Flash Flood Warning 7, NWS Albuquerque, NM

733 
WGUS75 KABQ 032113
FFSABQ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
313 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

NMC047-032245-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-260603T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Miguel NM-
313 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE HERMITS PEAK AND CALF CANYON BURN SCAR
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR NORTHWESTERN
SAN MIGUEL COUNTY...

At 313 PM MDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
thunderstorms producing heavy rain over the Hermits Peak and Calf
Canyon Burn Scar. Between 0.75 and 1.25 inches of rain have fallen.
Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in the
warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the burn scar will impact Gallinas Creek and
Tecolote Creek. The debris flow can consist of rock, mud, vegetation
and other loose materials.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding in and around the Hermits Peak and Calf
         Canyon Burn Scar.

SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around the
         Hermits Peak and Calf Canyon Burn Scar.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  El Porvenir, Montezuma, Gallinas, Mineral Hill and San Geronimo.

This includes State Road 518 between Mile Markers 8 and 9.

This also includes Blue Haven Youth Camp and Sebastian Canyon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall will cause
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks, streams and ditches in
the Hermits Peak and Calf Canyon Burn Scar. Severe debris flows can
also be anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed
away in places. If you encounter flood waters, climb to safety.

&&

LAT...LON 3574 10544 3574 10523 3568 10524 3563 10526
      3560 10526 3556 10540 3555 10542 3555 10545
      3559 10545 3565 10547 3567 10546 3571 10547

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

77

486 
WGUS55 KABQ 032243
FFWABQ
NMC047-032345-
/O.EXT.KABQ.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-260603T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
443 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  The Hermits Peak and Calf Canyon Burn Scar in...
  Northwestern San Miguel County in northeastern New Mexico...

* Until 545 PM MDT.

* At 443 PM MDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
  thunderstorms producing heavy rain over the Hermits Peak and Calf
  Canyon Burn Scar. Between 0.75 and 1.5 inches of rain have fallen.
  Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.25 inches are possible in the
  warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
  shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the burn scar will impact Gallinas Creek and
Tecolote Creek. The debris flow can consist of rock, mud, vegetation
and other loose materials.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
           flash flooding in and around the Hermits Peak and Calf
           Canyon Burn Scar.

  SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around the
           Hermits Peak and Calf Canyon Burn Scar.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  El Porvenir, Montezuma, Gallinas, Mineral Hill and San Geronimo.

This includes State Road 518 between Mile Markers 8 and 9.

This also includes Blue Haven Youth Camp and Sebastian Canyon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall will cause
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks, streams and ditches in
the Hermits Peak and Calf Canyon Burn Scar. Severe debris flows can
also be anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed
away in places. If you encounter flood waters, climb to safety.

&&

LAT...LON 3574 10544 3574 10523 3568 10524 3563 10526
      3560 10526 3556 10540 3555 10542 3555 10545
      3559 10545 3565 10547 3567 10546 3571 10547

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

77

476 
WGUS75 KABQ 032337
FFSABQ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
537 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

NMC047-032347-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-260603T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Miguel NM-
537 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE HERMITS PEAK AND CALF CANYON BURN SCAR
WILL EXPIRE AT 545 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR NORTHWESTERN SAN MIGUEL
COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flash flooding is no longer expected to
pose a threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3574 10544 3574 10523 3568 10524 3563 10526
      3560 10526 3556 10540 3555 10542 3555 10545
      3559 10545 3565 10547 3567 10546 3571 10547

$$

77

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1146 AM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1138 AM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

- Slow moving thunderstorms will threaten flash flooding on recent
  burn scars and poorly drained areas, including the Ruidoso area
  and Seven Cabins burn scars today.

- Scattered strong/severe thunderstorms over eastern New Mexico
  will threaten frequent lightning, severe gusts, and large hail
  this afternoon and early evening.

- Scattered weak showers and isolated dry thunderstorms over west-
  central to southwestern New Mexico will threaten strong and
  erratic gusty winds, dry lightning, and risk of new fire starts
  through Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 126 AM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

Convection had largely exited east central NM by midnight with
just some remnant stratiform rain decaying thereafter in
southeastern-most counties. A weak shortwave trough or circulation
is modeled over northeastern NM this morning, but it’s difficult
to pinpoint on water vapor imagery due to so much anvil cirrus
over this area of the state. This feature is projected to slide
northeastward into the evening, and likely will not do anything to
enhance today’s round of convection, but rather could impede some
development over the far northeast corner of the state due to
residual cloud cover and then subsidence on the back side of it.
Otherwise, the other feature of interest is the weak low
circulation offshore of southern CA which will drop over the Baja
peninsula this evening, not really coming into play for NM weather
until this weekend.

