Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2025

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 459, NWS Tulsa, OK

September 20, 2025Rogers County, Tulsa County, Wagoner County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 20, 2025, 10:00 PM CDT for Rogers County, Tulsa County, Wagoner County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Sep 20, 2025, 10:00 PM CDT (03:00 UTC)
Expired: Sep 20, 2025, 10:29 PM CDT
In force: 29 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Rogers County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 11 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1254 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -33 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1811 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 20 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 20, 6:23 PM CDT, 3 hours 37 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

Issued at 1239 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
Isolated severe thunderstorms possible late today and this evening from northeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas.
Warm to hot conditions continue through Sunday, with temperatures moderating Monday and then cooler into next week.
Daily shower and thunderstorm chances continue into Wednesday. There is a moderate chance of a more robust storm complex crossing the area Monday night and Tuesday.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 20, 6:23 PM CDT, 3 hours 37 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
623 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

 - Isolated severe thunderstorms possible late today and
   this evening from northeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas.

 - Warm to hot conditions continue through Sunday, with
   temperatures moderating Monday and then cooler into next week.

 - Daily shower and thunderstorm chances continue into Wednesday.
   There is a moderate chance of a more robust storm complex
   crossing the area Monday night and Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight )
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

A thunderstorm complex crossed northern portions of the area
this morning.  That complex is weakening and exiting the area.
However, showers and a few thunderstorms continue a little north of
the trailing boundary that extends from near Ozark to the north
side of the Tulsa area and into Osage County. That part of the
boundary near and northwest of Tulsa should become about
stationary, as the more eastern part of the boundary drifts
a little more south. Convection along the boundary may not
completely end before new cells develop near it during peak heating
or this evening. The peak of coverage could wait until evening as
flow several thousand feet above the ground increases to near 30
knots from the west-southwest.  A few downbursts near severe
criteria are possible. There may also be a brief window / zone where
hail potential is enhanced. In general, the low-level flow may be
too weak to support wider / stronger updrafts. But the combination
of the increase in low-level flow and potential for pooling a
deeper pocket of moisture near the old boundary could result in
the potential for a few severe hail reports. This activity should
diminish overnight but may not completely end as a weak low-level
jet continues into northeast Oklahoma.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Saturday)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

The northwest upper-level flow pattern will continue into Wednesday
with daily rounds of showers and thunderstorm. Consensus is
developing in the data that a more robust thunderstorm complex
could track across the area Monday night and into Tuesday. Northeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas appear to be most favored for that
potential, but there will be rain chances area wide. This idea is
based on the expectation that a stronger upper-level system will move
through the center of the U.S. Tuesday and Wednesday. Faster winds
aloft with and ahead of the system support a more organized storm
event.

Temperatures will gradually moderate into next week with the daily
rain chances and increase in clouds. Cooler air will spread into the
area with the passage of the upper system.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 622 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

Convection has finally moved away from nwrn AR sites, so focus turns
to the west where convection is underway over north central and nern
OK. This activity will potentially impact nern OK sites this evening
with MVFR CIGS/IFR VSBYS. Less widespread activity expected to
persist into late tonight, but low confidence of impacts to any
specific terminal. Fog remains a possibility late tonight into Sunday
morning nwrn AR sites, with some scattered convection still
persistent. Another round of convection likely develops tomorrow
afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   69  85  69  86 /  40  50  60  40
FSM   69  91  70  86 /  30  20  40  60
MLC   68  88  70  88 /  20  30  40  50
BVO   64  82  64  86 /  40  50  60  30
FYV   64  87  65  83 /  40  30  50  70
BYV   65  87  66  82 /  40  50  50  80
MKO   67  86  68  86 /  30  30  50  60
MIO   65  84  65  84 /  50  50  60  50
F10   66  86  67  88 /  30  40  50  50
HHW   68  89  69  89 /  10  10  30  40

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....08
AVIATION...69

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 20, 4:44 PM CDT, 5 hours 16 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
444 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211045-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
444 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...After 6 pm.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Primarily along and north of I-40.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
A storm complex will continue to move southeast across northwest
Arkansas into this evening, gradually weakening. Locally heavy
rainfall will remain the main threat from this activity, but the
stronger storms could briefly become severe with large hail and
damaging wind gusts.

