Red Flag Warning 2, NWS Fairbanks, AK

653 
WWAK63 PAFG 111715
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
915 AM AKDT Mon May 11 2026

AKZ937-120600-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0002.260511T1800Z-260512T0600Z/
Delta Junction-
915 AM AKDT Mon May 11 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

* AFFECTED AREA...Delta Junction.

* TIMING...10 AM to 10 PM AKDT today.

* WINDS...South 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...Highs in the upper 50s.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected today
  due to a combination of low relative humidity, gusty winds, 
  and dry fuels. Any new fire starts or existing fires may spread
  rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

MacKay

418 
WWAK63 PAFG 120247
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
647 PM AKDT Mon May 11 2026

AKZ937-120400-
/O.CAN.PAFG.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260512T0600Z/
Delta Junction-
647 PM AKDT Mon May 11 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has cancelled the Red
Flag Warning.

Sustained winds have weakened to below 30 mph and relative 
humidity values have increased above 30 percent. Winds are 
expected to continually weaken throughout the evening. 

$$

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
704 AM AKDT Sun May 10 2026

Corrected for hazard list

.SYNOPSIS...
Gusty east to northeast winds across the eastern Arctic Coast
today could last through at least midweek. In the Interior,
generally warm and dry conditions are expected today. As a front
shifts north across the Alaska Range, gusty winds will pick up
through the passes. By this afternoon, showers (mostly rain) will
be possible extending from the West Coast to the eastern border in
a north-moving line along the front, although accumulations will
not be very heavy. Minor snow accumulations will be possible in
the Brooks Range and on the North Slope by tonight. Cooler
conditions are likely on Monday in the Central and Eastern
Interior, with a warming trend resuming on Tuesday.

&&

.KEY WEATHER MESSAGES...

Central and Eastern Interior...

- Chances for precipitation become more scattered across the
  Interior today and Monday. Precipitation type should be mostly
  rain, apart from higher elevations where snow or a rain/snow mix
  could occur.

- Maximum temperatures in much of the Southern Interior will
  reach or exceed 60F today, and after a brief dip Monday, the
  warming trend should continue.

- Gusty NE winds will continue across the northern Interior
  through Monday morning. Winds on the south slopes of the Brooks
  Range and Dalton Hwy Summits could gust as high as 35 mph.

- A front will passes through the Interior late Sunday into
  Monday bringing gusty southerly winds behind it. Southerly gap
  winds through the Alaska Range passes will reach their peak
  Sunday night into Monday with gusts to around 50 to 65 mph.

- This afternoon, isolated thunderstorms will be possible in the
  Middle and Upper Tanana Valley and nearby parts of the
  southeastern Interior.

West Coast and Western Interior...

- A front will lift north across Western Alaska from tonight into
  Monday morning, producing a band of precipitation which should
  be primarily rain.

- On Monday, the cool, dry air mass over the western half of the
  state will be replaced by warm, southerly flow bringing
  temperatures into the 50s for the Western Interior and 40s along
  the coast. The warming trend continues through next week.

North Slope and Brooks Range...

- Easterly winds continue across the Brooks Range at around 15 to
  25 mph. Monday, winds shift to southerly and winds become briefly
  gusty in the morning.

- The Central and Eastern Brooks Range will see continuing snow
  chances. Additional snow accumulations are not likely to exceed
  3 inches in most areas. Light snow with little or no
  accumulation will be possible elsewhere on the North Slope.

- Monday morning, a front brings a band of snow across the Brooks
  Range, arriving north of the Range by the afternoon.
  Accumulations should be generally less than an inch.

- Gusty winds continue across the North Slope today. Winds will be
  strongest along the Western and Eastern Arctic Coast where winds
  could peak upwards of 40 mph. Winds could remain elevated
  through at least Wednesday.