The low layer moisture will have a bigger impact on today’s
weather, dictating where convection will fire, and higher
dewpoints have advanced farther into western NM and the Four
Corners region. The winds aloft will be lighter and more variable
in direction today, posing difficulties for storms to move off of
the Continental Divide and other western high terrain areas. The
dewpoints and PWATs are also more modest in these areas (0.6 to
0.8 inch PWATs), and these moisture profiles will not be conducive
to heavy rainfall in these western zones. The lower PWAT values
in the northwest plateau area will likely not even support much
measurable rain. The HREF and REFS indicate that the central
mountain chain should destabilize early this afternoon with cells
rolling southeastward and conglomerating into multicellular
clusters, eventually moving over the eastern plains by the early
evening. Short range ensembles also agree that the aforementioned
subsidence from the remnants of the weak circulation in northeast
NM may impede convective coverage there. Convection will be
concentrated in southeastern zones by the late evening with cells
decaying through midnight and the early morning hours Thursday.

As for the Lincoln county burn scars, the short range ensembles
and individual CAM’s have a consensus for two rounds of storms,
one that initiates off the high terrain in the early afternoon,
followed by another early evening multicellular batch that
propagates in from the northwest. The Flash Flood Watch time frame
captures this well, so no changes are planned at this time.

More dry air looks to wrap into the northwestern half of the
forecast area on Thursday, limiting storm potential there. This
will put the focus for slow-moving storms over the southwestern
mountains, the central mountain chain, and a tertiary area of
Chaves county. With the low moving into the Gulf of CA, there is
potential for a weak deformation zone to develop over Chihuahua
and southern NM. This could provide some stretching aloft that
might assist storms, but overall the crop should be considerably
more subdued on Thursday. The Sacramento mountains will be an
initiation point again, so Flash Flooding will still be a clear
and present danger Thursday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 126 AM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

The low over the Gulf of CA is now modeled to move slower through
the end of the week, only trekking into Chihuahua by Friday
before lifting into west TX on Saturday, largely bypassing NM.
Friday’s convection will consequently favor similar areas to
Thursday, but the aforementioned deformation zone would slide
northeastward, likely not doing much to enhance storm initiation.
The central mountain chain eastward would then be favored for
storms Saturday where relatively higher PWATs (0.8 to 1.0 inch)
will be hanging on. More drier air would build in on Sunday as the
remnants of the low move farther into the central Great Plains
with the ECMWF being more aggressive with the drying.

A deep upper level trough over or just offshore of the
northwestern ConUS will come into the picture Monday with higher
heights and ridging trying to hold ground over NM. Long range
ensemble means show the low/trough moving inland over the
intermountain west through the middle of next week with the ridge
holding over south central states and NM, but individual
deterministic members reveal starker differences in moisture
profiles. Blended POP guidance from the NBM retains isolated to
scattered storm coverage favoring the high terrain by Tuesday and
Wednesday with climatology leaning toward the central mountain
chain eastward for this time of year.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1138 AM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

Convective hazards will be in play for all of the terminals except
KFMN over the next 9-12 hours. KGUP could see either wet or dry
thunderstorms in the vicinity with associated brief wind gusts up
to 40KT. Relatively highest confidence for direct storm impacts
are at KSAF late afternoon into early evening and at KROW from
about 03-06Z, as storms move off the central mountain chain and
congeal into a more organized band, per recent runs of the HRRR
and RRFS. Medium confidence for KROW to see at least a brief
period of MVFR visibility with potential for a cell with heavy
rain to move overhead within this band.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 126 AM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

