Severe Thunderstorm Warning 113, NWS Albuquerque, NM

262 
WWUS55 KABQ 192128
SVSABQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
328 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

NMC047-192145-
/O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0113.000000T0000Z-260619T2145Z/
San Miguel NM-
328 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM MDT FOR
WEST CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL COUNTY...

At 328 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Ribera, or 24
miles southwest of Las Vegas, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
  Villanueva and Villanueva State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Anyone outdoors should move to shelter inside a well-built structure
and stay away from windows. This storm is capable of producing
dangerous hail and damaging winds.

This dangerous storm is capable of producing large hail driven by
severe winds! Seek shelter now inside a sturdy structure and stay
away from windows! If you are caught outdoors, cover your head and
neck.

&&

LAT...LON 3529 10538 3527 10533 3519 10534 3524 10559
      3536 10553
TIME...MOT...LOC 2119Z 333DEG 12KT 3535 10548

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

MA

612 
WWUS55 KABQ 192134
SVSABQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
334 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

NMC047-192145-
/O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0113.000000T0000Z-260619T2145Z/
San Miguel NM-
334 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY...

At 334 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Ribera, or 24
miles southwest of Las Vegas, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
  Villanueva and Villanueva State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Anyone outdoors should move to shelter inside a well-built structure
and stay away from windows. This storm is capable of producing
dangerous hail and damaging winds.

This dangerous storm is capable of producing large hail driven by
severe winds! Seek shelter now inside a sturdy structure and stay
away from windows! If you are caught outdoors, cover your head and
neck.

&&

LAT...LON 3529 10538 3527 10533 3519 10534 3523 10555
      3535 10551
TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 300DEG 14KT 3532 10546

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

MA

211 
WWUS55 KABQ 192145 RRA
SVSABQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
345 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

NMC047-192155-
/O.EXP.KABQ.SV.W.0113.000000T0000Z-260619T2145Z/
San Miguel NM-
345 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR SOUTHWESTERN SAN
MIGUEL COUNTY...

The Severe Thunderstorm Warning that was previously in effect has
been reissued for San Miguel County and is in effect until 430 PM
MDT. Please refer to that bulletin for the latest severe weather
information.

&&

LAT...LON 3529 10538 3527 10533 3519 10534 3523 10555
      3535 10551
TIME...MOT...LOC 2134Z 300DEG 14KT 3530 10544

$$

MA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
211 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 207 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

- Thunderstorm activity will favor areas along and east of the
  central mountain chain this afternoon. There is a moderate risk
  of heavy rainfall on recent burn scars near Ruidoso.

- Rapid fire spread will be possible Saturday afternoon from
  incredibly dry conditions and strengthening westerly winds thru
  the northwestern quadrant of NM.

- A moderate heat risk remains for lower elevation areas of
  western and central NM today, and all lower elevation locales
  this weekend where highs will flirt with 100 degrees.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 207 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Afternoon thunderstorms are beginning to develop across the central
mountain chain, and are forecast to continue to do so through the
afternoon hours before moving off into the eastern plains. Most
storms south of US-60 should exhibit slow storm motions, while
storms to the north will have more noticable east to southeast
motions to them. Most storms will be capable of producing a few
tenths of an inch of rain, which should not provide much in the way
of a flash flood risk unless storms regenerate over the same area or
fall on sensitive areas such as burn scars. The storms moving off of
the Sangre de Cristo Mountains will encounter a more sheared
environment (~20-30kts of 0-6km bulk shear), which may help develop
an isolated strong to severe storm this afternoon and evening. SPC
has maintained a Marginal (1/5) Risk for this area, which aligns
with our local thinking. Outside of eastern NM, a few showers and an
isolated thunderstorm may develop across the western high terrain,
which would likely produce outflow boundaries that cause erratic
gusty winds throughout much of the Rio Grande Valley this evening.
Thunderstorm and outflow activity should decrease through the
evening hours before tapering off by midnight.

