have a few slick spots with temperatures dropping
quickly behind the front. Precipitation comes to and end for
most of the region by Tuesday morning, but with a very cold
airmass moving in behind the departing sfc low (850 temps to
around -18C), lake effect snow showers are expected through
Tuesday night/early Wednesday across the western ADKs and
possibly western Mohawk Valley. Up to a few additional inches of
additional snow will be possible, especially in the ADKs.

Will also mention that winds look quite gusty behind the
departing front on Tuesday. Deep mixing within the low-level
cold advection regime should support wind gust to near advisory
criteria, especially in the normal W/NW channeled flow areas of
the Mohawk Valley, Capital District, and Berkshires. Wind
advisories will likely be needed as we get closer in time.

With the very cold airmass overhead, temperatures will be
several degrees below normal Tuesday with highs only in the 20s
to 30s. Temperatures Wednesday remain below normal as well, but
should moderate back near or above normal for Thursday through
the first half of next weekend. Once the lake effect snow
showers end, generally non-impactful weather expected through
the end of next week, although a couple of shortwaves embedded
within NW flow aloft could bring some light valley rain/high-
terrain snow showers at times through the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
IR satellite imagery show a band of mid level clouds is
currently increasing over the region. These clouds are
associated with a warm front lifting across the region. Despite
the clouds, there is no precip reaching the surface just yet,
as any precip aloft is dissipating before reaching the ground,
so flying conditions continue to be VFR this morning with bkn
cigs around 10-12 kft. Surface winds will remain very light to
calm.

As the warm front lifts northward, a snow shower may come close
to KGFL towards midday, so will allow for a VCSH there. Otherwise,
it will be continued dry. Ceilings will be lowering during the
morning hours, with bkn-ovc cigs around 5 kft by the mid to late
morning hours for all sites. After light and variable winds
early, south to southeast winds will increase for the afternoon
as the warm front passes. A few gusts up to 25 kts are possible
by late in the day at KALB, but lighter winds are expected for
the other sites.

With the persistent southerly flow, increasing low level
moisture will allow for MVFR stratus to move in for all sites
after 01z this evening. South to southeast winds will be around
10 kts, with some higher winds/gusts at KALB. Some LLWS will be
possible this evening where surface winds remains lighter, as 2
kft will be around 40-45 kts from the southeast. A period of
light rain will move from south to north for the late night
hours, bringing MVFR visibility and ceilings for all sites after
about 06z-08z.

Outlook...

Monday Night: High Operational Impact. Windy With Gusts To 38 kts. Definite RA...SN.
Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Windy With Gusts To 37 kts. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Windy With Gusts To 30 kts. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of RA...SN.
Thursday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of RA.
Friday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of RA.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...35
AVIATION...27

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Albany NY
830 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1144 PM     Snow             Landgrove               43.29N 72.84W
03/14/2026  M4.7 Inch        Bennington         VT   Broadcast Media

            WeatherNet6.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Albany NY
1159 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1150 AM     Snow             6 N Big Moose           43.91N 74.91W
03/15/2026  E4.5 Inch        Herkimer           NY   Public

            Norridgewock Lodge, Beaver River. Storm
            Total.

&&

15