Gale Warning 90, NWS Anchorage, AK

555 
FZAK52 PAFC 242308
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-251215-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A front moves through the Alaska Peninsula and Bristol Bay Sat 
and remains in the central Bering Sea through Mon. A North Pacific
low moves to 290 nm SE of Adak at 980 mb Sun afternoon. This low 
stalls and weakens to 984 mb Mon morning.

$$

PKZ750-251215-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape out to 15 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ751-251215-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape from 15 to 100 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ752-251215-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi out to 15 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ753-251215-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi from 15 to 100 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ754-251215-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ755-251215-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 100 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ756-251215-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon out to 15 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ757-251215-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon from 15 to 60 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ758-251215-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ759-251215-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 70 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ770-251215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side out to 15 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ772-251215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ771-251215-
Unalaska Bay-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ773-251215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ774-251215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side from 15 to 85 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ775-251215-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side out to 15 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ776-251215-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ777-251215-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacfic Side out to 15 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ778-251215-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ780-251215-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side out to 15 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ781-251215-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ782-251215-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ783-251215-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ784-251215-
Adak to Kiska Bering Side-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ785-251215-
Adak to Kiska Pacific Side-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 13 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ786-251215-
Kiska to Attu Bering Side-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ787-251215-
Kiska to Attu Pacific Side-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming NW 30 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ766-251215-
Pribilof Islands Nearshore Waters-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ760-251215-
Bristol Bay greater than 15 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ761-251215-
Bristol Bay from Port Heiden to Cape Chichagof out to 15 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ762-251215-
Bristol Bay from Cape Chichagof to Cape Pierce out to 15 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ763-251215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait out to 15 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ764-251215-
Kuskokwim Delta from 15 to 80 NM-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.

$$

PKZ765-251215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt.
.WED...N wind 25 kt.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ767-251215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
208 PM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 12 ft. Freezing
spray.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 12 ft. Freezing
spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 40 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft. Freezing
spray.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 14 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 19 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
434 PM AKST Fri Jan 23 2026

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

The ridge that has brought mostly clear skies and fog in
Southcentral lingers on. This means that another round of fog is
possible tonight. Large temperature inversions between lower and
higher elevations continues. Winds remain calm due to the
influence of the ridge. However, Kodiak Island's forecast differs
greatly. They will see much precipitation over the next few days
due a shortwave and a good fetch of moisture streaming into the
island. Up to 2 inches of rain could be seen by Sunday. Also,
gusty gale force winds are likely starting Saturday morning for
Shelikof Strait and the waters west of Sitkinak Island. Winds will
diminish on Sunday. Over the weekend, the ridge will elongate as
two upper lows compress it from the southwest and the northeast.
Eventually, a large col that spans southern Alaska will form.
Weather will remain similar for mainland Southcentral (dry and
calm), but with the ridge out of the way the inversion will break
down and a pattern change looms.

This pattern change will arrive Sunday night into Monday as the
shortwave over Kodiak Island moves northeast and sends a front
inland. The current thinking is that this will bring snowfall
across the mainland including the Kenai Peninsula, Anchorage, and
the Mat-Su Valley with more models coming into agreement about
this scenario. What is uncertain is how much snowfall these areas
will receive and if there will be a period of freezing drizzle
before the dendritic growth zone becomes saturated. Weather becomes
more active after this as many weak waves look to move into the
Gulf of Alaska.

-JAR

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3)...

Longwave troughing extending off a low pressure system in the
North Pacific is working to shunt the high pressure ridging
northward out of Southwest Alaska today. There is a band of
precipitation carried along the front bringing rain/snow and
possibly a brief period of freezing rain along the Alaska
Peninsula, and rain to the Eastern Aleutians, including Unalaska
today and Saturday. The current expectation is that most of
Southwest will remain on the drier side, with the exception being
the northern Bristol Bay coast and Western Capes from Dillingham
to Cape Newenham. Rain and/or freezing rain is possible along the
aforementioned area, though uncertainty remains high if enough
moisture is able to track that far north. If rain/freezing rain
does fall, it will be light. There are lesser but non-zero chances
for freezing rain to reach as far as the Kuskokwim Delta.
Persistent northeasterly flow across the Delta may help keep the
colder, drier air in place and mitigate the chance for freezing
rain. Stay tuned as new information becomes available and the
forecast is refined.