The state continues to be divided into a moist east and dry west
moving into Saturday. Upper level flow becomes more zonal with
tightening pressure gradients indicating stronger winds aloft. At
the surface, very dry air (humidity values in the single digits)
will advance into much of western NM, continuing the hot and dry
trend. In eastern NM, this dry air will begin to advance eastward,
setting up a dryline across the plains. There continues to be model
disagreement as to whether thunderstorms can actually get going
across this dryline. The better upper level diffluence remains over
CO, so the most likely scenario is that we see 1 to 2 storms develop
across the eastern plains in the afternoon. Have increased PoPs to
10% across much of the area of the dryline to account for this low
confidence scenario. Returning to CO, the upper level westerlies
sets up the development of a surface low in southeast CO, stretching
into northeast NM. As a result, surface winds will increase across
the area, with south to southwest wind gusts around 30-35mph likely.
As also mentioned before, this is the corridor with better upper
level diffluence, so storm development is more favored just north of
the state border. There is a slight chance that a developing cluster
of storms clips Union County in the afternoon hours. SPC has
maintained another Marginal (1/5) Risk for far northeast Union
County as there is better shear (~30-40kts), though the confidence
is not very high that we will see a storm in the area.

For Saturday's temperatures. we look to remain in the high 90s to
low 100s for lower elevations, with up to the high 80s for our
higher elevation areas. Heat risk looks to remain at a moderate for
much of eastern NM and the Rio Grande Valley. Folks should continue
to stay hydrated and take breaks if outside for an extended period
of time.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 207 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

The dry air looks to win out in its battle against the moisture on
Sunday, as relative humidity values are forecast to drop into the
single digits for just about every location in our forecast area. In
fact, a vast majority of the area will see between 12-20 hours of
single digit humidity! Suffice to say, it will be quite dry on
Sunday. In turn, the heat risk also increases as temperatures
continue to rise. The Rio Grande Valley remains in the high 90s to
low 100s, and the eastern plains rise into the low to mid 100s.
Moderate to locally major heat risk is likely to be seen across our
lower elevation areas. A Heat Advisory or two may need to be
considered for some of our southeast areas.

A backdoor front looks to enter northeast NM Sunday night,
replenishing moisture to the area. There is a low chance that a few
showers could develop as it pushes through, along with a few wind
gusts near or above 40mph. As that settles against the central
mountain chain through the day on Monday, east to southeast upslope
flow should allow for thunderstorms to develop across the Sangre de
Cristo Mountains during the afternoon. Strengthening upper level
flow looks to increase the shear across the area, so a few storms
have the chance to turn strong to severe.

Our first rendition of the Monsoon high looks to build into
southwest NM through the early to middle part of next week. With
moisture remaining in eastern NM, daily thunderstorm chances on the
high terrain looks like the most likely solution, with these storms
moving off into the east. Shear values each day appear sufficient
enough for a few strong to severe thunderstorms. Across northwest
and western NM, the westerly flow around the northern periphery of
the high may bring about a few drier showers and perhaps a
thunderstorm through the middle part of the week. The hottest
temperatures of next week are expected in our southern and southwest
areas as they are forecast to sit almost directly underneath the
center of the high. This pattern of daily thunderstorms in the east
and hot and mostly dry conditions in the west looks to continue
throughout much of next week and potentially into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1132 AM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

A few breezy west to southwest winds are expected to pick up here
through the afternoon hours, with the exception of south to
southeast winds across eastern NM. A few thunderstorms are forecast
to develop off of the central mountain chain after 18z today, which
will be capable of producing gusty and erratic winds up to 40kts
in and around them. Some storm development is expected across the
Jemez Mountains as well near KLAM, which is forecast to drift off
towards KSAF, producing another batch of outflow winds. Isolated
to scattered thunderstorms should drift off into eastern NM
through the evening, dissipating by 03z. A few leftover outflow
winds are forecast to push through the central mountain chain
later this evening, affecting KABQ and possibly KAEG. Elsewhere,
light winds remain overnight and are not expected to strengthen
again until near the end of the TAF period.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 207 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Critical fire weather conditions are expected across northwest NM on
Saturday. The main driving force for the newly issued Red Flag
Warning is the excessively dry conditions (humidity values down to
5%, with 6-12 hours of single digit humidity) and the ERCs being at
or above the 90th percentile, per the Southwest Coordination Center
(SWCC). Winds will be marginally critical, about 15-25 mph out of
the west, but the very dry conditions allowed for high enough
confidence to go with a RFW. Winds will also be strong in northeast
NM, with some locations getting into critical humidity thresholds,
but SWCC ERCs east of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains sit around the
50th percentile. So while conditions may be met for critical fire
weather in a few areas in northeast NM, the lack of receptive
fuels led to no fire weather product being issued. There is also a
chance for rainfall across the area today and tomorrow,
continuing to limit receptive fuels.

