Alert archive / Vermont / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2025
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 521
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 17, 2025, 2:28 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 17, 2025, 2:28 PM EDT (18:28 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 17, 2025, 8:02 PM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 55 kt
Counties Aroostook County, ME, Franklin County, ME, Oxford County, ME, Piscataquis County, ME, Somerset County, ME, Carroll County, NH, Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Clinton County, NY, Addison County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Washington County, VT
The radar
The Caribou radar (KCBW), 144 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 3:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Androscoggin, Franklin, Kennebec, Oxford | 46 min |
| Jul 17, 4:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Franklin, Kennebec, Somerset, Waldo | 23 min |
| Jul 17, 4:16 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CAR | Piscataquis | 17 min |
| Jul 17, 4:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook, Piscataquis | 44 min |
| Jul 17, 4:37 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CAR | Aroostook | 23 min |
| Jul 17, 5:03 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CAR | Aroostook | 27 min |
| Jul 17, 5:10 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CAR | Somerset | 76 min |
| Jul 17, 5:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook | 65 min |
| Jul 17, 5:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Piscataquis | 46 min |
| Jul 17, 5:14 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CAR | Aroostook | 31 min |
| Jul 17, 6:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Penobscot, Piscataquis | 45 min |
| Jul 17, 6:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook, Penobscot, Piscataquis | 66 min |
| Jul 17, 6:18 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CAR | Aroostook, Penobscot | 27 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Caribou, ME (KCAR), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 41 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -148 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1350 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 43 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 83 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 76 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted.
301 WWUS20 KWNS 171826 SEL1 SPC WW 171826 MEZ000-NHZ000-NYZ000-VTZ000-180100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 521 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 225 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western and Northern Maine Northern and Central New Hampshire Far Northern New York Northern and Central Vermont * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to develop and intensify this afternoon across the Watch area. A couple of transient supercells are possible as well as a few organized multicells. The primary severe hazard will be strong to severe gusts (50-65 mph) capable of wind damage, but a tornado is possible with the more intense transient supercells. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles north northwest of Caribou ME to 15 miles south southwest of Montpelier VT. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector 23030. ...Smith
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 1:09 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Androscoggin, Aroostook, Cumberland, Franklin, Kennebec, Oxford and 4 more | 3 hr |
| Jul 17, 4:40 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aroostook, Franklin, Oxford, Piscataquis, Somerset | 2 hr |
| Jul 17, 6:43 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aroostook, Franklin, Oxford, Piscataquis, Somerset | 92 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Vermont, 2025Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maine, 2025Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Hampshire, 2025Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2025
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.