Alert archive / Florida / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 970

May 25, 202529 counties in Florida; 12 counties in Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 25, 2025, 3:15 PM EDT for 29 counties in Florida; 12 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 25, 2025, 3:15 PM EDT (19:15 UTC)
Expired
May 25, 2025, 5:15 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch unlikely
Chance of a watch
20%
All 41 counties

Alachua County, FL, Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Brevard County, FL, Clay County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Duval County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Glades County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hendry County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Indian River County, FL, Lake County, FL, Marion County, FL, Martin County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Palm Beach County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Saint Lucie County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Union County, FL, Volusia County, FL, Brantley County, GA, Bryan County, GA, Camden County, GA, Charlton County, GA, Chatham County, GA, Evans County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Liberty County, GA, Long County, GA, McIntosh County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Wayne County, GA

The radar

The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2025-05-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2392 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2025-05-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 22 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2392 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
682 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
61 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 25, 2:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCatoosa85 min
May 25, 4:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBartow, Carroll, Catoosa, Chattooga, Cherokee, Cobb and 20 more8 hr
May 25, 5:52 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartow, Catoosa, Chattooga, Cherokee, Dade, Fannin and 7 more83 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2025Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.