For Sunday, the very dry air continues to stretch across all of New
Mexico, with most areas seeing 12-20 hours of single digit RH. The
winds remain rather light, limiting concern for critical fire
weather at the moment. There is likely to be areas of elevated to
near critical across the central highlands where winds around 15mph
are expected. Given the very dry conditions, should the forecast
winds increase, it will not take much to reach critical conditions.
A backdoor cold front enters NM Sunday night, creating breezy north
to northeast winds across eastern NM. This will replenish moisture
across that half of the state, and daily rounds of thunderstorm
chances looks likely to occur throughout much of next week. Across
central and western NM, temperatures will remain hot and the air
will remain mostly dry (RH a or below 15%). Winds look to remain
light for the most part across the area through next week, so there
is currently low confidence in critical fire weather conditions
Monday onward.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  63  94  52  92 /   0   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  49  89  44  89 /   0   0   0   0
Cuba............................  59  89  51  87 /   0   0   0   0
Gallup..........................  51  89  46  89 /   0   0   0   0
El Morro........................  54  87  48  86 /   0   0   0   0
Grants..........................  55  92  48  91 /   0   0   0   0
Quemado.........................  53  90  49  88 /   0   0   0   0
Magdalena.......................  63  92  58  92 /   5   0   0   0
Datil...........................  57  88  52  88 /   0   0   0   0
Reserve.........................  49  93  50  94 /   0   0   0   0
Glenwood........................  54  96  57  97 /   0   0   0   0
Chama...........................  49  83  44  83 /   0   0   0   0
Los Alamos......................  65  89  58  88 /   5   0   0   0
Pecos...........................  57  89  55  89 /   0   0   0   0
Cerro/Questa....................  57  86  50  86 /   5   0   0   0
Red River.......................  47  78  44  77 /  10   0   0   0
Angel Fire......................  45  82  43  81 /  10   0   0   0
Taos............................  54  90  49  89 /   5   0   0   0
Mora............................  53  88  51  88 /  10   0   0   0
Espanola........................  63  97  55  95 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe........................  64  90  57  89 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe Airport................  61  93  55  92 /   5   0   0   0
Albuquerque Foothills...........  71  96  64  95 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  68  98  64  96 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  67 100  64  99 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  69  98  63  97 /   0   0   0   0
Belen...........................  65 101  62 100 /   0   0   0   0
Bernalillo......................  69  98  63  97 /   0   0   0   0
Bosque Farms....................  65  99  62  98 /   0   0   0   0
Corrales........................  69  99  63  98 /   0   0   0   0
Los Lunas.......................  66 100  63  99 /   0   0   0   0
Placitas........................  69  95  62  93 /   0   0   0   0
Rio Rancho......................  69  98  63  96 /   0   0   0   0
Socorro.........................  69 102  65 102 /   5   0   0   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  63  91  58  90 /   0   0   0   0
Tijeras.........................  63  92  59  91 /   0   0   0   0
Edgewood........................  61  93  57  92 /   0   0   0   0
Moriarty/Estancia...............  58  94  55  93 /   0   0   0   0
Clines Corners..................  57  90  57  89 /   5   0   0   0
Mountainair.....................  60  93  58  93 /   0   0   0   0
Gran Quivira....................  61  92  60  92 /   0   0   0   0
Carrizozo.......................  65  95  66  96 /   0   0   0   0
Ruidoso.........................  60  87  62  88 /   0   0   0   0
Capulin.........................  52  89  54  89 /  20  10   0   0
Raton...........................  52  94  52  93 /  20   5   0   0
Springer........................  53  95  52  95 /  30  20   0   0
Las Vegas.......................  55  91  54  91 /  20   0   0   0
Clayton.........................  60  94  63  96 /  20  10   0   0
Roy.............................  57  93  57  94 /  30  10   0   0
Conchas.........................  62 101  64 102 /  30  10   0   0
Santa Rosa......................  61  97  65  97 /  30  10   0   0
Tucumcari.......................  64 100  68 102 /  30  10   0   0
Clovis..........................  64  97  67 102 /  20  10   5   0
Portales........................  64  99  68 104 /  20  10  10   0
Fort Sumner.....................  65  98  67 102 /  30  10   0   0
Roswell.........................  68 101  67 106 /   0   5   0   0
Picacho.........................  62  96  66  99 /  10  10   0   0
Elk.............................  59  94  63  96 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from noon to 7 PM MDT Saturday for NMZ101-105-
120-121.

