Alert archive / Vermont / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2025

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 521

July 17, 20254 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 17, 2025, 2:28 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 17, 2025, 2:28 PM EDT (18:28 UTC)
Expired
Jul 17, 2025, 8:02 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt

Counties Aroostook County, ME, Franklin County, ME, Oxford County, ME, Piscataquis County, ME, Somerset County, ME, Carroll County, NH, Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Clinton County, NY, Addison County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Washington County, VT

The radar

The Caribou radar (KCBW), 144 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 17, 3:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXAndroscoggin, Franklin, Kennebec, Oxford46 min
Jul 17, 4:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Kennebec, Somerset, Waldo23 min
Jul 17, 4:16 PM EDTTornado WarningCARPiscataquis17 min
Jul 17, 4:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARAroostook, Piscataquis44 min
Jul 17, 4:37 PM EDTTornado WarningCARAroostook23 min
Jul 17, 5:03 PM EDTTornado WarningCARAroostook27 min
Jul 17, 5:10 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCARSomerset76 min
Jul 17, 5:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARAroostook65 min
Jul 17, 5:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPiscataquis46 min
Jul 17, 5:14 PM EDTTornado WarningCARAroostook31 min
Jul 17, 6:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPenobscot, Piscataquis45 min
Jul 17, 6:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARAroostook, Penobscot, Piscataquis66 min
Jul 17, 6:18 PM EDTTornado WarningCARAroostook, Penobscot27 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Caribou, ME (KCAR), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Caribou, ME at 12:00Z on 2025-07-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 41 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Caribou, ME at 12:00Z on 2025-07-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 83 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
41 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-148 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1350 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
83 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
76 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

301 
WWUS20 KWNS 171826
SEL1  
SPC WW 171826
MEZ000-NHZ000-NYZ000-VTZ000-180100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 521
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Western and Northern Maine
  Northern and Central New Hampshire
  Far Northern New York
  Northern and Central Vermont

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until
  900 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to develop and
intensify this afternoon across the Watch area.  A couple of
transient supercells are possible as well as a few organized
multicells.  The primary severe hazard will be strong to severe
gusts (50-65 mph) capable of wind damage, but a tornado is possible
with the more intense transient supercells.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles north northwest
of Caribou ME to 15 miles south southwest of Montpelier VT. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector
23030.

...Smith

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 17, 1:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndroscoggin, Aroostook, Cumberland, Franklin, Kennebec, Oxford and 4 more3 hr
Jul 17, 4:40 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAroostook, Franklin, Oxford, Piscataquis, Somerset2 hr
Jul 17, 6:43 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAroostook, Franklin, Oxford, Piscataquis, Somerset92 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Vermont, 2025Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maine, 2025Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Hampshire, 2025Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.