Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 902

May 20, 20254 counties in Alabama; 52 counties in Kentucky; 34 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 20, 2025, 10:19 AM CDT for 4 counties in Alabama; 52 counties in Kentucky; 34 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 20, 2025, 10:19 AM CDT (15:19 UTC)
Expired
May 20, 2025, 12:45 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
60%
All 90 counties

Colbert County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Green County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Knox County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Bedford County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Clay County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Giles County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Macon County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, Moore County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Smith County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, White County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2025-05-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1162 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2025-05-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 114 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1162 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-41 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
904 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.9
Supercell composite
3.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 20, 1:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlount, Colbert, Cullman, DeKalb, Etowah, Fayette and 14 more117 min
May 20, 2:36 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCColbert, Cullman, DeKalb, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale and 5 more8 hr
May 20, 3:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Lauderdale117 min
May 20, 5:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Calhoun, Chilton, Clay and 20 more2 hr
May 20, 5:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison118 min
May 20, 6:46 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Cleburne and 16 more7 hr
May 19, 7:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLogan, Simpson, Todd88 min
May 20, 1:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Caldwell, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden, Daviess and 16 more83 min
May 20, 2:15 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBallard, Caldwell, Carlisle, Crittenden, Daviess, Hancock and 11 more4 hr
May 20, 12:10 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBath, Bell, Bourbon, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter and 39 more5 hr
May 20, 1:09 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBallard, Calloway, Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman and 3 more8 hr
May 20, 2:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFloyd, Harlan, Johnson, Knott, Lawrence, Letcher and 3 more2 hr
May 20, 5:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Boyle, Breathitt, Clark, Clay, Estill and 25 more62 min
May 20, 6:27 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBell, Breathitt, Clay, Estill, Harlan, Jackson and 15 more6 hr
May 20, 12:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrockett, Dyer, Fayette, Haywood, Lake, Lauderdale and 2 more116 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2025Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.