Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Warnings in 2025

Tornado Warning 4, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

March 16, 2025Citrus County, Hernando County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this tornado warning at Mar 16, 2025, 4:37 PM EDT for Citrus County, Hernando County, Florida. It was in force for 23 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 16, 2025, 4:37 PM EDT (20:37 UTC)
Expired: Mar 16, 2025, 5:00 PM EDT
In force: 23 min
Issued by: NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Radar indicated
Hail: 0.75 in

Counties Citrus County, FL, Hernando County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 16, 8:04 AM EDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 404 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -138 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 614 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 301 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 345 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.2
Supercell composite: 5.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

397 
WFUS52 KTBW 162037
TORTBW
FLC017-053-162100-
/O.NEW.KTBW.TO.W.0004.250316T2037Z-250316T2100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
437 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

The National Weather Service in Ruskin has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  South central Citrus County in west central Florida...
  North central Hernando County in west central Florida...

* Until 500 PM EDT.

* At 436 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located near North Brooksville, or 7 miles northwest of
  Brooksville, moving northeast at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
  south central Citrus and north central Hernando Counties, including
  the following locations... Heatherwood, Lake Lindsey, Suburban
  Acres, Floral City, and Sugarmill Woods.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! If your home is flooded, avoid flood waters. If
possible, take shelter in an interior room. Avoid windows. If you are
outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest
substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 2859 8248 2867 8252 2877 8235 2872 8228
      2863 8228
TIME...MOT...LOC 2036Z 243DEG 20KT 2863 8247 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

TBW

2 follow-up statements

645 
WWUS52 KTBW 162046
SVSTBW

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
446 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

FLC017-053-162100-
/O.CON.KTBW.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-250316T2100Z/
Citrus FL-Hernando FL-
446 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL CITRUS AND NORTH CENTRAL HERNANDO COUNTIES...

At 444 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near North Brooksville, or 7 miles north of Brooksville, 
moving northeast at 25 mph. At 442 PM EDT, a rapidly rotating wall 
cloud and apparent funnel cloud was reported crossing US Hwy 98 
northwest of Brooksville.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Heatherwood, Lake Lindsey, Suburban Acres, Floral City, and Sugarmill
Woods.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile
home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and
protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 2861 8245 2868 8249 2877 8235 2872 8228
      2863 8228
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 243DEG 20KT 2865 8242 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

TBW

519 
WWUS52 KTBW 162054
SVSTBW

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
454 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

FLC053-162104-
/O.CAN.KTBW.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-250316T2100Z/
Hernando FL-
454 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL HERNANDO COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 PM EDT for west central
Florida.

&&

LAT...LON 2877 8235 2872 8228 2867 8228 2867 8239
      2871 8244
TIME...MOT...LOC 2054Z 243DEG 20KT 2868 8237 

$$

FLC017-162100-
/O.CON.KTBW.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-250316T2100Z/
Citrus FL-
454 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL CITRUS COUNTY...

At 454 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 7 miles north of North Brooksville, or 8 miles north of
Brooksville, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Heatherwood, Suburban Acres, and Floral City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile
home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and
protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 2877 8235 2872 8228 2867 8228 2867 8239
      2871 8244
TIME...MOT...LOC 2054Z 243DEG 20KT 2868 8237 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

TBW

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Mar 16, 3:00 PM EDT, 1 hour 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 16, 3:00 PM EDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
300 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 257 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

Synoptic, non-convective winds out ahead of the line of storms today
have been impressive with a few areas gusting over 40mph. The storms
moving over the nature coast currently have remained below severe
criteria. However, the severe threat has not completely diminished
and the possibility of damaging winds and a couple tornadoes
still exists. Frequent lightning, heavy rainfall, and gusty winds
have already been observed as these storms move onshore. Remain
vigilant as this line of storms continues south. The threat will
lessen as it moves over southwest Florida later tonight.

Tomorrow a surface high will build back into the area as the
remaining frontal boundary pushes out. Winds will remain elevated as
the pressure gradient between these features remains tight. Dry
air will also filter in dropping dew points and humidity which
will increase the fire threat for the area. Temperatures will also
briefly drop with many waking up in the 40s again on Tuesday
morning. However the 80s return by mid week. Another, weak frontal
system moves over the area Thursday, but is expected to come and
go without much notice besides an increase in winds and a dip in
temperature and dew points.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 257 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

The line of storms continues its progress south. Storms still
expected to reach TPA/PIE between 21-23Z then move further south as
the evening progresses. Behind the line conditions clear and winds
decrease briefly for a few hours overnight before increasing in the
early morning out of the NW. Otherwise VFR prevails behind the
front.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 257 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

Hazardous marine conditions expected as a line of storms continues
to move over the waters and winds remain elevated through Tuesday
afternoon. Small craft advisory and rip current statements remain in
place for the duration.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 257 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

Fire weather concerns will increase tomorrow as dry air moves
through and winds remain elevated. Dry air sticks around through
Wednesday, however winds will decrease Tuesday and remain low
Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  59  66  51  77 /  40   0   0   0
FMY  64  73  49  80 /  40   0   0   0
GIF  59  70  47  77 /  70   0   0   0
SRQ  60  68  52  78 /  50   0   0   0
BKV  52  66  41  78 /  30   0   0   0
SPG  61  66  55  75 /  40   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday morning for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-
     Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Tuesday for Charlotte Harbor
     and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to
     Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to
     Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon
     Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters-
     Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-
     Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-
     Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to
     60 NM.