&&

SHORT TERM...77
LONG TERM....77
AVIATION...77

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
148 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

NMZ214-215-229-192015-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains NM-Northeast Highlands NM-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains NM-
148 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY
UNTIL 215 PM MDT...

At 148 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6
miles southwest of El Porvenir, or 13 miles west of Las Vegas, moving
southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  El Porvenir, Mineral Hill, San Geronimo, San Pablo and Gallinas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 3570 10554 3575 10539 3556 10525 3550 10552
      3559 10553 3559 10552 3560 10553
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 334DEG 12KT 3563 10546

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
222 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

NMZ215-192100-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains NM-
222 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL MORA COUNTY UNTIL
3 PM MDT...

At 222 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Coyote Creek State Park, or 14 miles northeast of Mora, and is
stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Coyote Creek State Park and Guadalupita.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 3620 10526 3626 10519 3618 10506 3607 10523
      3611 10527 3612 10527 3613 10528 3613 10527
      3614 10527 3614 10528 3615 10529 3616 10528
      3619 10528 3617 10527 3617 10526 3618 10526
      3619 10525
TIME...MOT...LOC 2022Z 315DEG 1KT 3616 10523

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
231 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

NMZ215-229-192115-
Northeast Highlands NM-East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains NM-
231 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL COUNTY
UNTIL 315 PM MDT...

At 231 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles east of Upper Colonias, or 13 miles west of Las Vegas, moving
south at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Tecolote, San Pablo, San Geronimo, Ojitos Frios, Mineral Hill and
  San Jose.

This includes Interstate 25 between Mile Markers 322 and 337.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

Heavy rains from severe thunderstorms can produce sudden and
dangerous flows in arroyos, ditches and over low water crossings. Do
not attempt to drive through areas where water covers the roadway.

&&

LAT...LON 3556 10555 3557 10555 3557 10554 3558 10554
      3559 10553 3559 10550 3560 10550 3560 10548
      3561 10548 3562 10549 3566 10540 3544 10524
      3538 10532 3538 10547
TIME...MOT...LOC 2030Z 339DEG 10KT 3554 10544

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
236 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

NMZ240-192100-
Southwest Chaves County NM-
236 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN CHAVES COUNTY UNTIL
3 PM MDT...

At 236 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 19
miles southeast of Dunken, or 54 miles southwest of Roswell, moving
east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Mainly rural areas of Southwestern Chaves County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

Heavy rains from severe thunderstorms can produce sudden and
dangerous flows in arroyos, ditches and over low water crossings. Do
not attempt to drive through areas where water covers the roadway.

&&

LAT...LON 3252 10506 3279 10506 3281 10484 3252 10484
TIME...MOT...LOC 2036Z 263DEG 10KT 3267 10492

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
300 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

NMZ240-192130-
Southwest Chaves County NM-
300 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN CHAVES COUNTY UNTIL
330 PM MDT...

At 300 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 19
miles east of Dunken, or 48 miles southwest of Roswell, moving
northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Mainly rural areas of Southwestern Chaves County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 3261 10496 3290 10504 3291 10484 3260 10484
TIME...MOT...LOC 2100Z 235DEG 12KT 3275 10489

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
316 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

NMZ238-239-192145-
Chaves County Plains NM-Eastern Lincoln County NM-
316 PM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN AND CENTRAL
CHAVES COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM MDT...

At 316 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12
miles east of Tinnie, or 29 miles west of Roswell, moving east at 25
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Sunset.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 10518 3340 10512 3345 10473 3309 10471
      3314 10490 3314 10492
TIME...MOT...LOC 2116Z 269DEG 22KT 3331 10503

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Shoemake