Additional activity is expected to develop to the west across
northeast Oklahoma along an outflow boundary from earlier
thunderstorm activity. While the bulk of the storms will remain
elevated, sufficient heating across the northeast Oklahoma portion of
the area may result in instability strong enough to support large
hail to half dollar size and wind gusts to 65 mph. There is a very
low risk of a tornado for a short window of time this evening if a
storm should develop along the outflow boundary and remain isolated
long enough as it moves southeast. Locally heavy rainfall is also
possible. The activity is expected to diminish in intensity and
coverage with the loss of daytime heating later this evening,
however a strengthening low level jet may support a strong updraft or
two through midnight as the storms move east across northeast
Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
TUESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Daily thunderstorm chances continue Sunday through Tuesday with
locally heavy rainfall and an isolated severe weather potential.
Thunderstorm complexes will become more widespread and potentially
stronger Sunday night into Monday and Monday night into Tuesday as an
upper low moves through the Southern Plains. A drying trend begins
by the middle of next week as the low pulls away from the area and
high pressure builds into the region.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

69

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 20, 7:16 PM CDT, 2 hours 44 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
716 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

OKZ054-055-060-210100-
Tulsa OK-Osage OK-Washington OK-
716 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL OSAGE...SOUTHERN
WASHINGTON AND NORTHEASTERN TULSA COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

At 716 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm 6 miles
west of Skiatook, moving northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Skiatook...                       Ramona...
Vera...                           Collinsville...
Avant...                          Ochelata...
Sperry...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3664 9598 3645 9581 3642 9581 3642 9579
      3640 9579 3639 9581 3636 9581 3628 9607
      3644 9615
TIME...MOT...LOC 0016Z 227DEG 10KT 3639 9608

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

69

Special weather statement, Sep 20, 7:48 PM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
748 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

OKZ055-060-061-210130-
Tulsa OK-Rogers OK-Washington OK-
748 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL ROGERS...SOUTHERN
WASHINGTON AND NORTHEASTERN TULSA COUNTIES THROUGH 830 PM CDT...

At 748 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm over
Collinsville, moving northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Collinsville...                   Vera...
Oologah...                        Skiatook...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3631 9593 3644 9594 3651 9581 3648 9573
      3644 9568 3629 9568
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 244DEG 8KT 3637 9585

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

69

Special weather statement, Sep 20, 8:01 PM CDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
801 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

OKZ054>056-061-210145-
Osage OK-Rogers OK-Nowata OK-Washington OK-
801 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN ROGERS...EAST
CENTRAL OSAGE...SOUTHERN WASHINGTON AND SOUTHWESTERN NOWATA COUNTIES
THROUGH 845 PM CDT...

At 800 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm 4 miles
north of Avant, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Avant...                          Ramona...
Ochelata...                       Wolco...
Talala...                         Bartlesville...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3653 9568 3642 9599 3642 9601 3640 9605
      3660 9616 3677 9582
TIME...MOT...LOC 0100Z 245DEG 18KT 3655 9603

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

69

Local storm report, Sep 20, 8:46 PM CDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
846 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 PM     Hail             3 S Collinsville        36.32N 95.85W
09/20/2025  M1.25 Inch       Tulsa              OK   Trained Spotter

            Half dollar size hail.

&&

DH

Local storm report, Sep 20, 8:53 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
853 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0848 PM     Hail             4 W Owasso              36.27N 95.92W
09/20/2025  E1.75 Inch       Tulsa              OK   Trained Spotter

            Golf ball size hail.

&&

DH

Special weather statement, Sep 20, 9:45 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
945 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

OKZ060-061-067-210330-
Tulsa OK-Rogers OK-Wagoner OK-
945 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN ROGERS...
NORTHWESTERN WAGONER AND EASTERN TULSA COUNTIES THROUGH 1030 PM
CDT...