&&

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Pearce
DECISION SUPPORT...Giarratana

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 16, 11:12 AM EDT, 5 hours 25 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
1112 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

FLZ139-239-161545-
Coastal Levy FL-Inland Levy FL-
1112 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT LEVY COUNTY THROUGH 1145 AM
EDT...

At 1111 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles southwest of Fowlers Bluff, or 21 miles southwest of Chiefland,
moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lebanon, Bronson, Otter Creek, Fowlers Bluff, Chiefland, Williston
Highlands, Manattee Road, East Bronson, and Andrews.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 PM EDT for northern
Florida.

&&

LAT...LON 2929 8316 2932 8314 2932 8312 2935 8306
      2936 8307 2937 8307 2940 8302 2942 8303
      2946 8300 2956 8274 2957 8269 2922 8247
      2921 8254 2911 8254 2902 8285 2911 8293
      2904 8309 2917 8317
TIME...MOT...LOC 1511Z 252DEG 49KT 2928 8313

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

TBW

Special weather statement, Mar 16, 11:45 AM EDT, 4 hours 52 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
1145 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

FLZ139-239-161630-
Coastal Levy FL-Inland Levy FL-
1145 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT LEVY COUNTY THROUGH 1230 PM
EDT...

At 1144 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Chiefland, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 45 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Williston Highlands, East Bronson, Otter Creek, Andrews, Chiefland,
Williston Municipal Airport, Manatee Springs State Park, Manattee
Road, Lebanon, Bronson, Williston, Fowlers Bluff, and Fanning
Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 PM EDT for northern
Florida.

&&

LAT...LON 2929 8316 2932 8314 2932 8312 2935 8306
      2937 8307 2940 8302 2954 8298 2959 8294
      2957 8266 2954 8265 2954 8256 2948 8255
      2948 8241 2922 8241 2922 8253 2916 8254
      2908 8290 2911 8294 2906 8305 2923 8317
TIME...MOT...LOC 1544Z 252DEG 45KT 2940 8282

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

TBW

Local storm report, Mar 16, 1:24 PM EDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
124 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1236 PM     Marine Tstm Wind 1 SSE Cedar Key         29.14N 83.03W
03/16/2025  M34 MPH          GMZ850             FL   Buoy

            Buoy station CKYF1 Cedar Key, FL.

&&

TBW

Local storm report, Mar 16, 1:28 PM EDT, 3 hours 9 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
128 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0102 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 2 WNW Feather Sound     27.91N 82.69W
03/16/2025  M47 MPH          Pinellas           FL   ASOS

            ASOS station KPIE St Pete-Clearwater Intl.

1204 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 1 S Whitfield           27.40N 82.57W
03/16/2025  M44 MPH          Manatee            FL   ASOS

            ASOS station KSRQ Sarasota Bradenton Intl.

&&

Special weather statement, Mar 16, 4:03 PM EDT, 34 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
403 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

FLZ142-148-242-248-162030-
Coastal Citrus FL-Inland Hernando FL-Coastal Hernando FL-
Inland Citrus FL-
403 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN CITRUS AND
NORTHWESTERN HERNANDO COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM EDT...

At 403 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Pine Island, or 11 miles northwest of Spring Hill, moving northeast
at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Chassahowitzka Refuge, Royal Highlands, Chassahowitzka, Homosassa
Springs, Green Acres, Lake Lindsey, Leisure Acres, Weeki Wachee
Gardens, Glen Lakes, Pine Island, North Weeki Wachee, Sugarmill
Woods, Homosassa, Lecanto, and Brookridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 PM EDT for west central
Florida.

&&

LAT...LON 2886 8254 2878 8238 2862 8235 2849 8268
      2855 8275 2864 8277
TIME...MOT...LOC 2003Z 232DEG 31KT 2860 8267

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

TBW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 15, 8:20 PM EDT	Rip Current Statement	TBW	Charlotte, Hillsborough, Lee, Manatee, Pinellas, Sarasota	72 hr
Mar 16, 9:09 AM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		36 min
Mar 16, 9:45 AM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		60 min
Mar 16, 10:43 AM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		62 min
Mar 16, 11:12 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Levy	33 min
Mar 16, 11:45 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Levy	45 min
Mar 16, 11:48 AM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		57 min
Mar 16, 12:45 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		60 min
Mar 16, 1:45 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		60 min
Mar 16, 3:21 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		54 min
Mar 16, 4:03 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Hernando	27 min
Mar 16, 4:15 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		2 hr
Mar 16, 4:19 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	TBW	Hernando	26 min
Mar 16, 4:58 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	TBW	Citrus, Sumter	12 min
Mar 16, 5:30 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	TBW	Pinellas	30 min
Mar 16, 5:57 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Pasco	33 min
Mar 16, 6:14 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		61 min
Mar 16, 6:50 PM EDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	TBW	Hillsborough, Manatee	12 min
Mar 16, 6:54 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Pasco	36 min
Mar 16, 7:00 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	TBW	Hillsborough, Pasco	16 min
Mar 16, 7:30 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Polk	30 min
Mar 16, 7:32 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	TBW	Hillsborough, Pasco, Polk	28 min
Mar 16, 7:59 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	TBW	Polk	31 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Florida, 2025 Every tornado warning in 2025 Tornadoes in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.