Elsewhere across the Bering Sea and Aleutians, mostly benign
conditions are expected. A core of gale force winds will continue
to diminish over the Western Aleutians today. Widespread small
craft winds and light precipitation will persist across the Bering
Sea over the next couple of days.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday through
Friday)...

The persistent upper level trough over Kamchatka and the western
Bering Sea looks likely to continue through midweek. Several
shortwaves and accompanying surface lows will lift in succession
from the North Pacific and across the western Bering, keeping
windy and wet weather conditions through the Western and Central
Aleutians.

The upper level ridge that has been comfortably sitting over
Mainland Alaska looks to flatten early in the week as an Arctic
low from the Yukon moves across northern Alaska to the YK Delta by
Tuesday and Wednesday. Cold temperatures with single digits above
and below zero appear likely for Southwest Alaska with windchills
approaching minus 30 degrees for some locations. Offshore,
easterly flow at the surface seems likely which raises concerns
for heavy to extreme freezing spray along the ice edge in northern
and eastern Bering Sea. Confidence is increasing for the Arctic
low marching west and phasing with the main trough over the Bering
Sea through the rest of the week. The flattening high pressure
ridge over southern Alaska, could rebuild across from the AlCan
border west, but upper level southerly flow dominating the
Mainland seems more probable. This would allow for embedded lows
within this flow to track into Southcentral. Precipitation along
the coast seems very likely, but details would depend on the exact
track as its interaction with terrain could aid in the
enhancement or drying of the atmosphere in specific locations. At
this time, there seems to be some models leaning towards a band of
precipitation (mostly snow with a small potential for freezing
drizzle at the onset) setting up in northern Cook Inlet for Monday
and Tuesday.

Weak surface lows could move through the Alaska Peninsula and the
western Gulf through early next week. There are still some
differences in the surfaces features though.

Rux

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Similar conditions are expected for the next 30 hours, with
IFR to LIFR visibilities and ceilings expected overnight and into
the morning given the lack of substantial forcing or driving wind
flow. The timing of densest fog remains challenging to forecast,
as this will depend on the intermittent high clouds overhead, as
well as how very light and variable surface winds may affect fog
formation and advection.

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
1245 AM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

AKZ701-711-241245-
Anchorage-Lower Matanuska Valley-
Including the cities of Anchorage, Eagle River, Eklutna, Palmer,
Wasilla, and Big Lake
1245 AM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...AREAS OF FOG FORMING ALONG THE KNIK ARM AND LOWER MATANUSKA
VALLEY...

Upper level high pressure and mostly clear skies is allowing for
areas of light fog to develop tonight along the Knik Arm from
Anchorage Bowl up through the lower Matanuska Valley, including
the Knik River Bridge. Patchy dense fog may also develop at times.
Be prepared for rapidly changing visibility by reducing your
speed in areas of fog and only using your low beam headlights when
traveling.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

AKZ701-711-241600-
Anchorage-Lower Matanuska Valley-
Including the cities of Anchorage, Eagle River, Eklutna, Palmer,
Wasilla, and Big Lake
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 24 2026

...AREAS OF FOG ALONG THE KNIK ARM AND LOWER MATANUSKA VALLEY...

Upper level high pressure and mostly clear skies has allowed
areas of light fog to develop overnight along the Knik Arm from
Anchorage Bowl up through the lower Matanuska Valley, including
the Knik River Bridge. Isolated patches of dense fog may also
develop at times. Be prepared for rapidly changing visibility by
reducing your speed in areas of fog and only using your low beam
headlights when traveling.