&&

.FORECAST ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION...
A 1018 mb surface high over the Arctic is helping to bring brisk
northeasterly winds to the eastern Arctic Coast. These winds could
last through at least midweek. A 517 dm upper low (at 500 mb) in
southwestern Alaska with 850 mb temperatures around −7C to −10C
will bring southerly flow on its east periphery, helping to bring
warm and dry conditions to the Central and Eastern Interior of
Alaska, with highs in the mid 50s to 60s. As a shortwave trough
embedded in the flow moves over the Alaska Range, winds will
increase through the Alaska Range passes, with gusty winds
possible through at least Tuesday morning. By this afternoon into
the overnight period, areas of (mostly rain) showers will be
possible across much of the Interior/West Coast (from the Norton
Sound area north) as the trough/surface front push northward. Some
isolated thunderstorms could also occur near the northern slopes
of the Alaska Range early on. Most of these showers are unlikely
to drop more than a few hundredths of an inch of liquid
precipitation. By tonight, these showers will begin to move across
the Brooks Range, where they could drop an inch or two of snow,
with very light snow possible across the North Slope/Arctic Coast
shortly thereafter. Temperatures will cool across the Interior by
a few degrees on Monday as colder air briefly intrudes from the
south/southwest. A warming trend resumes by Tuesday, with
temperatures potentially reaching into the mid 60s in some
Interior valleys. A mid-980s mb low in the southeastern Bering
Sea will bring light showers and potentially gusty southeasterly
winds to southwestern Alaska from early Tuesday into the
afternoon/evening. By midweek, temperatures at 850 mb in the
Eastern Interior could exceed 3 to 4C, which will correspond with
continuing warm weather at the surface.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A low in the Gulf of Alaska phases with a low over western Alaska,
creating a frontal boundary just south of the Alaska Range. This
front will move from south to north over the Interior beginning
Sunday afternoon/evening and into Monday bringing scattered rain
showers and possible thunder to the Interior. Although chances are
relatively low, convective showers with chances for wetting rain are
possible mainly across the AlCan border and parts of southeastern
Alaska. Behind the front, southerly gap winds through the Alaska
Range passes are expected to strengthen to around 35 to 45 mph, with
gusts as high as 65 mph possible. As the front pushes north, high
temperatures will briefly cool into the low to mid 50s on Monday
before warming again into the 60s by Tuesday. With prolonged daytime
heating and warming temperatures through the week, min RH values can
reach as low 25% at times across the Tanana Valley before expanding
into the Yukon Flats and Fortymile Country by midweek.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A Flood Warning is in effect for the Koyukuk River at Hughes for
reported ice jam flooding. The Flood Watch for the wider area
along the Koyukuk River near Hughes remains in effect. A Flood
Watch also remains in effect for the Kuskokwim River at McGrath
for a series of ice jams leading to potential flooding. Farther
east, members of the public and River Watch officials report
continued ice jam flooding on the Chatanika River west of the
Elliott Highway and along the Tanana River near the confluence
with the Cosna River. The Flood Watch for Manley has been allowed
to expire.

The Flood Warning has been cancelled for Chalkyitsik as water
levels have receded, and we will continue to monitor progression
on the Yukon River of the breakup front for any additional
hazards. The breakup front is below Beaver with heavy ice runs
expected at Fort Yukon where that area could see associated water
level rises but no flooding.

Head to www.weather.gov/aprfc for the latest hydro information.

&&

.EXTENDED FORECAST DAYS 4-7...
For Wednesday through next Sunday.
At the start of the extended forecast period, the pattern is
dominated by an upper level high over the Arctic Ocean and a very
large region of upper level low pressure stretching across the
Bering Sea. A weak ridge attempts to push into Northern Alaska from
Canada, but is halted by the other upper level features. Through the
end of the week the upper level low attempts to move east into the
Gulf of Alaska allowing the upper level high to start pushing into
Northern Alaska. The majority of flow throughout the pattern lies on
the south side of the upper level low and remains well to the south
of Northern Alaska leaving the region with relatively gentle weather
that slowly warms through the end of the week. The majority in
variance in the forecast remains south of the region so the forecast
remains fairly confident.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AK...Wind Advisory for AKZ849.
     Flood Watch for AKZ828-852.
PK...Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ809.
     Gale Warning for PKZ811.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ812.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ812.
     Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ813>815-857-858-860-861.
     Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ859.
&&

Saltzman
Stokes - Extended
Santiago - Fire Weather