Deeper moisture is planted over the eastern half of NM, but
increased moisture has advanced toward AZ and the Four Corners
with dewpoints climbing into the 30’s and low 40’s. This will
cause thunderstorms to initiate a bit farther to the west today,
but the western fringe of these storms will be less efficient at
producing wetting rainfall at the surface due to drier sub-cloud
profiles. This will keep a looming concern for dry storms and new
lightning ignitions in far western NM today while the eastern half
of the state accumulates more wetting rainfall. The coverage of
showers and thunderstorms is still modeled to reduce significantly
into Thursday and Friday as drier air works in from the northwest
with storms favoring the southwestern mountains and the central
mountain chain each day. By Saturday, storms will mostly stay
along and east of the central mountain chain, followed by a drier
spell with fewer storms Sunday and Monday. Confidence is low that
storms will return into the middle of next week, but isolated to
scattered cells cannot be ruled out over the high terrain.
Outflows from thunderstorms will still pose the primary wind
concerns through the next week with western areas observing their
driest spell Friday through the weekend when afternoon RH will
plummet to 10 to 15 percent.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  90  56  91  55 /   0   0   0   5
Dulce...........................  84  42  86  44 /  40   5  10   5
Cuba............................  78  49  84  52 /  40  20  10   5
Gallup..........................  83  46  87  49 /  30   5   5   0
El Morro........................  79  48  82  51 /  50  10  10   5
Grants..........................  81  48  86  51 /  50  10  10   5
Quemado.........................  81  49  84  52 /  50  10  10  10
Magdalena.......................  77  54  80  57 /  70  20  20  10
Datil...........................  76  50  79  52 /  80  20  20  10
Reserve.........................  87  46  87  47 /  70  20  30  10
Glenwood........................  91  49  90  50 /  80  30  50   5
Chama...........................  75  41  79  43 /  50   5  20   0
Los Alamos......................  75  54  79  56 /  60  40  30   5
Pecos...........................  73  47  82  49 /  70  50  20   5
Cerro/Questa....................  75  48  79  51 /  60  20  20  10
Red River.......................  66  40  71  43 /  60  20  20  10
Angel Fire......................  69  40  75  43 /  80  20  30  10
Taos............................  77  46  82  49 /  60  20  20  10
Mora............................  70  46  79  48 /  80  30  30  10
Espanola........................  83  53  88  55 /  50  30  10   5
Santa Fe........................  75  54  82  56 /  60  40  10   5
Santa Fe Airport................  78  51  84  54 /  50  40  10  10
Albuquerque Foothills...........  82  60  88  63 /  50  30   5   5
Albuquerque Heights.............  83  58  89  60 /  40  30   5   5
Albuquerque Valley..............  85  57  91  60 /  40  30   0   5
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  84  59  90  61 /  40  30   0   5
Belen...........................  85  56  90  58 /  40  20   5   5
Bernalillo......................  84  58  90  61 /  40  30   5  10
Bosque Farms....................  84  54  90  57 /  40  30   5   5
Corrales........................  85  59  91  61 /  40  30   5  10
Los Lunas.......................  84  56  90  59 /  40  20   5   5
Placitas........................  79  58  86  61 /  50  40   5  10
Rio Rancho......................  84  58  90  61 /  40  30   0  10
Socorro.........................  87  60  90  62 /  60  20   5   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  76  53  82  56 /  60  40  10  10
Tijeras.........................  77  53  83  55 /  60  40  10   5
Edgewood........................  76  50  84  53 /  60  40  10  10
Moriarty/Estancia...............  77  48  85  50 /  60  40  10  10
Clines Corners..................  72  50  80  52 /  60  50  20  10
Mountainair.....................  77  50  82  53 /  70  40  20   5
Gran Quivira....................  76  51  79  53 /  60  40  20   5
Carrizozo.......................  80  57  80  59 /  50  40  20   5
Ruidoso.........................  73  52  74  53 /  80  50  60   5
Capulin.........................  70  45  79  48 /  30  30  30  10
Raton...........................  74  47  83  49 /  50  20  20  10
Springer........................  74  49  83  50 /  50  30  20  10
Las Vegas.......................  71  48  80  50 /  70  50  30  10
Clayton.........................  75  53  84  55 /  30  30  10  10
Roy.............................  72  51  81  52 /  60  40  20  10
Conchas.........................  78  56  87  58 /  40  60   5  10
Santa Rosa......................  75  53  84  55 /  40  60  10  10
Tucumcari.......................  79  57  87  59 /  50  60   5  10
Clovis..........................  77  57  84  58 /  50  70  10  10
Portales........................  79  57  85  58 /  50  70  10  10
Fort Sumner.....................  78  56  84  57 /  50  60   5   0
Roswell.........................  81  59  85  60 /  40  60  10  10
Picacho.........................  77  54  81  55 /  60  50  50  10
Elk.............................  78  53  80  53 /  70  50  60   5

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 10 PM MDT this evening for NMZ226.

&&

SHORT TERM...52
LONG TERM....52
AVIATION...53-Schroeder

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1006 AM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0551 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     7 SW Glenrio            35.11N 103.12W
06/02/2026  M61 MPH          Quay               NM   Mesonet

            Mesonet station 107 Endee 2 SW.

&&