At 944 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near
Tulsa International Airport, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Broken Arrow...                   Verdigris...
Jenks Riverside Airport...        Sperry...
Tulsa...                          Claremore...
Turley...                         Tulsa International Airport...
Jenks...                          Catoosa...
Owasso...                         Oneta...
Collinsville...                   Coweta...
Glenpool...                       Bixby...
Skiatook...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 221 and 249.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3598 9600 3633 9600 3642 9559 3598 9558
TIME...MOT...LOC 0244Z 270DEG 14KT 3618 9588

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

69

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 20, 7:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage	40 min
Sep 20, 7:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Washington	44 min
Sep 20, 7:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage, Pawnee	46 min
Sep 20, 7:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Rogers	42 min
Sep 20, 8:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Washington	44 min
Sep 20, 8:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Rogers, Tulsa	52 min
Sep 20, 8:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage	49 min
Sep 20, 8:37 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Rogers, Tulsa, Washington	49 min
Sep 20, 8:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage, Pawnee	34 min
Sep 20, 8:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Rogers, Tulsa	50 min
Sep 20, 9:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa	47 min
Sep 20, 9:26 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Rogers, Tulsa, Washington	5 hr
Sep 20, 9:28 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Osage, Pawnee	3 hr
Sep 20, 9:42 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Rogers, Tulsa	4 min
Sep 20, 9:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Rogers, Tulsa	45 min
Sep 20, 9:46 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Rogers, Tulsa	4 hr
Sep 20, 9:48 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Osage, Tulsa	3 hr
Sep 20, 10:22 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Tulsa	4 min
Sep 20, 10:26 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Tulsa	4 hr
Sep 21, 2:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Muskogee	26 min
Sep 21, 2:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Wagoner	34 min
Sep 21, 2:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Muskogee, Wagoner	45 min
Sep 21, 2:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Rogers	33 min
Sep 21, 3:08 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Wagoner	52 min
Sep 21, 3:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Muskogee	49 min
Sep 21, 3:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Muskogee	28 min
Sep 21, 3:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Muskogee	38 min
Sep 21, 3:40 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Mayes	35 min
Sep 21, 3:56 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Muskogee	15 min
Sep 21, 4:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah	52 min
Sep 21, 4:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Delaware	46 min
Sep 21, 4:52 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell	23 min
Sep 21, 4:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sequoyah	36 min
Sep 21, 4:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, Sequoyah	32 min
Sep 21, 5:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	McIntosh	31 min
Sep 21, 5:20 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah	46 min
Sep 21, 5:21 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sequoyah	24 min
Sep 21, 5:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell	38 min
Sep 21, 5:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sequoyah	31 min
Sep 21, 5:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Muskogee	27 min
Sep 21, 5:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah	31 min
Sep 21, 6:06 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah	10 min
Sep 21, 6:08 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Haskell, LeFlore, Muskogee, Sequoyah	3 hr
Sep 21, 6:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore, Sequoyah	35 min
Sep 21, 6:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell	34 min
Sep 21, 6:16 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah	2 hr
Sep 21, 6:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sequoyah	34 min
Sep 20, 10:10 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Carroll	50 min
Sep 20, 11:18 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Benton	27 min
Sep 21, 12:00 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Benton	30 min
Sep 21, 12:01 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Carroll	3 hr
Sep 21, 12:04 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Carroll	41 min
Sep 21, 12:06 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Benton	3 hr
Sep 21, 12:13 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Benton, Carroll	6 hr
Sep 21, 12:37 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Carroll	38 min
Sep 21, 12:47 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Benton, Carroll, Madison, Washington	3 hr
Sep 21, 1:03 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Carroll	42 min
Sep 21, 2:09 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Carroll, Madison	4 hr
Sep 21, 6:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sebastian	36 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2025 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.